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 Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus 
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/18-19); Charts Update
Thank you, Mitsuri. Interested to see what gets censored in Mugen Train if China decides to show it. I guess you could edit the amount of blood, but I'm assuming that IF any actual content is being considered here (and it's not just a case of China being China with their censoring), it's mostly related to the suicide scenes. I could see them maybe censoring or editing the moments of this towards the end of the film, but doing so in the dream sequence really, really messes with the story. Don't know how that'd be done.

Also, TV thread created for the anime in general (Season 2 in particular, but any discussions can go there) here: Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba (TV). (I'll have a link to this thread in my signature for easy access too.)

I don't want ALL Demon Slayer discussion to go there, just more of the related TV news/discussion. But don't think you can't discuss the anime or something here as well, just note that there's a dedicated thread to the anime specifically now.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Sep 26, 2021 10:58 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
01 (01) ¥359,000,000 ($3.25 million), -33%, ¥1,960,000,000 ($17.8 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) WK2
02 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($679,000), 0, ¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million), The First Gentleman (Toei/Nikkatsu) NEW
03 (02) ¥x67,000,000 ($607,000), -22%, ¥320,000,000 ($2.9 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) WK2
04 (03) ¥x53,000,000 ($480,000), -30%, ¥6,280,000,000 ($57.2 million), Belle (Toho) WK11
05 (06) ¥x45,000,000 ($408,000), -24%, ¥3,190,000,000 ($29.0 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK8
06 (04) ¥x39,000,000 ($353,000), -42%, ¥895,000,000 ($8.2 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) WK4
07 (---) ¥x35,000,000 ($317,000), 0, ¥x50,000,000 ($0.5 million), Blank (Star Sands/Kadokawa) NEW
08 (---) ¥x32,000,000 ($290,000), 0, ¥x50,000,000 ($0.5 million), Minamata (Long Ride/Albatross Film) NEW
09 (08) ¥x30,000,000 ($271,000), -14%, ¥4,375,000,000 ($40.0 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK12
10 (09) ¥x29,000,000 ($263,000), -15%, ¥940,000,000 ($8.6 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK6
11 (05) ¥x27,000,000 ($244,000), -57%, ¥200,000,000 ($1.8 million), Reminiscence (Warner Bros.) WK2
12 (07) ¥x27,000,000 ($244,000), -32%, ¥3,610,000,000 ($33.0 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK8


>Masquerade Night is doing great as expected, dominating the weekend box office once again. Silver Week was very good for it, so opening over it was the perfect decision. If it has a good third week, it'll probably be on track to reach the ¥4 billion (~$35-40 million) milestone. This will likely be the highest grossing film of the Fall (Sept.-Nov.) unless there's a big breakout before December.

>The First Gentleman did okay. Obviously not good, but openings for smaller live-action films like this in the off-season months are pretty standard and expected. If they can open close to/over ¥100 million and finish around ¥500 million, it's generally an acceptable result.

>Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 held very well in its second weekend. Very fan-driven films like this often see harsh drops for the first week or two before typically bouncing back with a giveaway or some other sort of event to bring fans back, so this drop is pretty encouraging for a potential longer run to me.

>Belle just keeps doing its thing. A larger drop than it's used to, but it was also very strong last weekend and throughout Silver Week, too, so a cooldown isn't unusual. Still looking at a finish around ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million), besting Mamoru Hosoda's previous highest grossing film by about 10%. Hosoda and Studio Chizu can claim they had the biggest film of the Summer for the first time, too.

>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings is certainly making the path to ¥1 billion difficult with another big drop. It's going to get there, most likely, but just barely. But at least Disney will get their first ¥1 billion film since 2019 and not be left out in Eiren's Yearly Report for a second consecutive year (assuming Shang-Chi does get there).

>F9: The Fast Saga has outgrossed Furious 7 to become the second highest grossing film in the franchise. I also just realized yesterday that Japan is its second best overseas territory after China.

>Tokyo Revengers has become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of 2021 by outgrossing Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final. The manga has sold over 20 million copies so far this year, and the anime has been popular, but it can still be tricky to find this level of success for a live-action adaptation despite major success in other formats, so big win here for everyone involved.

