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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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 MovieDude wrote: El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: MovieDude wrote: If you think horror movies need big stars to open big, then Dawn of the Dead, The Grudge and TCM would like to have a word with you. :-p You can argue kids films don't, and it's true to an extent, but there needs to be a reason for parents to go too. And I can't see a movie about World War II being a big hit among the kiddies. :razz: Goofy CGI cartoons baby! Goofy CGI cartoons= cha ching. They are a much better investment than horror films. No CGI kid movies have bombed so far and even the ones with creeeepy looking kids that make Michael Jackson drool made over 160 million dollars Yeah, but Robots will have only been out for a month, and The Polar Express had a HUGE ad campaign and tie in marketing, was based on a famous book, had one of the biggest stars of modern history in it, amazing WOM, and was the only Christmas movie that season that didn't get under 10% on RT. And it still bombed opening weekend. :razz: And Valiant doesn't even have any domestic posters, trailers, not even a teaser trailer! I doubt it'll open by April 15th, and if it does, it'll be a very muted release. I mean, this IS a British movie, how many British imports (especially ones aimed at kids) do that well? The best comparison would be Chicken Run which was financed in Australia. Valiant could follow the same path since its part of a foriegn animation film
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| Tue Feb 15, 2005 1:18 am |
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andaroo1
Lord of filth
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:47 pm
Posts: 9566
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MovieDude wrote: March 4th: The Pacifier 32 million The Chronicles of Riddick: 24 million
A Man Apart: 11 million
32 million for a Vin Diesel COMEDY? starring CHILDREN? In MARCH?
This prediction demands explaination.
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| Tue Feb 15, 2005 1:23 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23787
Location: Classified
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Vin Deisel is hit or miss, The Pacifier will be a hit. It just looks good, Vin Deisel is trying to become the new Ahhnold and he might just do it. The Pacifier will open in the mid 30s and be #1 for two weekends me thinks. Sorta like Bringing Down The House back in 2003.
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| Tue Feb 15, 2005 1:34 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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andaroo wrote: MovieDude wrote: March 4th: The Pacifier 32 million The Chronicles of Riddick: 24 million A Man Apart: 11 million 32 million for a Vin Diesel COMEDY? starring CHILDREN? In MARCH? This prediction demands explaination. Believe me, I'm actually something of a Vin Diesel fan but this looks AWFUL. However, I haven't heard such great crowd responses in ages, people are seriously eating this up, kids and adults. 
However, I do think there is a chance that Be Cool will win against The Pacifier. The cast is huge and it looks like tons of fun. At minimum I see 20 million for me, with an outside chance for even more, which could in theory let it beat The Pacifier if people are smart.
Last edited by MovieDude on Tue Feb 15, 2005 3:02 am, edited 1 time in total.
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| Tue Feb 15, 2005 2:41 am |
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Bell
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:02 am
Posts: 1906
Location: Middle Of Nowhere
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i think by February 25th the #1 movie is reserved for Cursed, not Hitch. 
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| Tue Feb 15, 2005 2:49 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Glad to see the majority think CURSED will open at number 1 come Febuary 25th Weekend.
CURSED would need to open to more than $20,000,000 to take the number 1 spot. And i'm not sure if it's possible, i can't make my mind up on this one.
On one hand:
The cast is full of big names: Christina Ricci, Joshua Jackson, Mya, Skeet Ulrich, Omar Epps, Shannon Elizabeth amoung others.
It's from the makers of SCREAM. Kevin Williamson and Wes Craven.
The trailer looks very typical Slasher movie, like SCREAM, which we havent seen in a while.
Looks to be shot in the same way as SCREAM, judging by the trailer, soundtrack etc.
Other hand
Release date was moved around alot.
Had to be edited from R to PG-13.
Website went online 3 weeks before release.
Poster and Trailer were very close to the release.
Reshoots had to take place, resulting in Bad Buzz.
With all of this into consideration, i'm thinking a $16,000,000 opening is more reachable if it gets the 3,000 theatres it's estimated. A $5.3K pta.
Can anyone from the US tell me if there are any TV SPOTS being shown? or any media attention whatsoever?
