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 Japan Box-Office: Golden Week 2021 - Daily Estimates 
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st - Doraemon No.1 again
March 20-21st, 2010

1. Doraemon: Nobita's South Sea Adventure Toho $3,052,869 3 366 $8,341 -19 $15,186,858
2. Sherlock Holmes Warner Bros Int'l $2,635,227 2 444 $5,935 -28 $11,031,728
3. Pretty Cure All Stars DX2: Light of Hope - Protect the Rainbow Jewel! TOEI $2,455,741 1 159 $15,445 0 $2,455,741
4. Avatar Fox Int'l $2,264,913 13 504 $4,494 -20 $157,651,606
5. Liar Game: The Final Stage Toho $2,039,573 3 283 $7,207 -29 $15,202,440
6. Nine Kadokawa-Herald $1,334,174 1 313 $4,263 0 $1,763,558
7. Cirque Du Freak: The Vampire's Assistant Toho Towa $1,206,429 1 337 $3,580 0 $1,565,377
8. G-Force Walt Disney Int'l $1,132,095 1 352 $3,216 0 $1,132,095

9. Hurt Locker, The Broadmedia $786,133 3 85 $9,249 -1 $4,049,240
10. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: Lightning Fox Int'l $660,957 4 538 $1,229 -43 $13,088,915


Doraemon The Movie's third weekend drop is identical to last year's film, and it now holds a $5m lead after three weeks. $35m+ is still looking likely.

Sherlock Holmes's second weekend drop is helped by it being a 3day opener last week, but the drop is still excellent. $20m+ is going to happen.

Pretty Cure DX2 just kept going down with the release of more solid numbers. It's possible there was some ticket discount promotion going on since it was No.1 in admissions. Either way, it's a huge increase over last year's film.

Avatar isn't having quite the holds it had been, but it's still doing very well and has plenty left in the tank. If you give it a multiplier based off it's 13th week weekend, equal to some of the better ones during any given year, it still has $20/25m left. $175-185m or so is looking like a rough finish projection not knowing how Clash or Alice will effect it's run yet.

Liar Game: The Final Stage is keeping up with Doraemon which it opened against thanks to stronger weekdays, and having grossed $15m after three weeks, grossing approx. $5m for the week, $30m+ would be tough to miss.

All the other new releases opened to mediocre numbers.

The Hurt Locker stays flat for the week bringing it's three week total to $4m after a second expansion. It's hard to predict where it'll finish not knowing if it'll expand further and everything, but it's performance so far is excellent.

Percy Jackson has quite the hard drop in it's 4th week. $20m is more than likely out of the question now due to meh legs, but high teens is still solid.


___________________________________________________________________________________

After 13 Weeks,

Spirited Away - $199.8m ($2.4m week)
Howl's Moving Castle - $170.2m ($4m week)
Avatar - $157.7m ($5m week)
Bayside Shakedown 2 - $151.9m ($5.2m week)
Harry Potter 1 -$146.9m ($3.2m week)
Ponyo - $146.2m ($4.4m week)
Harry Potter 2 - $138.8m ($2.8 week)

Spirited Away's week gross looks odd because the $2.4m is the weekend alone, so there's some misunderstanding with the numbers there.

Top 10 USD

Spoiler: show
1. Spirited Away - $234m
2. Titanic - $201.4m
3. Howl's Moving Castle - $190m
4. Ponyo on the Cliff - $172.2m
5. Princess Mononoke - $165.5m
6. Bayside Shakedown 2 - $164.5m
7. Avatar - $157.7m
8. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone - $152.9m
9. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets - $142.8m
10. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - $121.6m


Top 10 Yen

Spoiler: show
1 Spirited Away ¥30.4b
2 Titanic ¥25.9b
3 Howl's Moving Castle ¥22b
4 Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone ¥20.3b
5 Princess Mononoke ¥19.3b
6 Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets ¥18b
7 Bayside Shakedown 2 ¥17.35b
8 Ponyo ¥15.5b
9 Avatar ¥14.45b
10 The Last Samurai ¥13.7b

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Wed Mar 24, 2010 5:02 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st - Doraemon No.1 again
Tracking seems to be very down for Alice this weekend and very very surprising for Pirates 4. Avatar seems to be tracking well still


Wed Mar 24, 2010 4:10 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st - Doraemon No.1 again
Corpse do you know how much is Avatar's total last week and weekend ?