I expanded the Top 10 to a Top 12 this weekend since the bottom of the Top 10 is really contested. I normally just keep it to the Top 10, but depending on the next weekend, I may expand it to a Top 12 for awhile.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Sep 26, 2021 12:20 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
Wait is this Minimata thatJohnny Depp film that was basically blacklisted/delayed indefinitely in US?


Sun Sep 26, 2021 4:20 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
After looking it up, yes it is. Was it not released theatrically anywhere else? But it's not that surprising, I don't think, to be released in Japan. Reading the description, it's also set in Japan with many Japanese actors. And reviews seem to largely agree that Depp gives one of his best performances in years.

Johnny Depp is arguably the biggest Hollywood star in Japan still (alongside Tom Cruise), so it'd be more unusual if it wasn't released in theaters. His films pretty much always perform well in the market, Japan often being his #1 overseas market, with even the smaller ones like this performing better than about everywhere else. (Fantastic Beasts 3 is pretty likely to see a sharp decline without him in Japan now.)

Granted, it is being released through small, independent distributors, so it was given 199 theaters (though not too bad for a Long Ride film, might be one of their widest releases). 100 theaters is technically considered wide, but 199 is about two-thirds of a regular wide release and 55% or so of a very wide release.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Sep 26, 2021 7:23 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train's first TV broadcast ratings revealed. Go check it out!

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Sep 26, 2021 9:21 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
Corpse wrote:
Demon Slayer: Mugen Train's first TV broadcast ratings revealed. Go check it out!


A cannot be missed juicy information ;)


Sun Sep 26, 2021 9:33 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
Kanroji Mitsuri wrote:
JJK has already surpassed 55M in circulation (including digital copies and Vol 0) which is 650% growth since anime adaptation back in October 2020.

Theatrical Version JJK Movie 0 is just less than 90 days away from release. (Release Date: 24/12 (Fri)). 1st PV might drop between 1-15 October, 2021. Overseas distribution is yet to be decided. That is why I am scared that it might follow EVA 3.0+1.0 pattern for overseas. There is also no any English official website.

First Forecast/Prediction is ¥7B - ¥15B (However, it will depend upon OW. Lots of Western Works will hit Winter especially SM:NWH, Venom 2, Matrix 4 and The Kingsmen. :wacko: )

Corpse, What do you think about the final ranking in 2021 Japan Box Office?


Don't worry about anything affecting its opening weekend (or it affecting anything else). The Japan Box Office can handle many bigger films in the same month, especially in months like December. The casual moviegoer crowd is very small in the market, so most films have a pre-determined audience that turns out for them, mostly eliminating audience overlap.

But even then, there's not that many big films in December this year. The Kingsman is opening against it, but it's a small film. Venom 2 opens at the beginning of December and will be doing pretty small numbers in its fourth week (it's not a big film either). West Side Story will be leggy, and won't be impacting screen/showtime counts much at all. And I don't anticipate Spider-Man or Matrix to open against it, because Jujutsu Kaisen will get top billing (especially at Toho Cinemas).

Speaking of Spider-Man... It still doesn't have a release date. I'm still expecting it'll be scheduled for December (either the 10th or 17th), but the chances of it releasing in Spring 2022 (March or April) are increasing each week. Venom being in December might suggest this as well. It's a little uncommon for non-Toho studios to release their own films close together. We'll see. Release dates can be announced in just a month or two before a film opens, but it's more unusual for a film like Spider-Man to wait that long.

And just in case you didn't know, all December releases are counted as 2022 releases. Eiren ends the year at the end of November (similar to how Oricon ends their charts in November). So the top of the 2021 charts are mostly finished now, with just Masquerade Night seeing how high it can climb once it reaches the yearly Top 10 (either 6th or 7th position, most likely) in the coming weeks. The new Sword Art Online film in October may have a shot at the Top 10 as well, but I'll have to look over the full October/November schedule to see if anything else has a chance at the Top 10 this year.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Sep 27, 2021 12:15 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
Why do you think the new SAO movie will do much better than previous one, if I may ask? afaik the franchise was quite a bit stronger in 2017 in jp than it is now. Is it just due to giveaways seemingly rising in value since or is there more I'm missing?


Mon Sep 27, 2021 12:40 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
JustLurking wrote:
Why do you think the new SAO movie will do much better than previous one, if I may ask? afaik the franchise was quite a bit stronger in 2017 in jp than it is now. Is it just due to giveaways seemingly rising in value since or is there more I'm missing?


