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 Weekend Estimates 
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
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Post Weekend Estimates
1. Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events - $30,200,000 - NEW - $30,200,000
2. Ocean's Twelve - $18,260,000 - -53.6% - $68,660,000
3. Spanglish - $9,000,000 - NEW - $9,000,000
4. The Polar Express - $8,550,000 - -10.8% - $123,569,000
5. Blade: Trinity - $6,600,000 - -58.9% - $35,411,000
6. National Treasure - $6,110,000 - -37.9% - $132,835,000
7. Christmas with the Kranks - $5,700,000 - -25.1% - $62,306,000
8. Flight of the Phoenix - $5,150,000 - NEW - $5,150,000
9. Closer - $3,500,000 - -6.3% - $18,952,000
10. The Incredibles - $3,263,000 - -35.2% - $237,121,000
11. The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - $2,000,000 - -54.1% - $76,359,000
12. Finding Neverland - $1,915,000 - +13.4% - $16,863,000
13. Sideways - $1,640,000 - +32.2% - $16,648,000
14. House of Flying Daggers - $850,000 - +313.8% - $1,658,000
15. The Aviator - $831,000 - NEW - $831,000
16. Kinsey - $530,000 - +0.8% - $5,164,000

A Very Long Engagement - $246,000 - +390.9% - $557,000
The Motorcycle Diaries - $196,000 - -31.2% - $15,075,000
Million Dollar Baby - $178,000 - NEW - $233,000
Being Julia - $103,000 - -27.6% - $3,360,000
Shall We Dance - $102,000 - -62.1% - $56,614,000
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - $100,600 - -11% - $313,000
Bad Education - $100,300 - -25.7% - $855,000
The Sea Inside - $55,000 - NEW - $55,000

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Last edited by Dr. Lecter on Sun Dec 19, 2004 4:06 pm, edited 16 times in total.



Sun Dec 19, 2004 12:42 pm
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Looks like the expansion didn't do House of Flying Daggers too well. :? It'll struggle to reach $15-20 million no, maybe not even that.

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Sun Dec 19, 2004 12:47 pm
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Sbil

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Little late. :wink:


Sun Dec 19, 2004 12:52 pm
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Extraordinary

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The Incredibles wont pass The Original shrek now.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 12:52 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Ouch, bad for my derby! I just lost 1.5% with the Estimates for The Incredibles and National Treasure... :? :(


Last edited by Samweis Gamdschie on Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Dec 19, 2004 12:54 pm
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Libs wrote:
Little late. :wink:


True, but so were you some days ago ;)

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Sun Dec 19, 2004 12:54 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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- N Spanglish Sony $9,000,000 - 2,438 +1,319 $3,691 $9,000,000 - / - 1
- 2 Blade: Trinity NL $6,600,000 -58.9% 2,912 - $2,266 $35,411,000 $65 / - 2
- 3 National Treasure BV $6,110,000 -37.9% 2,772 -431 $2,204 $132,835,000 $100 / - 5
- 5 Christmas with the Kranks SonR $5,700,000 -25.1% 2,941 -353 $1,938 $62,306,000 $60 / - 4
- N The Flight of the Phoenix Fox $5,150,000 - 2,604 - $1,977 $5,150,000 - / - 1
- 8 Closer Sony $3,500,000 -6.3% 1,090 +468 $3,211 $18,952,000 - / - 3
- 6 The Incredibles BV $3,263,000 -35.2% 1,930 -726 $1,690 $237,121,000 $92 / $60 7
- 9 Finding Neverland Mira. $1,915,000 13.4% 985 +448 $1,944 $16,863,000 $25 / - 6
- 11 Sideways FoxS $1,640,000 32.2% 424 -51 $3,867 $16,648,000 $12 / - 9
- 20 House of Flying Daggers SPC $850,000 313.8% 145 +130 $5,862 $1,658,000 - / - 3
- N The Aviator Mira. $831,000 - 40 - $20,775 $831,000 $112 / - 1
- 14 Kinsey FoxS $530,000 0.8% 191 +22 $2,774 $5,164,000 $11 / - 6
- 39 A Very Long Engagement WIP $246,000 390.9% 24 +20 $10,250 $557,000 $56.6 / - 4
- 17 The Motorcycle Diaries Focus $196,000 -31.2% 159 -88 $1,232 $15,075,000 - / - 13
- 24 Being Julia SPC $103,000 -27.6% 118 -18 $872 $3,360,000 - / - 10
- 18 Shall We Dance Mira. $102,000 -62.1% 332 -286 $307 $56,614,000 $50 / - 10
- 27 The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou BV $100,600 -11% 2 - $50,300 $313,000 $50 / - 2
- 25 Bad Education SPC $100,300 -25.7% 8 +3 $12,537 $855,000 - / - 5
- 19 Saw Lions $76,000 -69.9% 178 -307 $426 $55,081,000 $1.2 / - 8
- 21 Seed of Chucky Focus $68,100 -62.4% 165 -221 $412 $17,016,000 $12 / - 6
- N The Sea Inside FL $55,000 - 23 - $2,391 $55,000 - / - 1
- N Beyond the Sea Lions $48,000 - 6 - $8,000 $48,000 - / - 1
- N Imaginary Heroes SPC $4,200 - 2 - $2,100 $4,200 - / - 1