Wed Mar 24, 2010 4:09 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st
Kicking the week off,
Eiga's Most Popular Films (3-23-10):



1. Yazima Beauty Salon The Movie: Reaching a Nevada Dream (4/29/10)
2. The Hurt Locker
3. Nine
4. Avatar
5. Sherlock Holmes
6. Pirates of the Caribbean 4 (May 2011)
7. Cirque du Freak: The Vampire's Assistant
8. Up in the Air
9. Alice in Wonderland (4/17/10)
10. Liar Game: The Final Stage

blue - opening this week
red - future release


Currently no openers are in the Top 10, but it's early in the week.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Mar 23, 2010 7:53 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st
March 20-21st, 2010 Rankings:

Image

1 1 Doraemon The Movie: Nobita's Mermaid King Battle Toho 3
2 NEW Pretty Cure DX2: Rainbow Ray of Hope! Toei
3 2 Sherlock Holmes WB 2
4 3 Liar Game: The Final Stage Toho 3
5 4 Avatar FOX 13
6 NEW Nine Kadokawa/Shochiku
7 NEW Cirque du Freak: The Vampire's Assistant Toho/Towa
8 NEW G-Force Disney

9 6 The Hurt Locker Broadmedia Studio 3
10 5 Percy Jackson and the Olympians: The Lightning Thief FOX 4
11 8 Princess and the Frog Disney 3

Doraemon keeps the top spot for a third week in a row, exceeding Y1.5b ($17m or so) after three weeks.

It sounds like the new Pretty Cure movie grossed Y300m ($3.2/3.3m) for it's opening on 160 screens. Very impressive opening, 130% more than last year's film. This also means that Doraemon had to have a very, very strong hold this weekend since it grossed $3.9m last weekend.

Sherlock Holmes crosses Y1b yen ($11m) after two weeks. $20m should be a lock now.

Up in the Air debuted at No.12, ihope.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Last edited by Corpse on Tue Mar 23, 2010 8:29 pm, edited 3 times in total.



Tue Mar 23, 2010 7:31 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st
I can't find anything about it yet. I'm doubting it was given much of a release though.

It may have missed the Top 10 entirely though because films 8-10 will probably consist of Avatar, Percy Jackson, both of which would be tough to beat, and the last spot being either The Hurt Locker/Princess and the Frog/Hana no Ato/Did You Hear About The Morgans?.

Also, Avatar was 7th last weekend in Admissions, so it probably fell out of the Top 10 in Admissions this week. But since it's tickets are so high (2x the avg), it should still be in the Top 5. Over 80% of Avatar's screens are 3D/Imax now, so that's going to inflate it for awhile, too. So Cirque du Freak, Nine, and G-Force will be lower when rankings are released tomorrow.

And Avatar likely hit, or came close to, the 9m admission mark this weekend, too. 8.7m after last weekend, so 300,000 for the week was possible. Looks like it'll finish with around 10m, which isn't anything special (Ponyo/Howl - 15m/15m+, Titanic - 16.8m, Spirited Away - 23m), but one still can't deny it's box office run or total.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Sun Mar 21, 2010 9:14 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st
How did Up in the Air perform?


Sun Mar 21, 2010 9:06 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st
March 20-21st Admission Rankings (Top 7):

Image

1 - Pretty Cure DX2 / Defend the Jewel ☆ Rainbow Ray of Hope!
2 1 Doraemon The Movie: Battle of the Mermaid King 3
3 2 Sherlock Holmes 2
4 3 Liar Game: The Final Stage 3
5 - Cirque du Freak: The Vampire's Assistant
6 - Nine
7 - G-Force


I know very little about the Pretty Cure series or the films, but it clearly did big business this weekend. I do know that the popular group AKB48 performs the theme songs for the animated series though. Defend the Jewel ☆ Rainbow Ray of Hope! opened on 160 screens this weekend.

Another note, both Cirque du Freak and Nine were released on a Friday, so their debuts might seem a bit weak due to having a deflated 2day. THR has Cirque du Freak opening with $1.5m on 330 screens, but it's unclear if that's the 2day or 3day (usually it's the 3day).