Well, the last one did ¥2.52 billion / 1.77 million admissions. Once Masquerade Night gets up into the Top 10 in a few weeks, it will bump the MHA movie down to 10th place for the year with something around ¥3.3 billion, making that the film and number to beat for anything hoping to crack the Top 10 that is released in October and November.

So the new SAO would need to increase a little over 30% to crack the Top 10 this year. I wouldn't normally expect a bump that big for a franchise with a long since established fanbase, but like you mentioned, giveaways have become a lot more common over the past couple years. Therefore I'd expect them to be plentiful for the new SAO given it probably has at least a few hundred thousand diehard fans who'd turn out to them over the course of its run.

4DX/MX4D has also become more popular, and it's becoming pretty standard for most films with a fanbase to be released at these locations since they're willing to pay the higher ticket prices. I don't know if the last SAO had 4DX/MX4D or not off the top of my head, but even if it did, the share this time around will be larger. I haven't checked to see if the new film is receiving 4DX/MX4D screenings yet, but if it's not when it opens, the chances of it expanding to them after a few weeks in its run is pretty likely I'd wager.

Not to say the new SAO is guaranteed to outgross the last film and increase the 30/35% that is needed to make the Top 10 this year, it's probably less likely than it is, but it's not unreasonable at this time I don't think. That 30% or so required would likely be closer to 20-25% in admissions too (assuming the premium format share is higher this time), making it a little easier.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Sep 27, 2021 2:01 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (09/25-26)
I see, makes sense. I guess we'll see how it goes.


Mon Sep 27, 2021 4:52 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (09/25-26)
Weekend Actuals (09/25-26)
01 (01) ¥347,653,850 ($3.14 million), -35%, ¥1,854,742,500 ($16.9 million), Masquerade Night (Toho) WK2
02 (---) ¥x75,000,000 ($679,000), 0, ¥122,841,440 ($1.1 million), The First Gentleman (Toei/Nikkatsu) NEW
03 (02) ¥x60,912,420 ($550,000), -30%, ¥280,929,400 ($2.5 million), Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku) WK2
04 (03) ¥x52,073,350 ($470,000), -31%, ¥6,270,106,850 ($57.1 million), Belle (Toho) WK11
05 (06) ¥x44,226,650 ($399,000), -26%, ¥3,183,773,400 ($29.0 million), My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho) WK8
06 (04) ¥x36,543,940 ($330,000), -45%, ¥880,924,910 ($8.1 million), Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney) WK4
07 (08) ¥x31,399,140 ($283,000), -11%, ¥4,380,828,440 ($40.0 million), Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.) WK12
08 (---) ¥x30,828,070 ($278,000), 0, ¥x58,305,560 ($0.5 million), Blank (Star Sands/Kadokawa) NEW
09 (---) ¥x30,000,000 ($271,000), 0, ¥x55,347,210 ($0.5 million), Minamata (Long Ride/Albatross Film) NEW
10 (NA) ¥x29,684,740 ($268,000), N/A, ¥265,551,760 ($2.4 million), Ryoma! Rebirth: The Prince of Tennis (Gaga) WK4
11 (07) ¥x28,269,160 ($255,000), -30%, ¥3,603,318,740 ($32.9 million), F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa) WK8
12 (09) ¥x28,036,000 ($253,000), -17%, ¥937,977,250 ($8.6 million), Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho) WK6


>Masquerade Night is dominating the box office right now, and enjoyed a robust Silver Week holiday frame to bring its 10-day total near ¥2 billion already. It should go on to become the highest-grossing film of the Fall (Sept.-Nov.), likely grossing around ¥4 billion ($35-40 million).

>The First Gentleman's weekend gross remains an estimate, but its 4-day total (slipped my mind the openers opened on Thursday last week due to the holiday) was revealed. It sold 95,589 admissions over its first four-days in release. As I said in the estimates, this isn't good by any means, but it's not too far off a standard opening for a smaller film in the Fall.

>Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 held pretty well in its second weekend. Not quite as strong as I estimated, and its 10-day total came down a bit, but it's respectable. If it plays out normally, it'll gross around ¥400 million, but it'll likely receive sort of boost during its run (like new merchandise in theaters or something) to push it a bit higher.

