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emste26
Speed Racer
Joined: Sat Jun 13, 2015 1:43 pm Posts: 167
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 Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
We haven’t done these in a while, seems like the perfect time to start again! (Sorry if there’s already a thread, couldn’t find one)
Cruella- 23M 4-day
A Quiet Place 2- 45M 4-day
I think great reviews will propel AQP2 quite a bit and hopefully have some strong legs. I can’t really tell if Cruella has any hype but I hope it does well as it’s apparently really good
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Tue May 25, 2021 10:33 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21543 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
I feel like Cruella clears 30m. Marketing has been good and Emma Stone+Cruella is a strong star+concept.
Quiet Place will hit 50m.
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Tue May 25, 2021 10:38 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19405 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
A pretty important weekend.
I'm feeling good about both rn. Thinking Cruella does low 30s for 4-day and A Quiet Place does high 40s.
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Tue May 25, 2021 10:46 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25336 Location: Classified
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
4-day A Quiet Place - $35M Cruella - $22M Good numbers, but I don't think either of these movies are quite right for the current atmosphere. AQP is beloved, but its a little too close to reality right now to be pure escapism. And I've gone over why it was a questionable idea to make someone who skins dogs into a sympathetic feminist. Fast and Furious will open to more than these two combined. Book it. Then, hopefully, for F10: The Past and the Furious, the gang can go back in time, stop covid and thus increase the grosses of every movie from the past year. 
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Tue May 25, 2021 1:40 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
AQP should match Godzilla's OW and its not available on streaming so there will be some extra demand over OW. I see it doing $50m-$60m 4-day.
As for Cruella I see it doing less around $15m-$20m for 4-day given that it's available on streaming and Raya didn't open big because of this strategy (I understand that Raya was pushed heavily on D+ but I'm sure audience are aware of the release strategy by now).
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Tue May 25, 2021 9:06 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22197 Location: Places
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
Either way, looks like a solid weekend incoming.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Tue May 25, 2021 10:46 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21543 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
Cruella has mixed reviews, seems it is another cookie cutter Disney live action film.
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Wed May 26, 2021 9:23 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
zwackerm wrote: Cruella has mixed reviews, seems it is another cookie cutter Disney live action film. Indeed even the positive ones say that this has too much style over substance and storytelling.
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Wed May 26, 2021 11:11 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21889 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
73% after 110 reviews is not mixed. Zack Snyder's Justice League just got a 71% an it's considered the second coming to "some" The appeal seems more Dumbo than Aladdin though, that's for sure.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Wed May 26, 2021 3:13 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21543 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
Thegun wrote: 73% after 110 reviews is not mixed. Zack Snyder's Justice League just got a 71% an it's considered the second coming to "some" The appeal seems more Dumbo than Aladdin though, that's for sure. It was 63% when I read that.
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Wed May 26, 2021 3:15 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
As of now MC rating is 62 and in think that matches with reviews at RT even though the overall score for RT is higher.
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Wed May 26, 2021 7:29 pm |
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Magnus
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm Posts: 114 Location: The District
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
Both of the films should do 40m+ 4-day but I also think the films lack a certain excitement that GvK had.
I think we really won't see normal things until end of June now when schools are all out.
_________________MadGez wrote: Listen to Magnus he knows his shit. Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Magnus is right trixster wrote: magnus is my hero Loyal wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Magnus is the fucking voice of reason. That's scary. zwackerm wrote: You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.
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Thu May 27, 2021 10:06 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21543 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
I definitely feel more excitement for Quiet Place than GVK.
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Thu May 27, 2021 10:47 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12194
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
Canada is aggressively now vaccinating so I expect 10-20% increase in domestic box office as well toward the second half of the summer. Most of their theaters have been closed and are only starting to open back up.
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Thu May 27, 2021 11:08 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12194
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
Canada is aggressively now vaccinating so I expect 10-20% increase in domestic box office as well toward the second half of the summer. Most of their theaters have been closed and are only starting to open back up.
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Thu May 27, 2021 11:09 am |
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charlie jat
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu Oct 15, 2020 1:22 am Posts: 393
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
65-70M 4 days for AQP2 23-25M for Cruella
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Thu May 27, 2021 11:18 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
Whoa that would be amazing for AQP2.
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Thu May 27, 2021 11:21 pm |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13054 Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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 Re: Memorial Day Weekend Predictions
RAYA is being coupled with CRUELLA in drive-ins, this should give RAYA a nice boost...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Fri May 28, 2021 4:47 am |
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