Yeah in general I don't really expect much from Japan for MCU. Just give a decent 4 days OW and that's fine.

12PM looks like will be around 70K 67K vs 63K Endgame Sunday & 60K Endgame SAT.

x38,684 > x56,167 > x70,541 - Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness WED


x38,344 > x49,944 > x63,544 > x94,764 > 106,232 > 119,366 > 141,586 > 164,820 > 175,477 > 224,737 > 228,840 - Avengers: Endgame SUN
x29,737 > x39,487 > x58,051 > x75,167 > x89,740 > 121,289 > 138,066 > 152,556 > 176,442 > 221,089 > 227,704 - Spider-Man: No Way Home SAT
x34,322 > x45,948 > x68,771 > x84,130 > 100,250 > 137,188 > 151,465 > 165,070 > 191,033 > 225,082 > 229,553 - Spider-Man: No Way Home SUN

Very busy today. I'll have the Wednesday estimates up soonish, but the weekend actuals (04/30-05/01) will have to wait until tomorrow.

GOLDEN WEEK 2022 (April 29th-May 5th) - Daily Estimates:

Friday (04/29): Showa Day-National Holiday
¥405 million ($3.1 million), +177%, ¥4.490 billion ($35.3 million), Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Day 15)
¥175 million ($1.4 million), +449%, ¥590 million ($4.6 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Day 7)
¥150 million ($1.2 million), +136%, ¥3.115 billion ($24.8 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Day 22)
¥105 million ($810,000), 0, ¥105 million ($0.8 million), Radiation House: The Movie (NEW)
¥100 million ($770,000), 0, ¥100 million ($0.8 million), xxxHOLiC (NEW)
¥x65 million ($500,000), -17%, ¥305 million ($2.4 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2 (Day 7)
¥x60 million ($465,000), +567%, ¥2.950 billion ($24.1 million), Sing 2 (Day 43)
¥x25 million ($195,000), 0, ¥x25 million ($0.2 million), Seventeen Power of Love: The Movie (NEW)
¥x18 million ($140,000), +2,227%, ¥2.525 billion ($21.0 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021 (Day 57)
¥x17 million ($130,000), 0, ¥x17 million ($0.1 million), Kikai Sentai Zenkaiger vs. Kiramager vs. Senpaiger (NEW)

Saturday (04/30):
¥325 million ($2.5 million), -23%, ¥4.815 billion ($37.8 million), Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Day 16)
¥125 million ($960,000), -25%, ¥3.240 billion ($25.8 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Day 23)
¥110 million ($845,000), -12%, ¥700 million ($5.4 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Day 8)
¥x70 million ($540,000), 0, ¥175 million ($1.3 million), Radiation House: The Movie (Day 2)
¥x40 million ($310,000), 0, ¥140 million ($1.1 million), xxxHOLiC (Day 2)
¥x35 million ($270,000), -43%, ¥340 million ($2.7 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2 (Day 8)
¥x30 million ($230,000), -04%, ¥2.980 billion ($24.3 million), Sing 2 (Day 44)
¥x12 million ($90,000), 0, ¥x37 million ($0.3 million), Seventeen Power of Love: The Movie (Day 2)
¥x11 million ($85,000), +03%, ¥2.536 billion ($21.1 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021 (Day 58)
¥x11 million ($85,000), -28%, ¥2.845 billion ($23.9 million), The Last 10 Years (Day 58)

Sunday (05/01): National Movie Discount Day
¥420 million ($3.2 million), +07%, ¥5.231 billion ($41.0 million), Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Day 17)
¥175 million ($1.4 million), +08%, ¥872 million ($6.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Day 9)
¥155 million ($1.2 million), +19%, ¥3.384 billion ($26.9 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Day 24)
¥x90 million ($690,000), 0, ¥265 million ($2.0 million), Radiation House: The Movie (Day 3)
¥x50 million ($385,000), +12%, ¥3.022 billion ($24.6 million), Sing 2 (Day 45)
¥x45 million ($345,000), 0, ¥185 million ($1.4 million), xxxHOLiC (Day 3)
¥x35 million ($270,000), +0.3%, ¥417 million ($3.2 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2 (Day 9)
¥x22 million ($170,000), +14%, ¥2.558 billion ($21.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021 (Day 59)
¥x14 million ($110,000), -25%, ¥2.861 billion ($24.0 million), The Last 10 Years (Day 59)
¥x10 million ($75,000), 0, ¥x35 million ($0.3 million), Kikai Sentai Zenkaiger vs. Kiramager vs. Senpaiger (Day 3)