And G-Force doesn't debut well. Add it to the list of non-Pixar CGI foreign films that disappoint or bomb in Japan.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Sun Mar 21, 2010 8:55 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st
Cirque du Freak (The Saga of Darren Khan) is, what seems to be, a fairly popular manga based on the book series. The film version has been quite popular for months now. The film has more votes (users on a scale of 1-5 rate how likely they are to see the film) than any film besides Nodame Cantabile, This Is It, One Piece: Strong World, and Avatar over the past 6 months on Eiga.

And Nine should do okay. Musicals tend to do solid business. Most musicals released in recent years have grossed near or over $20m.

I haven't found many numbers for this week/weekend, yet, but Liar Game: The Final Stage exceeded 1m admissions. And using a rough avg. ticket price, it should be around $15m after three weeks. So it looks like another strong week for it.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Sun Mar 21, 2010 1:43 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 20-21st
Wow I am definitely surprised with Cirque Du Freak and Nine.

I would say great for Avatar to be in Top 3 after so long in release


Fri Mar 19, 2010 11:40 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Heading into the weekend, here are the most popular films on Eiga (3/19/10):

1. The Hurt Locker
2. Avatar
3. Nine
4. Cirque du Freak: The Vampire's Assistant
5. Sherlock Holmes
6. Kamen Rider x Kamen Rider Trilogy Movie - Episode Red - May 22
7. Liar Game: The Final Stage
8. Up In The Air
9. Percy Jackson and the Olympians: The Lightning Thief
10. Hana No Ato
11. Nodame Cantabile The Movie II - April 17
12. Spider-Man 4 - TBA
13. The Girl Who Leapt Through Time (2010)
14. The Blind Side
15. 2012
16. Alice in Wonderland - April 17
17. Did You Hear About The Morgans?
18. Rhapsody Kidnapping - April 3
19. The Princess and the Frog
20. Doraemon The Movie: Mermaid King Battle
21. G-Force
22. Invictus
23. Solanin - April 3
24. Girl Next Door
25. Surely Someday - July 17

blue - new release
red - future release

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Fri Mar 19, 2010 10:32 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Estimates most of the time tend to be a bit high, and BOM has so many mistakes with their grosses internationally, I try to stay away from them if I can. Today I even found some more mistakes by them:

4 - Sen to Chihiro no Kamikakushi (Spirited Away) $713,048 - 230 - $3,100 $229,699,366 31
5 4 Sen to Chihiro no Kamikakushi (Spirited Away) $608,670 -14.6% 119 -111 $5,115 $230,308,036 32
7 5 Sen to Chihiro no Kamikakushi (Spirited Away) $622,826 +2.3% 119 - $5,234 $230,930,862 33
7 7 Sen to Chihiro no Kamikakushi (Spirited Away) $346,754 -44.3% 140 +21 $2,477 $229,548,046 34
8 7 Sen to Chihiro no Kamikakushi (Spirited Away) $336,214 -3.0% 144 +4 $2,335 $228,653,305 35
10 8 Sen to Chihiro no Kamikakushi (Spirited Away) $246,206 -26.8% 127 -17 $1,939 $229,607,878 36

It ended up less than where it was at in week 31? And they have it's total at $229m? Yeah, not right at all. Variety's $234m looks a little low now (the weekend numbers above would put it near $233m alone, and weekdays are just as strong if not stronger normally), too, but it's far more accurate than BOM.

Harry Potter 1 is also above their $152.9m that I've been using, that was the total before it fell out of the Top 10 but it was still doing over $250,000 each weekend on over 100 screens. The total is likely more around $155/156m or so.

Those are just a few of many mistakes (if only because they lacked the information) BOM's International Section has.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Thu Mar 18, 2010 4:11 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Wow the estimated total of 155M was not even close to the actual figure of 152M.

Corpse very nice information with the weekly things. I thought weekdays were weaker than weekends but it seems that is not the case for Japan :thumbsup:


Thu Mar 18, 2010 12:19 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Since Avatar is looking to pass Ponyo sometime in April to become the 4th biggest film all-time in USD, I'd like to compare their weekly box office. I'll compare Bayside Shakedown 3 to them this summer, too.

