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 Friday numbers from showbizdata 
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Cream of the Crop
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Post Friday numbers from showbizdata
LEMONY SNICKET'S: A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS 10.6 10.6
OCEANS TWELVE 6.4 56.8
SPANGLISH 3.1 3.1
POLAR EXPRESS 2.5 117.5
BLADE: TRINITY 2.0 30.9
NATIONAL TREASURE 1.6 128.7
FLIGHT OF THE PHOENIX, THE 1.6 1.6
CLOSER 1.5 17.0
CHRISTMAS WITH THE KRANKS 1.5 58.1
INCREDIBLES, THE .8 233.7

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Sat Dec 18, 2004 11:46 am
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College Boy Z

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Good for Lemony Snickets. It should be able to get atleast $35 million for the weekend. :D


Sat Dec 18, 2004 11:50 am
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Points and laughs at Flight of the Phoenix


Sat Dec 18, 2004 11:54 am
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Big week-week drop for O12 :roll: Ok for Lemony, but predicted a 50m weekend, looks to be heading for 40 m. Lets hope for a big saturday increase.


Sat Dec 18, 2004 11:55 am
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Wow, nothing is a stand-out hit here. I mean Lemony Snicket did good, but I was actually expecting a bit more than that. Spanglish did all right, but nothing extraordinary. Flight of the Phoenix crashed and burned.

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Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:02 pm
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1. LEMONY SNICKET'S: A SERIES OF UNFORTUNATE EVENTS PARAMOUNT 3,620 10,627,500 2,936 10,627,500
2. OCEANS TWELVE WARNER BROS. 3,290 6,412,000 1,949 56,809,000
3. SPANGLISH SONY 2,438 3,067,000 1,258 3,067,000
4. POLAR EXPRESS WB 2,868 2,503,000 873 117,521,000
5. BLADE: TRINITY NEW LINE 2,912 2,045,000 702 30,910,000
6. NATIONAL TREASURE BUENA VISTA 2,772 1,642,000 592 128,737,000
7. FLIGHT OF THE PHOENIX, THE 20TH CENTURY FOX 2,604 1,621,000 623 1,621,000
8. CLOSER SONY 1,090 1,530,000 1,404 16,989,000
9. CHRISTMAS WITH THE KRANKS SONY 2,941 1,504,500 512 58,108,500
10. INCREDIBLES, THE BUENA VISTA 1,930 789,000 409 233,727,000


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:04 pm
Sbil

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Pretty good for Lemony Snicket, but it's not as big as most people were predicting.

Ocean's Twelve's hold was decent. The drop should be right around 50% for the weekend.

Spanglish was a little on the low end of my predictions, but it should still be a solid performer during the holidays.

Flight of the Phoenix is a flop. Christmas will probably allow it to reach $20M+, though.

Closer held on well. Although it added theatres, that's still an increase of $300,000.


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:14 pm
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Extraordinary

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Lemony snicket should do about 33mill for the weekend.


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:16 pm
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I'm Batman

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You heard it here first:

Lemony Sticket's Series of Unfortunate Events will not make it past $100 Million


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:19 pm
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Sbil

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BacktotheFuture wrote:
You heard it here first:

Lemony Sticket's Series of Unfortunate Events will not make it past $100 Million


...and I'm sure that's where we'll hear it last. A movie opening with over $30M around the holidays not making $100M would be ludicrous.


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:20 pm
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Libs wrote:
BacktotheFuture wrote:
You heard it here first:

Lemony Sticket's Series of Unfortunate Events will not make it past $100 Million


...and I'm sure that's where we'll hear it last. A movie opening with over $30M around the holidays not making $100M would be ludicrous.


:D


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:24 pm
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Hot Fuss

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It WILL make it. Sorry, guys. Jim Carrey and the holidays will take this one past 100m. It is a mathematical certianty. If it were any other time of the year, I might consider it. Not now.


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:25 pm
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WEEK TO WEEK DROPS

Ocean's 12 (-57.5%)
The Polar Express (-5.2%)
Blade: Trinity (-62.5%)
National Treasure (-44.4%)
Closer (+22.3%)
Christmas with the Kranks (-27.2%)
The Incredibles (-35.8%)


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:34 pm
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These are my projections...

01 Lemony Snicket $31.9m
02 Ocean's Twelve $19.2m
03 Spanglish $9.6m
04 The Polar Express $8.7m
05 National Treasure $6.7m
06 Blade: Trinity $6.3m
07 Christmas with the Kranks $5m
08 The Flight of the Phoenix $5m
09 Closer $4.3m
10 The Incredibles $2.7m


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:34 pm
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Mr. X wrote:
Flight of the Phoenix crashed and burned.


I bet you can't say something clever about each film in the top ten.