Monday (05/02): Aeon Cinema Discount Day
¥200 million ($1.5 million), +76%, ¥5.431 billion ($42.5 million), Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Day 18)
¥x90 million ($690,000), +97%, ¥3.474 billion ($27.6 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Day 25)
¥x50 million ($385,000), 0, ¥315 million ($2.4 million), Radiation House: The Movie (Day 4)
¥x45 million ($345,000), +98%, ¥917 million ($7.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Day 10)
¥x30 million ($230,000), 0, ¥215 million ($1.7 million), xxxHOLiC (Day 4)
¥x17 million ($130,000), +99%, ¥3.039 billion ($24.7 million), Sing 2 (Day 46)
¥x17 million ($130,000), -13%, ¥434 million ($3.3 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2 (Day 10)
¥xx8 million ($60,000), +45%, ¥2.869 billion ($24.1 million), The Last 10 Years (Day 60)
¥xx7 million ($55,000), 0, ¥x52 million ($0.4 million), Seventeen Power of Love: The Movie (Day 4)
¥xx7 million ($55,000), +149%, ¥13.555 billion ($120.8 million), Jujutsu Kaisen 0 (Day 130)

Tuesday (05/03): Constitution Memorial Day-National Holiday
¥355 million ($2.7 million), +305%, ¥5.786 billion ($45.2 million), Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Day 19)
¥145 million ($1.1 million), +252%, ¥3.619 billion ($28.7 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Day 26)
¥135 million ($1.0 million), +937%, ¥1.032 billion ($8.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Day 11)
¥x65 million ($500,000), 0, ¥380 million ($2.9 million), Radiation House: The Movie (Day 5)
¥x40 million ($305,000), +559%, ¥3.079 billion ($25.0 million), Sing 2 (Day 47)
¥x35 million ($270,000), 0, ¥250 million ($2.0 million), xxxHOLiC (Day 5)
¥x18 million ($140,000), +32%, ¥452 million ($3.5 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2 (Day 11)
¥x15 million ($115,000), +2,277%, ¥2.578 billion ($21.5 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021 (Day 61)
¥x12 million ($90,000), +143%, ¥2.881 billion ($24.2 million), The Last 10 Years (Day 61)
¥x12 million ($90,000), +416%, ¥13.567 billion ($120.9 million), Jujutsu Kaisen 0 (Day 131)

Wednesday (05/04): Greenery Day-National Holiday, Toho Cinema Discount Day, Ladies' Day
¥480 million ($3.7 million), 0, ¥480 million ($3.7 million), Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (NEW)
¥390 million ($3.0 million), +238%, ¥6.176 billion ($48.2 million), Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Day 20)
¥150 million ($1.2 million), +171%, ¥3.769 billion ($29.9 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Day 27)
¥145 million ($1.1 million), +767%, ¥1.175 billion ($9.2 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Day 12)
¥x80 million ($615,000), 0, ¥460 million ($3.5 million), Radiation House: The Movie (Day 6)
¥x40 million ($305,000), +368%, ¥3.119 billion ($25.3 million), Sing 2 (Day 48)
¥x40 million ($305,000), 0, ¥290 million ($2.3 million), xxxHOLiC (Day 6)
¥x17 million ($130,000), +15%, ¥469 million ($3.6 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2 (Day 12)
¥x16 million ($125,000), +1,152%, ¥2.594 billion ($21.6 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021 (Day 62)
¥x15 million ($115,000), +292%, ¥13.582 billion ($121.0 million), Jujutsu Kaisen 0 (Day 132)

Thursday (05/05): Children's Day-National Holiday

% changes versus same day last week.

Very impressive opening day for Dr. Strange 2. Opening on such a lucrative day, and having a holiday tomorrow as well, will make this one very, very frontloaded, but its 5-day opening should be strong overall. It'll easily be Disney's biggest film since 2019 (Eternals is their only film since then to even reach ¥1 billion, which struggled a bit to get there) and I'm guessing could be aiming for... ¥2.5 billion (~$20 million) or so? Hard to say so early, but seems reasonable for now.

And all the holdovers did crazy good again.

Detective Conan will be well over ¥7 billion after this upcoming Sunday, and perhaps near ¥7.5 billion. It'll start to fall hard next week, but this total *should* be enough to get it above the franchise record of ¥9.37 billion, and gives it a good chance of reaching ¥10 billion (~$75-80 million).

