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 Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus 
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Venom 2
Actual for Venom 2 came in lower than estimated. There appears to be a sort of "trend" of bigger Hollywood releases having a higher share of their opening weekends come from the urban prefectures than in the past. Or I suppose a lower share coming from the rural prefectures.

OW: ¥455,639,000 ($4.0 million) / 302,443
3-Day: ¥623,944,560 ($5.5 million) / 415,583

Still very good, of course, as it keeps its OW ranking on the Marvel/DC chart above (which I edited with the actual). Should be good for around ¥2.5 billion ($22/23 million), more than enough to push it above $500 million worldwide.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Dec 06, 2021 2:20 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (12/04-05)
Weekend Actuals (12/04-05)
01 (---) ¥455,639,000 ($4.03 million), 0, ¥623,944,560 ($5.5 million), Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Sony) NEW
02 (01) ¥299,416,430 ($2.65 million), -32%, ¥2,571,376,790 ($22.7 million), Arashi Anniversary Tour 5x20 FILM "Record of Memories" (Shochiku) WK2
03 (02) ¥125,331,990 ($1.11 million), -18%, ¥384,044,590 ($3.3 million), Encanto (Disney) WK2
04 (03) ¥x74,030,720 ($645,000), -14%, ¥951,869,980 ($8.3 million), Sumikko Gurashi: The Magical Child of the Blue Moonlit Night (Asmik Ace) WK5
05 (04) ¥x60,515,860 ($535,000), -16%, ¥1,427,806,850 ($12.6 million), And, the Baton Was Passed (Warner Bros.) WK6
06 (06) ¥x37,049,000 ($327,000), -25%, ¥1,214,826,100 ($10.7 million), What Did You Eat Yesterday? (Toho) WK5
07 (07) ¥x33,490,280 ($296,000), -27%, ¥1,277,033,413 ($11.3 million), Sword Art Online Progressive: Aria of a Starless Night (Aniplex) WK6
08 (---) ¥x32,723,180 ($289,000), 0, ¥x55,942,380 ($0.5 million), Aria the Benedizione (Shochiku) NEW
09 (05) ¥x31,871,840 ($282,000), -39%, ¥157,341,220 ($1.4 million), Dear Evan Hansen (Toho-Towa) WK2
10 (09) ¥x27,625,500 ($244,000), -39%, ¥323,082,650 ($2.9 million), The Mole Song: The Final (Toho) WK3


>Venom: Let There Be Carnage debuted atop the box office over the first weekend of December, opening 5% higher than its predecessor. The sequel sold an impressive 302,443 admissions over the weekend frame across 839 screens, and sold 415,583 admissions over its first three-days in release. This is actually the Second Biggest Opening Weekend for an Imported Film since 2019 (behind F9: The Fast Saga. Certainly a very good opening, and I believe we expect a finish close to ¥2.5 billion ($22 million) or so.

>Arashi Anniversary Tour 5x20 FILM "Record of Memories" held well over its sophomore frame, and in doing so, has already exceeded ¥2.5 billion on 796,000 admissions. So far its holds have been pretty good, and assuming the holds may improve a bit from this point forward, we could be looking at a finish above ¥4 billion ($35 million+), putting in the Top 10 of 2021 and possibly as high as fifth or sixth place.

>Encanto enjoyed a strong second weekend hold, it's just unfortunate the numbers themselves are quite low. The poor weekdays due to the time of year doesn't help either (its weekends currently account for a whopping 72% of its total right now). This is a good hold though, and if it can continue to hold well over the next couple weekends before it goes to Disney+, then it could reach around ¥700/750 million (~$6.5 million). I'm trying to find some positive words here, but this is just another clear bomb for Disney in Japan.

>Sumikko Gurashi achieved the best hold in the Top 10 this weekend thanks to an expansion it received due to its strong performance in recent weeks. It's very close to reaching the ¥1 billion milestone now, and will do so over next weekend. If it can remain in the Top 10 come New Year, I wouldn't rule out the film reaching as much as ¥1.5 billion (~$13 million).

>And, the Baton Was Passed rounds out the Top 5 with yet another great hold, taking its multiplier above 9 (x9.03) after just six weeks. It has earned almost double what Dune has for Warner Bros. in the market now, and still has a decent bit left in the tank as well. I'm expecting a finish around ¥1.7 billion (~$15 million).

