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 October 29-October 31 predictions 

What will be #1 for this upcoming weekend?
Last Night in Soho 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Dune 88%  88%  [ 7 ]
No Time to Die 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Halloween Kills 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Antlers 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
My Hero Academia 13%  13%  [ 1 ]
Other 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
Total votes : 8

 October 29-October 31 predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Post October 29-October 31 predictions
I'm thinking $9m for Last Night in Soho.

Not sure how wide My Hero Academia is going but the last one in 2019 did $5.8m opening weekend.

I'm expecting a heavy drop for Dune. 65% drop from around $35m would be around $12.25m weekend. Enough for #1? Maaaaybe.


Fri Oct 22, 2021 7:02 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Soho - 5 Million
Antlers - 3 Million

A Mouthful of Air with Amanda Seyfried opens wide too. Probably a debut under 1 Million.


Sat Oct 23, 2021 9:56 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
I hope Wright + ATJ + horror on Halloween would be enough for $10M+ even in this climate.


Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:04 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Gonna change my prediction for Dune drop to be 61%, 16m.


Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:36 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Yeah I hope Antlers does well. It looks really good and the reviews are strong for the genre.


Mon Oct 25, 2021 9:50 pm
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Dune opened big enough even if it collapses it should be number one


Mon Oct 25, 2021 10:08 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
I want Antlers to overperform just to keep this October streak going!


Tue Oct 26, 2021 12:42 am
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Feeling like Dune will avoid a 60% drop, thinking it drops less than Godzilla v. Kong week 2.


Wed Oct 27, 2021 12:56 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Based on what? That Monday number was just average.


Wed Oct 27, 2021 1:01 pm
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Based on what? That Monday number was just average.

Gut intuition


Wed Oct 27, 2021 1:41 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
zwackerm wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Based on what? That Monday number was just average.

Gut intuition

Okay :thumbsup:


Wed Oct 27, 2021 6:58 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Went on Dango to buy Last Night in Soho tickets tonight ... and only one other seat has been sold so far. Yikes! Guess I really am the only one excited about this. Weird, I know that directors haven't been draws in the Pandemic Era, but I figued that, while not an A-lister or even a draw yet, Anya Taylor Joy coming off the red hot Queen's Gambit made her enough of an It girl to put some butts in the seats. And its Halloween! Come on peoples, go see a spooky time travel movie!


Thu Oct 28, 2021 3:13 pm
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Last Night in Soho is one of my most anticipated films. But sadly there doesn’t appear to be much buzz around it. Despite looking great it just hadn’t ignited enough interest among critics or audiences.

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Thu Oct 28, 2021 6:47 pm
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Quality is a great business plan
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Based on what? That Monday number was just average.


it has held well until now. Looking at PS for tomorrow, its definitely looking at sub 60%.

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Thu Oct 28, 2021 7:46 pm
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
My Hero Academia is going to beat both the openers. it has insane ATP(even smaller markets have $15 at AMC) and it has sold well. Even if its PS driven and AMC dominates its BO I see it do 4m+ OD which should be sufficient for double digits OW considering there will be spillovers.

Sorry. that was too high. Probably closer to 3m or so.

I have not tracked Soho or Antlers but looking at tracking thread at BOT, its looking dire for both. Definitely missing double digits for Soho and Antlers missing 5m for sure.

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Last edited by Keyser Söze on Fri Oct 29, 2021 8:36 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Oct 29, 2021 12:48 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
After seeing it, I think there was a better way to market Soho, but it was never going to be the hit I had in my mind. Still should have hit $10M given the weekend it opened on.


Fri Oct 29, 2021 1:35 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Keyser Söze wrote:
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Based on what? That Monday number was just average.


it has held well until now. Looking at PS for tomorrow, its definitely looking at sub 60%.


Cool. I wasn't debating that it would do a 60% drop. Its a well received "original"/reboot with good/great WoM and full PLF screen support, plus no competition this weekend. Though I wouldn't call that my gut feeling ;)


Fri Oct 29, 2021 5:15 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Glad to hear that MHA is doing well. I love that series and would catch-up on the movie sometime soon.


Fri Oct 29, 2021 5:16 am
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
$10 million+ for MHA would be excellent. The last movie opened to $9.2 million over its first five-days (Wednesday opening day).

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Fri Oct 29, 2021 10:26 am
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Its insanely PS driven. So I doubt it will hit 10m. But could still end up doing better than Soho.

Edit: Even that is looking unlikely. I was way off with this. :oops:

Terrible weekend overall. Thinking Dune friday at 5m and MHA in low 2's.

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Fri Oct 29, 2021 8:36 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Wow!! That's insane


Sat Oct 30, 2021 1:00 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
I refuse to open a Friday numbers thread, as I'm seeing

$4.25m Dune
$2.85m MHA3
$2.35m HK
$2.05m 007
$1.80m Soho
$1.65m Antlers
$1.50m V2
$1.05m Ron
$0.80m Addams 2
$0.775m French

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Sat Oct 30, 2021 8:40 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Calm before the storm I guess??? Audience are waiting for next MCU movie.


Sat Oct 30, 2021 8:56 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Hmmm... For the first time I was off with some movies...

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Sat Oct 30, 2021 11:10 am
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Post Re: October 29-October 31 predictions
Happy 20s Mark. Thanks for your work.

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Sat Oct 30, 2021 11:12 am
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