When is summer going to get here? #-o


http://www.boxofficefactor.com/calculate/Calculation.htm

Derby

Kingdom of Heaven - (25.6 / 20.4) -- Accuracy: 74.51%
House of Wax - (15.9 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 87.23%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (9.6 / 9.3) -- Accuracy: 96.77%
Crash - (6.2 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 72.94%
The Interpreter - (7.9 / 7.4) -- Accuracy: 93.24%
XXX: State Of The Union - (5.4 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 98.18%
The Amityville Horror - (4.1 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 82.86%
Sahara - (3.3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
A Lot Like Love - (2.9 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 87.88%
Fever Pitch - (1.8 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 72.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 86.56%

Rest of games 87.84%

84.42%.

Derby
OVERALL (actual) 89.58%

Apprentice
88.50%

Survivor
89.13%

DVSI
90.19%

88.29%

Good job sako, from predictions I saw, only Ragnarok and Samweis are beating you so far. :-)

No, I programmed the whole day (Friday) and forgot to update my predictions (I really forgot it), so my score is quite bad: 85.78%

My Dom.vs.Int.-predictions would have been my real ones... My fault, *stupidme* ](*,)

Thanks. It will drop though after the Est and Act.

Kingdom of Heaven- (35 / 20.4) -- Accuracy: 28.43%
House of Wax - (15 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 93.62%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (10 / 9.3) -- Accuracy: 92.47%
Crash- (8 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 94.12%
The Interpreter - (8 / 7.4) -- Accuracy: 91.89%
XXX: State Of The Union - (6 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
The Amityville Horror - (4 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Sahara - (3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
A Lot Like Love - (3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
Fever Pitch - (2 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 80.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 83.90%

New Release: 91.69%
Still in Theater: 81.95%

Bom numbers came, and some are quite different (ie Fever Pitch), so might be good idea if you re-calculate.

Kingdom of Heaven - (25.6 / 20) -- Accuracy: 72.00%
House of Wax - (15.9 / 13.6) -- Accuracy: 83.09%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (9.6 / 9.2) -- Accuracy: 95.65%
Crash - (6.2 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 75.61%
The Interpreter - (7.9 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 91.78%
XXX: State Of The Union - (5.4 / 5.6) -- Accuracy: 96.43%
The Amityville Horror - (4.1 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 82.86%
Sahara - (3.3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
A Lot Like Love - (2.9 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 90.62%
Fever Pitch - (1.8 / 2) -- Accuracy: 90.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 87.80%

Kindom of Heaven - (25.1 / 20) -- Accuracy: 74.50%
House of Wax - (18.8 / 13.6) -- Accuracy: 61.76%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (11.5 / 9.2) -- Accuracy: 75.00%
Crash - (9 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 90.24%
The Interpreter - (8.5 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 83.56%
XXX: State Of The Union - (5 / 5.6) -- Accuracy: 89.29%
The Amityville Horror - (4.2 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
Sahara - (3.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 93.94%
A Lot Like Love - (2.9 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 90.62%
Fever Pitch - (2.2 / 2) -- Accuracy: 90.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 82.89%

New Release: 82.14%
Still in Theater: 83.08%

Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've loss a 1.10% in your average.

I did quite bad myself. My score is only 83.77%.

88.94%

Although I didn't play in the derby again, just the Dom vs. Int game. I always seem to be busy on Thursday nights, always! I never have the time to sit down and make good predictions to input into the derby, and I don't want to rush it.

Bleh.

PEACE, Mike

Kingdom Of Heaven - (23.2 / 20) -- Accuracy: 84.00%
House Of Wax - (14 / 13.6) -- Accuracy: 97.06%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (10.8 / 9.2) -- Accuracy: 82.61%
Fever Pitch - (7.3 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 89.02%
The Interpreter - (8.3 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 86.30%
XXX: State Of The Union - (5 / 5.6) -- Accuracy: 89.29%
The Amityville Horror - (4.1 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 82.86%
Sahara - (3.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 93.94%
A Lot Like Love - (3 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 93.75%
Fever Pitch - (2.3 / 2) -- Accuracy: 85.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 88.38%

New Release: 85.95%
Still in Theater: 88.99%

Not amazing, but I'll take anything that increases my average.

Kingdom of Heaven - 68.50% ( 26.3 / 20.0 )
House of Wax - 78.68% ( 16.5 / 13.6 )
Crash - 85.37% ( 7.0 / 8.2 )
The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy - 92.39% ( 9.9 / 9.2 )
The Interpreter - 87.67% ( 8.2 / 7.3 )
xXx: State of the Union - 85.71% ( 4.8 / 5.6 )
The Amityville Horror - 74.29% ( 4.4 / 3.5 )
Sahara - 84.85% ( 3.8 / 3.3 )
A Lot Like Love - 84.38% ( 2.7 / 3.2 )
Fever Pitch - 95.00% ( 2.1 / 2.0 )

Accuracy: 83.683%

By original prediction for Kingdom of Heaven was around 22 million... I don't know why I raised it.