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:25 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Top Opening Weekends 2022
Top Opening Weekends: 2022
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1 billion ↨
¥500 million ↨
¥455.6 million ($4.0 million) / 302,443 [839] - Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Sony)
¥300 million ↨
¥200 million ↨
¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:26 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Top Grossing Films 2021
Top Grossing Films: 2021
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10.24 billion ($93.7 million) / 6.70 million [F] - Evangelion 3.0+1.0: Thrice Upon a Time (Toho/Toei/Khara)
¥10 billion ↨
¥7.55 billion ($69.6 million) / 5.40 million [F] - Detective Conan: The Scarlet Bullet (Toho)
¥6.52 billion ($59.2 million) / 4.69 million [E] - Belle (Toho)

¥5 billion ↨
¥4.45 billion ($40.6 million) / 3.34 million [E] - Tokyo Revengers (Warner Bros.)
¥4.35 billion ($39.9 million) / 3.09 million [F] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Final (Warner Bros.)
¥4.03 billion ($38.3 million) / 3.00 million [F] - New Interpretation Record of the Three Kingdoms (Toho)
¥3.81 billion ($36.5 million) / 2.83 million [F] - Loved Like a Flower Bouquet (Tokyo Theaters, Co./Little More)
¥3.76 billion ($33.9 million) / 2.74 million [80] - Masquerade Night (Toho)
¥3.64 billion ($33.1 million) / 2.40 million [E] - F9: The Fast Saga (Toho-Towa)
¥3.37 billion ($30.8 million) / 2.43 million [E] - My Hero Academia: World Heroes' Mission (Toho)

¥3 billion ↨
¥2.78 billion ($26.9 million) / 2.26 million [F] - Stand By Me, Doraemon 2 (Toho)
¥2.67 billion ($23.8 million) / 1.85 million [66] - 007: No Time to Die (Toho-Towa)
¥2.57 billion ($22.7 million) / 0.80 million [10] - Arashi Anniversary Tour 5x20 FILM "Record of Memories" (Shochiku)
¥2.50 billion ($22.8 million) / 1.77 million [F] - Rurouni Kenshin: The Final Chapter - The Beginning (Warner Bros.)
¥2.47 billion ($23.6 million) / 1.79 million [E] - Poupelle of Chimney Town (Toho)
¥2.21 billion ($20.0 million) / 1.09 million [F] - Mobile Suit Gundam: Hathaway (Shochiku)
¥2.16 billion ($20.5 million) / 0.79 million [F] - Takizawa Kabuki Zero 2020: The Movie (Shochiku)
¥2.01 billion ($19.1 million) / 1.56 million [F] - The Promised Neverland (Toho)

¥2 billion ↨
¥1.90 billion ($18.3 million) / 1.37 million [F] - Gintama: The Final (Warner Bros.)
¥1.88 billion ($17.2 million) / 1.25 million [E] - Godzilla vs. Kong (Toho)
¥1.77 billion ($17.1 million) / 1.50 million [F] - Pokemon: Coco (Toho)
¥1.71 billion ($15.6 million) / 1.44 million [E] - Crayon Shin-chan: Shrouded in Mystery! Flowers of Tenkazu Academy (Toho)
¥1.53 billion ($13.9 million) / 1.10 million [E] - Character (Toho)
¥1.43 billion ($12.6 million) / 1.08 million [38] - And, the Baton Was Passed (Warner Bros.)
¥1.38 billion ($12.5 million) / 1.01 million [E] - The Fable II (Shochiku)
¥1.28 billion ($11.3 million) / 0.85 million [37] - Sword Art Online Progressive: Aria of a Starless Night (Aniplex)
¥1.23 billion ($11.5 million) / 0.83 million [E] - Monster Hunter (Toho-Towa)
¥1.21 billion ($10.7 million) / 0.90 million [33] - What Did You Eat Yesterday? (Toho)
¥1.21 billion ($11.1 million) / 0.88 million [E] - Detective Conan: The Scarlet Alibi (Toho) *Compilation*
¥1.17 billion ($10.8 million) / 0.91 million [E] - Caution, Hazardous Wife: The Movie (Toho)
¥1.16 billion ($10.2 million) / 0.77 million [31] - Eternals (Disney)
¥1.14 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.89 million [37] - I Don't Have Any Money Left in My Retirement Account! (Toei)
¥1.14 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.86 million [52] - Baragaki: Unbroken Samurai (Toho/Asmik Ace)
¥1.01 billion ($9.3 million) / 0.88 million [E] - A Morning of Farewell (Toei)
¥1.01 billion ($9.1 million) / 0.79 million [E] - Kaguya-sama: Love is War Final (Toho)