>Belle experienced one of its bigger drops to date, but it was also very strong last weekend and throughout Silver Week, too, so a cooldown isn't unusual. Still looking at a finish around ¥6.5 billion (~$60 million), besting Mamoru Hosoda's previous highest grossing film by about 10%. Hosoda and Studio Chizu can claim they had the biggest film of the Summer for the first time, too.

>Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings... I said it was still likely to reach ¥1 billion, becoming Disney's first film to reach this mark since 2019, but I don't know now. Both its weekend and total came in below estimates a bit, and while "a bit" shouldn't normally be too impactful, it definitely is when the numbers are at this level. I don't think it's going to reach ¥1 billion. Not impossible, but it's really unlikely heading into October (the weakest month).

>Tokyo Revengers has become Warner Bros.'s highest grossing film of 2021 by outgrossing Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final. The manga has sold over 20 million copies so far this year, and the anime has been popular, but it can still be tricky to find this level of success for a live-action adaptation despite major success in other formats, so big win here for everyone involved.

>Blank sold 43,169 admissions over its first 4-days in release, while Minamata sold 41,302 admissions in its first 4-days (its weekend gross above remains an estimate, but its 4-day total was released).

>F9: The Fast Saga has outgrossed Furious 7 to become the second highest grossing film in the franchise. Japan also became its second biggest overseas market several weeks ago, but I forgot to mention this in previous update. Its run is winding down though, so expect a finish a little shy of ¥3.7 billion (~$33.5 million). Pretty impressive.

I expanded the Top 10 to a Top 12 this weekend and will probably keep it as such for the weaker Fall period.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Sep 27, 2021 8:23 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films 2021
Top Grossing Films: 2021
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10.24 billion ($93.7 million) / 6.70 million [F] - Evangelion 3.0+1.0: Thrice Upon a Time (Toho/Toei/Khara)
¥10 billion ↨
¥7.52 billion ($69.3 million) / 5.38 million [E] - Detective Conan: The Scarlet Bullet (Toho)
¥6.27 billion ($57.1 million) / 4.51 million [73] - Belle (Toho)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.38 billion ($40.0 million) / 3.29 million [80] - Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.)
¥4.32 billion ($39.6 million) / 3.07 million [E] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final (Warner Bros.)
¥4.03 billion ($38.3 million) / 3.00 million [F] - New Interpretation Records of the Three Kingdoms (Toho)
¥3.81 billion ($36.5 million) / 2.83 million [F] - Loved Like a Flower Bouquet (Tokyo Theaters, Co./Little More)
¥3.60 billion ($32.9 million) / 2.38 million [52] - F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa)
¥3.18 billion ($29.0 million) / 2.31 million [52] - My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.78 billion ($26.9 million) / 2.26 million [F] - Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 (Toho)
¥2.41 billion ($23.1 million) / 1.75 million [F] - Poupelle of Chimney Town (Toho)
¥2.41 billion ($22.0 million) / 1.70 million [E] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Beginning (Warner Bros.)
¥2.16 billion ($20.5 million) / 0.79 million [F] - Takizawa Kabuki Zero 2020: The Movie (Shochiku)
¥2.11 billion ($19.1 million) / 1.04 million [E] - Mobile Suit Gundam: Hathaway (Shochiku)
¥2.01 billion ($19.1 million) / 1.56 million [F] - The Promised Neverland (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.90 billion ($18.3 million) / 1.37 million [F] - Gintama: The Final (Warner Bros.)
¥1.88 billion ($17.2 million) / 1.25 million [E] - Godzilla vs. Kong (Toho)
¥1.85 billion ($16.9 million) / 1.34 million [10] - Masquerade Night (Toho)
¥1.77 billion ($17.1 million) / 1.50 million [F] - Pokemon: Coco (Toho)
¥1.70 billion ($15.5 million) / 1.43 million [59] - Crayon Shin-chan: Shrouded in Mystery! Flowers of Tenkazu Academy (Toho)
¥1.53 billion ($13.9 million) / 1.10 million [E] - Character (Toho)
¥1.38 billion ($12.5 million) / 1.01 million [E] - The Fable II (Shochiku)
¥1.23 billion ($11.5 million) / 0.83 million [E] - Monster Hunter (Toho-Towa)
¥1.21 billion ($11.1 million) / 0.88 million [E] - Detective Conan: The Scarlet Alibi (Toho) *Compilation*
¥1.17 billion ($10.8 million) / 0.91 million [E] - Caution, Hazardous Wife: The Movie (Toho)
¥1.01 billion ($9.3 million) / 0.88 million [E] - A Morning of Farewell (Toei)

