Register  |  Sign In
View unanswered posts | View active topics It is currently Thu Mar 28, 2024 5:05 pm



Reply to topic  [ 22 posts ] 
 Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) 

How much will No Time to Die open with?
Sub 40m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
40-49m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
50-59m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
60-69m 38%  38%  [ 3 ]
70-79m 38%  38%  [ 3 ]
80-89m 0%  0%  [ 0 ]
90m+ 25%  25%  [ 2 ]
Total votes : 8

 Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!) 
Author Message
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
Image
No Time To Die- 75m

Seems like a crowdpleaser, and a significant improvement over Spectre. Thinking it can outdo it


Fri Oct 01, 2021 12:47 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11452
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
Momentum helps the box office and moviegoers coming back for Shang Chi, got more comfortable to see Venom, so that should help Bond.

At the same time, 6 years is a LONG time between Bond Movies. It's either going to supercharge demand or feel dated. I'm leaning toward supercharge so let's go with $72 M.


Fri Oct 01, 2021 12:57 pm
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18843
Location: San Diego
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
66m. Hoping it does more.


Fri Oct 01, 2021 1:04 pm
Profile
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6155
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
I am hoping for 80m. Let us see how things go next week. Its PS is good in big markets but otherwise its slow. But I expect major action will happen only close to release. But this being Craig's final movie will be a draw.

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Fri Oct 01, 2021 1:53 pm
Profile
Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 11452
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
UK opening day was 14 percent ahead of Spectre (which launched on a Monday) and 30 percent behind Skyfall.

This isn't a scientific extrapolation but if this new one follows that pattern domestically its opening day will be either: 14% above $27,434,579 (Spectre) or 30% less $32,704,077 (Skyfall) it gives a range of:

$22.90 M - 31.28 M

Let's take the average and say that's what Bond's opening day is at $27.09 M.

Quantum of Solace's opening day was $27,007,026 so feel like that range feels right.


Fri Oct 01, 2021 2:35 pm
Profile WWW
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6155
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
UK opening day is compared with 4PM release for Spectre. Not good comp. it is down but BO is still far from normal over there. Based on how Venom 2 is doing, US BO is closer to norm. I am expecting bigger OW than Spectre as its the final Craig movie and reviews are good.

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Fri Oct 01, 2021 7:37 pm
Profile
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22646
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
Always expected a larger opening and total for the final Craig Bond (as long as quality was solid). This was pre covid but I think it can make up for any loss by sheer event status as there is a lot of pent up demand. I can see it being up about 10-15% up overall and scout 5% up in OW so somewhere between $75 and $80m ow.

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Fri Oct 01, 2021 8:21 pm
Profile
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
Apparently advance ticket sales are out pacing F9 and Venom.

Trying to rein in expectations but that has to be amazing right?


Wed Oct 06, 2021 10:57 am
Profile
KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36915
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
Indeed that's amazing. So back to back $90m opener in October. Reminds me of DS's situation a year earlier in Japan.


Wed Oct 06, 2021 11:19 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
Apparently there are early access screenings tonight? Ours is nearly sold out.

_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!


Wed Oct 06, 2021 1:32 pm
Profile
The Kramer
User avatar

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23695
Location: Classified
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Apparently there are early access screenings tonight? Ours is nearly sold out.
Good catch! I already made plans for today but might still be able to catch the 10:40 screening.


Wed Oct 06, 2021 2:07 pm
Profile
Dont Mess with the Gez
User avatar

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 22646
Location: Melbourne Australia
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
It's looking good that it's not going to disappoint - i.e. sub $70m. Even better - it's looking to flirt with $85m or more.

_________________


What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @

http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934



Thu Oct 07, 2021 12:21 am
Profile
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
I wonder if we'll get numbers for the wednesday previews.


Thu Oct 07, 2021 10:43 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
zwackerm wrote:
I wonder if we'll get numbers for the wednesday previews.


From what I read on HSX, they will be rolled into Thursday.

_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!


Thu Oct 07, 2021 6:10 pm
Profile
Quality is a great business plan
User avatar

Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6155
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
It has had shockingly poor sales over past few days. I am thinking around 6m previews including early shows yesterday and OW below spectre at this point.

_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter

I used to be shawman.


Thu Oct 07, 2021 11:37 pm
Profile
Veteran

Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm
Posts: 3900
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
63m for NTTD for my prediction


Thu Oct 07, 2021 11:46 pm
Profile WWW
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18843
Location: San Diego
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
Lol I knew NTTD would not do over the MCU movies. Hopefully it still manages high 60s or low 70s.


Thu Oct 07, 2021 11:53 pm
Profile
Hold the door!

Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 20302
Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
It's gotta at least beat Spectre.


Fri Oct 08, 2021 8:52 am
Profile
KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36915
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
Looks like out-opening Spectre is not yet certain but it will be closer regardless.


Fri Oct 08, 2021 9:03 am
Profile
Forum General
User avatar

Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
First I was surprised this was in IMAX, now I'm surprised to see how well it's doing in the format. Very strong matinee shows.

_________________
Making Predictions Great Again!


Fri Oct 08, 2021 3:11 pm
Profile
Extraordinary
User avatar

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18843
Location: San Diego
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
Why wouldn't a Bond movie be in Imax...?


Fri Oct 08, 2021 3:58 pm
Profile
KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36915
Post Re: Oct 8-10 Predictions (Shaken not stirred!)
Yeah what's so surprising in Bond movie releasing over IMAX. Shittier movies get IMAX release these days.


Fri Oct 08, 2021 6:59 pm
Profile
Display posts from previous:  Sort by  
Reply to topic   [ 22 posts ] 

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Google [Bot] and 43 guests


You cannot post new topics in this forum
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
You cannot edit your posts in this forum
You cannot delete your posts in this forum
You cannot post attachments in this forum

Search for:
Jump to:  
cron
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group.
Designed by STSoftware for PTF.