Week 1 - Avatar ($6.8m 2-day, $14.5m 5-day) vs Ponyo ($11.6m 2-day, $13.8m with previews)
Week 2 - Avatar: $20.5m ($35m)* vs Ponyo: $15.5m ($29.3m)
Week 3 - Avatar: $15.5m ($50.5m) vs Ponyo: $18.7m ($48m)
Week 4 - Avatar: $14.7m ($65.2m) vs Ponyo: $17.4m ($65.4m)
Week 5 - Avatar: $12.5m ($77.7m) vs Ponyo: $24.6m ($90m)*
Week 6 - Avatar: $14.3m ($92m) vs Ponyo: $14.2m ($104.2m)
Week 7 - Avatar: $16m ($108m) vs Ponyo: $13.3m ($117.5m)
Week 8 - Avatar: $13.6m ($121.6m) vs Ponyo: $7.9m ($125.4m)
Week 9 - Avatar: $7.9m ($129.5m) vs Ponyo: $6.3m ($131.7m)
Week 10 - Avatar: $12m ($141.5m) vs Ponyo: $2.2m ($133.9m)
Week 11 - Avatar: $4.7m ($146.2m) vs Ponyo: $2.6m ($136.5m)
Week 12 - Avatar: $6.4m ($152.6m) vs Ponyo: $5.3m ($141.8m)
Week 13 - Avatar: $?.?m ($???.?m) vs Ponyo: $4.4m ($146.2m)

*Big Holiday Week


I was only able to track Ponyo on Variety until it's 13th week though.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Wed Mar 17, 2010 5:27 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
March 13-14th, 2010

1. Doraemon: Nobita's South Sea Adventure Toho $3,784,429 2 366 $10,340 -38 $10,758,575
2. Sherlock Holmes Warner Bros Int'l $3,641,763 1 441 $8,258 0 $4,567,460
3. Liar Game: The Final Stage Toho $2,876,983 2 283 $10,166 -34 $10,658,858
4. Avatar Fox Int'l $2,816,505 12 562 $5,012 -18 $152,562,185
5. Percy Jackson & The Olympians: Lightning Fox Int'l $1,156,957 3 562 $2,059 -43 $11,441,046
6. Hurt Locker, The Broadmedia $797,094 2 55 $14,493 62 $2,424,073
7. Did You Hear About The Morgans? Sony Int'l $607,494 1 226 $2,688 0 $783,669
8. Princess and the Frog, The Walt Disney Int'l $597,293 2 366 $1,632 -42 $2,351,380
9. After the Flowers TOEI $334,720 1 82 $4,082 0 $480,710
10. Oceans GAGA $280,791 8 250 $1,123 -55 $25,136,280


Avatar:

1. $14.5
2. $20.5 - $35m
3. $15.5m - $50.5m
4. $14.7m - $65.2m
5. $12.5m - $77.7m
6. $14.3m - $92m
7. $16m - $108m
8. $13.6m - $121.6m
9. $7.9m - $129.5m
10. $12m - $141.5m
11. $4.7m - $146.2m
12. $6.4m - $152.6m


Instead of showing the weekend number for each week, I'm going to begin using the actual week number since weekdays are normally stronger than the weekend number.

After 12 weeks,

Spirited Away - $197.4m ($8.3m week)
Howl's Moving Castle - $166.2m (a number is left off it's Week 11 total, so no accurate number)
Avatar - $152.6m ($6.4m week)
Bayside Shakedown 2 -$146.7m ($6.2m week)
Harry Potter 1 - $143.7m ($2.2m week)
Ponyo - $141.8m ($5.3m week)
Harry Potter 2 - $136.1m ($0.8m week)

Top 10 USD

Spoiler: show
1. Spirited Away - $234m
2. Titanic - $201.4m
3. Howl's Moving Castle - $190m
4. Ponyo on the Cliff - $172.2m
5. Princess Mononoke - $165.5m
6. Bayside Shakedown 2 - $164.5m
7. Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone - $152.9m
8. Avatar - $152.6m
9. Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets - $142.8m
10. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - $121.6m



Top 10 Yen

Spoiler: show
1 Spirited Away ¥30.4b
2 Titanic ¥25.9b
3 Howl's Moving Castle ¥22b
4 Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone ¥20.3b
5 Princess Mononoke ¥19.3b
6 Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets ¥18b
7 Bayside Shakedown 2 ¥17.35b
8 Ponyo ¥15.5b
9 Avatar ¥13.8b
10 The Last Samurai ¥13.7b

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Wed Mar 17, 2010 4:56 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
BOM reports slightly different numbers than Variety and THR. Variety and THR are also different, but the difference is very small ($146.2 vs $146.4m for example) between them.

