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 May 13-15 Predictions 

Doctor Strange Drop
Sub 40% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
40-44% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
45-49% 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
50-54% 13%  13%  [ 1 ]
55-59% 13%  13%  [ 1 ]
60-64% 25%  25%  [ 2 ]
65-69% 50%  50%  [ 4 ]
70%+ 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 8

 May 13-15 Predictions 
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Hold the door!

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Post May 13-15 Predictions
Firestarter 8
Family Camp 6

I have seen more ads for Family Camp than Firestarter lol. Big poster at the theater but almost no trailers that I've seen. Feels like a direct to Peacock movie sent to theaters only to fulfill a contractual obligation

Family Camp should receive a little boost from the faith audience but it looks terrible

Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness -65%


Fri May 06, 2022 10:20 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
I had the Family Camp trailer with CODA and Sonic. It was probably with The Bad Guys as well. It won't do much though. 2-5 Million which would be perfectly fine for it.

Firestarter - 5-6 Million

I hope Montana Story gets a decent amount of theaters. Enough to open here anyway. Looks great.


Fri May 06, 2022 11:21 am
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
A little over 50% is my prediction.

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Sat May 07, 2022 1:52 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Gonna go with 66% drop for MoM.


Sat May 07, 2022 11:36 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Big drop for Multiverse. Marvel films usually drop around 60% no matter what the reception is. And while I don't think MoM will have bad WoM (got some applause after my showing), there is one thing to consider...

(not a huge spoiler, but I'll tag it anyways)

Spoiler: show
The ads made this seem like a must-see follow-up to No Way Home. Multiverse of Madness is alot of things, but it is not that. Spider-Man is only mentioned once and the events from that movie have no impact on this story whatsoever. It's way more of a sequel to Wandavision than any of the previous movies.


Sat May 07, 2022 2:39 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
it will fall 65% in its second weekend. But competition is light so as long as they keep it off Disney plus, it should save face going forward.


Sat May 07, 2022 4:13 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Gonna go with 67% drop, $62m 2nd weekend.


Tue May 10, 2022 12:46 am
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Doctor Strange's sunday was already below GOTG vol 2 and Civil War. Big drop incoming


Tue May 10, 2022 10:05 am
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Doctor Strange's sunday was already below GOTG vol 2 and Civil War. Big drop incoming


Yah probably looking at -67% / -71% drop.
and :( $400m domestic not looking likely

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Tue May 10, 2022 12:59 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
It will hit 400m. It has much less competition and should be able to hold onto theaters a lot longer than those films did which will help its legs.


Tue May 10, 2022 1:07 pm
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
It will hit 400m. It has much less competition and should be able to hold onto theaters a lot longer than those films did which will help its legs.


not much confidence in that today than I had on friday lol

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Tue May 10, 2022 1:15 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
... doesn't seem like a sub-2.15 multiplier will happen for it to miss $400m. WoM isn't bad.


Tue May 10, 2022 1:18 pm
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Begging Naked
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
I was a little concerned by how frontloaded the weekend was, but Monday's number is a little more promising. If there was more blockbuster competition it might be in danger of missing $400M (it's probably dropping 65-70% this weekend), but Top Gun being its only competition over the next four weekends will help keep it afloat.

Firestarter is probably DOA. Kind of a bummer because even if it's trash Universal probably could have gotten a solid opening off of being the first major horror movie in two months, the Stephen King brand, and the Friday the 13th release date.

Firestarter - $10.7 million
Family Camp - $1-2 million?


Tue May 10, 2022 5:19 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Everything Everywhere's Monday per theater drop was only -4.6%. In an empty marketplace hopefully it can stabilize and hold onto theaters.


Tue May 10, 2022 9:39 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Doctor Strange has held pace with Civil War over the weekdays. If it continues to hold pace it would be a 61% drop to 72m this weekend.


Thu May 12, 2022 11:24 am
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Romosexual!
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Doctor Strange has held pace with Civil War over the weekdays. If it continues to hold pace it would be a 61% drop to 72m this weekend.


that would be a VICTORY if it happens. Anything in the low 60% drop would be nice

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Fri May 13, 2022 11:42 am
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
375k start for Firestarter. Looking like a 3-4m weekend


Fri May 13, 2022 12:38 pm
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
zwackerm wrote:
375k start for Firestarter. Looking like a 3-4m weekend


A Friday the 13th fail this time.

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Fri May 13, 2022 12:39 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: May 13-15 Predictions
Should have had a legit horror movie instead of a hybrid opening on this date. Even Men probably would have done decently.


Fri May 13, 2022 12:45 pm
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