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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: SCREAM
This is a lucrative spot for horror movies plus there hasn't been one for last few months. Don't think it will surprise but it should do respectable numbers.
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:26 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: SCREAM
Jack Sparrow wrote: This is a lucrative spot for horror movies plus there hasn't been one for last few months. Don't think it will surprise but it should do respectable numbers. Yeah, like maybe candy man numbers IMO.
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:37 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: SCREAM
zwackerm wrote: Rev wrote: This is going to surprise EVERYONE and have a HUGE opening weekend 70m + Please explain why this will do well while Scream 4 didn’t. that was 11 years ago brah
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:17 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: SCREAM
Rev wrote: zwackerm wrote: Rev wrote: This is going to surprise EVERYONE and have a HUGE opening weekend 70m + Please explain why this will do well while Scream 4 didn’t. that was 11 years ago brah Yeah so inflation will give it a boost lol. Scream 4 was 11 years after Scream 3 and the gap didn’t make anyone care.
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:32 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23779 Location: Classified
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Re: SCREAM
Predictions:
~$10M opening
And
Sidney will be the killer. It's been a long time coming.
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:54 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: SCREAM
zwackerm wrote: Rev wrote: zwackerm wrote: Rev wrote: This is going to surprise EVERYONE and have a HUGE opening weekend 70m + Please explain why this will do well while Scream 4 didn’t. that was 11 years ago brah Yeah so inflation will give it a boost lol. Scream 4 was 11 years after Scream 3 and the gap didn’t make anyone care. brah we're in the nostalgia era shit's gonna be huge
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 3:08 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: SCREAM
publicenemy#1 wrote: Mmm idk. I remember how surprised I was when Scream 4 came out and it opened "low". If this opens above that then that'd be fine tbh but I could see this disappointing. Yeah it was surprising and disappointing when Scream 4 underwhelmed at the box office. I have a hard time seeing this breaking out. It doesn't look like one that will. Would love to be wrong though. Quick theaters get the trailer with every print of Spider-Man.
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:26 pm |
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emste26
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Jun 13, 2015 1:43 pm Posts: 167
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Re: SCREAM
So Morbius just moved, which makes me think that there isn’t a whole lot of confidence in the marketplace right now. With covid pretty much guaranteed to get worse (at least case count wise), I don’t know that this can break out. Some areas may even close theaters for a few weeks. Horror fans were among the first to come back to theaters though and younger people are less likely to be concerned about getting covid so maybe it will balance a bit.
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:45 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: SCREAM
It’s bizarre. Spider-Man is still drawing huge crowds, I don’t buy that people won’t come out for good films. Maybe they won’t come out for shit films anymore, which Morbius probably is.
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:49 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: SCREAM
Morbius seems Venom quality and they came out for that. People would go to Morbius. Audiences will like it enough I'm sure.
Also theaters would be dumb to close because of the dire release slate in January. Spider-Man is still bringing in a lot of people. Sing is bringing in some people as well. Add Scream and they can ride it out. They've operated with much less in the way of offerings.
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Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:56 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18877 Location: San Diego
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Re: SCREAM
There literally being 3 new wide releases this month... lol wtf. And all 3 combined probably won't even come close to what Spider-Man will make the whole month lol
With such little offerings it'd be nice to see some nice legs for holdovers but we'll see...
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Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:01 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: SCREAM
Isn’t there 4 new wide releases plus the expansion of Cyrano?
The 355 (low budget actioner, maybe 20m total Scream The Kings Daughter (long delayed fantasy with very little marketing, probably a bomb with sub 10m domestic. Redeeming Love (biggest wild card, if it gets the faith audience to come out could do ok.)
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Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:05 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: SCREAM
Does Belle count? That's wide.
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Tue Jan 04, 2022 1:24 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: SCREAM
I really hope this breaks out (i.e. over $60m gross). Without Morbius on the horizon - this could be the only game in town for a while.
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Tue Jan 04, 2022 2:53 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: SCREAM
Thinking this will have a $30m+ OW (4-days). I think the 90's nostalgia factor will help this one far more than Scream 4 when it hadn't really set in yet.
From there legs will be short but a total of $60-$80m should result with almost no competition in sight.
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Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:36 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18877 Location: San Diego
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Re: SCREAM
Apparantly tracking is $35-40m for the 4-day... I don't buy it but would be a welcome surprise!
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Thu Jan 06, 2022 2:04 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: SCREAM
publicenemy#1 wrote: Apparantly tracking is $35-40m for the 4-day... I don't buy it but would be a welcome surprise! Yeah I'm not super convinced either. But I'd love to see it. January is usually great for horror and this could be the rare January one that actually doesn't suck.
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Thu Jan 06, 2022 3:48 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: SCREAM
Magic Mike wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Apparantly tracking is $35-40m for the 4-day... I don't buy it but would be a welcome surprise! Yeah I'm not super convinced either. But I'd love to see it. January is usually great for horror and this could be the rare January one that actually doesn't suck. The trailer has been well received at my theater but I'm still not convinced. I'm hoping the movie is actually good.
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Thu Jan 06, 2022 4:43 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: SCREAM
Rolling Thunder wrote: Magic Mike wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Apparantly tracking is $35-40m for the 4-day... I don't buy it but would be a welcome surprise! Yeah I'm not super convinced either. But I'd love to see it. January is usually great for horror and this could be the rare January one that actually doesn't suck. I'm hoping the movie is actually good. We will find out tonight. Though screening reactions have to be taken with a grain of salt. I highly doubt they're negative. Still excited for them even if they're generally skewed.
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Thu Jan 06, 2022 6:46 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: SCREAM
publicenemy#1 wrote: Apparantly tracking is $35-40m for the 4-day... I don't buy it but would be a welcome surprise! If that's the case (and I also think that's a bit high) - $25-$30m is highly doable which is still good.
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Thu Jan 06, 2022 9:30 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20346 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: SCREAM
Anything over 25m would be excellent IMO, especially considering it might hold well with no big competition. A 25m OW should guarantee 60-65m total and potentially 70m+
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Thu Jan 06, 2022 9:32 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: SCREAM
That would be a great opening for Scream but I don't see why it will go that high.
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Thu Jan 06, 2022 9:34 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22680 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: SCREAM
It could be that the nostalgia factor is stronger now than it was 11 years ago (American Pie 4 also tanked a year later) + the Scream MTV series in between was a mild success potentially bringing in a younger audience as well. This also looks a tad better than the 4th film and has the long weekend all to itself.
It's opening very wide at 3500 thtrs and pre-shows begin 7pm Thursday.
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Thu Jan 06, 2022 11:29 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34876 Location: Minnesota
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Re: SCREAM
Early reaction has me officially excited. I didn't think it looked that great and was having a hard time getting excited for it but it sounds like it's a good one.
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Fri Jan 07, 2022 12:01 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18877 Location: San Diego
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Re: SCREAM
I think just over 4 would be a win. If it does open in that range this and Spider-Man could have similar #s for the weekend
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Fri Jan 07, 2022 12:07 am |
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