No Time To Die- 75m
Seems like a crowdpleaser, and a significant improvement over Spectre. Thinking it can outdo it
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| Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=88613 |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Oct 01, 2021 12:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
No Time To Die- 75m Seems like a crowdpleaser, and a significant improvement over Spectre. Thinking it can outdo it |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Oct 01, 2021 12:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
Momentum helps the box office and moviegoers coming back for Shang Chi, got more comfortable to see Venom, so that should help Bond. At the same time, 6 years is a LONG time between Bond Movies. It's either going to supercharge demand or feel dated. I'm leaning toward supercharge so let's go with $72 M. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Oct 01, 2021 1:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
66m. Hoping it does more. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Oct 01, 2021 1:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
I am hoping for 80m. Let us see how things go next week. Its PS is good in big markets but otherwise its slow. But I expect major action will happen only close to release. But this being Craig's final movie will be a draw. |
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| Author: | O [ Fri Oct 01, 2021 2:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
UK opening day was 14 percent ahead of Spectre (which launched on a Monday) and 30 percent behind Skyfall. This isn't a scientific extrapolation but if this new one follows that pattern domestically its opening day will be either: 14% above $27,434,579 (Spectre) or 30% less $32,704,077 (Skyfall) it gives a range of: $22.90 M - 31.28 M Let's take the average and say that's what Bond's opening day is at $27.09 M. Quantum of Solace's opening day was $27,007,026 so feel like that range feels right. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Oct 01, 2021 7:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
UK opening day is compared with 4PM release for Spectre. Not good comp. it is down but BO is still far from normal over there. Based on how Venom 2 is doing, US BO is closer to norm. I am expecting bigger OW than Spectre as its the final Craig movie and reviews are good. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Fri Oct 01, 2021 8:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
Always expected a larger opening and total for the final Craig Bond (as long as quality was solid). This was pre covid but I think it can make up for any loss by sheer event status as there is a lot of pent up demand. I can see it being up about 10-15% up overall and scout 5% up in OW so somewhere between $75 and $80m ow. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Wed Oct 06, 2021 10:57 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
Apparently advance ticket sales are out pacing F9 and Venom. Trying to rein in expectations but that has to be amazing right? |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Wed Oct 06, 2021 11:19 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
Indeed that's amazing. So back to back $90m opener in October. Reminds me of DS's situation a year earlier in Japan. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Wed Oct 06, 2021 1:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
Apparently there are early access screenings tonight? Ours is nearly sold out. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Oct 06, 2021 2:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions |
Rolling Thunder wrote: Apparently there are early access screenings tonight? Ours is nearly sold out. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Thu Oct 07, 2021 12:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
It's looking good that it's not going to disappoint - i.e. sub $70m. Even better - it's looking to flirt with $85m or more. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Oct 07, 2021 10:43 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
I wonder if we'll get numbers for the wednesday previews. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Thu Oct 07, 2021 6:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
zwackerm wrote: I wonder if we'll get numbers for the wednesday previews. From what I read on HSX, they will be rolled into Thursday. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Thu Oct 07, 2021 11:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
It has had shockingly poor sales over past few days. I am thinking around 6m previews including early shows yesterday and OW below spectre at this point. |
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| Author: | bl1222 [ Thu Oct 07, 2021 11:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
63m for NTTD for my prediction |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Thu Oct 07, 2021 11:53 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
Lol I knew NTTD would not do over the MCU movies. Hopefully it still manages high 60s or low 70s. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Oct 08, 2021 8:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
It's gotta at least beat Spectre. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Oct 08, 2021 9:03 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
Looks like out-opening Spectre is not yet certain but it will be closer regardless. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Fri Oct 08, 2021 3:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
First I was surprised this was in IMAX, now I'm surprised to see how well it's doing in the format. Very strong matinee shows. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Oct 08, 2021 3:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
Why wouldn't a Bond movie be in Imax...? |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Oct 08, 2021 6:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) |
Yeah what's so surprising in Bond movie releasing over IMAX. Shittier movies get IMAX release these days. |
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