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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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300m+ grossers of 2023/2024?
2022 had 8... how many will this year have?
From MCU, feel like Guardians is the only sure bet. For DC... Aquaman should but given whatever the hell is happening with the franchise who knows.
No Mission Impossible movie has grossed over $225m. Will this one do it? Eh.
The Little Mermaid I feel will. Super Mario is a contender.
Don't know if we'll reach 8+ this year, what do y'all think
Last edited by publicenemy#1 on Sat Dec 30, 2023 9:00 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Jan 04, 2023 1:44 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
TGM halo effect. Will be a big MI
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Wed Jan 04, 2023 2:19 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
these 11 Super Mario Bros 300-500 GOTG 3 300-475 Mission Impossible 7 300-400 The Little Mermaid 300-500 Across the Spider-Verse 300-450 Indy 5 300-400 BARBIE 300-325 The Marvels 300-450 DUNE 2 300-375 WISH 300-450 Aquaman 2 300-350
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
Last edited by Rev on Wed Jan 04, 2023 9:53 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Jan 04, 2023 9:47 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
1. The Little Mermaid 410m 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 405m 3. Mission: Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part 1 390m 4. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 370m 5. The Super Mario Bros. Movie 365m 6. Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse 320m
I see a lot of films in the 200m range as well so the fact we'll have less 300m grossers won't do much to the overall yearly haul
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Wed Jan 04, 2023 9:47 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
Dune: Part 2? Barbie?
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Jan 04, 2023 10:42 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32104 Location: the last free city
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
Algren wrote: Dune: Part 2? Barbie? Go ahead laugh it up, Fuzzball!
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Wed Jan 04, 2023 10:43 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Jan 04, 2023 1:00 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
I did some year-long predictions a few days ago, and yeah Guardians is the only movie I feel comfortable calling a lock. Little Mermaid is close to a lock - I'm concerned Disney has been diluting the fbrand on these live-action remake with how forgettable they are and how many have gone straight-to-Disney+, but Little Mermaid is one of the last stone cold classics that people would be excited to see in live-action so I think it makes it. Also gonna bet on Mario, because the brand on that one is so strong across so many demographics, and it'll also be the first family film over three whole months will help as well. Indiana Jones is also a serious contender as all four of the last movies adjust to $400M+, but I do wonder how much Crystal Skull cooled off interest in yet another revisiting to the character.
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Wed Jan 04, 2023 9:02 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
I don't see how Indiana Jones misses 300m when KOTCS flew past it 14 years ago.
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Thu Jan 05, 2023 12:22 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
I'm only really confident with these four:
1. The Super Mario Bros. Movie $410million 2. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 $365 million 3. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny $333 million 4. Mission: Impossible: Dead Reckoning Part 1 $302 million
I guess The Marvels and Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom should make it, right? I mean, their predecessors did so why wouldn't they also? But...I don't know why, I'm verging on them disappointing. If Aquaman makes, say, $295 million, that's still a huge gross. And I don't see the buzz that rode Captain Marvel to $400 million still working in 2023. I'm expecting a severe drop. The animated Spider-Man sequel? Yeah, nah. The first didn't even make $200 million. The Little Mermaid? It'll make good money, but I just have a feeling the black actress factor won't sit well enough with people for it to be a dead cert for $300 million.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Jan 05, 2023 4:24 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
I don't know if The Little Mermaid makes it to $300M. I feel audiences are tired of Disney remakes.
_________________ .
Last edited by Barrabás on Sun Jan 08, 2023 4:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Thu Jan 05, 2023 7:10 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
Just watch M3Gan somehow make it on here. 95% RT from 100 reviews. Reading these reviews makes this sound like an Oscar contender. It's only the first week of January, but we already have one of the best villains of 2023. M3GAN -- thank god -- delivers the goods. M3GAN is poised to crack the murder-doll pantheon and stay there forever. Campy horror is in a new era, and it is thriving. M3GAN is instantly a cultural and cinematic phenomenon. Feeling like an instant classic. It’s the first great film of 2023. This is a killer crowd-pleaser that is perfectly sinister and silly. M3GAN lives up to the hype. One of those films that deserves the hype and then some. A pleasantly nutty thriller The first new release of 2023 may also be the best new release of 2023. It's a preposterous hoot It’s going to make movie-goers giddy. So deadly funny and sly One of the best “first movies of the year” An intelligently unhinged work that updates the killer dolls subgenre for the modern era M3GAN like many of the toy dolls before her, is iconic. A wildly entertaining, outrageously funny and campy horror comedy Director Gerard Johnstone knocked it out of the park Terminator meets Clueless! Shockingly good - excellent horror comedy that works on every level. M3GAN is an instant cult classic. Captures alchemical blend of heart, humor, havoc you find rarely in crossover classics like Gremlins A spectacle of silliness that more often than not delivers brazen macabre madness. An absolute laugh riot that finds the right balance between comedy and drama. M3GAN is a true riot, a rollicking and campy romp An entertainingly nasty film for the new year. A horror-comedy blast.