All of Jiffy's numbers from Weeks 1-8 are from Variety, but Weeks 9 and 10 from BOM, 11 from Variety, and finally 12 from BOM. Variety doesn't release Japan's numbers until Wednesday.

As for Week 10, I think it was inflated because Coraline took some 3D screens in Week 9, so it rebounded. And Week 11 is low most likely due to the top two openers (Doraemon and Liar Game) making almost $11m combined, by far the two biggest openers during Avatar's run so far, and Week 10 being inflated.

But there isn't really any "normal" with Japan's box office when looking at weekly drops or increases.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Wed Mar 17, 2010 2:46 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Thanks jiffy and Corpse for the updates but how come both of your numbers are not matching after week 9?

Also Corpse 10th week is at 12M whereas 9th and 11th week look normal?


Wed Mar 17, 2010 2:16 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Last weekend BOM had Avatar at $148.5m (then yen total, 13.1, was suggesting $146/$147 which Variety and THR ended up with), so it would be about $6.5m (-8%) gained in week 12 using BOM's total last week and their total this week.

Using Variety/THR, the run is:

1. $14.5
2. $20.5 - $35m
3. $15.5m - $50.5m
4. $14.7m - $65.2m
5. $12.5m - $77.7m
6. $14.3m - $92m
7. $16m - $108m
8. $13.6m - $121.6m
9. $7.9m - $129.5m
10. $12m - $141.5m
11. $4.7m - $146.2m


We'll know their week 12 total tomorrow.

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Wed Mar 17, 2010 1:44 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
soagg wrote:
Hmm 155M with 2.8M for the weekend. With the current drop rate I would say that it will make about 15M more in the next 4 weeks for a total of 170M. I have considered modest 20% drops for the weekends and about 2M weeks. Still 200M looks shaky the only thing I can see is that the average for weekdays could go a bit higher


Avatar's weekly run:

01. $14,553,033
02. $20,497,687 (+40.8%) - $35,050,720
03. $15,497,968 (-24.4%) - $50,548,688
04. $14,662,666 (-5.4%) - $65,211,354
05. $12,521,638 (-14.6%) - $77,732,992
06. $14,245,196 (+13.8%) - $91,978,188
07. $16,064,142 (+12.8%) - $108,042,330
08. $13,578,893 (-15.5%) - $121,621,223
09. $9,422,534 (-30.6%) - $131,043,757
10. $9,539,672 (+1.2%) - $139,083,640
11. $7,129,722 (-25.3%) - $146,213,362
12. $8,830,308 (+23.9%) - $155,043,670

It's not just making $17m over the next four weeks. Should be good for about $25m unless the bottom randomly falls out.


Wed Mar 17, 2010 1:20 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Hmm 155M with 2.8M for the weekend. With the current drop rate I would say that it will make about 15M more in the next 4 weeks for a total of 170M. I have considered modest 20% drops for the weekends and about 2M weeks. Still 200M looks shaky the only thing I can see is that the average for weekdays could go a bit higher


Wed Mar 17, 2010 12:36 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
BOM differs slightly from THR/Variety, but it's usually not too different. I'll post Variety tomorrow though since I use it for week to week tracking.

March 13-14th, 2010

1 1 Eiga Doraemon: Nobita no ningyo daikaisen Toho $3,845,984 -38.1% 366 - $10,508 $10,933,567 2
2 N Sherlock Holmes WB $3,700,997 - 441 - $8,392 $4,641,752 1
3 2 Raiâ gêmu: Za fainaru sutêji (Liar Game: The Final Stage) Toho $2,923,778 -33.5% 283 - $10,331 $10,832,229 2
4 3 Avatar Fox $2,862,317 -18.2% 562 -25 $5,093 $155,043,670 12
5 4 Percy Jackson & The Olympians: The Lightning Thief Fox $1,175,775 -43.3% 562 +1 $2,092 $11,627,139 3
6 8 The Hurt Locker n/a $810,059 +62.2% 55 +8 $14,728 $2,463,501 2
7 N Did You Hear About the Morgans? Sony $625,224 - 227 - $2,754 $804,265 1
8 5 The Princess and the Frog WB $607,008 -41.5% 366 +3 $1,658 $2,389,626 2
9 N Hana no ato Toei $340,164 - 82 - $4,148 $488,529 1
10 6 Oceans GAGA $285,359 -54.6% 250 -17 $1,141 $25,545,132 8
11 7 Saru lock Showgate $284,449 -48.7% 226 - $1,259 $3,101,844 3
12 9 Otouto (About/Younger Brother) Shochiku $281,818 -40.3% 305 - $924 $19,969,473 7



