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 Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus 
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Acuals (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7)
It's still ultimately going to end up making a lot more than BoG in Japan right?


Mon Apr 20, 2015 3:03 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Acuals (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7)
Yep. Basically it will regain ground during Golden Week (from the 29th of april to the 5th of may), if not as soon as next monday since spring break ended when BOG was in the 10th day of its run.


Mon Apr 20, 2015 2:51 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Acuals (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7)
Oh I see, so it's going to lose ground to BoG over the next week days but then gain on it again afterward?


Mon Apr 20, 2015 2:46 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Acuals (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7)
It's pretty frontloaded as expected. It's already fallen behind Furious 7 at these chains.

@bullza : It was the second week of spring break. ROF will be on par or fall behind BOG in a few days but it will have Golden Week soon where as BOG didn't have anything later in its run.


Mon Apr 20, 2015 2:24 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Acuals (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7)
On Box office.com a Monday estimate of ¥91 million was given with 69,000 admission s and that seems right with the ticket sales in the 43% share but...

Battle of Gods sold 988,000 tickets by it's 5th day.It sold 561,000 tickets opening weekend so thatd mean over Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday it sold an average of 142,000 tickets per day.

Why is it so much more than RoF when that movie opened so much higher?


Mon Apr 20, 2015 12:36 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Acuals (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7)
Monday sales according to that website

Conan - 30,545
DBZ - 28,372

Is that good or bad for DBZ?

Can we also work out what that relates to in gross based on the weekend actuals? DBZ made ¥960 million from that 43% ticket sales of 290,000.

So that'd mean Monday it made ¥94 million? Would that be accurate?


Mon Apr 20, 2015 10:23 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
Biggest April Opening Weekends (1998-)

01. ¥1.316 billion ($14.0 million) / 828,149 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
02. ¥960.6 million ($8.1 million) / 715,727 [653] - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (2015)
03. ¥874.8 million ($7.4 million) / 688,623 [349] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (2015)

04. ¥789.3 million ($7.8 million) / 649,865 [341] - Detective Conan: Dimensional Sniper (2014)
05. ¥671.9 million ($6.8 million) / 531,987 [729] - Red Cliff Part II (2009)
06. ¥671.5 million ($6.9 million) / 565,914 [344] - Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (2013)
07. ¥629.7 million ($7.7 million) / 540,975 [351] - Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker (2012)
08. ¥593.2 million ($6.0 million) / 501,700 [341] - Detective Conan: The Raven Chaser (2009)
09. ¥570.7 million ($5.8 million) / 420,958 [314] - Crowz Zero II (2009)
10. ¥563.1 million ($6.0 million) / 437,613 [410] - Nodable Cantabile: The Final Score (Part 2) (2010)
11. ¥561.9 million ($6.0 million) / 431,527 [352] - Detective Conan: The Lost Ship in the Sky (2010)
12. ¥551.6 million ($6.6 million) / 423,675 [375] - Gantz: Perfect Answer (2011)
13. ¥550.1 million ($6.5 million) / 453,619 [332] - Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (2011)
14. ¥548.3 million ($4.6 million) / 385,428 [640] - Furious 7 (2015)
15. ¥543.5 million ($4.7 million) / 449,917 [293] - Detective Conan: The Private Eyes' Requiem (2005)
16. ¥504.1 million ($4.6 million) / 394,231 [435] - The Haunted Mansion (2004)
¥500 million+

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Apr 20, 2015 9:53 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekend Animated Features
Top 25 Opening Weekends [ANIMATED FEATURES]