Fantastic Beasts 3 will be very close to outgrossing No Way Home after this upcoming Sunday to become the highest grossing Hollywood film since 2019. If it's not after Sunday, then it'll achieve this feat shortly into next week (Mon-Tues, I expect). It should have enough in the tank to get above ¥5 billion (~$40 million+) after that, making it the first Hollywood blockbuster since 2019 (if that wasn't obvious from the sentence before this one).

Also want to mention Jujutsu Kaisen 0. Golden Week has been very strong for it, pushing it back inside the Top 10 this week, and thanks to this there's a slight chance it can outgross The Last Samurai (¥13.7 billion) to become the 14th highest grossing film of all-time. It might appear likely (very likely), and I think it will, but I'd wait to see its post-holiday dailies before calling it yet.

¥1100M-¥1200M Opening Week looks possible for Dr Strange 2. Today's drop was ---------- being a holiday, I expect tomorrow to be same, with Sat holding up higher than Fri // likewise going down on Sun. Hopefully, Disney should have given a date to run alongside with Shin-chan, easily would have passed it's prequel (2017) - ¥1.87B on holidays.....

Hmm... Overall, Friday should be quite a bit lower than Thursday (probably similar to Monday). It's just a normal day. And Saturday and Sunday will likely be less than Thursday, too, or *maybe* on par at best. It's how these major holiday periods behave.

I'll have Thursday estimates soon.

And that concludes Golden Week 2022!

Couldn't have hoped for much better, really. The four holidays all falling on the weekdays, and the 1st on a Sunday, allowed for optimal performance this year.

Surprisingly, Title "Dr. Strange" itself speaks that it's going to behave strangely on box office. Corpse, is there any range of admits for its *two days* Just like to know where it falls.

Fantastic Beasts 3 &Shin Chan Trends and hold were amazing. Jujutsu Kaisen Movie 0 seem to pass ¥13.6B by Sat, may be it will be on par with Last Samurai (¥13.7B) or might fell short of it, only to be known in coming months. Can Free Movie exceed ¥1B (?), Last one made ¥700M, I am thinking about ¥900M for Part II (?)

Per Disney, Dr. Strange OD : $3.8M (was so closed to ¥500M)

I'd estimate Dr. Strange 2's first two day admissions to be a bit shy of 500,000 (~475,000-485,000, perhaps). Disney's OD figure is really close to what I estimated, so this should be a reliable estimate for its admissions too.

And yes, FB3, Shin-chan 30, and all the other holdovers (including Conan, too, obviously) did exceptional business over the holiday period. Free's increases were small, but the fact it had any since it appears exclusively to fans-only is still impressive. It was definitely one of the strongest Golden Weeks I can recall in terms of increases (which were massive basically all week) and individual performances.

I don't think there are enough Free! fans to get it to ¥1 billion. I'd go with ¥800-900 million, but maybe on the lower-end? It opened higher than Part I, and has had GW to boost it, but that doesn't exactly mean more people are seeing it, just that more fans are seeing it earlier.

Thanks Corpse!!



¥420M / 300K visitors

This numbers were revealed in Today's live-stream (check at 13:00 to know announcement)

Disney was off a good bit too, then. It skewed very heavily rural, far more than almost any (maybe even any) wide release I can think of. Avg. ticket price was also lower than expected, however, not too surprising with Wednesday being Toho Cinema Discount Day and Ladies' Day. And in general, holiday attendance can skew a little more toward families / younger moviegoers.

It's still great, of course. I'd just adjust the Thursday estimate above down a little bit to account for it skewing more rural than I was even projecting it to (which was a lot already). Maybe like ~¥250 million instead. First two-day admissions are probably around 460,000.

Well, two days Total reported by Disney: $5.3M (~¥690M). Just thinking how they are doing E.R. <(￣︶￣)>

It looks impossible to know approx value at JPY, more like to be between ¥650M-¥670M

Yeah, your numbers as of Friday look reasonable.

Quick Weekend Update (expect big drops coming out of Golden Week, to begin):

Detective Conan 25 is looking to repeat at #1 for a fourth weekend. Assuming a small Sunday bump, since it's in its fourth week now, it's probably aiming for ~¥375-400 million. That'll take its total up to a stellar ~¥7 billion (~$55 million) or a tad more. Should get to at least ¥9 billion (~$70 million) from there, and has a good chance of breaking the franchise record (¥9.37 billion). Not sure of ¥10 billion, will need to see how it plays out.