¥1 billion ↑
¥974.0 million ($8.9 million) / 0.76 million [E] - Honey Lemon Soda (Shin-Toho)
¥938.0 million ($8.6 million) / 0.74 million [38] - Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho)
¥900.0 million ($8.2 million) / 0.60 million [E] - Black Widow (Disney)
¥880.9 million ($8.1 million) / 0.58 million [24] - Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney)
¥845.5 million ($8.0 million) / 0.64 million [E] - Liar x Liar (Asmik Ace)
¥838.7 million ($7.7 million) / 0.66 million [E] - Brave: Gunjyo Senki (Toho)
¥821.2 million ($7.5 million) / 0.58 million [E] - Jungle Cruise (Disney)
¥817.2 million ($7.5 million) / 0.61 million [E] - Signal: The Movie (Toho)
¥789.5 million ($7.3 million) / 0.65 million [E] - Tom & Jerry (Warner Bros.)
¥772.4 million ($7.0 million) / 0.56 million [38] - Last of the Wolves (Toei)
¥670.0 million ($6.1 million) / 0.51 million [E] - Hell's Garden (Warner Bros.)
¥638.1 million ($6.2 million) / 0.49 million [E] - Tengaramon (Giggly Box)
¥635.5 million ($5.8 million) / 0.49 million [E] - Kiba: The Fangs of Fiction (Shochiku)
¥634.9 million ($6.0 million) / 0.47 million [E] - Jukai Village (Toei)
¥614.9 million ($5.6 million) / 0.50 million [E] - Beautiful Lure - A Modern Tale of "Painted Skin" (Nikkatsu)
¥579.1 million ($5.3 million) / 0.39 million [E] - The Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.)
¥546.5 million ($5.2 million) / 0.44 million [E] - Under the Open Sky (Warner Bros.)
¥534.7 million ($5.1 million) / 0.37 million [E] - Wonder Woman 1984 (Warner Bros.)

¥500 million ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Sep 27, 2021 8:24 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
Belle has got MX4D release from 22 October. I think MX4D will some how help Belle to surpass/near ¥7 billion. But, might lack behind Detective Conan Scarlet Bullet.

Quote:
And just in case you didn't know, all December releases are counted as 2022 releases. Eiren ends the year at the end of November (similar to how Oricon ends their charts in November). So the top of the 2021 charts are mostly finished now, with just Masquerade Night seeing how high it can climb once it reaches the yearly Top 10 (either 6th or 7th position, most likely) in the coming weeks. The new Sword Art Online film in October may have a shot at the Top 10 as well, but I'll have to look over the full October/November schedule to see if anything else has a chance at the Top 10 this year.

I know that Eiren and Oricon Ranking ends on November. But, I was just considering the period from January-December for a year. In fact, many Japanese Citizen do not care about Eiren period, but what is final numbers is something many are curious. I also end up in fight, explaining that Stand by Me 2 will be 2021 list. While they says: "It is a work of 2020 and will not be placed in the ranking of Eiren 2021." :(

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Mon Sep 27, 2021 8:43 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
Yeah. Those late November releases can be annoying. I hate when a bigger film (doesn't have to be a huge blockbuster or anything, just a fair sized hit) opens in the third or fourth week of November.

Really late to give Belle MX4D. That'd be its 15th week of release, and its prior weekend gross is probably going to be like...¥20 million, maybe, going into that week. Pretty much everyone interested in seeing it in theaters would have by then. I know Hosoda and Studio Chizu has a fanbase, but given how late this is, I have to question if many will come back to see it again.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Sep 28, 2021 12:15 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
The only late boost for Belle can only mean one thing, they expect it to be in award season, winning the Japan Academy Prize and grab an Oscars nomination.


Tue Sep 28, 2021 4:03 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
Minor Corrections:
Detective Conan: The Scarlett Bullet → ¥7.55 billion
Rurouni Kenshin: The Final → ¥4.35 billion

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Tue Sep 28, 2021 4:22 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
pookpooi wrote:
The only late boost for Belle can only mean one thing, they expect it to be in award season, winning the Japan Academy Prize and grab an Oscars nomination.

