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February 18-21 Predictions
https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=88955
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Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 10:43 am ]
Post subject:  February 18-21 Predictions

Uncharted 44/53
Dog 13/16

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 11:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Not really feeling Uncharted above 40m. Rn I feel like high 20s.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 3:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

I just hope Uncharted can pull an 80% Rottentomatoes / 70ish metacritic. If it is a solid movie then people will embrace this new franchise. If its bad then we will get the whole "here we go again with the shitty video game movies" vibe for the entire next week and it will probably flop as a result.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 4:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Yeah it can break out if reviews are good.

Author:  Keyser Söze [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 4:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

its currently at 41% RT with 4.9/10 avg rating. Does not look like reviews will be good, but holland has the afterglow of spiderman and that could help with walkups.

Author:  Shack [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 4:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Disappointing reviews. Sonic being fresh was like when the Detroit Lions make the playoffs every once in a while, in terms of video game movie curse

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 4:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Won't be good for Holland if this flops. He'll play Spider-Man for a lpppong time lol

Author:  Magic Mike [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 5:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Even with poor reviews I think 40 Million is a given. Could have gone much higher if they were good. Maybe American critics will like it more.

Author:  Rolling Thunder [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 5:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

This is feeling like a disappointment to me, like mid 20s. Guess we'll see.

Author:  zwackerm [ Fri Feb 11, 2022 5:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

This needed good reviews to break out. Not seeing more than 30m with poor reviews.

Author:  O [ Sat Feb 12, 2022 9:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Still see a possible breakout. I remember Sweet Home Alabama came out after Legally Blonde and was massive breaking the OW record for the month. People wanted to see more Reese on film. That was 39% on Rotten Tomatoes.

Sherlock Holmes after Iron Man for RDJ.
MIB after ID4 for Will Smith.
The Man In The Iron Mask for Leo after Titanic.
Alice after Avatar doing $1B plus on the 3D hype.
Willy Wonka doing $200M+ after POTC for Depp.

Not sure what it's performance could look like but with such a massive tally pushing $800M I don't see how there isn't a slight spillover effect from Spidy's record run especially in a barren market.

Author:  MadGez [ Sat Feb 12, 2022 11:12 am ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

I think 30m is the target for Uncharted. Any more than that is cream.

Author:  bl1222 [ Sat Feb 12, 2022 1:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

$26M 4-day

Author:  Magic Mike [ Sat Feb 12, 2022 1:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

O wrote:
Still see a possible breakout. I remember Sweet Home Alabama came out after Legally Blonde and was massive breaking the OW record for the month. People wanted to see more Reese on film. That was 39% on Rotten Tomatoes.

Sherlock Holmes after Iron Man for RDJ.
MIB after ID4 for Will Smith.
The Man In The Iron Mask for Leo after Titanic.
Alice after Avatar doing $1B plus on the 3D hype.
Willy Wonka doing $200M+ after POTC for Depp.

Not sure what it's performance could look like but with such a massive tally pushing $800M I don't see how there isn't a slight spillover effect from Spidy's record run especially in a barren market.


Yeah I'm a firm believer this is happening for Uncharted. I'll be surprised if it doesn't.

Author:  O [ Sun Feb 13, 2022 1:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Uncharted opened #1 in all 15 markets it opened in this weekend. $21.5M with UK ($6.4M) leading.

Hard to tell how that will impact domestic but looks like it's definitely something people want to watch.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Mon Feb 14, 2022 4:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

So as a big fan of the games I've been anticipating this one for awhile. Even with the poor reviews.


What I did not realize is that most "fans" of the game are against this movie already because Mark Wahlberg does not have a moustache. The internet can be very fickle.

My new prediction is $30M. A decent number in these trying times, but so very disappointing that we will not get a surprise break out from this (probably no sequel either.) And it will likely fall apart very quickly.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Mon Feb 14, 2022 6:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

It's at 50% on RT. Keeps going up. Maybe it will end up fresh. I could see low 60's which would be solid.

Author:  publicenemy#1 [ Tue Feb 15, 2022 1:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Looks like Encanto is getting an expansion this weekend. Would be cool if it got to $100m but idk if it has enough steam for that given the demand is well killed by D+.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Tue Feb 15, 2022 3:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Yeah I can't see it doing that well. What it has in its favor is no kids movies besides Sing 2 out. But what family with kids doesn't have D+? They aren't going to go see it in a theater when they can watch it at home for free.

Author:  O [ Tue Feb 15, 2022 4:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

5 weeks at #1 on Billboard's song chart. Box office expansion will be interesting to watch as I don't recall an expansion ever like this before of a film becoming a pop culture musical phenom so long after its release.

Author:  zwackerm [ Wed Feb 16, 2022 1:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Uncharted has more going for it than similar film Jungle Cruise, less than 40m for it is disappointing.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Wed Feb 16, 2022 2:08 am ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Magic Mike wrote:
It's at 50% on RT. Keeps going up. Maybe it will end up fresh. I could see low 60's which would be solid.


Well now it keeps going down. No chance of it rebounding to fresh anymore.

Author:  neo_wolf [ Wed Feb 16, 2022 11:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

It will probably do low to mid 20s.

Author:  zwackerm [ Thu Feb 17, 2022 4:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

Reviews for Dog are really good. Hope it can break double digits. A Dog's Purpose did 18m in 2017. Even on a covid curve, 10m doesn't seem impossible to me for this.

Author:  Magic Mike [ Thu Feb 17, 2022 5:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 18-21 Predictions

I don't see it missing double digits. The Valentine's sneak sold out here in a big auditorium.

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