I'll give you one...Christmas With The Kranks? More like Christmas With The Blanks. How about Ocean's 12 is drowning.


Sat Dec 18, 2004 12:50 pm
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loyalfromlondon wrote:
Mr. X wrote:
Flight of the Phoenix crashed and burned.


I bet you can't say something clever about each film in the top ten.

I'll give you one...Christmas With The Kranks? More like Christmas With The Blanks. How about Ocean's 12 is drowning.


What an unfortunate event of an openening for Series! :P


Last edited by Mr. Reynolds on Sat Dec 18, 2004 1:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 18, 2004 1:01 pm
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Looks like Spanglish couldn't translate itself to success. :?


Sat Dec 18, 2004 1:04 pm
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zach wrote:
Looks like Spanglish couldn't translate itself to success. :?


:lol: :lol:

Audiences are keeping their distance from Closer.


Sat Dec 18, 2004 1:16 pm
I'm Batman

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Token Brown Dude wrote:
Libs wrote:
BacktotheFuture wrote:
You heard it here first:

Lemony Sticket's Series of Unfortunate Events will not make it past $100 Million


...and I'm sure that's where we'll hear it last. A movie opening with over $30M around the holidays not making $100M would be ludicrous.


:D


When it doesn't I'll be laughing at all of you.


Sat Dec 18, 2004 1:24 pm
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Lemony Snicket will definitley make $100 million...if Cat in the Hat can, then so can this. I expect it to around the same amount for the weekend ($37-39 million)

And according to my calcs, Ocean's 12 will end up with about a 45% dropoff for the weekend, which really isn't that bad. Blade: Trinity on the other hand will be about 60%. I expect Spanglish to be this year's Something's Gotta Give or Mona Lisa Smile where it doesn't do so good opening week but well over the holidays. (Especially since it's the type of movie that familes can go see together..then agian, they might just go see Meet the Fockers instead)

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Sat Dec 18, 2004 1:39 pm
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shades033 wrote:
Lemony Snicket will definitley make $100 million...if Cat in the Hat can, then so can this. I expect it to around the same amount for the weekend ($37-39 million)

And according to my calcs, Ocean's 12 will end up with about a 45% dropoff for the weekend, which really isn't that bad. Blade: Trinity on the other hand will be about 60%. I expect Spanglish to be this year's Something's Gotta Give or Mona Lisa Smile where it doesn't do so good opening week but well over the holidays. (Especially since it's the type of movie that familes can go see together..then agian, they might just go see Meet the Fockers instead)


How did you get only a 45% drop for Ocean's 12 based on fridays number of 6.4 million. Lets just say it increases about 20% on saturday based on last weeks number and drops 30% on sunday. That would still give me under 20 million. 50% is more like it

As for Lemony Snicket, Im very surprised by its low number considering Jim Carrey usually has huge openings with the Grinch and Bruce Almighty. Cant say Im surprised by Flight of the Phoenix's number, the movie looked more like a fall, spring release


Sat Dec 18, 2004 1:43 pm
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I think this is a great opening for LS. I have never heard of Lemony Snicket before and I think this film is being sold simply on the fact that JC is in the title role. I agree with Libs, this film will be a lock for 100 mill. If it reaches 35 for the weekend, then net weekend is Christmas and with the kids being out of school, it will do very well. Also, Am I the only one who thinks that Spanglish opened decently? It has a terrible trailer and the only thing that looks good about it is that it has AS in it. I think that if it makes 10 mill this weekend, it could end up making 45 mill.

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Sat Dec 18, 2004 1:43 pm
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:BJ displaying great amounts anger:

:x BOOOO at the wknd

:evil: BOOOOO!!!! at Lemony Snicket's

:evil: BOOOO!!!! especailay at The Polar Express

:evil: BOOOOO!!!! at all other films for posting such horible friday numbers :x

BOOOOOOOOO!!!!!!!!!! :evil:

:BJ is now not as angry:

8)

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Last edited by BJ on Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:11 pm
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Libs wrote:
BacktotheFuture wrote:
You heard it here first:

Lemony Sticket's Series of Unfortunate Events will not make it past $100 Million


...and I'm sure that's where we'll hear it last. A movie opening with over $30M around the holidays not making $100M would be ludicrous.


I'm not one to normally boast something, but... BTTF got served, Libs-style! :wink:

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Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:15 pm
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My projections:

Lemony Snicket's 35.5
Ocean's Twelve 19.8
Spanglish 10.0
Polar Express 9.2
Blade: Trinity 6.2
National Treasure 5.6
Flight of the Phoenix 5.1
Closer 4.5
Christmas with the Kranks 5.3
The Incredibles 3.3


Sat Dec 18, 2004 2:15 pm
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