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| Tue Feb 15, 2005 9:45 am |
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Bell
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:02 am
Posts: 1906
Location: Middle Of Nowhere
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i think 20 Million opening is locked for Cursed
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| Wed Feb 16, 2005 1:59 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: MovieDude wrote: El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: MovieDude wrote: If you think horror movies need big stars to open big, then Dawn of the Dead, The Grudge and TCM would like to have a word with you. :-p You can argue kids films don't, and it's true to an extent, but there needs to be a reason for parents to go too. And I can't see a movie about World War II being a big hit among the kiddies. :razz: Goofy CGI cartoons baby! Goofy CGI cartoons= cha ching. They are a much better investment than horror films. No CGI kid movies have bombed so far and even the ones with creeeepy looking kids that make Michael Jackson drool made over 160 million dollars Yeah, but Robots will have only been out for a month, and The Polar Express had a HUGE ad campaign and tie in marketing, was based on a famous book, had one of the biggest stars of modern history in it, amazing WOM, and was the only Christmas movie that season that didn't get under 10% on RT. And it still bombed opening weekend. :razz: And Valiant doesn't even have any domestic posters, trailers, not even a teaser trailer! I doubt it'll open by April 15th, and if it does, it'll be a very muted release. I mean, this IS a British movie, how many British imports (especially ones aimed at kids) do that well? The best comparison would be Chicken Run which was financed in Australia. Valiant could follow the same path since its part of a foriegn animation film No way. Chicken Run had Mel Gibson's voice, arguably the best reviews of any non-artsy movie of it's year (97% on RT!) and a 45 million ad budget. And it opened in the middle of the summer, which let it make 106 million after a soft 17 million opening weekend. Oh yeah, and it got all those damn cross promotions with McDonalds. Even if Valiant opened that high (which is possible), it'll have terrible weekdays and get squashed two weeks later by Disney's Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.
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| Wed Feb 16, 2005 4:25 am |
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Schlomo
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2005 10:09 am
Posts: 1097
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BUMP!!! The game has changed slightly so look to the first post of the first page and give your predicts!
_________________revolutions wrote: that one dude with the giant ass mi:3 logo
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| Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:20 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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I think AMITYVILLE HORROR will be number 1 in april 15th. Instead of VALIANT....which i have heard nothing about, at all.
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| Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:55 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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mansonmyers wrote: I think AMITYVILLE HORROR will be number 1 in april 15th. Instead of VALIANT....which i have heard nothing about, at all. But its too bad that the only trailer for AH is attached to a horror movie no one went to see. I saw Valiant's trailer online and hopefully it will be attached to Robots since it presented itself as being from the creators of Shrek and Shrek 2 which would draw parents and kids in
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| Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:58 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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I rekon AMITYVILLE will be attached to MISS CONGENIALITY 2 and BE COOL.
Both are MGM movies, out before AMITYVILLE is released.
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| Sun Feb 27, 2005 4:56 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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So much for Cursed being number one this weekend! 
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| Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:00 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Zingaling wrote: So much for Cursed being number one this weekend! Yes damn you people for unintentionally pressuring me to get out my intial prediction that it would bomb but I blame it more so on the success of Boogeyman. Had Boogeyman not made more than 15 million that week, I would of stuck with my intitial prediction that it would do Elektra's number.
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| Sun Feb 27, 2005 5:03 pm |
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Schlomo
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2005 10:09 am
Posts: 1097
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here are my (new) predicts. Feel free to post yours!
March 4-The Pacifier
March 11-Robots
March 18-The Ring Two
March 25th-The Ring Two
April 1-Beauty Shop
April 8-Sahara
April 15-The Amityville Horror
April 22-The Interpreter
April 29-The Hitchhikers Guide To The Galaxy
May 6-House Of Wax
May 13-Kicking And Screaming
May 19-Star Wars Episode III: Revenge Of The Sith
May 27-Madagascar
June 3-Madagascar
June 10-Mr And Mrs Smith
June 17-Batman Begins
June 24-Batman Begins
June 29-War Of The Worlds
July 8-War Of The Worlds
July 15-Charlie And The Chocolate Factory
July 22-The Island
July 29-Stealth
August 5-Doom
August 12-Dark Water
August 19-The Cave
August 26-Cry Wolf
_________________revolutions wrote: that one dude with the giant ass mi:3 logo
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| Mon Feb 28, 2005 2:32 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Would LOVE House of Wax to beat Shiteom of Heaven on MAY 6TH.
doubt it tho.