¥1 billion ↑
¥974.0 million ($8.9 million) / 0.76 million [E] - Honey Lemon Soda (Shin-Toho)
¥960.0 million ($8.8 million) / 0.63 million [E] - Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Disney)
¥951.9 million ($8.3 million) / 0.77 million [31] - Sumikko Gurashi: The Magical Child of the Blue Moonlit Night (Asmik Ace)
¥900.0 million ($8.2 million) / 0.60 million [E] - Black Widow (Disney)
¥845.5 million ($8.0 million) / 0.64 million [E] - Liar x Liar (Asmik Ace)
¥838.7 million ($7.7 million) / 0.66 million [E] - Brave: Gunjyo Senki (Toho)
¥821.2 million ($7.5 million) / 0.58 million [E] - Jungle Cruise (Disney)
¥817.2 million ($7.5 million) / 0.61 million [E] - Signal: The Movie (Toho)
¥808.1 million ($7.2 million) / 0.63 million [E] - In the Wake (Shochiku)
¥789.5 million ($7.3 million) / 0.65 million [E] - Tom & Jerry (Warner Bros.)
¥782.5 million ($7.1 million) / 0.57 million [E] - Last of the Wolves (Toei)
¥759.6 million ($6.7 million) / 0.48 million [52] - Dune (Warner Bros.)
¥741.7 million ($6.6 million) / 0.59 million [E] - Laws of the Universe: The Age of Elohim (Nikkatsu)
¥670.0 million ($6.1 million) / 0.51 million [E] - Hell's Garden (Warner Bros.)
¥638.1 million ($6.2 million) / 0.49 million [E] - Tengaramon (Giggly Box)
¥635.5 million ($5.8 million) / 0.49 million [E] - Kiba: The Fangs of Fiction (Shochiku)
¥634.9 million ($6.0 million) / 0.47 million [E] - Jukai Village (Toei)
¥614.9 million ($5.6 million) / 0.50 million [E] - Beautiful Lure - A Modern Tale of "Painted Skin" (Nikkatsu)
¥585.0 million ($5.4 million) / 0.41 million [E] - Free! The Final Stroke - Part 1 (Shochiku)
¥579.1 million ($5.3 million) / 0.39 million [E] - The Suicide Squad (Warner Bros.)
¥563.0 million ($4.9 million) / 0.48 million [E] - Tropical-Rouge! Precure: Snow Princess and Miraculous Ring (Toei)
¥546.5 million ($5.2 million) / 0.44 million [E] - Under the Open Sky (Warner Bros.)
¥534.7 million ($5.1 million) / 0.37 million [E] - Wonder Woman 1984 (Warner Bros.)

¥500 million ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Dec 07, 2021 11:26 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
There seems to be quite a buzz at the 99.9 movie in some Japanese threads i've seen.Apparently the TV show for it got around 17.7% TV rating. Does anyone know the show or its following?

edit: actually maxed out at 19.1% TV rating if this site https://asianwiki.com/99.9_Criminal_Lawyer to be believed.

If its big then we've got Matrix,JJK,99.99 as the biggest this month which could hold some surprises. Looking forward to seeing their box office.

edit 2: Some news about NWH https://www.cinematoday.jp/news/N0127529
In three days since advance tickets started selling,it sold 336% over the first movie (Spider-Man Homcoming) and 376% compared to the previous movie (Spider-Man Far from Home).Each was compared within their first three days.


Thu Dec 09, 2021 8:31 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Is it good for NWH ?


Thu Dec 09, 2021 9:27 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Well, it's not bad, but it's also hard to say. Numbers like 300% stronger certainly look massive, but it's misleading and No Way Home won't open anywhere near that above its predecessors. Presales in general, especially the advance Mubichike Card tickets (which aren't regular advance tickets) that the article is specifically talking about mostly appeal to the fans, are a lot stronger these days versus prior years.

Presales can also be pretty misleading early on. If you just go off that article, Homecoming had higher presales, thus likely opened higher than Far From Home. But that wasn't true at all. Far From Home opened 56% higher than Homecoming, but both films almost grossed the same in the end (¥3.06 billion for FFH and ¥2.8 billion for Homecoming). So it's hard togauge presales in the market until pretty much opening weekend, and totals can be vastly different than presales might suggest.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Thu Dec 09, 2021 9:55 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
KNYtracker777 wrote:
There seems to be quite a buzz at the 99.9 movie in some Japanese threads i've seen.Apparently the TV show for it got around 17.7% TV rating. Does anyone know the show or its following?

edit: actually maxed out at 19.1% TV rating if this site https://asianwiki.com/99.9_Criminal_Lawyer to be believed.

If its big then we've got Matrix,JJK,99.99 as the biggest this month which could hold some surprises. Looking forward to seeing their box office.


