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| February 14-17 predictions https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=86615 |
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| Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Fri Feb 07, 2020 4:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | February 14-17 predictions |
Welp. I think Sonic is gonna open well. Sonic - 43 (4-day) Fantasy Island - 15 (4-day) The Photograph - 10 (4-day) Downhill - I've never seen a trailer for this... Hopefully Birds has a solid hold. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Fri Feb 07, 2020 5:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Sonic PS looks good to me. Its gonna break out. I would say 50m over 4 days. Fantasy island does not even have much of previews(only 4 shows at AMC and none at cinemark). Dont see it doing well. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Fri Feb 07, 2020 5:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Sonic will dominate. Over 50m+ |
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| Author: | Dil [ Fri Feb 07, 2020 7:46 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Sonic - 55 (4-day) Fantasy Island - 15 (4-day) The Photograph - 10 (4-day) Yeah I think Sonic is breaking out big time. I wouldn't be surprised if it did closer to $50M over the three day portion alone and ended up closer to $60M over the entire 4-Day weekend. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Fri Feb 07, 2020 8:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Well the market is still open for a breakout and the goodwill from design change plus family appeal makes it look like Sonic will benefit hugely |
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| Author: | neo_wolf [ Fri Feb 07, 2020 10:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Paramount has done a very good job marketing Sonic after the design change. I think it will breakout also. 50m 4 day looks real good now. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Sat Feb 08, 2020 4:19 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
The Photograph is being underestimated. I think it should do around 20 Million 4-Day. |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sun Feb 09, 2020 8:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Sonic - 42m 4 day Fantasy Island 20m 4 day Photograph - 15m 4 day BOP - -50% 3 day |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Sun Feb 09, 2020 9:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Yeah with BoP doing muted numbers a much bigger Sonic opening feels weird. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Sun Feb 09, 2020 9:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
My kids have been wanting to see Sonic for a while now and they had no idea who he was (I barely cared and I grew up in the Sonic era). The online goodwill is there and the market is ripe for it. I think $50m 4-day is a good bet but even $40m 4-day would still be very good. At $50m 4-day it will end up somewhere near Detective Pikachu total. |
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| Author: | DP07 [ Sun Feb 09, 2020 10:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Sonic’s legs probably depend on how many kids see it without knowing who he is. If a lot do it could play more like a family movie than a video game movie. |
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| Author: | MadGez [ Mon Feb 10, 2020 12:55 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Yes good point. I think its a bit of both but let's see which way it leans. It could play more like an Alvin & the Chipmunks than a Pikachu. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Mon Feb 10, 2020 1:13 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
I feel Sonic will play really well with older audiences as well as families though, especially those who grew up during the 80's and 90's. With the massive success of BBFL it really does seem as if 90's nostalgia is a thing again. |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Tue Feb 11, 2020 12:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
OD PS is super strong. i am thinking 50m+ 3 day and 65m over 4 day weekend for Sonic. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Feb 12, 2020 12:47 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
My 6-screen theater is giving this two of them! It’s topping Detective Pikachu. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Wed Feb 12, 2020 1:32 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
***4-Day Predictions*** SONIC THE HEDGEHOG - 61.383 MILLION THE PHOTOGRAPH - 19.515 MILLION FANTASY ISLAND - 15.178 MILLION PARASITE - 5 MILLION DOWNHILL - 5 MILLION |
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| Author: | Keyser Söze [ Wed Feb 12, 2020 2:41 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Also photograph also has good OD PS. I would say 4-day > 20m at this point. Fantasy Island does not have thursday release(except 3 AMC theaters I saw !!!). that is the only one which looks like underperforming. |
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| Author: | Flava'd vs The World [ Thu Feb 13, 2020 12:34 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Sonic reviews are good too. Another case of a studio hiding good press for some reason but I don’t think it will matter as much as last week. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Thu Feb 13, 2020 2:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
At least Sonic was already looking like it was going to do killer before reviews. Harley Quinn could have used those early reviews. |
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| Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Feb 13, 2020 5:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
I think this will do 60m 3 day and 75-80 for the 4 day. |
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| Author: | Magic Mike [ Thu Feb 13, 2020 7:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
zwackerm wrote: I think this will do 60m 3 day and 75-80 for the 4 day. That would be insane. The Box Office could certainly use this kind of hit right now. |
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| Author: | Jack Sparrow [ Thu Feb 13, 2020 7:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Yeah I think this will breakout all signs are pointing out for a breakout. I can see doing BBFL numbers over 3-day. |
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| Author: | Dil [ Thu Feb 13, 2020 9:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Yeah Sonic is going to be BIG as I expected, but it's also looking like I really underestimated The Photograph as well. Based on Keyser Soze's PS data it looks like it could very well pull an upset over Fantasy Island over the weekend which is something I definitely wasn't expecting. That's what you fucking get when you hide reviews. |
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| Author: | Rolling Thunder [ Fri Feb 14, 2020 9:06 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
The 9pm Sonic previews here had a healthy scattering of middle age people and a few senior citizens? Trying to figure that out. No kids, as expected on a school night. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Fri Feb 14, 2020 2:47 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: February 14-17 predictions |
Sonic - 55m (4-day) Fantasy Island - 21m (4-day) The Photograph - 20m (4-day) Downhill - $2 MILLION (4-DAY) |
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