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| 2021 Superhero box office discussion https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=87713 |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jan 01, 2021 5:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Aka theater's last hope lol So here's the upcoming schedule for 2021, let's discuss possibilities even though we have no idea how the fuck this year will play out. Honestly glad we got WW already, idk how it'd be if we waited another months only for reception to be... that. Morbius - 3/19 (this seems like it's gonna move but idk) Black Widow- 5/7 Venom 2 - 6/25 Shang-Chi - 7/9 The Suicide Squad - 8/6 Eternals - 11/5 Spider-Man 3 - 12/17 Maybe by SM3 we will have sense of "normal" box office? We'll see. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Fri Jan 01, 2021 5:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Fair or not, theaters will continue to face a stigma even with a widely distributed vaccine. Black Widow will likely top out around $60M and all the other Marvel movies will be pushed back to 2022. Morbius and Venom might stick it out since Sony doesn’t have their own streaming platform (maybe it will be on Playstation Plus?) |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jan 01, 2021 5:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
60m total for Black Widow? Mmm I think unless a good majority of theaters close permanently (which is certainly a possibility) Black Widow should do considerably more than WW1984, and even with horrible legs that may get to $40m+ with a streaming release. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Jan 01, 2021 8:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Yep I agree. Black Widow AND MCU appeals to a lot more families which at this point will help it. It should be the first movie to do $100m domestic. |
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| Author: | WandaLegion [ Fri Jan 01, 2021 8:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
BW open near 100, leg out to maybe 300ish, 900+ WW. Similar for Shang-Chi. Eternals if the reception is great can go for 400/1.1, and Spider-Man should be 450+/1.3+. Morbius I really son’s know what to expect other than a delay. Venom 2 thinking a small drop, maybe 750ish. The Suicide Squad will be hurt by the first’s reception but if Gunn delivers another crowd pleaser as expected should have good legs. Maybe 250/600 if it doesn’t go Max, more like 150/350 if it does. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Tue Jan 05, 2021 3:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Even under current conditions both BW and Spidey 3 will easily surpass $100m. Not sure about the others. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Tue Jan 05, 2021 5:06 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Let’s hope that the US is vaccinated by May 7! |
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| Author: | Excel [ Tue Jan 05, 2021 10:39 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
THE BATMAN will be first mega opener post covid. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Tue Jan 05, 2021 10:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Excel wrote: THE BATMAN will be first mega opener post covid. Excel's mood swings around this movie are amazing to follow. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Jan 06, 2021 3:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
I just don’t see how you can say anything is locked for $100M. It could be even worse by May for all we know. It might be too late to reform the habit of rushing out for a movie. The vaccine could prove leas effective than we hope. I think $60M is reasonable and Disney will proudly boast they have the #1 movie since covid started before putting it on D+ in late June/early July. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Wed Jan 06, 2021 4:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Here I thought my $100m prediction was too high lol. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Wed Jan 06, 2021 3:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Flava'd vs The World wrote: I just don’t see how you can say anything is locked for $100M. It could be even worse by May for all we know. It might be too late to reform the habit of rushing out for a movie. The vaccine could prove leas effective than we hope. I think $60M is reasonable and Disney will proudly boast they have the #1 movie since covid started before putting it on D+ in late June/early July. We can never know as it depends on the situation but if conditions were the same as for when Tenet opened - I'd suspect a major Marvel film could at least double Tenet. Though you are right - it also depends on how soon they decide to release on D+ |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Mon Jan 11, 2021 7:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Quote: Morbius - 3/19 (this seems like it's gonna move but idk) Welp, moves to October 2. https://variety.com/2021/film/news/morb ... ssion=true |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Mon Jan 11, 2021 7:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Oh man. It started marketing here in Singapore this week, such crap that these movies keep moving release dates. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Mon Jan 11, 2021 8:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
At this point I hope Disney sticks with their releases... if vaccines are still slow by March and we're still in this shit they'll probably do Premiere Access for Black Widow. |
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| Author: | lilmac [ Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Even when a sizable portion of the population gets vaccinated, social distancing regulations will probably remain in effect for a few months more. I'm of course assuming that widespread vaccinations mean very low new COVID cases. Ugh, it would suck if that wasn't the case (due to strains, misreporting, vaccine effectiveness). I'm hoping Spiderman, by the time it is released will enjoy decent boxoffice numbers. With all this talk of a multiverse I think some of the MCU movies have to be released in a particular order. Not sure about that. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
I don't think we will see a big BO release till Fall season unfortunately. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
publicenemy#1 wrote: Black Widow- 5/7 Venom 2 - 6/25 Shang-Chi - 7/9 The Suicide Squad - 8/6 Eternals - 11/5 Spider-Man 3 - 12/17 Morbius moves to 2022... we should know by March what happens with Black Widow. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Thu Mar 25, 2021 6:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Black Widow- 7/9 The Suicide Squad - 8/6 Shang-Chi - 9/3 Venom 2 - 9/24 Eternals - 11/5 Spider-Man 3 - 12/17 Suicide Squad trailer tomorrow. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Thu May 13, 2021 6:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Shang-Chi will get a 45-day theatrical window. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu May 13, 2021 8:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
That's a good news. Hopefully Black Widow also gets a bigger window. |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sat Jun 26, 2021 5:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
I think even with Disney+ Black Widow will open with at least 75m. The Suicide Squad would be nice if it would open close to F9 did but with HBO Max and the R rating I'm thinking opening will be like $40-50m. Shang-Chi will open with at least $70m. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sat Jun 26, 2021 7:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
Shang Chi has a good chance out-opening BW. I see it doing $80m-$100m OW. BW should be at $80m-$85m even with D+. TSS will flop at $20m-$30m. This would have struggled even with a traditional release date |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Jul 09, 2021 4:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
James Gunn just tweeted TSS will get previews, thank god. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Jul 09, 2021 9:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: 2021 Superhero box office discussion |
WB finally making some right release choices. |
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