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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21540 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 March 11-13 Predictions
Turning Red 55m
JK, nothing is opening this weekend like at all. I don't even know of any limited releases.
The Batman- -60% Uncharted- -35%
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Fri Mar 04, 2022 9:50 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19405 Location: San Diego
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Would be so nice if it dropped in the 50s but I'll go with 63% drop. Hopefully weekend 3 is nice.
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Fri Mar 04, 2022 11:53 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21540 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Seems too divisive to get sub 60, but it's not impossible.
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Fri Mar 04, 2022 12:07 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19405 Location: San Diego
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
61% drop, 50m 2nd weekend sounds about right.
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Sun Mar 06, 2022 3:01 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35234 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
50-59%
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 2:36 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21540 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Turning Red seems like slightly weaker reviews than Soul and Coco but better than Luca and Onward
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 12:39 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Turning Red 55m Turning Red is dropping on Disney Plus, not in theaters. Idiotic decision made by Disney back in January. though they are also having specials screening in only 2 theaters (LA & NY) for award purpose.
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 2:36 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21540 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Rev wrote: zwackerm wrote: Turning Red 55m Turning Red is dropping on Disney Plus, not in theaters. Idiotic decision made by Disney back in January. though they are also having specials screening in only 2 theaters (LA & NY) for award purpose. That's why I said just kidding!
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 2:47 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25328 Location: Classified
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
With the good reviews, and the box-office having some momentum, I also think Turning Red could have topped $50m this weekend.
It's a bummer. At least Uncharted will have a good month with nothing else stealing its screens.
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:05 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Rev wrote: zwackerm wrote: Turning Red 55m Turning Red is dropping on Disney Plus, not in theaters. Idiotic decision made by Disney back in January. though they are also having specials screening in only 2 theaters (LA & NY) for award purpose. That's why I said just kidding! oh yah  I'm blind
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 3:39 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Hmm... Maybe they can change the eligibility rule for award contention to include a wider theatrical release to push back against streaming and theatrical windows.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 4:06 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21540 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Corpse wrote: Hmm... Maybe they can change the eligibility rule for award contention to include a wider theatrical release to push back against streaming and theatrical windows. +1. Awards celebrate CINEMA, not tv movies.
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 4:14 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12194
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Hope the quality of Pixar doesn't deteriorate. Can't think talent likes their products getting the at home experience. Are we maybe 5 years off from some of these making it onto this list? https://screenrant.com/worst-disney-seq ... nked-imdb/
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 5:56 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35234 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Corpse wrote: Hmm... Maybe they can change the eligibility rule for award contention to include a wider theatrical release to push back against streaming and theatrical windows. Yes please.
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Mon Mar 07, 2022 9:08 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19405 Location: San Diego
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Turning Red reviews are fantastic... such a fail
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Thu Mar 10, 2022 3:47 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Pixar is definitely pissed at Disney (Bob Chapek). Not just from Disney continuing to release their films as Disney+ originals, as stated by their employees, but also because Disney is censoring content in the films now, too, as stated by their employees.
Makes me wonder if Pixar can breakaway from Disney at some point.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Thu Mar 10, 2022 6:55 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6325 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
That's what Pixar gets for signing a deal with the devil. Disney is an evil corporation that cares about its bottom line at the end of the day, they will throw minorities under the bus if it means making more money from conservative countries that offer big box office rewards. Poor delusional Pixar animators who bought the 'woke' PR nonsense.
_________________ .
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Thu Mar 10, 2022 7:19 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23327 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Corpse wrote: Pixar is definitely pissed at Disney (Bob Chapek). Not just from Disney continuing to release their films as Disney+ originals, as stated by their employees, but also because Disney is censoring content in the films now, too, as stated by their employees.
Makes me wonder if Pixar can breakaway from Disney at some point. I think it will be difficult just due to the two brands being so interlinked. Though imagine Paramount Pixar or Sony Pixar lol. They'd definitely get more love.
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Thu Mar 10, 2022 11:16 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12194
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Turning Red definitely feels like it would be more primed to have surpassed Sing 2 post Omicron, open family market, and in the absence of Spidy's opening. It's reviews are even better than I was expecting. Probably could have cleared $200M+.
Very curious to see how Sonic does OW. The first ended up in those strange circumstances at #2 for the year 2020 behind only Bad Boys 3. $140,522,219 by weekend #4 off of a $7,704,067 from Onward, finished with $148,974,665 given box office fell off a cliff that following week. In normal times probably would have gotten to $170M. Sonic will essentially channel all the untapped potential Turning Red had in theaters.
In another strange way, Sonic was the last or second last movie many families saw pre-pandemic lockdown in theaters. The sequel is oddly bookending the re-opening and lifting of a lot of restrictions so expect it could be well received by families or have goodwill as a "return to normal."
Also who doesn't like Knuckles and Tails?
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Fri Mar 11, 2022 12:40 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19405 Location: San Diego
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
At first I was thinking Sonic would do just fine but having the market so empty I'm feeling it'll be big. Kinda similar to how Venom 2 exploded out of nowhere. Will probably do at 65m+.
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Fri Mar 11, 2022 12:54 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
Looking at the theaters counts this weekend, only seven movies are in more than 900 theaters. That's one of the lowest number of truly wide releases in a while, isn't it? I'm guessing a lot of that has to do with The Batman eating up screens, but also with THe Batman being the only truly major release of the last three weeks (Studio 666 is already on the way out). Weird that next weekend has four wide releases, but only one of them (X) is possibly going to be in over 2,000 theaters and the other three (Jujutsu Kaisen 0, Umma, The Outfit) are gonna be in under 1,600 theaters.
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Fri Mar 11, 2022 9:27 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: March 11-13 Predictions
The Batman 63m 
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Fri Mar 11, 2022 9:29 am |
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