Weekend Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Release Date)
01. ¥1.629 billion ($14.0 million) / 1,484,916 [408] :: Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec '14) [#1 All-Time Domestic OW]
02. ¥1.484 billion ($14.0 million) / 1,104,980 [448] :: Howl's Moving Castle (Nov. '04)
03. ¥1.372 billion ($16.7 million) / 1,140,081 [300] :: One Piece Film Z (Dec. '12)
04. ¥1.133 billion ($14.1 million) / 771,764 [223] :: Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov. '12)
05. ¥1.038 billion ($11.9 million) / 819,738 [190] :: One Piece Film Strong World (Dec. '09)
06. ¥1.034 billion ($9.8 million) / 812,557 [481] :: Ponyo (July '08)
07. ¥1.010 billion ($8.9 million) / 810,000 [318] :: Spirited Away (July '01)
08. ¥977.3 million ($11.1 million) / 649,249 [530] :: Toy Story 3 (July '10)
09. ¥960.9 million ($9.8 million) / 747,451 [454] :: The Wind Rises (July '13)
10. ¥960.6 million ($8.1 million) / 715,727 [653] :: Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (Apr. '15)
11. ¥907.4 million ($7.9 million) / 672,696 [435] :: Tales from Earthsea (July '06)
12. ¥898.0 million ($8.4 million) / 724,000 [654] :: Finding Nemo (Dec. '03)
13. ¥895.6 million ($10.4 million) / 680,190 [447] :: Arrietty (July '10)
14. ¥874.8 million ($7.4 million) / 688,623 [349] :: Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Apr. '15)
15. ¥847.5 million ($8.4 million) / 614,969 [661] :: Monsters University (July '13)
16. ¥789.3 million ($7.8 million) / 649,865 [341] :: Detective Conan: Dimensional Sniper (Apr. '14)
17. ¥780.9 million ($6.5 million) / 742,978 [351] :: Pokemon D&P: The Rise of Darkrai (July '07)
18. ¥767.2 million ($7.6 million) / 554,991 [319] :: Stand By Me, Doraemon (Aug. '14)
19. ¥763.4 million ($7.5 million) / 602,347 [598] :: Frozen (Mar. '14)
20. ¥751.8 million ($7.3 million) / 604,355 [689] :: The Incredibles (Dec. '04)
21. ¥715.0 million ($6.1 million) / 540,000 [260] :: Princess Mononoke (July '97)
22. ¥703.8 million ($6.7 million) / 670,285 [359] :: Pokemon D&P: Giratina and the Sky Warrior (July '08)
23. ¥683.9 million ($7.3 million) / 561,098 [312] :: Dragon Ball Z: Battle of Gods (Mar. '13)
24. ¥672.6 million ($7.1 million) / 641,700 [366] :: Pokemon D&P: Arceus and the Jewel of Life (July '09)
25. ¥671.5 million ($6.9 million) / 565,914 [344] :: Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (Apr '13)


Recently Bumped Off:
26. ¥667.3 million ($7.2 million) / 597,899 [353] :: Doraemon: Nobita's Secret Gadget Museum (Mar. '13)
27. ¥649.8 million ($6.4 million) / 539,132 [329] :: Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (Dec. '13)
28. ¥644.7 million ($5.8 million) / 557,310 [351] :: Doraemon: Nobita's Space Record of Space Heroes (Mar. '15)
29. ¥629.7 million ($7.7 million) / 540,975 [351] :: Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker (Apr. '12)
30. ¥629.5 million ($7.2 million) / 600,602 [369] :: Pokemon D&P: Zoroark - Master of Illusion (July '10)


Upcoming Major Animated Features:
The Boy and the Beast (07/11/15)
Pokemon XY: The Archdjinni of the Rings - Hoopa (07/18/15)
Inside Out (07/18/15)
Evangelion 4.0: Final (Winter '15)
Yo-Kai Watch 2 (Dec. '15)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Last edited by Corpse on Mon Apr 20, 2015 9:56 am, edited 2 times in total.



Mon Apr 20, 2015 9:52 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
Budgets are rarely reported, but few films receive a budget of ¥1 billion ($8/9 million) or greater, so $5 million doesn't seem farfetched. If I find anything about it, I'll let you know.

