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 TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! *VICTORY!!!!* 
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Romosexual!
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Post TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! *VICTORY!!!!*
I feel the need, the need to lose another club ;)


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Last edited by Rev on Tue May 31, 2022 1:49 pm, edited 5 times in total.



Thu Apr 28, 2022 5:39 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Uh... yeah this isn't doing that much more than a Mission Impossible movie unless older audiences really show up. Even then I don't see how this opens to more than $60m.


Thu Apr 28, 2022 5:57 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Older audiences will show up. This is probably the most anticipated film this year for most people my age.

Though I’m thinking close to $80m-100m 4-day at this stage.

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Thu Apr 28, 2022 6:59 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
In, because YAS!!


Thu Apr 28, 2022 7:10 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Reviews are raves so far and it's supposed to be a big crowdpleaser.

At the same time, pre-pandemic even MI franchise has only done $61M at best. I can see this play throughout the summer and reach a big total compared to a massive OW out the gate. $80M 4 day would be a win but could cruise ( ;) ) to $250M+


Thu Apr 28, 2022 8:02 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
This is more likely than the other club. It's tracking at 95-130m.

I'd lean toward the lower end and say 95m OW


Fri Apr 29, 2022 9:38 am
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
stuffp wrote:
In, because YAS!!


MY MAN! :D

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Fri Apr 29, 2022 12:05 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
MadGez wrote:
Older audiences will show up. This is probably the most anticipated film this year for most people my age.

Though I’m thinking close to $80m-100m 4-day at this stage.


IN DROVES! :D

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Fri Apr 29, 2022 12:06 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
I'm kinda shocked; BO's projected opening is $95-130m... I feel like I have gone insane lol but I just don't see how that's possible. Will be glad to be wrong but that sounds really farfetched to me.


Fri Apr 29, 2022 2:34 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
I really have a hard time seeing a Tom Cruise movie open to more than like 60 mil 3 day, it seems like he has a ceiling. This will be interesting movie to predict in monthly contest.

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Fri Apr 29, 2022 2:57 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
publicenemy#1 wrote:
I'm kinda shocked; BO's projected opening is $95-130m... I feel like I have gone insane lol but I just don't see how that's possible. Will be glad to be wrong but that sounds really farfetched to me.


Shack wrote:
I really have a hard time seeing a Tom Cruise movie open to more than like 60 mil 3 day, it seems like he has a ceiling. This will be interesting movie to predict in monthly contest.


'That is why you fail' - Yoda

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Fri Apr 29, 2022 2:59 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
The constant delays have actually benefited Top Gun: Maverick. Thanks to ole Vladdy's antics on the other side of the globe, there's now a huge market for a rah-rah military film to unite the western world. Clint Eastwood usually fills that spot, but since he doesn't have anything ready, Tom Cruise is gonna have to be the hero we need.

$150M opening is still way too high, but I'll be much less surprised by a huge breakout than a flop.


Fri Apr 29, 2022 3:48 pm
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llegó a la casa vía marítima
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
I do there is appetite for a war film, I keep seeing WW2 and Vietnam war movies near the top of Netflix most popular since the Ukraine thing started.

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Fri Apr 29, 2022 5:17 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Based on internal MTC reports, this movie have big hype. But 150m over memorial day is not a joke. I hope you are right. But I will stay out for now :-)

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Mon May 02, 2022 6:59 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Keyser Söze wrote:
Based on internal MTC reports, this movie have big hype. But 150m over memorial day is not a joke. I hope you are right. But I will stay out for now :-)


Sack up & join already before club is closed on 5/9

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Mon May 02, 2022 8:45 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
This club will close on 5/9


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Mon May 02, 2022 8:54 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
Not in, the film is great and should be viewed by everything . But this film will unfortunately struggle to this for total

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Tue May 03, 2022 2:49 am
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
Thegun wrote:
Not in, the film is great and should be viewed by everything . But this film will unfortunately struggle to this for total

:hahaha: :hahaha: :hahaha: :hahaha:

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Tue May 03, 2022 5:50 am
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
its easily setting new OW record for a cruise movie. Presales started today and its way stronger than Jurassic World 3 presales start. Its looking extremely strong. i think 4 day OW > 100m should happen. But 150m looks too high.

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Tue May 03, 2022 5:47 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Rev wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Based on internal MTC reports, this movie have big hype. But 150m over memorial day is not a joke. I hope you are right. But I will stay out for now :-)


Sack up & join already before club is closed on 5/9


it has better chance of success if I stay out. i want it to succeed. :P

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Tue May 03, 2022 5:48 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB!
Keyser Söze wrote:
Rev wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote:
Based on internal MTC reports, this movie have big hype. But 150m over memorial day is not a joke. I hope you are right. But I will stay out for now :-)


Sack up & join already before club is closed on 5/9


it has better chance of success if I stay out. i want it to succeed. :P


:lol: :thumbsup:

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Wed May 04, 2022 12:28 am
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
PS is super strong and more important I am see reviews from early viewers who are calling this best of legacy sequels !!! So I am switching to INN. Now I am thinking 150m(4-day)/400m+ domestic.

Sample review.
Quote:

Gopher said:
Just saw it... if it really opens to 100 3-day, yeah, can't see how it misses American Sniper. It's the best of this generation of legacy sequels. Just the real deal. REPEAT viewings will be strong, that's how good it is. Jurassic World will obviously outgross it but no way audiences will like that one more.

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Wed May 11, 2022 1:02 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! ***club closes on 5/9***
https://twitter.com/NextBestPicture/sta ... 2234100737

Another reaction at twitter calling it to be way better than 1st movie.

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Wed May 11, 2022 1:08 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! *CLOSED*
It's gonna have an 88 day theatrical window like NWH as well. Will really let it leg out if it gets well received as people are expecting.


Wed May 11, 2022 1:21 pm
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Post Re: TOP GUN $150m OW (4-day) CLUB! *CLOSED*
What a trip. I'll believe these #s when I see them but yeah, don't see this opening as low as I thought.


Wed May 11, 2022 1:23 pm
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