Dr. Strange 2 looks to debut in second place, assuming it drops a bit on Sunday (as most openers do). Currently expecting an opening weekend of ~¥325-350 million. That'll take its 5-day holiday opening up to the cusp of the ¥1 billion (~$7.5-8 million) mark. This should be enough to get it safely above ¥2 billion, and possibly as much as ¥2.5 billion (~$20 million) or so in the market. Anything over ¥2 billion is impressive for a non-Spider-Man/Avengers MCU film in the market, and ¥2.5 billion would be particularly impressive if it can get there (Civil War is the only non-Spider-Man/Avengers MCU film, because it featured them..., to get to that mark).

Fantastic Beasts 3 is holding as well as expected post-GW so far. It'll be over ¥4 billion as of Sunday (might be as of Saturday) and will outgross No Way Home to become the highest-grossing Hollywood film since 2019 soon after. ¥5 billion (~$40 million) isn't locked up, but I'd give its chances of reaching the blockbuster milestone over 50% still.

Crayon Shin-chan 30 is also performing as well as expected post-GW so far and should get back to around ¥2 billion (~$15 million+).

Doctor Strange Daily:

By Disney (International)

05/04 : $3.8M
05/05 : $1.5M
05/06 : $1.4M

Sat+Sun : $2.7M

Total : $9.4M

Official OD announced by Disney Japan : ¥420M / 300K visitors. Rest are not reported. May be after Sun, or Mon (16:00 JST), we might have a day-to-day breakdown (if lucky). I believe it's somewhere above ¥950M after Sat. Overall, great result. Just this USD-JPY conversion by Studio a bit of confusing.

2022 Conan has fallen behind 2019 Conan (which is yet to receive an expansion on Last August that year). Though, it's a great result, considering how CoVid-19 gave the biggest OW to prequel and affect it lifetime. I think last year one had rushing audience across rural location. Still satisfying that this franchise is deacades old yet, keeps improving each year with new production.

I am very much satisfied with Fantastic Beast, though, I originally thought ¥3B finals. At present, I hope it exceed Parasite (¥4.7B), yeah... I will be very happy with ¥5B+ ending. Also, I hope Shin-Chan to back ¥2B too, it not far from it's peak ¥2.29B (2015 Shin-chan), Last ¥2B was 2019 Shin-Chan (¥2.08B).

1950 Japan Annual Box Office (Rental)
01. The Red Shoes : ¥99.04M
02. The Munekata Sisters : ¥83.78M
03. Snow White and the Seven Dwarfs : ¥81.45M
04. Sasaki Kojirō : ¥78.43M
05. Joan of Arc : ¥66.68M
06. The Makioka Sisters : ¥64.53M
07. San Antonio : ¥60.56M
08. Homecoming : ¥60.37M
09. The Red Bat : ¥58.81M
10. Manon : ¥58.73M

Calendar Year Release-wise gross.

Red Shoes : ¥27,624,114 / 327,120 visitors (8 weeks) Breaking Tokyo Box Office records at 24/4/1950 (Released on 1/3/1950)

In Japan, 1937 Snow White and the Seven Dwarf wasn't released in Japan until 09/1950. At start, WOM was not so great, later Trends came stronger, sending a strong message that we are the "leggiest market" in the world.

Detailed Breakdown (Month-wise)
09/1950 : ¥x0.56M
10/1950 : ¥15.41M
11/1950 : ¥x6.33M
12/1950 : ¥x5.07M
01/1951 : ¥13.28M
02/1951 : ¥x8.82M
03/1951 : ¥x6.02M
1st Year : ¥73.33M

There are some site links that I have posted earlier but it isn't clear to find detailed revenue as numbers are decimated (like ¥80M for The Munekata Sisters deeper actuals at ¥83.78M)

I will look for some more sites including for pre-1950s. Quite Interesting Data

Linking Some sites...
Former: https://entamedata.web.fc2.com/movie/top_jmovie.html
New Site: https://www.nippon-kino.net/die-groumls ... jahre.html

Doctor Strange 2
OD : ¥x,430,135,780 / 308,623 visitors
OP : ¥x,343,760,000 / 208,797 visitors
OW: ¥1,213,380,000 / 788,537 visitors

Shin Ultraman is supposed to release his week right? What are the expectations for it like?