December should be a very good month, yep. Venom 2 just got it off to a very good start this past weekend.

99.9 had quite strong TV ratings (the season 2 finale hit 21%, ~11.5 million viewers), which is encouraging, but doesn't always translate to big box office results. Sometimes TV audiences just don't come out to theaters in any big way, but sometimes they do! There are some films based on a TV drama/comedy that only earn a 10% or so rating that sometimes outgross those that earn 15%+ ratings. Either way, it's always better to go in with a higher TV rating since that's more potential moviegoers. And 99.9 should certainly find a decently wide audience for New Year as an easy choice for adult audiences.

There's also The Boss Baby 2. The first film was a big breakout in Japan, becoming Dreamworks Animation's highest grossing film ever in the market. The second one could certainty do well too, especially as it's the only big younger/family film for the holidays. It'll be the go-to film for many of them.

Your Turn to Kill is Toho's big live-action film of the month/holidays which opens this weekend as well. Not seeing any signs of a significant performance yet, but its stage greetings on Friday are starting to fill up pretty nicely. Stage greetings selling out doesn't always translate to big numbers though since most interested can sometimes just hit them up, leaving the standard showings to be pretty weak/dead, so we'll see.

Pretty much every December release is appealing to/targeting different fanbases and demographics, so they all have the opportunity to reach their full potential.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Thu Dec 09, 2021 9:59 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
For North American members, the English-Dub trailer for "Belle" was released earlier today. It's opening in theaters and IMAX nationwide on January 14th. (Subbed showings will also be available.)


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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Thu Dec 09, 2021 2:47 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Corpse, Official Figure are out now for TOP 5.
I am posting the figures here
1. Evangelion 3.0+1.01: Thrice Upon A Time : ¥10.28B
2. Conan: The Scarlet Bullet: ¥7.55B
3. Belle : ¥6.53B
4. Tokyo Revengers : ¥4.47B
5. Rurouni Kenshin : ¥4.35B

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Fri Dec 10, 2021 12:38 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Widest Releases (Seating)
Widest Releases (Seating) Since 2015 (~70% of the Market):

Seating, [Theaters/Showings], Title (Month, Year)

1,336,504, [267/6,170] - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (Oct., 2020)
_______
1,123,168, [250/4,797] - Detective Conan: The Scarlet Bullet (Apr., 2021)
1,085,077, [267/3,786] - Frozen 2 (Nov., 2019)
_______
919,956, [258/3,250] - Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald (Nov., 2018)
816,498, [251/3,196] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018)
790,550, [257/3,511] - Evangelion 3.0+1.0: Thrice Upon A Time (Mar., 2021)
775,754, [262/2,657] - Toy Story 4 (July, 2019)
766,440, [241/2,556] - Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them (Nov., 2016)
728,306, [267/2,690] - Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (Dec., 2019)
725,315, [258/2,202] - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (Apr., 2019)
719,848, [261/2,370] - Weathering With You (July, 2019)
719,670, [261/2,374] - Aladdin (June, 2019)
714,702, [236/2,789] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015)
701,865, [247/2,864] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017)
_______
673,564, [264/2,300] - Venom: Let There Be Carnage (Dec., 2021)
670,255, [254/2,527] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017)
668,663, [236/2,346] - Finding Dory (July, 2016)
667,610, [245/2,327] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017)
658,842, [231/2,256] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
655,976, [249/1,832] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018)
648,401, [259/2,096] - Godzilla: King of the Monsters (June, 2019)
648,160, [252/2,037] - Dragon Ball Super: Broly (Dec., 2018)
641,067, [261/2,199] - Your Turn to Kill (Dec., 2021)
618,897, [267/2,568] - Belle (July, 2021)
610,314, [259/2,583] - Masquerade Night (Sept., 2021)
608,132, [250/1,979] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
605,267, [239/1,676] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017)
_______
585,196, [254/1,787] - One Piece Stampede (Aug., 2019)
547,894, [252/1,655] - Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of Moon Exploration (Mar., 2019)
533,783, [258/2,293] - Avengers: Endgame (Apr., 2019)
530,905, [230/1,502] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016)
530,456, [231/1,727] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015)
520,369, [237/1,744] - Jurassic World (Aug., 2015)
517,134, [260/1,835] - Spider-Man: Far From Home (June, 2019)
515,406, [233/1,460] - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (Mar., 2016)
508,224, [262/2,262] - 007: No Time to Die (Oct., 2021)
501,322, [240/1,487] - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Adventure in the Antarctic (Mar., 2017)


Note: Entry determined by widest day of a film's opening weekend (typically first Saturday).