Kingdom of Heaven - (20 / 20) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
House of Wax - (20 / 13.6) -- Accuracy: 52.94%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (11 / 9.2) -- Accuracy: 80.43%
Crash - (8 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 97.56%
The Interpreter - (8 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 90.41%
XXX: State Of The Union - (6 / 5.6) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
The Amityville Horror - (3.5 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Sahara - (3.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 93.94%
A Lot Like Love - (3 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 93.75%
Fever Pitch - (2.2 / 2) -- Accuracy: 90.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 89.19%

Stupid HOW, nailed KOH though, YES! :wink:

Kingdom of Heaven - (28 / 20) -- Accuracy: 60.00%
House of Wax - (14 / 13.6) -- Accuracy: 97.06%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (11 / 9.2) -- Accuracy: 80.43%
Crash - (8 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 97.56%
The Interpreter - (8.5 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 83.56%
XXX: State Of The Union - (5.7 / 5.6) -- Accuracy: 98.21%
The Amityville Horror - (4.2 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
Sahara - (3.2 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 96.97%
A Lot Like Love - (3.2 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Fever Pitch - (2 / 2) -- Accuracy: 100.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 89.38%

New Release: 89.32%
Still in Theater: 89.39%

Kung Fu Hustle - (25.6 / 20) -- Accuracy: 72.00%
Robots - (15.9 / 12.2) -- Accuracy: 69.67%
Sin City - (6.2 / 9.1) -- Accuracy: 68.13%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (9.6 / 9.1) -- Accuracy: 94.51%
The Interpreter - (7.9 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 94.67%
XXX: State Of The Union - (5.4 / 5.4) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Amityville Horror - (4.1 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 71.88%
Sahara - (3.3 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 93.55%
A Lot Like Love - (2.9 / 3) -- Accuracy: 96.67%
Fever Pitch - (1.8 / 2) -- Accuracy: 90.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 85.11%

Oy.

Rest of games: 86.41%

Kingdom of Heaven - (35 / 20) -- Accuracy: 25.00%
House of Wax - (15 / 12.2) -- Accuracy: 77.05%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (10 / 9.1) -- Accuracy: 90.11%
Crash - (8 / 9.1) -- Accuracy: 87.91%
The Interpreter - (8 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
XXX: State Of The Union - (6 / 5.4) -- Accuracy: 88.89%
The Amityville Horror - (4 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 75.00%
Sahara - (3 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 96.77%
A Lot Like Love - (3 / 3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Fever Pitch - (2 / 2) -- Accuracy: 100.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 83.41%

New Release: 88.40%
Still in Theater: 82.16%

Prediction Actual Accuracy
1 . Kingdom of Heaven ( $25.1 / $20.0 ) Accuracy: 74.50%
2 . House of Wax ( $18.8 / $12.2 ) Accuracy: 45.90%
3 . The Hitchhiker's ( $11.5 / $9.1 ) Accuracy: 73.63%
4 . Crash ( $9.0 / $9.1 ) Accuracy: 98.90%
5 . The Interpreter ( $8.5 / $7.5 ) Accuracy: 86.67%
6 . XXX2: State of the Union ( $5.0 / $5.4 ) Accuracy: 92.59%
7 . The Amityville Horror ( $4.2 / $3.2 ) Accuracy: 68.75%
8 . Sahara ( $3.5 / $3.1 ) Accuracy: 87.10%
9 . A Lot Like Love ( $2.9 / $3.0 ) Accuracy: 96.67%
10 . Fever Pitch ( $2.2 / $2.0 ) Accuracy: 90.00%

Overall Accuracy (10 movies) 81.47%

i blame House of Wax!

Bleh, not that good:

Kung Fu Hustle - (30 / 20) -- Accuracy: 50.00%
Robots - (14 / 12.2) -- Accuracy: 85.25%
Sin City - (7.5 / 9.1) -- Accuracy: 82.42%
The Hitchhiker's Guide To The Galaxy - (12 / 9.1) -- Accuracy: 68.13%
The Interpreter - (7.8 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 96.00%
XXX: State Of The Union - (4.7 / 5.4) -- Accuracy: 87.04%
The Amityville Horror - (3.8 / 3.2) -- Accuracy: 81.25%
Sahara - (3.2 / 3.1) -- Accuracy: 96.77%
A Lot Like Love - (3.1 / 3) -- Accuracy: 96.67%
Fever Pitch - (2.1 / 2) -- Accuracy: 95.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 83.85%

New Release: 77.58%
Still in Theater: 85.42%

This is fun. Each week, the race for 2nd place just kept getting tighter. With Casey, Scott, and I all struggled, JMorphin, Jeff, and Samweis all made up good ground this weekend.

Indeed, I managed only 80.84% with the estimates.

These are top 9 with estimates...

Ragnarok 15,895
MG Casey 15,578
Scott Vasquez 15,524
xiayun 15,523
Jmorphin 15,455
Jeff42 15,445
Samweis Gamdschie 15,414
Brandon Gray 15,370
Animosity Reigns 15,292

With bluecrashfan88 having a high chance to pass Animosity.

I'd have 15,270

damn terrible week for me...sigh..oh well the year is still young, lots of weeks left to predict