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scores w/ estimates
https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=5406		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  Ghostooze [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 2:17 pm ]
Post subject:  scores w/ estimates
Post 'em.


http://www.boxofficefactor.com/calculate/Calculation.htm

lets see the 0%'s for Passion \:D/
Author:  The Scottie [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:16 pm ]
Post subject: 
Robots - (46.1 / 37) -- Accuracy: 75.41%
The Pacifier - (18.4 / 16.9) -- Accuracy: 91.12%
Be Cool - (12.6 / 10.7) -- Accuracy: 82.24%
Hostage - (7.8 / 9) -- Accuracy: 86.67%
Hitch - (7.7 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 93.90%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.7 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 78.72%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.0 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 69.57%
Constantine - (3.1 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 93.94%
Cursed - (1.5 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
The Passion Recut - (3.3 / 0.2) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.44%

New Release: 54.02%
Still in Theater: 86.05%

Well, with everyone getting a 0 for the Passion, I can't really complain.
Author:  Impact [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:17 pm ]
Post subject: 
Rank Film Predicted Estimate Est. Accuracy
1 Robots 55.0 37 51.35%
2 The Pacifier 15.3 16.9 90.53%
3 Be Cool 12.9 10.7 79.44%
4 Hostage 7.0 9 77.78%
5 Hitch 7.2 8.2 87.80%
6 Diary of a Mad Black Woman 6.5 4.7 61.70%
7 Million Dollar Baby 7.5 4.6 36.96%
8 Constantine 3.1 3.3 93.94%
9 Cursed 1.5 1.4 92.86%
10 The Passion Recut 5.0 0.2 0.00%

Average
OVERALL (estimate) 67.24%
New Release 43.04%
Still in Theater 77.60%
Author:  zingy [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:17 pm ]
Post subject: 
Robots - (44.5 / 37) -- Accuracy: 79.73%
The Pacifier - (18.3 / 16.9) -- Accuracy: 91.72%
Be Cool - (12.9 / 10.7) -- Accuracy: 79.44%
Hostage - (8.5 / 9) -- Accuracy: 94.44%
Hitch - (7.8 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 95.12%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.7 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 78.72%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.5 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 58.70%
Constantine - (3.4 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 96.97%
Cursed - (1.6 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
The Passion Recut - (4.5 / 0.2) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.06%

New Release: 58.06%
Still in Theater: 83.77%
Author:  Vovanik [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:20 pm ]
Post subject: 
80.20% :cry:
Author:  Ghostooze [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:24 pm ]
Post subject: 
Brandon Gray - 81.46%
Wildbill - 77.40%

:-k
Author:  Impact [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:25 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zing, on Box office Factor, it looks like nearly everyone is out due to the projections...
Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:25 pm ]
Post subject: 
Robots - (39.4 / 37) -- Accuracy: 93.51%
The Pacifier - (16.6 / 16.9) -- Accuracy: 98.22%
Be Cool - (10.8 / 10.7) -- Accuracy: 99.07%
Hostage - (6.2 / 9) -- Accuracy: 68.89%
Hitch - (7.2 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 87.80%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.7 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 78.72%
Million Dollar Baby - (6 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 69.57%
Constantine - (3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
Cursed - (1.4 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Passion Recut - (2.7 / 0.2) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 78.67%

New Release: 54.13%
Still in Theater: 89.18%
Author:  The Scottie [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
Ragnarok got an 80.63%.

It looks like Brandon might win this game.
Author:  MikeQ. [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:39 pm ]
Post subject: 
I think both The Pacifier and Be Cool are being underprojected, especially Be Cool. With $10.7 million, it's just barely getting a 3 multiplier. It would have to have a poor Saturday increase to get only that. I don't know, that's just how I see it. And The Pacifier will get a higher multiplier as well, in my opinion. I think whoever projected is going low with these two.

Anyways, my score is 78.00%, right on the dot, with these projections.

PEACE, Mike ;)
Author:  matatonio [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
its just unbelieveble how bad Passion actully did! :???:

Robots - (47 / 37) -- Accuracy: 72.97%
The Pacifier - (17.3 / 16.9) -- Accuracy: 97.63%
Be Cool - (12.8 / 10.7) -- Accuracy: 80.37%
Hostage - (9.8 / 9) -- Accuracy: 91.11%
Hitch - (7.9 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 96.34%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (6.1 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 70.21%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.5 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 58.70%
Constantine - (2.9 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 87.88%
Cursed - (1.6 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
The Passion Recut - (5.5 / 0.2) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 74.09%

New Release: 54.69%
Still in Theater: 82.41%
Author:  Rod [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
Robots - (46 / 37) -- Accuracy: 75.68%
The Pacifier - (16.7 / 16.9) -- Accuracy: 98.82%
Be Cool - (11.5 / 10.7) -- Accuracy: 92.52%
Hostage - (9 / 9) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Hitch - (7.5 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 91.46%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (6.5 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 61.70%
Million Dollar Baby - (6 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 69.57%
Constantine - (2.8 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 84.85%
Cursed - (1.2 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
The Passion Recut - (2 / 0.2) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.03%

New Release: 58.56%
Still in Theater: 83.52%

Not bad, for a "comeback" week :wink:
Author:  Rev [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 3:50 pm ]
Post subject: 
the calculation site is blocked @ my work pc :( :mad: so could someone please do the following for me. :) pretty please.

my 'boxoffice duel predictions'