Weekend actuals:

¥960,586,350 ($8.1 million) / 715,727 [653 screens] - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F
¥874,762,300 ($7.4 million) / 688,623 [349 screens] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno
¥548,347,100 ($4.6 million) / 385,428 [640 screens] - Furious 7
¥389,405,800 ($3.3 million) / 329,977 [339 screens] - Crayon Shin-chan: My Moving Story! Cactus Large Attack!

Crazy weekend! It looks like a mid-July weekend. All the openers set franchise record opening weekends, as well as various other records that I'll mention later today.

And with all the openers improving upon estimates, and with the holdovers unlikely to change much from estimates, this weekend should be either the 6th or 7th biggest of all-time now! And depending on where it lands once the holdover numbers are in, it might be the biggest non-July weekend of all-time, too!

I'll post a full Weekend Ranking update this evening, just wanted to share the craziness of this weekend early. :thumbsup:

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Apr 20, 2015 9:28 am
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
According to Deadline the budget for DBZ is $5 million. I assume they got that figure from the place they got the $8.2 million figure.

You'd know where to look better than me but can you find me a link to the budget?


Mon Apr 20, 2015 2:57 am
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
That's amazing, I never thought it would opened that high. I'm so pleased with that.

And here I was yesterday hoping it'd hit ¥800 million lol.

Battle of Gods hit ¥1,772 million by its second weekend. Can this movie hit ¥2 billion in the same time?


Mon Apr 20, 2015 1:43 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
Actually, the weekend actual for it has been released early. :thumbsup:

¥960,586,350 ($8.1 million) / 715,727 [653 screens] - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F

That's massive. It won the weekend in gross and yen according to Toei. I'll wait before updating the charts I posted above again for the actual to come in for Detective Conan, but you can scroll up to see how high it ranks on them

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Apr 20, 2015 1:05 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
It's not impossible. If it played well at Aeon Cinemas and the avg. ticket price is higher than expected, it could have very well opened that high.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Apr 20, 2015 12:45 am
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
"Gotta point out that F7 had stiff competition from Fox’s Dragonball Z: Resurrection F in Japan, which was No. 1 with an estimated $8.2M across Saturday and Sunday. That is a 43% higher opening than Fox’s Dragonball Z: Battle Of Gods in 2013."

Well $8.2 isn't 43% higher than $7.3 and 43% higher than ¥684 million would be ¥978 million and it could never be that high surely?


Sun Apr 19, 2015 10:02 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
Biggest April Opening Weekends (1998-)

01. ¥1.316 billion ($14.0 million) / 828,149 [859] - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
02. ¥880.0 million ($7.4 million) / 700,000 [658] - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (2015) *Est.*
03. ¥860.0 million ($7.2 million) / 700,000 [349] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (2015) *Est.*

04. ¥789.3 million ($7.8 million) / 649,865 [341] - Detective Conan: Dimensional Sniper (2014)
05. ¥671.9 million ($6.8 million) / 531,987 [729] - Red Cliff Part II (2009)
06. ¥671.5 million ($6.9 million) / 565,914 [344] - Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (2013)
07. ¥629.7 million ($7.7 million) / 540,975 [351] - Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker (2012)
08. ¥593.2 million ($6.0 million) / 501,700 [341] - Detective Conan: The Raven Chaser (2009)
09. ¥570.7 million ($5.8 million) / 420,958 [314] - Crowz Zero II (2009)
10. ¥563.1 million ($6.0 million) / 437,613 [410] - Nodable Cantabile: The Final Score (Part 2) (2010)
11. ¥561.9 million ($6.0 million) / 431,527 [352] - Detective Conan: The Lost Ship in the Sky (2010)
12. ¥551.6 million ($6.6 million) / 423,675 [375] - Gantz: Perfect Answer (2011)
13. ¥550.1 million ($6.5 million) / 453,619 [332] - Detective Conan: Quarter of Silence (2011)
14. ¥543.5 million ($4.7 million) / 449,917 [293] - Detective Conan: The Private Eyes' Requiem (2005)
15. ¥520.0 million ($4.4 million) / 385,000 [???] - Furious 7 (2015) *Est.*
16. ¥504.1 million ($4.6 million) / 394,231 [435] - The Haunted Mansion (2004)
¥500 million+

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Apr 19, 2015 3:59 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
Cynosure wrote:
I'd say ¥4 billion is almost locked for both, no ? I mean, unless they have really really really bad legs.


