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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Theater Counts (Robots: 3776, Hostage: 2123)
New
Robots 3,775
Hostage 2,123
The Passion Recut 952
The Boys and Girl from County Clare 10
The Upside of Anger 9
Millions 5
In My Country 4 (LA, NYC)
Mail Order Wife 2 (LA, NYC)
Dot the I 1 (NYC)
Expanding
The Pacifier 3,166 +35
Million Dollar Baby 2,375 +25
Bride and Prejudice 282 +103
Gunner Palace 50 +42
The Chorus 49 +10
Dear Frankie 14 +9
Steady
Be Cool 3,216
The Jacket 1,331
Declining
Hitch 2,975 -463
Constantine 2,170 -588
Man of the House 1,903 -519
Because of Winn-Dixie 1,702 -804
Cursed 1,687 -1,118
Diary of a Mad Black Woman 1,605 -98
The Aviator 1,002 -329
Are We There Yet? 843 -902
Sideways 807 -250
Son of the Mask 508 -1,357
Pooh's Heffalump Movie 503 -421
Finding Neverland 500 -143
Hotel Rwanda 487 -88
Meet the Fockers 395 -120
The Wedding Date 390 -395
The Phantom of the Opera 335 -76
Source: BOM
http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/cha ... =10&p=.htm
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
Last edited by xiayun on Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:51 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Great for Robots. Not so good for Hostage. Pretty good for The Passion Recut.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:52 am |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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From an original estimate of 500-750 to over 900, that is excellent for The Passion Recut. It could very easily do over $5 million this weekend.
_________________ See above.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:08 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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Not surprised about Hostage, this is Miramax we're talking about, they never go with a huge amount of theaters. And wow for The Passion, it must just be in some places, because it's not playing anywhere near me.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:23 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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I actually don't see why The Passion Recut will have that high of a PTA. When LOTR: FOTR and TTT were re-released ahead of ROTK, neither got a PTA higher than $6000, and The Passion Recut is being released in a lot of more theaters, which should drift its PTA even lower. Similar to when TTT was re-released in the December of 2003, it is a year after the film's original release, and it is a film that grossed over $300M in theater as well as a bunch in DVD sales, and TTT at least had the demand from people who wanted to refresh their memory before watching ROTK. I just don't find enough evidence to suggest The Passion Recut will have a high PTA. Considering it only occupies basically 1 screen per theater, I'm going to go quite conservative on it.
The only re-issue that I can remember which made significant amount of money and splash was Star-War in 1997. Even E.T. was somewhat of a disappointment when it was re-released.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
Last edited by xiayun on Thu Mar 10, 2005 3:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:26 am |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go.
If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV.
_________________ See above.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:34 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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RogueCommander wrote: Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go.
If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV.
Dude, I wouldn't even KNOW this was coming out if I didn't go to WOKJ. :???:
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:40 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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The pasion could be the Derby killer well at least to me, i have no idea if i increase my prediction or leave like it is! :???:
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 2:07 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Hmm, Guru is reporting 1,954 theaters for Hostage.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 3:21 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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I cant belive how many theaters Passion is getting, I honestly dont see it doing that good.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 3:24 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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That's good for The Passion Recut. Excellent for Robots, though.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 7:25 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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My $42,000,000 prediction for ROBOTS seems VERY reachable...only an $11,000 pta is needed for that.
Awesome.
If ROBOTOS gets the same PTA as SHARKTALE, it's got $45M in the bank. 
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:43 am |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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I heard a interview with Bruce Willis this morning where he said he would call back if his movie took #1.
I wanted to call in and laugh at him saying he had a better chance of making the movie that beats titantics domestic gross than to be #1 for the weekend.
As for Robots, around 3800 which is what I thought it would get. Movie should do a killing. 50+ million seems certain at this point.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:43 am |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am Posts: 1255
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Miramax seems like to dump HOSTAGE...... Bruce is doing many PR jobs, though.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:54 am |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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Hostage around ... 15? Meh I will have to look at that one alot closer before predicting. Robots though I am gonna go with my gut.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:57 am |
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Optimus_Prime
Okay, I Believe You But My Tommy Gun Don't
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:34 pm Posts: 817
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Upside of Anger...small count, but I think they are going with the snow ball effect. This movie is getting good reviews, I think they postponed it from Dec., because it would have gotten lost in the award film shuffle.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 10:33 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11028
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Thats very low for hostage,i thought it would get 3000+ easy,im gonna change my prediction.
Robots has a great TC as expected,it should easaly pass 50mill,maybe even get to 60.
TPOTC got a bigger TC than i expected,i think it may do about 1.5-2.5 mill.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 10:57 am |
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mary
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:35 am Posts: 1255
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 11:04 am |
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Animosity Reigns
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm Posts: 1777 Location: The Dirty South
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RogueCommander wrote: Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go.
If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV.
most of the big churches I know around me have a digital projection system in thier gym or whatever and plan on showing the passion on dvd around easter for all the members to come watch.... why go to a theatre and have to pay when you can do it in the church etc etc
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 11:34 am |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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The Churches will still have to pay for licensing fees so either way Mel Gibson will be getting more money off of it.
_________________ See above.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:23 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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MovieDude wrote: RogueCommander wrote: Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go.
If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV. Dude, I wouldn't even KNOW this was coming out if I didn't go to WOKJ. :???:
There has been advertising at my local theater and from what I understand also some TV ads. Churches will likely turn out for this again, but in how large of numbers is unsure of yet.
_________________ See above.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:23 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Updated.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:16 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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952 for The Passion Recut is not bad at all.
_________________ See above.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:17 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Good for MDB, no drops yet.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:40 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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I didn't even notice that it is expanding yet again. That is very good to see.
_________________ See above.
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Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:41 pm |
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