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Multipliers for Top 10 movies from 1995 to 2004
https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=8539
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Author:  Anonymous [ Fri May 27, 2005 8:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Multipliers for Top 10 movies from 1995 to 2004

Made this chart for dolce's thread, but as that thread have a different topic, thought this deserve it's own. So, here it is.

For movies that opened before weekend, I've used DP's method. Substracted that gross from total, and that 'total' divided by weekend.

A - gross before opening weekend
B - opening weekend (wide)
C - total
D - total-gross before opening weekend
E - multiplier (D/opening weekend)

Code:
1995                     A              B               C               D           E

Toy Story            $9.930.559    $29.140.617    $191.796.233    $181.865.674    6,241
Batman Forever               $0    $52.784.433    $184.031.112    $184.031.112    3,486
Apollo 13                    $0    $25.353.380    $172.071.312    $172.071.312    6,787
Pocahontas           $4.953.359    $29.531.619    $141.579.773    $136.626.414    4,626
Ace Ventura 2                $0    $37.804.076    $108.385.533    $108.385.533    2,867
Goldeneye                    $0    $26.205.007    $106.429.941    $106.429.941    4,061
Jumanji                      $0    $11.084.370    $100.475.249    $100.475.249    9,065
Casper                       $0    $22.091.975    $100.328.194    $100.328.194    4,541
Seven                        $0    $13.949.807    $100.125.643    $100.125.643    7,178
Die Hard 3                   $0    $22.162.245    $100.012.499    $100.012.499    4,513
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           5,337

Code:
1996                     A              B               C               D           E

Independance Day    $45.873.988    $50.228.264    $306.169.268    $260.295.280    5,182
Twister                      $0    $41.059.405    $241.721.524    $241.721.524    5,887
Mission: Impossible $18.094.818    $45.436.830    $180.981.886    $162.887.068    3,585
Jerry McGuire                $0    $17.084.296    $153.952.592    $153.952.592    9,011
Ransom                       $0    $34.216.088    $136.492.681    $136.492.681    3,989
101 Dalmatians      $11.569.454    $33.504.025    $136.189.294    $124.619.840    3,720
The Rock                     $0    $25.069.525    $134.069.511    $134.069.511    5,348
The Nutty Professor          $0    $25.411.725    $128.814.019    $128.814.019    5,069
The Birdcage                 $0    $18.275.828    $124.060.553    $124.060.553    6,788
A Time to Kill               $0    $14.823.159    $108.766.007    $108.766.007    7,338
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           5,592

Code:
1997                     A              B               C               D           E

Titanic                      $0    $28.638.131    $600.788.188    $600.788.188   20,979
Men In Black        $33.065.445    $51.068.455    $250.690.539    $217.625.094    4,261
The Lost World       $2.567.184    $72.132.785    $229.086.679    $226.519.495    3,140
Liar Liar                    $0    $31.423.025    $181.410.615    $181.410.615    5,773
Air Force One                $0    $37.132.505    $172.956.409    $172.956.409    4,658
As Good As It Gets   $3.557.961    $12.606.928    $148.478.011    $144.920.050   11,495
Good Will Hunting    $8.748.852    $10.261.471    $138.433.435    $129.684.583   12,638
Star Wars (SE)               $0    $35.906.661    $138.257.865    $138.257.865    3,850
My Best Friend's W.          $0    $21.678.377    $127.120.029    $127.120.029    5,864
Tommorow Never Dies          $0    $25.143.007    $125.304.276    $125.304.276    4,984
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           7,764
(without Titanic)                                                                 6,296

Code:
1998                     A              B               C               D           E

Saving Private Ryan          $0    $30.576.104    $216.540.909    $216.540.909    7,082
Armageddon          $18.112.703    $36.089.972    $201.578.182    $183.465.479    5,084
There's Something..  $4.056.837    $13.740.644    $176.484.651    $172.427.814   12,549
A Bug's Life        $12.853.404    $33.258.052    $162.798.565    $149.945.161    4,509
The Waterboy                 $0    $39.414.071    $161.491.646    $161.491.646    4,097
Doctor Dolittle              $0    $29.014.324    $144.156.605    $144.156.605    4,968
Rush Hour                    $0    $33.001.803    $141.186.864    $141.186.864    4,278
Deep Impact                  $0    $41.152.375    $140.464.664    $140.464.664    3,413
Godzilla            $14.445.682    $44.047.541    $136.314.294    $121.868.612    2,767
Patch Adams                  $0    $25.262.280    $135.026.902    $135.026.902    5,345
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           5,409

Code:
1999                     A              B               C               D           E