Detective Conan is very likely to hit the milestone, and may reach ¥4.5 billion. None of the films have received multipliers under 5, so actuals will need to come in much lower than estimates and legs will need to be some of the worst in the franchise to miss ¥4 billion.

Dragon Ball Z should also get there, but there is a slight chance that it could miss ¥4 billion, stalling out after it crosses ¥3.5 billion. The last film was pretty frontloaded (a 4.37 multiplier is pretty weak), and this one has some mixed reviews, but more importantly there are the freebies going out to the first 1.5 million attendees. That'll cause some additional frontloading, however, it has the upcoming Golden Week frame to help support it unlike the last release.

Most of this discussion depends on what the actual opening weekends are for each film, though, so let's wait and see.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Apr 19, 2015 2:46 pm
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Post Re: JP Box-Office: Biggest Weekends
Biggest All-Time Weekends (Top 10 Films) [1998-]

01. ¥3.601 billion - 07/09-10/2005 (#1 Film - Star Wars Episosde III: Revenge of the Sith)
02. ¥3.427 billion - 05/03-04/2014 (#1 Film - Frozen)
03. ¥3.423 billion - 07/19-20/2003 (#1 Film - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge!)
04. ¥3.329 billion - 07/21-22/2007 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix)
05. ¥3.314 billion - 07/22-23/2006 (#1 Film - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest)
06. ¥3.160 billion - 04/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Alice in Wonderland)
07. ¥3.048 billion - 07/21-22/2001 (#1 Film - Spirited Away)
08. ¥3.046 billion - 12/20-21/2014 (#1 Film - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan!)
09. ¥2.987 billion - 04/18-19/2015 (#1 Film - Dragon Ball Z or Detective Conan TBD!)
10. ¥2.963 billion - 07/17-18/2010 (#1 Film - Arrietty)
11. ¥2.960 billion - 07/18-19/2009 (#1 Film - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince)
12. ¥2.917 billion - 07/10-11/2010 (#1 Film - Toy Story 3)

If estimates hold, this weekend's Top 10 recorded the 9th biggest weekend, and there's still a little room to make the Top 10 if estimates drop a little.

Next weekend has potential to make the Top 10, too, and the frequent biggest weekend every year, the start of Summer weekend (July 18-19 this year) has a good shot, too.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Apr 19, 2015 1:50 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekend Animated Features
Top 25 Opening Weekends [ANIMATED FEATURES]
Weekend Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Release Date)

