World of KJ https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/ |
|
Minions 2 predictions https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=85872 |
Page 1 of 1 |
Author: | publicenemy#1 [ Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:22 pm ] |
Post subject: | Minions 2 predictions |
This one has Gru so it may not be as much a disaster as SLOP2 but will this still make over 200m? |
Author: | zwackerm [ Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:30 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
publicenemy#1 wrote: This one has Gru so it may not be as much a disaster as SLOP2 but will this still make over 200m? I. D.o.n.t think it will do any more than 50m OW so probably 175-180m total. |
Author: | Omni [ Sun Jun 09, 2019 2:34 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
The domestic market is becoming kind of irrelevant for the DM franchise, though not at Ice Age levels. What matters is the kind of hold it will have worldwide. Pirates 5 dropped 25% from #4, which was released in a time of much better exchange rates and 3D share. I guess -10/20% depending on China. I really don't see an IA5 scenario. |
Author: | WayneBorg [ Sat Jun 15, 2019 12:36 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
I know most people think Minions 2 will be a SLOP 2 but am not entirely sure. Yes SLOP2's bad performance domestically shows audience fatigue somehwat of Illuminati's tropes or at least in this specific franchise, but am not sure just because SLOP underperfomed then Minions will do so too. Minions 2 will at least have less competition, better release date and perhaps a more established franchise that even though has its best days behind it, still has some fans. I don't think it will be another SLOP, but surely not another DM2 either. I feel it's going to be in between. Not a SLOP2 but not a DM2, maybe a 30% drop from the previous installment (DM3) if it acts like a DM4.. |
Author: | Omni [ Sat Jun 15, 2019 12:54 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
Welcome to the forum! And I agree with you about that. People shouldn't jump to conclusions so soon. The first Pets left kind of nothing to the audience (who the heck remember the name of the animals?), while the Minions are still very popular. 200+ is certainly reachable, though as I said it doesn't really matter if the movie grosses 150 or 200 domestically, as 75/80% of the gross will come from abroad. |
Author: | WayneBorg [ Sat Jun 15, 2019 1:10 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
Omni wrote: Welcome to the forum! And I agree with you about that. People shouldn't jump to conclusions so soon. The first Pets left kind of nothing to the audience (who the heck remember the name of the animals?), while the Minions are still very popular. 200+ is certainly reachable, though as I said it doesn't really matter if the movie grosses 150 or 200 domestically, as 75/80% of the gross will come from abroad. Thank you ![]() I agree with you – I feel like Minions 2’s release pattern kinda reminds me of DM3 in 2017 which was in a barren summer with no family competition. People often cite the hatred (not sure about this but eh) that the general audience had of Minions 1, but there are other factors in play such as release date, competition, marketing, tie-ins and branding etc. I feel like SLOP flopped on all of these criteria: bad release date sandwiched between Aladdin and TS4, lackluster marketing, no tie-ins or merch etc. I don’t think all of these factors will fare as terribly for Minions 2 as they did for SLOP 2. I’m also not sure what SLOP 2’s bad results mean for its company as a whole and maybe we need a few more films to be entirely sure, but I totally agree with your analysis on the franchise. |
Author: | Barrabás [ Sat Jun 15, 2019 4:00 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
I think this is where the bottom falls out of this franchise. Could go sub $150m domestic and sub $500m WW. |
Author: | WayneBorg [ Sun Jun 16, 2019 6:34 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
I just don't think this is Ice Age OS. Domestically mayyybe but another Ice Age Worldwide? not so sure just because SLOP flopped. |
Author: | zwackerm [ Fri Jun 03, 2022 9:42 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
Apparently tracking for 65-80m OW. Incredibly skeptical this opens over 50m but we'll see. |
Author: | MadGez [ Tue Jun 14, 2022 8:35 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
Feels like there is more excitement for this than Lightyear. I could see it out-opening LY. |
Author: | Keyser Söze [ Tue Jun 14, 2022 11:53 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
I dont see any excitement for this. Presales have been horrific(dont know why they started it so early) and I expect reviews to be bad. I am expecting it to drop big from DM3. May be 65/180 kind of run. |
Author: | O [ Sat Jun 18, 2022 3:06 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
Thanks to LY the bar is remarkably low for this now to be deemed as a success. Despite the last films $116M OW, anything over $50M here will probably be seen as a success though I can see it do much higher. A mega success would be surpassing Sonic's OW. Paws of Fury also has more upside so could keep Paramount's streak going. Tracking was way off for LY but don't think it will be for Minions, rather more on the upside. |
Author: | lilmac [ Tue Jun 21, 2022 12:43 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
Audience reaction to the trailer was tepid. Underwhelming. Still, it could do Sing 2 numbers https://www.boxofficemojo.com/release/r ... bo_tt_gr_1 |
Author: | MadGez [ Sun Jun 26, 2022 10:40 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
MadGez wrote: Feels like there is more excitement for this than Lightyear. I could see it out-opening LY. So yeah - looks like Minions does indeed have a great shot at beating out LY - in final gross at least. |
Author: | O [ Wed Jun 29, 2022 11:24 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
I was going to make a Minions will double LY club before it opened but didn't end up doing it. Will be interesting to see if it can double it's total though. Feel like all the ingredients are there for a mega breakout here. |
Author: | MadGez [ Thu Jun 30, 2022 10:30 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
Yeah looks like a solid opening is in play. I just wonder how much of a hit it takes when Thor comes out? |
Author: | zwackerm [ Thu Jun 30, 2022 10:34 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
If it is well received, it could fall about 55% against Thor. If it is meh received, it will fall 60% or more. |
Author: | Keyser Söze [ Thu Jun 30, 2022 12:44 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Minions 2 predictions |
Reviews are not outright bad and so it should be ok. Plus the summer is almost empty post Thor. Thor itself would not destroy everything. Movies did hold well during DS2 OW and JWD OW. There is a loss of Imax/PLF screens but Minions business is not that much dependent on premium screens for sure. |
Page 1 of 1 | All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ] |
Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group http://www.phpbb.com/ |