Robots - $50.25 mill
The Pacifier - $16.25 mill
Hostage - $12.50 mill
Be Cool - $12.00 mill
Million Dollar Baby - $6.8 mill
Hitch - $6.6 mill
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - $6.2 mill
The Passion Recut - $5.9 mill
Constantine - $3.5 mill
Cursed - $1.6 mill

and Jason Ng's predictions:

Robots 42.3
Hostage 11.7
The Passion Recut 7.6
The Pacifier 16.8
Be Cool 12.7
Hitch 7.8
Diary of a Mad Black Woman 5.8
Million Dollar Baby 6.5
Constantine 3.4
Cursed 1.7

;) he's my competition in 'boxoffice duel' game this weekend.
Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 4:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
Robots - (50.25 / 37) -- Accuracy: 64.19%
The Pacifier - (16.25 / 16.9) -- Accuracy: 96.15%
Be Cool - (12 / 10.7) -- Accuracy: 87.85%
Hostage - (12.5 / 9) -- Accuracy: 61.11%
Hitch - (6.6 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 80.49%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (6.2 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 68.09%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.8 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 52.17%
Constantine - (3.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 93.94%
Cursed - (1.6 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
The Passion Recut - (5.9 / 0.2) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 68.97%

New Release: 41.77%
Still in Theater: 80.63%


Robots - (42.3 / 37) -- Accuracy: 85.68%
The Pacifier - (16.8 / 16.9) -- Accuracy: 99.41%
Be Cool - (12.7 / 10.7) -- Accuracy: 81.31%
Hostage - (11.7 / 9) -- Accuracy: 70.00%
Hitch - (7.8 / 8.2) -- Accuracy: 95.12%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.8 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 76.60%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.5 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 58.70%
Constantine - (3.4 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 96.97%
Cursed - (1.7 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 78.57%
The Passion Recut - (7.6 / 0.2) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 74.23%

New Release: 51.89%
Still in Theater: 83.81%
Author:  Rev [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 4:38 pm ]
Post subject: 
thx Nebs :D

0_o damn he kicked my ass.
Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 4:46 pm ]
Post subject: 
I predicted 1 million for The Passion and still got 0%! :lol:
Author:  Impact [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 4:52 pm ]
Post subject: 
Hey Moviedude, did you put Robots for 38 million?

cause if you did you did pretty good on it.
Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 5:18 pm ]
Post subject: 
Impact wrote:
Hey Moviedude, did you put Robots for 38 million?

cause if you did you did pretty good on it.


Yeah, shouldn't have raised it from 35 million, but thanks. :)
Author:  MGKC [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 7:30 pm ]
Post subject: 
My projections are better:

Robots - 73.64% ( 44.1 / 34.9 )
Hostage - 73.86% ( 6.5 / 8.8 )
The Passion Recut - 0.00% ( 5.8 / 0.2 )
The Pacifier - 99.42% ( 17.1 / 17.2 )
Be Cool - 94.74% ( 10.8 / 11.4 )
Hitch - 87.78% ( 7.9 / 9.0 )
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - 86.27% ( 5.8 / 5.1 )
Million Dollar Baby - 75.51% ( 6.1 / 4.9 )
Constantine - 91.89% ( 3.4 / 3.7 )
Cursed - 93.75% ( 1.5 / 1.6 )

Average: 77.686%
Author:  Impact [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 8:09 pm ]
Post subject: 
MovieDude wrote:
Impact wrote:
Hey Moviedude, did you put Robots for 38 million?

cause if you did you did pretty good on it.


Yeah, shouldn't have raised it from 35 million, but thanks. :)

Welcome, at least you didn't fall to hard into the temptaition we were giving you of overpredicting. lol!
:)
Author:  Jeff [ Sat Mar 12, 2005 9:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
Robots ($45.3) [$37 million] -- 77.57%
The Pacifier ($18.3) [$16.9] -- 91.72%
Be Cool ($10.5) [$10.7] -- 98.13%
Hostage ($7.3) [$9] --81.11%
Hitch ($6.7) [$8.2] -- 81.71%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman ($4.9) [4.7] -- 95.74%
Million Dollar Baby ($5.7) [$4.6] -- 76.09%
Constantine ($3.1) [$3.3] -- 93.94%
Cursed ($2.2) [$1.4] -- 42.86%
The Passion Recut ($4.3) [$0.2] -- 0.00%


OVERALL (estimate) -- 73.89%
New Release -- 52.89%
Still in Theater -- 82.88%

The Passion Recut and Cursed killed me.
Author:  JMorphin [ Sun Mar 13, 2005 2:22 am ]
Post subject: 
I've got a 72, really sad, totally underpredicted M$B's drop. I had Passion at 1.9 and too high for Robots (50). Oh well, I think Scott V's gonna take over #2 and MG Casey has a chance to get close to me now. On to next week! :wink:
Author:  The Scottie [ Sun Mar 13, 2005 5:07 am ]
Post subject: 
JMorphin wrote:
I've got a 72, really sad, totally underpredicted M$B's drop. I had Passion at 1.9 and too high for Robots (50). Oh well, I think Scott V's gonna take over #2 and MG Casey has a chance to get close to me now. On to next week! :wink:


\:D/ Woo Hoo. JMorphin gets a bad score.
Author:  Ghostooze [ Sun Mar 13, 2005 1:40 pm ]
Post subject: 
BUMP FOR ESTIMATES

:wink:
Author:  BJ [ Sun Mar 13, 2005 1:46 pm ]
Post subject: 
77.20% with estimates

awesome my score shot up big time with estimates :cool:
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