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| Mon Feb 28, 2005 2:56 pm |
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Schlomo
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2005 10:09 am
Posts: 1097
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mansonmyers wrote: Would LOVE House of Wax to beat Shiteom of Heaven on MAY 6TH.
doubt it tho. why won't it? Historical epics are far from hot right now...while horror is the new 'it' genre. _________________revolutions wrote: that one dude with the giant ass mi:3 logo
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| Mon Feb 28, 2005 3:01 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Hope to god your right....mind you, last year KING ARTHUR and ALEXANDER both bombed.
We can always hope that the american public will come to their senses and see HOUSE OF WAX! The trailer for that is getting better reactions, and more hype than Kingdom ever has.
ANyway, VAN HELSING and X2 opened well on this date because they had HYPE.
I hadn't heard of KINGDOM til about 2 weeks ago.
Ah well, we'll need to see.
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| Mon Feb 28, 2005 4:07 pm |
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Schlomo
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2005 10:09 am
Posts: 1097
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New predicts
March 18-The Ring Two
March 25-Guess Who
April 1-Sin City
April 8-Sahara
April 15-The Amityville Horror
April 22-The Interpreter
April 29-XXX 2
May 6-House Of Wax (I'm sticking with my prediction dammit!)
May 13-Kicking And Screaming
May 19-Star Wars Episode III
May 27-Madagascar
June 3-Madagascar
June 10-Mr And Mrs Smith
June 17-Batman Begins
June 24-Bewitched
June 29-War Of The Worlds
July 8-Fantastic Four
July 15-The Wedding Crashers
July 22-The Island
July 29-Stealth
August 5-Doom
August 12-Dark Water
August 19-Valiant
August 26-Cry Wolf
feel free to post yours!
_________________revolutions wrote: that one dude with the giant ass mi:3 logo
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 12:17 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14480
Location: Everywhere
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Re: Predict Every Number 1 Movie From Now Until May! DP07 wrote: Febuary 18: Constantine
Febuary 25: Cursed
March 4: The Pacifier
March 11: Robots
March 18: The Ring Two
March 25: The Ring Two
April 1: Sin City
April 8: Sahara
April 15: Valiant
April 22: The Interpreter
April 29: XXX 2 I have to replace Valiant with The Amityville Horror.
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 5:16 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14480
Location: Everywhere
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andaroo wrote: MovieDude wrote: March 4th: The Pacifier 32 million The Chronicles of Riddick: 24 million A Man Apart: 11 million 32 million for a Vin Diesel COMEDY? starring CHILDREN? In MARCH? This prediction demands explaination. hehe. :wink:
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 5:18 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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February 18: Hitch RIGHT
February 25: Cursed WRONG
March 4: The Pacifier RIGHT
March 11: Robots
March 18: The Ring Two
March 25: The Ring Two
April 1: Sin City
April 8: Sahara
April 15: The Amityville Horror (Changed duo to Valiants date change  )
April 22: The Interpreter
April 29: XXX: State of the Union
May 6: Kingdom of Heaven
May 13: Kicking and Screaming
May 20: Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith
May 27: Madagascar
June 3: Madagascar
June 10: Mr. and Mrs. Smith
June 17: Batman Begins
June 24: Batman Begins
July 1: The War of the Worlds
July 8: The War of the Worlds
July 15: The Wedding Crashers
July 22: The Island
July 29: Stealth
August 5: Doom
August 12: Skeleton Key
August 19: Valiant
August 26: Cry Wolf
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 5:33 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Woohoo! Amityville is pretty much a lock for number 1 now Yay!
Now hopefully it can beat $20M in it's opening frame.
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 9:07 am |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am
Posts: 9808
Location: Suisse
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I see that the most of you think that SW EP3 will only have one weekend and than be replaced by Madagascar.
Do you really think SW will be that weak. After the "mediocre" start of Robots can Madagascar be strong enough?????
I doubt.
_________________Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 9:49 am |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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March 18-The Ring Two
March 25-The Ring Two
April 1-Sin City
April 8-Sahara
April 15-The Amityville Horror
April 22-The Interpreter
April 29-XXX 2
May 6-Kingdom of Heaven
May 13-Unleashed
May 19-Star Wars Episode III
May 27-Madagascar
June 3-Madagascar
June 10-Mr And Mrs Smith
June 17-Batman Begins
June 24-Batman Begins
June 29-War Of The Worlds
July 8-War of the Worlds
July 15-Charlie and the Chocalate Factory
July 22-The Island
July 29-Brothers Grimm
August 5-Doom
August 12-Duece Bigelow:European Gigelow
August 19-Valiant
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| Sun Mar 13, 2005 5:14 pm |
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