The Phantom Menace  $40.850.267    $64.820.970    $431.088.301    $390.238.034    6,020
The Sixth Sense              $0    $26.681.262    $293.506.292    $293.506.292   11,000
Toy Story 2         $23.093.123    $57.388.839    $245.852.179    $222.759.056    3,882
Austin Powers 2              $0    $54.917.604    $206.040.086    $206.040.086    3,752
The Matrix           $9.564.361    $27.788.331    $171.479.930    $161.915.569    5,827
Tarzan                 $139.374    $34.221.968    $171.091.819    $170.952.445    4,995
Big Daddy                    $0    $41.536.370    $163.479.795    $163.479.795    3,936
The Mummy                    $0    $43.369.635    $155.385.488    $155.385.488    3,583
Runaway Bride                $0    $35.055.556    $152.257.509    $152.257.509    4,343
The Blair Witch P.   $6.932.918    $29.207.381    $140.539.099    $133.606.181    4,574
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           5,191

Code:
2000                     A              B               C               D           E

How the Grinch...            $0    $55.082.330    $260.044.825    $260.044.825    4,721
Cast Away           $10.968.669    $28.883.406    $233.632.142    $222.663.473    7,709
Mission: Imp. 2     $20.356.398    $57.845.297    $215.409.889    $195.053.491    3,372
Gladiator                    $0    $34.819.017    $187.705.427    $187.705.427    5,391
What Women Want              $0    $33.614.543    $182.811.707    $182.811.707    5,438
The Perfect Storm            $0    $41.325.042    $182.618.434    $182.618.434    4,419
Meet the Parents             $0    $28.623.300    $166.244.045    $166.244.045    5,808
X-Men                        $0    $54.471.475    $157.299.717    $157.299.717    2,888
Scary Movie                  $0    $42.346.669    $157.019.771    $157.019.771    3,708
What Lies Beneath            $0    $29.702.959    $155.464.351    $155.464.351    5,234
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           4,869

Code:
2001                     A              B               C               D           E

Harry Potter 1               $0    $90.294.621    $317.575.550    $317.575.550    3,517
FOTR                $27.156.510    $47.211.490    $313.364.114    $286.207.604    6,062
Shrek                   $39.588    $42.347.760    $267.665.011    $267.625.423    6,320
Monsters, Inc.               $0    $62.577.067    $255.873.250    $255.873.250    4,089
Rush Hour 2                  $0    $67.408.222    $226.164.286    $226.164.286    3,355
The Mummy Returns            $0    $68.139.035    $202.019.785    $202.019.785    2,965
Pearl Harbour                $0    $59.078.912    $198.542.554    $198.542.554    3,361
Ocean's Eleven               $0    $38.107.822    $183.417.150    $183.417.150    4,813
Jurassic Park III   $30.614.110    $50.771.645    $181.171.875    $150.557.765    2,965
Planet of the Apes           $0    $68.532.960    $180.011.740    $180.011.740    2,627
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           4,007

Code:
2002                     A              B               C               D           E

Spider-Man                   $0   $114.844.116    $403.706.375    $403.706.375    3,515
The Two Towers      $40.038.684    $62.007.528    $339.789.881    $299.751.197    4,834
Attack of the Cl.   $30.141.417    $80.027.814    $310.676.740    $280.535.323    3,505
Harry Potter 2               $0    $88.357.488    $261.988.482    $261.988.482    2,965
My Big Fat Greek..  $37.170.734     $3.002.241    $241.438.208    $204.267.474   68,038
Signs                        $0    $60.117.080    $227.966.634    $227.966.634    3,792
Austin Powers 3      $3.553.719    $73.071.188    $213.307.889    $209.754.170    2,871
Men in Black II     $35.092.835    $52.148.751    $190.418.803    $155.325.968    2,979
Ice Age                      $0    $46.312.454    $176.387.405    $176.387.405    3,809
Chicago             $32.147.601     $8.238.709    $170.687.518    $138.539.917   16,816
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                          11,312
(without MBFGW)                                                                   5,009
(without MBFGW and Chicago)                                                       3,534

Code:
2003                     A              B               C               D           E

Return of the King  $51.470.821    $72.629.713    $377.027.325    $325.556.504    4,482
Finding Nemo                 $0    $70.251.710    $339.714.978    $339.714.978    4,836
Pirates of the C.   $23.995.281    $46.630.690    $305.413.918    $281.418.637    6,035
The Matrix Rel.     $42.508.303    $91.774.413    $281.576.461    $239.068.158    2,605
Bruce Almighty               $0    $67.953.330    $242.829.261    $242.829.261    3,573
X2: X-Men United             $0    $85.558.731    $214.949.694    $214.949.694    2,512
Elf                          $0    $31.113.501    $173.398.518    $173.398.518    5,573
Terminator 3        $28.346.021    $44.041.440    $150.371.112    $122.025.091    2,771
The Matrix Rev.     $35.314.846    $48.475.154    $139.313.948    $103.999.102    2,145
Cheaper by the D.    $7.839.594    $27.557.647    $138.614.544    $130.774.950    4,746
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           3,928