Belle and EVA will try for Oscar nominations: But, Belle is likely to get a nominee.
I actually lost trust in Academy Awards because Demon Slayer Mugen Train did not got any nomination in "Best Animation Feature" (Although, I know commercial success can not get you any of the Academy Awards. I am a very hardcore Kimetsu Fan. hehe)

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
There was no chance for DS to get the nomination. We discussed the reasons in detail before the nominations.


Tue Sep 28, 2021 4:30 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
Jack Sparrow wrote:
There was no chance for DS to get the nomination. We discussed the reasons in detail before the nominations.


Yeah, I know that. Actually, Oscar nominations could have easily added $5-$10M in US or $15M worldwide.
It's actually not that surprising as Avengers: Endgame also didn't win any awards. Most importantly, Commercial success can not determined the award.

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
Kanroji Mitsuri wrote:
Minor Corrections:
Detective Conan: The Scarlett Bullet → ¥7.55 billion
Rurouni Kenshin: The Final → ¥4.35 billion


I'll update them in next week's update. :thumbsup:

Also, a film that I forgot about that might have a shot at cracking the Top 10 this year (excluding December) is 007: No Time to Die. It's opening this weekend. I really forgot it was even coming out! (At least any time soon.) The 007 Franchise isn't particularly big in Japan, but they're somewhat successful, usually grossing around ¥2/2.5 billion or so. However...

The State of Emergency is being lifted, at last, on Thursday, so I was checking some theaters to see if they've updated their Friday (or weekend) showings in response yet (most haven't updated, but it looks like they will!). And the new 007 is opening this weekend just in time for the restrictions to be lifted! Friday is also the 1st, so being a discount day AND the first day that restrictions are lifted is probably going to really, really push ticket sales that day. It might burn off some demand over the weekend, but the total is more important than the opening weekend frame itself.

And since this is the last 007 with Daniel Craig, there could certainly be a "finale" factor here that benefits it. I wouldn't be surprised if it breaks out and does like ¥3.5/4 billion ($30-35 million+) or around there.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Sep 28, 2021 9:31 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
I have less idea about 007. But, last/final film is something that hyped people more and overall increase the fanbase. I will wait to see how it performs here.

BTW, Corpse, Can I post an important oversea update on EVA 3.0+1.01 and Belle 2021? only if you and other forum user does not mind.

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Wed Sep 29, 2021 10:42 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
You are most welcome to post any numbers that you have Kanroji. Even though Corpse tries super hard he is unable to get each and every information, so any numbers are appreciated in this forum. :thumbsup:


Wed Sep 29, 2021 10:48 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
Jack Sparrow wrote:
You are most welcome to post any numbers that you have Kanroji. Even though Corpse tries super hard he is unable to get each and every information, so any numbers are appreciated in this forum. :thumbsup:


Actually, it's about a release approval in a territory where Japanese films waited from 6 months before approval of release. Jack, I need permission before updating release approval/dates in the forum because sensitive information may sometimes damage the forum. So, I am very much worried before posting the data.

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Wed Sep 29, 2021 10:54 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
This is an open forum that is hardly being used or referenced at many places. Additionally you can use spoiler tag if it's a sensitive so as posters can decide if they really want to be exposed to the information. From what we have learnt from the past is these kind of information are usually available to public soon after so there is most probably never a breach. But if you are indeed bound by NDA to this information then both me and Corpse are not the right people to give you permission otherwise I would say go ahead and post the information. Forum most likely is safe from these kind of issues it's most likely users that need to be careful about their own geographical or any other restrictions.


Wed Sep 29, 2021 11:06 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (09/25-26); Charts Update
Jack Sparrow wrote:
This is an open forum that is hardly being used or referenced at many places. Additionally you can use spoiler tag if it's a sensitive so as posters can decide if they really want to be exposed to the information. From what we have learnt from the past is these kind of information are usually available to public soon after so there is most probably never a breach. But if you are indeed bound by NDA to this information then both me and Corpse are not the right people to give you permission otherwise I would say go ahead and post the information. Forum most likely is safe from these kind of issues it's most likely users that need to be careful about their own geographical or any other restrictions.


In that case, I will not cited the source and image of my information because Owner might request a copyright takedown. You can PM me for the source of my info. Thank you Jack for your advice. :thumbsup:

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