01. ¥1.629 billion ($14.0 million) / 1,484,916 [408] :: Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Dec '14) [#1 All-Time Domestic OW]
02. ¥1.484 billion ($14.0 million) / 1,104,980 [448] :: Howl's Moving Castle (Nov. '04)
03. ¥1.372 billion ($16.7 million) / 1,140,081 [300] :: One Piece Film Z (Dec. '12)
04. ¥1.133 billion ($14.1 million) / 771,764 [223] :: Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Nov. '12)
05. ¥1.038 billion ($11.9 million) / 819,738 [190] :: One Piece Film Strong World (Dec. '09)
06. ¥1.034 billion ($9.8 million) / 812,557 [481] :: Ponyo (July '08)
07. ¥1.010 billion ($8.9 million) / 810,000 [318] :: Spirited Away (July '01)
08. ¥977.3 million ($11.1 million) / 649,249 [530] :: Toy Story 3 (July '10)
09. ¥960.9 million ($9.8 million) / 747,451 [454] :: The Wind Rises (July '13)
10. ¥907.4 million ($7.9 million) / 672,696 [435] :: Tales from Earthsea (July '06)
11. ¥898.0 million ($8.4 million) / 724,000 [654] :: Finding Nemo (Dec. '03)
12. ¥895.6 million ($10.4 million) / 680,190 [447] :: Arrietty (July '10)
13. ¥880.0 million ($7.4 million) / 700,000 [658] :: Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (Apr. '15) *Est.*
14. ¥860.0 million ($7.2 million) / 700,000 [349] :: Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Apr. '15) *Est.*
15. ¥847.5 million ($8.4 million) / 614,969 [661] :: Monsters University (July '13)
16. ¥789.3 million ($7.8 million) / 649,865 [341] :: Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Apr. '14)
17. ¥780.9 million ($6.5 million) / 742,978 [351] :: Pokemon D&P: The Rise of Darkrai (July '07)
18. ¥767.2 million ($7.6 million) / 554,991 [319] :: Stand By Me, Doraemon (Aug. '14)
19. ¥763.4 million ($7.5 million) / 602,347 [598] :: Frozen (Mar. '14)
20. ¥751.8 million ($7.3 million) / 604,355 [689] :: The Incredibles (Dec. '04)
21. ¥715.0 million ($6.1 million) / 540,000 [260] :: Princess Mononoke (July '97)
22. ¥703.8 million ($6.7 million) / 670,285 [359] :: Pokemon D&P: Giratina and the Sky Warrior (July '08)
23. ¥683.9 million ($7.3 million) / 561,098 [312] :: Dragon Ball Z: Battle of Gods (Mar. '13)
24. ¥672.6 million ($7.1 million) / 641,700 [366] :: Pokemon D&P: Arceus and the Jewel of Life (July '09)
25. ¥671.5 million ($6.9 million) / 565,914 [344] :: Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (Apr '13)


Recently Bumped Off:
26. ¥667.3 million ($7.2 million) / 597,899 [353] :: Doraemon: Nobita's Secret Gadget Museum (Mar. '13)
27. ¥649.8 million ($6.4 million) / 539,132 [329] :: Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (Dec. '13)
28. ¥644.7 million ($5.8 million) / 557,310 [351] :: Doraemon: Nobita's Space Record of Space Heroes (Mar. '15)
29. ¥629.7 million ($7.7 million) / 540,975 [351] :: Detective Conan: The Eleventh Striker (Apr. '12)
30. ¥629.5 million ($7.2 million) / 600,602 [369] :: Pokemon D&P: Zoroark - Master of Illusion (July '10)


Upcoming Major Animated Features:
The Boy and the Beast (07/11/15)
Pokemon XY: The Archdjinni of the Rings - Hoopa (07/18/15)
Inside Out (07/18/15)
Evangelion 4.0: Final (Winter '15)
Yo-Kai Watch 2 (Dec. '15)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Apr 19, 2015 1:26 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
I'd say ¥4 billion is almost locked for both, no ? I mean, unless they have really really really bad legs.


Sun Apr 19, 2015 1:25 pm
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Star Trek XI

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates (DBZ/Conan/Furious 7
Maybe ¥4 billion is possible after all.