Second weekend in a row that a film has cracked this list! Last weekend it was Venom: Let There Be Carnage, and this weekend it's Your Turn to Kill.

Once again though, this is mostly due to the current state of the box-office where the bottom half of the Top 10 aren't demanding many seats/showings at the moment, which allows new openers, especially when from major distributors, to secure more than they normally would.

Your Turn to Kill should do alright this weekend, but not anywhere really near what its seating/showtime counts normally suggest. Based on its Friday and Saturday presales/early showings, I'm thinking it might flirt with around ¥300 million / 200,000 admissions over the weekend. Which will be pretty good, not great of course, but legs have potential to be strong thanks to the release date. Mid-December releases, as long as they're not too frontloaded due to being fanbase-driven or a victim of poor WOM, frequently deliver multipliers above 8. So it has ¥2 billion+ potential perhaps.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Dec 10, 2021 7:23 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Kanroji Mitsuri wrote:
Corpse, Official Figure are out now for TOP 5.
I am posting the figures here
1. Evangelion 3.0+1.01: Thrice Upon A Time : ¥10.28B
2. Conan: The Scarlet Bullet: ¥7.55B
3. Belle : ¥6.53B
4. Tokyo Revengers : ¥4.47B
5. Rurouni Kenshin : ¥4.35B


:thumbsup:

Thank you. I'll update those that need it in next week's Top Grossing Films: 2021 update.

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“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
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Fri Dec 10, 2021 7:24 pm
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Post Germany 1958-1967
Here are some estimated admissions for Japanese movies from Germany 1958-1967:

3,214,000 1958 Insel der harten Männer / Onna shinju-ô no fukushû / Vengeance of the Female Pearl's
2,588,000 1966 Onibaba - Die Töterinnen / Onibaba / Onibaba
2,148,000 1965 U 2000 – Tauchfahrt des Grauens / Kaitei gunkan / Atragon
1,266,000 1961 Barfuß durch die Hölle / Ningen no jôken / The Human Condition
1,225,000 1964 Frauen unter nackter Sonne / Nippon No Yoru: Onna Onna Onna Monogatari / Women... Oh, Women!
940,000 1960 Hiroshima, mon amour / Nijuuyojikan no jouji / Hiroshima Mon Amour
904,000 1965 Der Lohn der Mutigen / Yûsha nomi / None But the Brave
900,000 1961 Wer sind Sie, Dr. Sorge? / Spy Sorge: Shinjuwan zenya / Soviet Spy
825,000 1967 Befehl aus dem Dunkel / Kaijû daisensô / Invasion of Astro-Monster
755,000 1959 Das Grauen schleicht durch Tokio / Bijo to ekitai ningen / The H-Man
683,000 1958 Die gelbe Venus von Kamakura / urutta kajitsu / Crazed Fruit
664,000 1964 Wir warten in Ashiya / Ashiya kara no hiko / Flight from Ashijya
613,000 1967 Das Insektenweib / Nippon konchûki / The Insect Woman
557,000 1960 Weltraum-Bestien / Chikyû Bôeigun / The Mysterians
511,000 1962 Barfuß durch die Hölle 2. Teil: Die Straße zur Ewigkeit / Ningen no jôken: Dai 2 hen / The Human Condition Part II
500,000 1964 Okinawa - Die längste Schlacht / Taiheiyô Sensô to Himeyuri Butai / The Pacific War and Himeyuri Corps
473,000 1966 Geschichten hinter Wänden / Kabe no naka no himegoto / Affairs Within Walls
458,000 1960 Der Rikschamann / Muhomatsu no issho / The Rickshaw Man
440,000 1967 Frankenstein - Der Schrecken mit dem Affengesicht / Furankenshutain tai chitei kaijû Baragon / Frankenstein vs. Baragon
426,000 1964 Das Frauenlager von Kampili / Shiroi hada to kiiroi taichô / Internees of Kampili
414,000 1966 X 3000 - Fantome gegen Gangster / Uchû daikaijû Dogora / Dogora
398,000 1963 Die Brücke nach Imphai / Gonin no totsugeki tai / ?
358,000 1960 Der König der silbernen Berge / Ginrei no ôja / Storm on the Silvery Peaks
248,000 1965 Night Ladies / Nihiki no mesu inu / Two Bitches
225,000 1967 Godzilla, der Drache aus dem Dschungel / Daikaijû kettô: Gamera tai Barugon / Gamera vs. Barugon
215,000 1967 Unersättliche Triebe / Kinjirareta tekunikku / Forbidden Techniques

1958 added

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Sat Dec 11, 2021 2:19 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Makoto Shinkai's (Your name,Weathering with you) next movie will be announced in Dec 15 at 11 JST.

https://twitter.com/kiminona_movie/status/1469502360632557571?s=20

Wonder if he can pull off another Your name.

could be 2022 release.If so then we he'll have Dragon ball,Slam dunk,One Piece,Shinkai's movie as the big announced anime movies to be released in 2022.