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Fri Jan 06, 2023 3:32 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21641 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
Stranger things have happened, but O losing his shit, that’s a KJ first. That’s a deep dive of insanity!
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sat Jan 07, 2023 12:09 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
I think the ones that'll do it are Super Mario, Little Mermaid, Indy and Guardians.
Maybes are The Flash and The Marvels.
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Thu Feb 23, 2023 9:06 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
If it’s good, Spider Verse will make it.
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Thu Feb 23, 2023 9:15 pm |
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Brian
Ocarina of Time
Joined: Mon Aug 02, 2010 1:21 pm Posts: 7951 Location: Hyrule
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
Super Mario Bros Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 Mission Impossible 7.1 The Flash Elemental (if it is Inside Out/Coco/Up quality) Indiana Jones 5 Aquaman 2
PS. Super Mario will win the year!!!
_________________ Most Anticipated 2023
1. Super Mario Bros Movie 2. Rebel Moon 3. Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning Part 1 4. Oppenheimer 5. The Flash 6. Elemental 7. Aquaman 2 8. Dune Part 2 9. Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny 10. Blue Beetle
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Wed Mar 01, 2023 2:44 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
publicenemy#1 wrote: Maybes are The Flash and The Marvels. Lolol Only got 5 this year. TLM missed it by less than 2m, ugh. 2022 has no films in the 200s while 2023 only had TLM and Quantumania. These days seems grossing in the 200s is rare.
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Sat Dec 30, 2023 3:16 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 38014
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
The Marvels, Aquaman 2 and The Flash will be lucky to get to 300 million combined They might make less than the powerhouse trio of Indy 5, Wish and Haunted Mansion which is currently around 300.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat Dec 30, 2023 4:01 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
Aquaman is doing better than I was expecting given the expectation game has changed so much.
$95M less budget than The Flash and $65M less than Marvels but will outgross them both. It can maybe even somehow manage to get $120M.
Given it didn't just have to deal with superhero fatigue but Amber Heard, reshoots, bad buzz, it feels like a best case scenario for WB.
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Sat Dec 30, 2023 6:36 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023?
Oh this is embarrassing, lol
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat Dec 30, 2023 7:59 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18880 Location: San Diego
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023/2024?
I guess we can use this thread for 2024.
Inside Out 2 should be a lock... as should Deadpool 3.
Joker 2 is gonna open huge, idk how big would be enough for 300m. Don't expect it to have legs like the first.
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Sat Dec 30, 2023 9:01 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11517
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023/2024?
Ticket prices are about 20% higher than they were in 2019 so Joker 2 now adjusts to about $402.5M.
$300M+ will happen even if it loses 25.5% of it's predecessor's audience. With the legs and viewership after it left theatrical really is in a good position to get past there.
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Sat Dec 30, 2023 10:30 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11009 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023/2024?
The movie industry has changed a lot in this new post pandemic 2020s. It seems like big movies still come out, but the quantity for true blockbusters are down with moderate hits being up. I wonder if that is true. Are there more 50m to 100m domestic gainers this year than previous?
_________________
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Sat Dec 30, 2023 10:40 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6139 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023/2024?
Inside Out 2 is basically the only lock.
Deadpool 3 and Joker 2 should get there in theory unless they're terrible.
Despicable Me 4 has a good shot.
Then we have wildcards: Twisters, Gladiator 2, and Wicked. All based on existing properties but feel fresh enough as movies they could break out.
Then we have Mufasa, which to me feels like another hubristic Disney production destined to bomb (who asked for a Lion King prequel?) but on precedent it belongs in the $300M+ conversation.
Everything else feels impossible tbh. I know it'd be amazing if Dune becomes another LOTR but the first movie didn't really do that well.
_________________ .
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Mon Jan 01, 2024 10:16 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20347 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: 300m+ grossers of 2023/2024?
Wicked if it’s good (which is not guaranteed considering it’s being bloated into 2 halves), it would do 300m easy.
Oz the Great and Powerful sucks and still adjusts to like 300m.
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Mon Jan 01, 2024 11:07 pm |
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