Sun Apr 19, 2015 1:13 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Estimates
Weekend Estimates (04/18-19)

ImageImage

01 (--) ¥880 million ($7.4 million), 0, ¥880 million ($7.4 million), Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (Toei) NEW
02 (--) ¥860 million ($7.2 million), 0, ¥860 million ($7.2 million), Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Toho) NEW
03 (--) ¥520 million ($4.4 million), 0, ¥690 million ($5.8 million), Furious 7 (Toho-Towa) NEW
04 (--) ¥370 million ($3.1 million), 0, ¥370 million ($3.1 million), Crayon Shin-chan: My Moving Story! Cactus Large Attack!) (Toho) NEW
05 (02) ¥75 million ($630,000), -35%, ¥2.52 billion ($21.1 million), Assassination Classroom (Toho) Week 5
06 (03) ¥74 million ($620,000), -41%, ¥750 million ($6.3 million), April Fools (Toho) Week 3
07 (01) ¥72 million ($605,000), -56%, ¥390 million ($3.2 million), Solomon's Perjury (Part 2) (Shochiku) Week 2
08 (04) ¥52 million ($440,000), -57%, ¥3.74 billion ($31.4 million), Doraemon: Nobita's Space Record of Space Heroes (Toho) Week 7
09 (06) ¥49 million ($415,000), -40%, ¥240 million ($2.0 million), Birdman: Or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance) (Fox) Week 2
10 (07) ¥35 million ($295,000), -49%, ¥2.27 billion ($19.1 million), Into the Woods (Disney) Week 6
11 (08) ¥33 million ($630,000), -50%, ¥2.22 billion ($18.6 million), Strobe Edge (Toho) Week 6
12 (--) ¥25 million ($210,000), 0, ¥25 million ($210,000), Whiplash (Gaga) NEW

Major weekend! Using the estimates, the Top 10 combine for almost ¥3 billion, which is close to being one the Top 10 Biggest Weekends of All-Time, and I think the second or third biggest weekend outside of Summer. (I'll do some research on this later).

Just bonkers for both Dragon Ball Z and Detective Conan, practically opening in major blockbuster territory, and Furious 7 and Crayon Shin-chan also recorded franchise high debuts, too!

The estimates for Dragon Ball Z and Detective Conan are honestly too close to determine which one will be on top tomorrow, though, and even using many comparisons for each doesn't really help figure out which one may have the edge. When numbers are this high, every % point changes the results drastically.

I'm assuming Detective Conan played better than Dragon Ball Z outside of the usual locations (namely Aeon Cinemas), so it's probably going to rank #1 in admissions, but sometimes Toei releases do well at Aeon Cinemas, too, so it's not certain. And I'm going to assume Dragon Ball Z will rank #1 in gross thanks to higher ticket prices, but the 3D share is very low (doesn't look higher than 20%), so if it loses by enough admissions, it's also not completely certain!

We'll just have to wait until actuals tomorrow to know for sure.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Apr 19, 2015 1:04 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Battle (DBZ vs Detective Conan
Usual Locations (43% of Market) - Weekend Admissions (04/18-19)

Weekend Results:

Admissions (% change) [#Theaters/#Showtimes] - Film (Distributor) Week of Release
289,857 (--) [145/2,024] - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (Toei) NEW
287,715 (--) [145/1,735] - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Toho) NEW
166,166 (--) [149/1,844] - Furious 7 (Toho-Towa) NEW
126,590 (--) [145/1,377] - Crayon Shin-chan: My Moving Story! Cactus Large Attack! (Toho) NEW

25,597 (-38%) [137/808] - Assassination Classroom (Toho) Week 5
21,649 (-42%) [118/796] - April Fools (Toho) Week 3
21,240 (-56%) [139/1,048] - Solomon's Perjury (Part 2) (Shochiku) Week 2
17,099 (-39%) [91/657] - Birdman (Fox) Week 2
15,936 (--) [12/147] - Whiplash (Gaga) NEW
12,347 (-58%) [137/414] - Doraemon: Nobita's Space Record of Space Heroes (Toho) Week 7
10,650 (-50%) [144/471] - Into the Woods (Disney) Week 6
10,307 (-50%) [132/413] - Strobe Edge (Toho) Week 6

I'll have Weekend Estimates up shortly!

