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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22162 Location: Places
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 The Dark Knight Thread
 Rest in peace Heath. Your performance was the bomb and award season glory await it! Now let us watch as records fall! Records TDK currently holds: 1. $18.5 Biggest midnight ever (previous record $16.9) 2. $66.5 Biggest Friday ever (previous record $59.8) 3. $66.5 Biggest Opening Day ever (previous record $59.5) 4. $43.6 Biggest Sunday ever (previous record $39.9) 5. $24.5 Biggest non-Holiday Monday ever 6. -8.5% Best Saturday-to Sunday drop ever for a big blockbuster 7. Biggest 2 day total 8. $158.4 Biggest 3 day (previous record 151.1) 9. $182,904,796 Biggest 4 day total (10 Million higher than the previous 5 DAY total) 10. Fastest to 100 million 11. Fastest to 200 million (5 day) (previous record: 8 days) 12. $203.8 Biggest 5 day total (previous record: 172.1) 13. Through 5 days, TDK has the biggest 6 day total 14. Through 5 day's, TDK has the biggest 7 day total. 15. 20.8 Biggest non-Tuesday ever (previous record: 15.8) 16. Biggest 8 day total (thourgh 7 days)
Last edited by Excel on Tue Dec 02, 2008 11:34 pm, edited 33 times in total.
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Sat May 27, 2006 8:38 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39979
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That 86/265 prediction sounds about right to me. 
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat May 27, 2006 8:41 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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If they are using "The Killing Joke" script, it will make upwards of 280 million
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Sat May 27, 2006 8:43 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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I'd guess around $90 million opening weekend and $270 million total, assuming it's released on Friday.
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Sat May 27, 2006 8:51 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Who will win 08's summer between these 2, (round 2) Indiana Jones Vs Batman?
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Sat May 27, 2006 8:54 pm |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am Posts: 13403
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Going off the WOM success of Begins i'd say
81/278
_________________ Rosberg was reminded of the fuel regulations by his wheel's ceasing to turn. The hollow noise from the fuel tank and needle reading zero had failed to convay this message
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:02 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22162 Location: Places
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Bret Ratner is the best wrote: Who will win 08's summer between these 2, (round 2) Indiana Jones Vs Batman?
thats a tough one....
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:12 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Opening: 94.5
Total: 275.9 (2.92)
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:25 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11017
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It will make about the same as bb.
55/210
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:25 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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neo_wolf wrote: It will make about the same as bb.
55/210
You think it'll open to just $7 million more, despite the fact that the original opened on a Wednesday?
Um, no.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:26 pm |
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Schlomo
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Jan 30, 2005 10:09 am Posts: 1097
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100/280
there's NO WAY this will open under 85, not a chance in hell if opening on a friday with the WOM it's predecessor had.
_________________revolutions wrote: that one dude with the giant ass mi:3 logo
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:28 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11017
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Zingaling wrote: neo_wolf wrote: It will make about the same as bb.
55/210 You think it'll open to just $7 million more, despite the fact that the original opened on a Wednesday? Um, no.
I thought it would open on a wednesday.
Let me revise my prediction then.
65/210
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:29 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11017
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Schlomo wrote: 100/280
there's NO WAY this will open under 85, not a chance in hell if opening on a friday with the WOM it's predecessor had.
It will not open near 100mill.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:30 pm |
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FILMO
The Original
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am Posts: 9808 Location: Suisse
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90/301
remember I was right that BB will make barely over 200.
With a well done Joker in it this is gonna be huge.
_________________Libs wrote: FILMO, I'd rather have you eat chocolate syrup off my naked body than be a moderator here.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:34 pm |
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Michael.
No Wire Tampons!
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am Posts: 23283
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danger with this : Batman Begins was so reliant on its acclaim from critics and in turn its strong word of mouth to sustain it that the sequel has a very high barrier to match. I think its going to be hard for them.
_________________ I'm out.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:36 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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Depends on the release date, among other things, but I'd have to say 88/260.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:36 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
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It'll make more than BB, that's for sure...
_________________
Last edited by Nazgul9 on Sat May 27, 2006 9:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:39 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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neo_wolf wrote: Zingaling wrote: neo_wolf wrote: It will make about the same as bb.
55/210 You think it'll open to just $7 million more, despite the fact that the original opened on a Wednesday? Um, no. I thought it would open on a wednesday. Let me revise my prediction then. 65/210
This is almost as bad as your $400M SR prediction.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:40 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm Posts: 3917 Location: Las Vegas
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$94M/$305M
_________________ Dr. RajKumar 4/24/1929 - 4/12/2006 The Greatest Actor Ever. Thanks for The Best Cinematic Memories of My Life.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:42 pm |
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The_Game_1
Star Trek XI
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:00 pm Posts: 343
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$275m-$325m
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Sat May 27, 2006 10:07 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Mike Pepsi wrote: danger with this : Batman Begins was so reliant on its acclaim from critics and in turn its strong word of mouth to sustain it that the sequel has a very high barrier to match. I think its going to be hard for them. Yeah, cause that 60% COTC is really AMAZING.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
Last edited by Joker's Thug #3 on Sat May 27, 2006 11:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat May 27, 2006 11:14 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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neo_wolf wrote: It will make about the same as bb.
55/210 Glad you think the movie is gonna be even more awsome then the first one and have some fantastic legs.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat May 27, 2006 11:16 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs Prediction:
Opening Wknd: 105m
Domestic Total: 405m
_________________The Force Awakens
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Sat May 27, 2006 11:33 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12126
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Say we get 3% price increases for 2006, 2007, and 2008 ($6.99 ticket price), adjusted for inflation, here's how the Batman films rank:
Batman:
OW: $71,325,186.32
Total: $442,484,791.21
Multiplier: 6.203766356
Batman Returns:
OW: $76,990,948.94
Total: $274,396,914.89
Multiplier: 3.56401523
Batman Forever:
OW: $84,860,380.17
Total: $295,862,799.69
Multiplier: 3.48646564
Batman and Robin:
OW: $65,321,410.85
Total: $163,522,444.16
Multiplier: 2.503351383
Batman Begins
OW: $53,265,056.27
Total: $224,382,992.05
Multiplier: 4.212574017
Batman Begins appears to have done really well, with a $200 m + total and what was the 2nd biggest opening of all five films. However, given the franchise, it was actually the worst opening of all the films (18% behind Batman and Robin), and Batman and Robin would have made just 27% less than Batman Begins. This is important to note for a number of reasons. First of all, there is huge potential for the film's base to grow. Afterall, if Batman and Robin would adjust to $65 m by that time, there is plenty of room to improve. Batman 2 and 3 also are past $270 m, so Begins finished much farther behind. But the BIGGEST thing in Batman Begins favor was that it had legs, that the franchise has not seen since the original Batman, which is a big sign of a huge jump for the next film.
Given that Batman (2008) will enter a box office environment that is even more prone to huge openings for "comfort sequels," a ballooning of its tally would not be surprising. At the very least, given an adequate quality film, Batman Begins will do $55 m opening weekend at least, and $225 m +. But given the good wom of the last film, and the fact that there is more of a wait for this upcoming film (Batman 3-4 came out within two years, leading to some oversaturation), Batman 6 should do quite well.
At this point, I'm going with $77.7 m (the average of the adjusted openings for Batman 1-3), a multiplier of 3.45, for $268 m. It would take another quality film for a really big opening and total, as the franchise still needs to built on what they had.
Last edited by O on Sat May 27, 2006 11:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat May 27, 2006 11:45 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22162 Location: Places
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geez, batman 1 2 3 were all HUGE
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Sat May 27, 2006 11:48 pm |
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