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:14 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Horrible increase for Finding Neverland

Pretty good for the Aviator

Very good hold for the Life Aquatic

And Sideways increase even though it lost 51 theatres


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:16 pm
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Not good for The Incredibles. It looks like it will barely pass Monsters Inc. if it's lucky :?

Flight of the Phoenix killed all my predictions games :(

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Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:17 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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The Aviator's performance isn't good for a $100 million production.

The Sea Inside :(


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:21 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Not good for The Incredibles. It looks like it will barely pass Monsters Inc. if it's lucky :?

Flight of the Phoenix killed all my predictions games :(



It will probably end up a million over Monster's Inc, but won't pass Shrek.

Flight of the Phoenix also killed my prediction too.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:21 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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mary wrote:
The Aviator's performance isn't good for a $100 million production.

The Sea Inside :(


Will see how well it can expand next weekend. I think that it will do pretty well.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:23 pm
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Draughty

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With any luck this will be the weekend that stops Dennis Quaid from getting more roles that should have gone to someone better.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:26 pm
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Sbil

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Generally disappointing weekend all-around.

The Sea Inside and Beyond the Sea both did very poorly in limited release, and The Aviator's PTA is somewhat disappointing for such a high-profile release.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:27 pm
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Archie Gates wrote:
With any luck this will be the weekend that stops Dennis Quaid from getting more roles that should have gone to someone better.


Well, he wasn't that bad in The Rookie, was he? :)

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Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:27 pm
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Very bad weekend multiplier for Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events! :shock:

I'd be surprised if it passed $180 million now....

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Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:29 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Pretty bad weekend overall.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:29 pm
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College Boy Z

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That's a good weekend for Lemony, but a bad multiplier. It won't pass $200 million.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:30 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Wonder how Alexander did? :lol:


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:31 pm
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Extraordinary
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Damn it, I predicted $28-29m for Lemony :x


Let's hope it falls below $30m when actuals come out.

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Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:31 pm
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Draughty

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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Archie Gates wrote:
With any luck this will be the weekend that stops Dennis Quaid from getting more roles that should have gone to someone better.


Well, he wasn't that bad in The Rookie, was he? :)

Yeah let me rephrase -- hopefully it will stop him from getting roles that should have gone to someone more suited. He's not bad in small town dramas and things like that.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:32 pm
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Hot Fuss

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shitty weekend :?


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:36 pm
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Is there any numbers for Million Dollar Baby?


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:40 pm
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Jeesh, kind of low for the Aviator in limited release. Even Open Water had a higher per screen average than Aviator with the same number of screens and it only ended up with 30 million. Lets just say if you even double or triple Open Water's number, it would still end up less than 100 million dollars.

Spanglish was expected because of the poor reviews and Punch Drunk Love's past numbers


Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:46 pm
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I'd dare to say that Open Water was more of a "hyped" movie than The Aviator if you know what I mean. It's not like Gangs of New York opened with a great PTA, yet it managed a great multiplier (despite worse reviews and worse buzz than The Aviator as well as despite going against TTT).

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Sun Dec 19, 2004 1:49 pm
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