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Apr 19, 2015 12:06 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Biggest Toho Openers
Toho Cinemas Saturday/Weekend Admissions (Overall Weekend Admissions) [Mid 2013-]

Toho Opening Day/Weekend (Overall OW), Toho OD/OW multiplier (Overall OW Weekend multiplier)
133,455/270,558 (1,484,916), x2.03 (x5.49) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (12/20/14)
85,115/167,188 (747,451), x1.96 (x4.47) - The Wind Rises (07/20/13)
73,910/149,004 (???,???), x2.02 (x?.??) - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (04/18/15)
68,575/159,180 (717,948), x2.32 (x4.51) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (09/13/14)
66,769/127,822 (???,???), x1.91 (x?.??) - Dragon Ball Z: Revival of F (04/18/15)
64,398/133,273 (649,865), x2.07 (x4.88) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (04/19/14)
62,250/120,489 (500,837), x1.94 (x4.16) - Maleficent (07/05/14)
59,492/121,802 (614,969), x2.05 (x5.05) - Monsters University (07/06/13)
59,192/123,606 (602,347), x2.09 (x4.87) - Frozen (03/15/14)
51,800/108,724 (539,132), x2.10 (x4.96) - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (12/07/13)
51,181/114,523 (554,991), x2.24 (x4.85) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (08/09/14)
50,274/88,560 (396,280), x1.76 (x4.47) - The Last: Naruto the Movie (12/06/14)
48,518/106,501 (557,310), x2.20 (x5.23) - Doraemon: Nobita's Space Record of Space Heroes (03/07/15)
46,570/94,181 (463,556), x2.02 (x4.92) - Big Hero 6 (12/20/14)
43,669*/75,635 (322,162), x1.73 (x4.26) - The After-Dinner Mysteries (08/03/13)
42,541/94,650 (530,544), x2.22 (x5.60) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (03/08/14)
42,537/91,182 (429,918), x2.14 (x4.71) - The Eternal Zero (12/21/13)
40,635/79,373 (339,048), x1.95 (x4.27) - Godzilla (07/26/14)
40,414*/74,131 (363,451), x1.83 (x4.90) - Midsummer Formula (06/29/13)
40,336/82,063 (???,???), x2.03 (x?.??) - Furious 7 (04/18/15)
39,836/84,982 (365,356), x2.13 (x4.30) - Thermae Romae II (04/26/14)
38,885/85,462* (464,839), x2.20 (x5.44) - Pokemon Best Wishes: ExtremeSpeed Genesect - Mewtwo Awakens (07/13/13)
37,960/88,488* (393,522), x2.33 (x4.45) - SPEC: Close - Incarnation Part 2 (11/30/13)
37,829/78,485 (433,346), x2.08 (x5.52) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Great Kyoto Fire Arc (08/02/14)
36,995/79,454 (386,994), x2.15 (x4.87) - The Kiyosu Conference (11/09/13)
35,447/68,592 (330,385), x1.94 (x4.91) - Fast and Furious 6 (07/06/13)
33,778/67,625 (360,190), x2.00 (x5.33) - Pokemon XY: The Cocoon of Destruction & Diancie (07/19/14)
33,358/76,023 (345,921), x2.28 (x4.55) - SPEC: Close - Incarnation Part 1 (11/02/13)
32,618/64,093 (302,992), x1.96 (x4.73) - Transformers: Age of Extinction (08/09/14)

30,000+/60,000+
*Stage Greeting/Discount Day boost.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Apr 19, 2015 11:56 am
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Battle (DBZ vs Detective Conan
Makes sense. But regarding numbers Corpse is a conservative. :P


Sun Apr 19, 2015 10:26 am
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Star Trek XI

Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 11:20 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Battle (DBZ vs Detective Conan
Well it probably won't be all that long before Corpse or the other guy on the other site give an estimate so we'll see what they have to say.

Going by Corpses estimate yesterday then if he went about it the same way then DBZ should have an estimated gross of ¥410 million today which would put it at ¥870 million or there about.


Sun Apr 19, 2015 10:16 am
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