@eigarankingnews expecting ¥1.1-1.2B on 1st 3-days of Opening, while expecting a final of ¥6B. I really don't know how this work gonna perform. Never had any film of this franchise exceeding ¥1B, as ATG of the franchise is at ¥838M made on 2008. Last work released on 2020 made ¥150M.... This work is entirely relaying on Hideaki Anno's reception. If I talk about sales then IMAX are selling well then any other formats, but I don't have any comparison for it ༎ຶ‿༎ຶ Let's see how it opens

I've fallen quite behind on updates! I'll have the Weekend Actuals for 04/30-05/01 and 05/07-08 posted later this evening.

Regarding Shin Ultraman, I haven't had time to check how it's doing in the early stages of reservations, but I find it doing over ¥1 billion in its first three-days very, very optimistic. I might be misjudging this one with just the knowledge of the franchise not being big at the box-office, but an opening that high and expecting it to also break ¥5 billion (or ¥6 billion) just seems really out there to me since its audience should still be quite limited even with Anno involved.

Reaching those numbers requires very significant casual moviegoer support. I'd consider, and I believe most others would, too, half of those figures to still be very impressive.

I'm almost tempted to NOT look at how it's doing anywhere before opening to be surprised if it does become a major breakout.

Presales aren't bad buuuuuuut...I don't think they look 1b worthy? I really don't.

Weekend Actuals (04/30-05/01)
01 (01) ¥734,809,250 ($5.64 million), -18%, ¥5,230,824,750 ($41.0 million), Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Toho) WK3
02 (03) ¥284,281,300 ($2.18 million), -09%, ¥872,403,450 ($6.7 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Toho) WK2
03 (02) ¥280,896,230 ($2.15 million), -15%, ¥3,383,737,830 ($26.9 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Warner Bros.) WK4
04 (---) ¥155,248,800 ($1.19 million), 0, ¥253,906,400 ($1.9 million), Radiation House: The Movie (Toho) NEW
05 (04) ¥128,055,740 ($982,000), +13%, ¥417,000,580 ($3.2 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2 (Shochiku) WK2
06 (---) ¥x87,978,230 ($675,000), 0, ¥188,121,550 ($1.4 million), xxxHOLiC (Shochiku) NEW
07 (05) ¥x81,126,730 ($622,000), -06%, ¥3,022,129,510 ($24.6 million), Sing 2 (Toho-Towa) WK7
08 (---) ¥x39,332,700 ($302,000), 0, ¥x84,216,000 ($0.6 million), Seventeen Power of Love: The Movie (Avex Entertainment) NEW
09 (08) ¥x34,522,900 ($265,000), -0.4%, ¥2,558,009,800 ($21.3 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars 2021 (Toho) WK9
10 (07) ¥x26,862,980 ($206,000), -36%, ¥2,861,345,190 ($24.0 million), The Last 10 Years (Warner Bros.) WK9

Actuals for TWO weeks ago! I'll get this past weekend's up here later, followed by the chart updates.

Weekend Actuals (05/07-08)
01 (01) ¥396,906,750 ($3.04 million), -46%, ¥6,968,151,200 ($54.3 million), Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween (Toho) WK4
02 (---) ¥343,767,080 ($2.64 million), 0, ¥1,213,385,750 ($9.3 million), Dr. Strange in the Multiverse of Madness (Disney) NEW
03 (03) ¥142,784,200 ($1.09 million), -50%, ¥1,472,886,450 ($11.3 million), Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden (Toho) WK3
04 (03) ¥140,099,440 ($1.07 million), -50%, ¥4,033,167,620 ($31.9 million), Fantastic Beasts: The Secrets of Dumbledore (Warner Bros.) WK5
05 (---) ¥120,857,100 ($927,000), 0, ¥166,861,160 ($1.3 million), Lesson in Murder (KlockWorx) NEW
06 (04) ¥x72,001,400 ($552,000), -54%, ¥603,501,350 ($4.6 million), Radiation House: The Movie (Toho) WK2
07 (05) ¥x45,997,160 ($353,000), -64%, ¥543,442,360 ($4.2 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2 (Shochiku) WK3
08 (07) ¥x41,712,720 ($320,000), -49%, ¥3,208,506,560 ($26.0 million), Sing 2 (Toho-Towa) WK8
09 (06) ¥x38,533,560 ($296,000), -56%, ¥376,326,540 ($2.9 million), xxxHOLiC (Shochiku) WK2
10 (08) ¥x21,224,900 ($163,000), -46%, ¥163,915,900 ($1.3 million), Seventeen Power of Love: The Movie (Avex Entertainment) WK2

And done! Drops look high because they are! This is the weekend coming out of Golden Week (and a discount weekend prior to it), so 50%+ drops are common.

2022 Chart Updates here in a bit.