Sat Dec 11, 2021 4:25 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
You forgot Doraemon (which skipped 2021) and Detective Conan. Conan will outgross all but perhaps Shinkai's next film (if it's release next year) among these titles.

2022 is going to be quite top heavy with animated films. Jujutsu Kaisen will be on the 2022 charts as well. Seems likely they'll have a clear majority of films in the Top 10.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sat Dec 11, 2021 11:38 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Corpse wrote:
You forgot Doraemon (which skipped 2021) and Detective Conan. Conan will outgross all but perhaps Shinkai's next film (if it's release next year) among these titles.

2022 is going to be quite top heavy with animated films. Jujutsu Kaisen will be on the 2022 charts as well. Seems likely they'll have a clear majority of films in the Top 10.

True i forgot about them! from a quick search there's also western animations such as Sonic,Puss in boots,Lightyear,Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse,Turning red etc.

Conan might finally hit the 10B goal,although the yearly 1st likely to go shinkai's.


Sat Dec 11, 2021 11:07 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Here's a rough "expectations" guide on where all the currently announced animated films are likely targeting. (Note: These aren't predictions, just "likely" milestones they're either expected to gross, or have potential to approach.)

¥10 billion+ potential: Shinkai's latest (assuming a 2022 release), Jujutsu Kaisen 0, Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween
¥5 billion+ potential: One Piece Film Red, Slam Dunk, Lightyear (assuming Disney/Pixar recover), Minions: The Rise of Gru
¥3 billion+ potential: Doraemon: Nobita's Little Star Wars, Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero, Turning Red (assuming Disney/Pixar recover)
¥2 billion+ potential: Latest Pokémon (not announced, but they skipped 2021, so seems likely)
¥1 billion+ potential: Crayon Shin-chan: Mononoke Ninja Chinpuden, Bubble

Likely Sub-¥1 billion: Free! The Final Stroke - Part 2, BanG Dream! Poppin' Dream!, Ensemble Stars!! Road to Show!!, Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Part One), Puss in Boots: The Last Wish, DC League of Super Pets, The Bad Guys, Sonic the Hedgehog 2 (if you want to include it).

If all goes well with Lightyear, it *could*, maybe, approach ¥10 billion (Toy Story 3 and 4 just broke the milestone), but I question this one quite a bit. It appears to be appealing noticeably older, no toys actually involved in this one, so it may lack family/children appeal. It's also removed from the Toy Story franchise itself, being sort of pseudo-original film (Pixar originals typically have a ceiling around ¥4 billion), which likely limits it somewhat. (This is all also assuming Disney doesn't release it on Disney+ 30/45 days after its debut, otherwise it'll disappoint pretty badly.)

The one film I really don't know where to place is the Super Mario Bros. movie. Illumination has managed the difficult task of becoming a successfully established Western animation studio in the market, so that's a plus. And Mario was, of course, created in Japan and is super well-known and everything. But there's really no precedent here. I'd assume it has pretty high potential (¥5 billion+, perhaps), but Japan also has a long history of largely avoiding Western adaptations of local properties, so there's a possible scenario for a disappointment as well.

And there will be dozens more. Japanese films can often been announced pretty close to release (for example, Shinkai's latest being announced in a few days will be a July release if's announced for 2022), so not only have I likely missed quite a few already announced/on the schedule, there's going to be a lot more on the schedule for the second-half of 2022 that aren't even known about yet.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 12, 2021 12:15 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Serially, we have Shinkai new movie as No.1, Jujutsu Kaisen as No.2 &Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween Night as No.3 for Eiren 2022. I don't exactly know if JJK explode because current analyst projection is about ¥3B in three days that includes ¥800M-¥1.2B OD &Industry projection is about ¥7B, taking the point that Toho can mobilize 5M visitors with 5M JJK Novel 0.5 on OW. What ever it might be it will be interesting to see which work passes ¥20B or if will there be any. On the Other hand, Doraemon will project ¥4B with a possibility of ¥5B+ ending. And Shinchan will try to break ¥2B. While Pokemon 2022 will try to break ¥2.5B because the last work made ¥2.02B despite of strong competition from DS last year

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Corpse wrote:
The one film I really don't know where to place is the Super Mario Bros. movie. Illumination has managed the difficult task of becoming a successfully established Western animation studio in the market, so that's a plus. And Mario was, of course, created in Japan and is super well-known and everything. But there's really no precedent here. I'd assume it has pretty high potential (¥5 billion+, perhaps), but Japan also has a long history of largely avoiding Western adaptations of local properties, so there's a possible scenario for a disappointment as well.

