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 Theater Counts (Robots: 3776, Hostage: 2123) 
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Extraordinary

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
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Post Theater Counts (Robots: 3776, Hostage: 2123)
New
Robots 3,775
Hostage 2,123
The Passion Recut 952
The Boys and Girl from County Clare 10
The Upside of Anger 9
Millions 5
In My Country 4 (LA, NYC)
Mail Order Wife 2 (LA, NYC)
Dot the I 1 (NYC)

Expanding
The Pacifier 3,166 +35
Million Dollar Baby 2,375 +25
Bride and Prejudice 282 +103
Gunner Palace 50 +42
The Chorus 49 +10
Dear Frankie 14 +9

Steady
Be Cool 3,216
The Jacket 1,331

Declining
Hitch 2,975 -463
Constantine 2,170 -588
Man of the House 1,903 -519
Because of Winn-Dixie 1,702 -804
Cursed 1,687 -1,118
Diary of a Mad Black Woman 1,605 -98
The Aviator 1,002 -329
Are We There Yet? 843 -902
Sideways 807 -250
Son of the Mask 508 -1,357
Pooh's Heffalump Movie 503 -421
Finding Neverland 500 -143
Hotel Rwanda 487 -88
Meet the Fockers 395 -120
The Wedding Date 390 -395
The Phantom of the Opera 335 -76

Source: BOM
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/cha ... =10&p=.htm

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Last edited by xiayun on Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:51 am
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Extraordinary

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Great for Robots. Not so good for Hostage. Pretty good for The Passion Recut.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:52 am
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From an original estimate of 500-750 to over 900, that is excellent for The Passion Recut. It could very easily do over $5 million this weekend.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:08 am
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Not surprised about Hostage, this is Miramax we're talking about, they never go with a huge amount of theaters. And wow for The Passion, it must just be in some places, because it's not playing anywhere near me.


Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:23 am
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Extraordinary

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I actually don't see why The Passion Recut will have that high of a PTA. When LOTR: FOTR and TTT were re-released ahead of ROTK, neither got a PTA higher than $6000, and The Passion Recut is being released in a lot of more theaters, which should drift its PTA even lower. Similar to when TTT was re-released in the December of 2003, it is a year after the film's original release, and it is a film that grossed over $300M in theater as well as a bunch in DVD sales, and TTT at least had the demand from people who wanted to refresh their memory before watching ROTK. I just don't find enough evidence to suggest The Passion Recut will have a high PTA. Considering it only occupies basically 1 screen per theater, I'm going to go quite conservative on it.

The only re-issue that I can remember which made significant amount of money and splash was Star-War in 1997. Even E.T. was somewhat of a disappointment when it was re-released.

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Last edited by xiayun on Thu Mar 10, 2005 3:19 am, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:26 am
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Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go.

If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:34 am
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RogueCommander wrote:
Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go.

If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV.


Dude, I wouldn't even KNOW this was coming out if I didn't go to WOKJ. :???:


Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:40 am
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The pasion could be the Derby killer well at least to me, i have no idea if i increase my prediction or leave like it is! :???:


Thu Mar 10, 2005 2:07 am
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Extraordinary

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Hmm, Guru is reporting 1,954 theaters for Hostage.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 3:21 am
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Extraordinary
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I cant belive how many theaters Passion is getting, I honestly dont see it doing that good.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 3:24 am
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College Boy Z

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That's good for The Passion Recut. Excellent for Robots, though.


Thu Mar 10, 2005 7:25 am
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My $42,000,000 prediction for ROBOTS seems VERY reachable...only an $11,000 pta is needed for that.

Awesome.

If ROBOTOS gets the same PTA as SHARKTALE, it's got $45M in the bank. :)


Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:43 am
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I heard a interview with Bruce Willis this morning where he said he would call back if his movie took #1.

I wanted to call in and laugh at him saying he had a better chance of making the movie that beats titantics domestic gross than to be #1 for the weekend.

As for Robots, around 3800 which is what I thought it would get. Movie should do a killing. 50+ million seems certain at this point.


Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:43 am
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Miramax seems like to dump HOSTAGE...... Bruce is doing many PR jobs, though.


Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:54 am
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Hostage around ... 15? Meh I will have to look at that one alot closer before predicting. Robots though I am gonna go with my gut.


Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:57 am
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Okay, I Believe You But My Tommy Gun Don't
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Upside of Anger...small count, but I think they are going with the snow ball effect. This movie is getting good reviews, I think they postponed it from Dec., because it would have gotten lost in the award film shuffle.


Thu Mar 10, 2005 10:33 am
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Extraordinary

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Thats very low for hostage,i thought it would get 3000+ easy,im gonna change my prediction.
Robots has a great TC as expected,it should easaly pass 50mill,maybe even get to 60.
TPOTC got a bigger TC than i expected,i think it may do about 1.5-2.5 mill.


Thu Mar 10, 2005 10:57 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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HOSTAGE will open on 1954 theaters.
http://www.boxofficeguru.com/weekend.htm


Thu Mar 10, 2005 11:04 am
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Indiana Jones IV

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RogueCommander wrote:
Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go.

If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV.



most of the big churches I know around me have a digital projection system in thier gym or whatever and plan on showing the passion on dvd around easter for all the members to come watch.... why go to a theatre and have to pay when you can do it in the church etc etc


Thu Mar 10, 2005 11:34 am
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The Churches will still have to pay for licensing fees so either way Mel Gibson will be getting more money off of it.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:23 pm
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MovieDude wrote:
RogueCommander wrote:
Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go.

If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV.


Dude, I wouldn't even KNOW this was coming out if I didn't go to WOKJ. :???:


There has been advertising at my local theater and from what I understand also some TV ads. Churches will likely turn out for this again, but in how large of numbers is unsure of yet.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:23 pm
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Extraordinary

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Updated.

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My thoughts on box office


Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:16 pm
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952 for The Passion Recut is not bad at all.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:17 pm
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Extraordinary
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Good for MDB, no drops yet.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:40 pm
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I didn't even notice that it is expanding yet again. That is very good to see.

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Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:41 pm
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