Good hold for Doraemon. It's second weekend matches the opening weekend of last year's film. It should reach $35m+ with $40m being possible.

Sherlock Homes opens well, and is likely going to finish near or slightly over $20m.

And a good hold for Liar Game as well, making up a $1.5m difference between it and Doraemon after 9 days. But it likely won't have the late legs to beat Doraemon, but $30+ will happen regardless.

Avatar is slightly down from estimates, but still a great weekly/weekend hold. 380 or so it's it's 562 screens are 3D, so it'll be doing strong until April 3rd (Clash of the Titans), and may take a critical hit as it'll probably lose about all of it's remaining ones to Alice on April 17th. But 4 weeks is a lot of time to bring in the money.

Percy Jackson was hit kinda hard this weekend for some reason, but it still added about $3m for the week. $20m is still possible, but it may be difficult now.

The Hurt Locker only adds 8 screens, but the buzz surrounding it's BP win is making it surge. An increase in PTA, and up over 60%. Very nice.

Hana no Ato isn't a new opener, it's been in limited release for 3 weeks. It's performing nicely though, and should add more screens in the weeks to come.

Oceans is beginning to lose screens, but it's surpassed Earth already and can still reach $30m.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


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Tue Mar 16, 2010 11:08 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
The 20th Century Boys Trilogy is great. It was one of the most expensive films in the country, 6b yen total, and it was well worth it. You can find the films fairly easy. Total box office for the three films was $120m.

Chapter 1 Trailer

(Plot Summary: Kenji and his friends start to notice a series of odd occurences related to their childhood. A mysterious cult-leader named "friend" is out to destroy the world, and it has something to do with Kenji's childhood memories) is great.



Yatterman was also good, though a bit messy. It actually opened against Doraemon last year and claimed the top spot. It went on to finish with $32m.

Plot Summary: A mysterious gem called the "Skull Stone" said to be able to reveal the location of the largest vein of gold in the world. This legend has entranced many people who wanted to get their hands on fame, power and wealth, including the Dorombo Gang. However, their hunt for the Skull Stone is not as easy as they imagined, mainly due to the faulty information they receive from their leader; and most of all, by a justical duo of pursuers called the "Yatterman".


Paprika is a film by the amazing Satoshi Kon which might fit into what you're looking for, maybe:

Plot Summary: In the near future, a revolutionary new psychotherapy treatment called PT has been invented. Through a device called the "DC Mini" it is able to act as a "dream detective" to enter into people's dreams and explore their unconscious thoughts. Before the government can pass a bill authorizing the use of such advanced psychiatric technology, one of the prototypes is stolen, sending the research facility into an uproar. In the wrong hands, the potential misuse of the device could be devastating, allowing the user to completely annihilate a dreamer's personality while they are asleep. Renowned scientist, Dr. Atsuko Chiba, enters the dream world under her exotic alter-ego, code name "PAPRIKA," in an attempt to discover who is behind the plot to undermine the new invention.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Tue Mar 16, 2010 1:21 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Hey Toycorpse what sci-fi/action/adventure/animated japanese movies are worth watching?

Could you make some suggestions.

thanks


Tue Mar 16, 2010 12:23 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Yep.

There's also a showing of Summer Wars in a few weeks in a theatre in Cologne (part of the Fantasy Film Festival Nights)

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Tue Mar 16, 2010 12:20 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office (2010); March 13-14th
Wow, they had it at a library? That's awesome. It's a great movie, my favorite that I saw in 2008.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“Don't forget to smile in any situation. As long as you are alive, there will be better things later, and there will be many.”


Wakanda Forever


Mon Mar 15, 2010 11:55 pm
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