Code:
2004                     A              B               C               D           E

Shrek 2             $20.945.182   $108.037.878    $441.226.247    $420.281.065    3,890
Spider-Man 2        $64.255.524    $88.156.227    $373.585.825    $309.330.301    3,509
The Passion         $41.337.889    $83.848.082    $370.274.604    $328.936.715    3,923
Meet the Fockers    $24.396.740    $46.120.980    $279.247.766    $254.851.026    5,526
The Incredibles              $0    $70.467.623    $261.441.092    $261.441.092    3,710
Harry Potter 3               $0    $93.687.367    $249.541.069    $249.541.069    2,664
The Day After Tommorow       $0    $68.743.584    $186.740.799    $186.740.799    2,716
The Bourne Supremacy         $0    $52.521.865    $176.241.941    $176.241.941    3,356
National Treasure            $0    $35.142.554    $172.975.674    $172.975.674    4,922
The Polar Express    $7.305.683    $23.323.463    $162.775.358    $155.469.675    6,666
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Average                                                                           4,088


Oh yes, for My Big Fat Greek Wedding and Chicago, I used 'wide' opening weekends listed at Mojo. August 2nd for MBFGW and January 26th (I think) for Chicago.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Fri May 27, 2005 8:40 pm ]
Post subject: 

Great great job, Nebs! Thank you!

Some things I have noticed:

Ace Ventura 2 had a surprisingly bad multiplier back in 1995.

My Big Fat Greek Wedding's multiplier is insane. I know it's hard to determine when it went wide, but still...

The Sixth Sense and Something about Mary also both had surprisingly great multipliers.

The only non-animated and non-Best Picture nominated movies to hit the 5-multiplier are:

Jumanji
Se7en
Independance Day
Twister
The Nutty Professor
The Birdcage
A Time to Kill
Liar Liar
My Best Friend's Wedding
Armageddon
There's Something about Mary
Patch Adams
The Phantom Menace
The Matrix
Cast Away
What Women Want
Meet the Parents
What Lies Beneath
My Big Fat Greek Wedding
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl
Elf
Meet the Fockers

If you take the December releases and the family films out of it, you're not left with much...



Of that list, only these opened to $30+ million:

Independance Day (opened in July)
Twister (opened in May)
Liar Liar (opened in March)
Armageddon (opened in July)
The Phantom Menace (opened in May)
What Women Want (opened in December)
Pirates of the Caribbean: The Curse of the Black Pearl (opened in July)
Elf (opened in November)
Meet the Fockers (opened in December)


Only four non-Best Picture nominated and non-animted Top 10 movies got a multiplier of 5+ since 2001.

Author:  deathawk [ Fri May 27, 2005 8:48 pm ]
Post subject: 

Thats interesting about MBFGW. Wide is usually defined as 1000+, it didn't hit that until w/e 8/16. In fact I thought I had seen that statement somewhere on BOM, but I can't find it.

Still leaves it with an insane 42.36 multiplier on the latter number.

Author:  scottb [ Sat May 28, 2005 1:56 am ]
Post subject: 

Titanic's 20.97 multiplier from an almost $30 million opening is amazing.

Author:  DP07 [ Sat May 28, 2005 2:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Multipliers for Top 10 movies from 1995 to 2004

Very nice read, Nebs. Thanks. :D

Author:  BJ [ Sat May 28, 2005 3:01 am ]
Post subject: 

awesome, Iexpect 05 to be in the 4.5-5.0 range. So far film have been performing exceptionaly well as long as they are not hard core action/horror flicks.

Author:  baumer72 [ Sat May 28, 2005 9:10 am ]
Post subject: 

What a fantastci job. Thanks for doing that. =D>

Author:  jb007 [ Sat May 28, 2005 9:18 am ]
Post subject: 

Good info, Nebs. =D>

I think your JP2 is off. It was released on a Friday. If anything you should take out only $2.7M from Thursday night previews instead of $26.8M.

Author:  Anonymous [ Sat May 28, 2005 9:44 am ]
Post subject: 

Thanks jb, you're completly right. the-numbers.com had it's total by that weekend up to $90m+. Will change it asap.

Author:  Spidey [ Sun May 29, 2005 6:17 pm ]
Post subject: 

Nebs wrote:
Thanks jb, you're completly right. the-numbers.com had it's total by that weekend up to $90m+. Will change it asap.


It opened on Memorial day weekend. That must be the four day weekend tally. Bad multiplier for Ace Ventura in the year of 1995.

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