And there will be dozens more. Japanese films can often been announced pretty close to release (for example, Shinkai's latest being announced in a few days will be a July release if's announced for 2022), so not only have I likely missed quite a few already announced/on the schedule, there's going to be a lot more on the schedule for the second-half of 2022 that aren't even known about yet.


I didn't put Mario since its part of the 2023 box office (On japan at least as you said before) But yes its one of the biggest ? along with avatar 2. You'd get people overestimating it like they did with Pokemon due to the recognizability and popularity of the IP.But then again you'd get people underestimating it due to the Pokemon movie as well.

I think it'll fair better then previous western adaptations since Nintendo has kept a tight leash on it and it looks to be much more family friendly then others.If they nail some aspects i can see it being a big family movie both WW and Japan.

Didn't know Japanese movie announcements are like this as well. Hollywood seems to have years of movies in place. Thanks again corpse for your detailed analysis on Dec releases and these couple of posts.


Sun Dec 12, 2021 1:41 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Yeah, Japan differs a lot from Hollywood and most Western markets (or most just in general). The second half of any given year is quite unknown until late-Spring or even into the Summer months. You can sort of anticipate what kind of films will be released in a certain month or on a specific weekend though.

For example, Shinkai's latest, assuming it gets announced as a 2022 release, will almost certainly be July 15th or 22nd. July through mid-August are generally chock full with tentpoles, animated films especially (and a notable live-action film typically takes the last weekend of July or first weekend of August) . Late-August tends to have a notable live-action film as well. The second or third weeked of September typically has a candidate for biggest film of the Fall. October and November are usually filled with smaller films, and very rarely any animated films unless they can be supported by a diehard fanbase (think SAO or Fate). If a notable live-action film opens these months, late-October is generally preferred (typically a very open market then). And December will have a notable Toho live-action film in the second or third weekend, usually something that will skew towards working adults since New Year is big for them.

And you have all your annual franchise films like Kaman Rider, Precure, Doraemon, Crayon Shin-Chan, Detective Conan, Anpanman, Pokemon, and more that almost always open the same weekends (or same months at the very least) every year.

So, it's pretty easy to predict the scheduling despite announcements being pretty late. You can fill in the calender will types of films that usually open in the same months or even weekends about every year and then edit their titles in when they're announced.

Many Japanese productions (especially animated) also come down to the wire. Jujutsu Kaisen 0, for example, might not be 100% out of post-production yet despite being 3 weeks away. Or it just wrapped. Some actors were just cast in October, and they were still doing some of the voice-acting just last month. And that's pretty common. You often see reports of work still ongoing just a month from release, or less, yet nearly all (a vast majority, like 99%+) still make their original release date. (Excluding COVID affecting certain films.)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun Dec 12, 2021 2:40 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Kanroji Mitsuri wrote:
Serially, we have Shinkai new movie as No.1, Jujutsu Kaisen as No.2 &Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween Night as No.3 for Eiren 2022. I don't exactly know if JJK explode because current analyst projection is about ¥3B in three days that includes ¥800M-¥1.2B OD &Industry projection is about ¥7B, taking the point that Toho can mobilize 5M visitors with 5M JJK Novel 0.5 on OW. What ever it might be it will be interesting to see which work passes ¥20B or if will there be any. On the Other hand, Doraemon will project ¥4B with a possibility of ¥5B+ ending. And Shinchan will try to break ¥2B. While Pokemon 2022 will try to break ¥2.5B because the last work made ¥2.02B despite of strong competition from DS last year

Dude, I seriously don't think you get the point that Toho isn't expecting to sell the gift on opening weekend. 7B OW is literally impossible, even if it sold 100% of all seats it receives it still won't get there, the distribution simply cannot go that far.

I don't understand why you are so adamant on this, One Piece film gold had the same 5M gift and didn't even have that many admissions in its entire run iirc. MHA 3 had a 1.5M gift and was nowhere near that in its OW. Hell, even record-breaking DS didn't clear its entire 4.5M giveaway in its OW.

5M gift does not mean "industry prediction" is 5M admissions for its OW, hell it probably won't even do half of that. An opening around Conan-tier seems much more likely to me given the scale of the franchise. These gifts are usually expected to be more of a long-term thing, not a "clear it in the OW" milestone.


Sun Dec 12, 2021 5:29 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
JustLurking wrote:
Kanroji Mitsuri wrote:
Serially, we have Shinkai new movie as No.1, Jujutsu Kaisen as No.2 &Detective Conan: The Bride of Halloween Night as No.3 for Eiren 2022. I don't exactly know if JJK explode because current analyst projection is about ¥3B in three days that includes ¥800M-¥1.2B OD &Industry projection is about ¥7B, taking the point that Toho can mobilize 5M visitors with 5M JJK Novel 0.5 on OW. What ever it might be it will be interesting to see which work passes ¥20B or if will there be any. On the Other hand, Doraemon will project ¥4B with a possibility of ¥5B+ ending. And Shinchan will try to break ¥2B. While Pokemon 2022 will try to break ¥2.5B because the last work made ¥2.02B despite of strong competition from DS last year

Dude, I seriously don't think you get the point that Toho isn't expecting to sell the gift on opening weekend. 7B OW is literally impossible, even if it sold 100% of all seats it receives it still won't get there, the distribution simply cannot go that far.

I don't understand why you are so adamant on this, One Piece film gold had the same 5M gift and didn't even have that many admissions in its entire run iirc. MHA 3 had a 1.5M gift and was nowhere near that in its OW. Hell, even record-breaking DS didn't clear its entire 4.5M giveaway in its OW.

5M gift does not mean "industry prediction" is 5M admissions for its OW, hell it probably won't even do half of that. An opening around Conan-tier seems much more likely to me given the scale of the franchise. These gifts are usually expected to be more of a long-term thing, not a "clear it in the OW" milestone.

Sorry, I didn't meant that I expect ¥7B OW lining with Toho. But, if they can distribute 5M Novels to 5M visitors in OW, then it's equal to ¥7B. I am just on the Analyst projection of ¥3B OW, where ¥800M-¥1200M is the expected OD. Nevermind but I am aware that ¥7B OW is impossible. And it's what they think, not me. At least, I can assure you that I am not a crazy one.

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Kanroji Mitsuri wrote:
Sorry, I didn't meant that I expect ¥7B OW lining with Toho. But, if they can distribute 5M Novels to 5M visitors in OW, then it's equal to ¥7B. I am just on the Analyst projection of ¥3B OW, where ¥800M-¥1200M is the expected OD. Nevermind but I am aware that ¥7B OW is impossible. And it's what they think, not me. At least, I can assure you that I am not a crazy one.

Dude, you aren't reading. Distributing 5M gifts does not mean TOHO expects an OW of 5 million admissions, the gifts dont disappear after the OW. The same way toei wouldn't expect OP film gold to do 5M admissions on its ow, or toho wouldn't expect MHA3 to do 1.5M admissions on its ow.

If anything it says they atleast expect to hit those numbers throughout the entire film's run, not its OW. Hell 800M-1.2B seems too high of a window to me even, not sure based on what you're even saying that's expected.


Sun Dec 12, 2021 10:56 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
JustLurking wrote:
Kanroji Mitsuri wrote:
Sorry, I didn't meant that I expect ¥7B OW lining with Toho. But, if they can distribute 5M Novels to 5M visitors in OW, then it's equal to ¥7B. I am just on the Analyst projection of ¥3B OW, where ¥800M-¥1200M is the expected OD. Nevermind but I am aware that ¥7B OW is impossible. And it's what they think, not me. At least, I can assure you that I am not a crazy one.

Dude, you aren't reading. Distributing 5M gifts does not mean TOHO expects an OW of 5 million admissions, the gifts dont disappear after the OW. The same way toei wouldn't expect OP film gold to do 5M admissions on its ow, or toho wouldn't expect MHA3 to do 1.5M admissions on its ow.

If anything it says they atleast expect to hit those numbers throughout the entire film's run, not its OW. Hell 800M-1.2B seems too high of a window to me even, not sure based on what you're even saying that's expected.

Okay, you are correct, I am wrong. It's okay, if it doesn't make ¥800M-¥1200M, or ¥3B OW, it's just I am expecting. Okay, I don't mind if I am wrong here. I am sorry if I have hurted anyone. I will only post if there are any official updates (like tweets, pdf.....) Once again, I apologise. I hope that I don't repeat the same mistake.

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Sun Dec 12, 2021 11:12 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (12/04-05); Charts Update
Corpse, do you know if Drive My Car had its official release in Japan already? IMDB says it opened there back in August but there aren't any reported numbers for it available, which is kind of surprising considering it is Japan's official Oscar submission, and having a solid run in US art houses right now.


Sun Dec 12, 2021 12:17 pm
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