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 The Dark Knight Thread 
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Superfreak
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Rest in peace Heath. Your performance was the bomb and award season glory await it! Now let us watch as records fall!

Records TDK currently holds:
1. $18.5 Biggest midnight ever (previous record $16.9)
2. $66.5 Biggest Friday ever (previous record $59.8)
3. $66.5 Biggest Opening Day ever (previous record $59.5)
4. $43.6 Biggest Sunday ever (previous record $39.9)
5. $24.5 Biggest non-Holiday Monday ever
6. -8.5% Best Saturday-to Sunday drop ever for a big blockbuster
7. Biggest 2 day total
8. $158.4 Biggest 3 day (previous record 151.1)
9. $182,904,796 Biggest 4 day total (10 Million higher than the previous 5 DAY total)
10. Fastest to 100 million
11. Fastest to 200 million (5 day) (previous record: 8 days)
12. $203.8 Biggest 5 day total (previous record: 172.1)
13. Through 5 days, TDK has the biggest 6 day total
14. Through 5 day's, TDK has the biggest 7 day total.
15. 20.8 Biggest non-Tuesday ever (previous record: 15.8)
16. Biggest 8 day total (thourgh 7 days)


Last edited by Excel on Tue Dec 02, 2008 11:34 pm, edited 33 times in total.



Sat May 27, 2006 8:38 pm
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Devil's Advocate
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That 86/265 prediction sounds about right to me. :)

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Sat May 27, 2006 8:41 pm
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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If they are using "The Killing Joke" script, it will make upwards of 280 million


Sat May 27, 2006 8:43 pm
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College Boy Z

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I'd guess around $90 million opening weekend and $270 million total, assuming it's released on Friday.


Sat May 27, 2006 8:51 pm
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Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
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Who will win 08's summer between these 2, (round 2) Indiana Jones Vs Batman?


Sat May 27, 2006 8:54 pm
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Jordan Mugen-Honda
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Going off the WOM success of Begins i'd say

81/278

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Sat May 27, 2006 9:02 pm
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Superfreak
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Bret Ratner is the best wrote:
Who will win 08's summer between these 2, (round 2) Indiana Jones Vs Batman?


thats a tough one....


Sat May 27, 2006 9:12 pm
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Begging Naked
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Opening: 94.5
Total: 275.9 (2.92)


Sat May 27, 2006 9:25 pm
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Extraordinary

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It will make about the same as bb.

55/210


Sat May 27, 2006 9:25 pm
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neo_wolf wrote:
It will make about the same as bb.

55/210


You think it'll open to just $7 million more, despite the fact that the original opened on a Wednesday?

Um, no.


Sat May 27, 2006 9:26 pm
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100/280

there's NO WAY this will open under 85, not a chance in hell if opening on a friday with the WOM it's predecessor had.

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Sat May 27, 2006 9:28 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
neo_wolf wrote:
It will make about the same as bb.

55/210


You think it'll open to just $7 million more, despite the fact that the original opened on a Wednesday?

Um, no.



I thought it would open on a wednesday.

Let me revise my prediction then.

65/210


Sat May 27, 2006 9:29 pm
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Schlomo wrote:
100/280

there's NO WAY this will open under 85, not a chance in hell if opening on a friday with the WOM it's predecessor had.



It will not open near 100mill.


Sat May 27, 2006 9:30 pm
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The Original
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90/301

remember I was right that BB will make barely over 200.
With a well done Joker in it this is gonna be huge.

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Sat May 27, 2006 9:34 pm
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danger with this : Batman Begins was so reliant on its acclaim from critics and in turn its strong word of mouth to sustain it that the sequel has a very high barrier to match. I think its going to be hard for them.

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Sat May 27, 2006 9:36 pm
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Depends on the release date, among other things, but I'd have to say 88/260.

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Sat May 27, 2006 9:36 pm
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Extraordinary
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It'll make more than BB, that's for sure...

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Last edited by Nazgul9 on Sat May 27, 2006 9:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 27, 2006 9:39 pm
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neo_wolf wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
neo_wolf wrote:
It will make about the same as bb.

55/210


You think it'll open to just $7 million more, despite the fact that the original opened on a Wednesday?

Um, no.



I thought it would open on a wednesday.

Let me revise my prediction then.

65/210


This is almost as bad as your $400M SR prediction.


Sat May 27, 2006 9:40 pm
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$94M/$305M

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Sat May 27, 2006 9:42 pm
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$275m-$325m


Sat May 27, 2006 10:07 pm
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Extraordinary
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Mike Pepsi wrote:
danger with this : Batman Begins was so reliant on its acclaim from critics and in turn its strong word of mouth to sustain it that the sequel has a very high barrier to match. I think its going to be hard for them.
Yeah, cause that 60% COTC is really AMAZING.

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Last edited by Joker's Thug #3 on Sat May 27, 2006 11:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 27, 2006 11:14 pm
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Extraordinary
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neo_wolf wrote:
It will make about the same as bb.

55/210
Glad you think the movie is gonna be even more awsome then the first one and have some fantastic legs.

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Sat May 27, 2006 11:16 pm
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BJs Prediction:

Opening Wknd: 105m

Domestic Total: 405m

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Sat May 27, 2006 11:33 pm
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Say we get 3% price increases for 2006, 2007, and 2008 ($6.99 ticket price), adjusted for inflation, here's how the Batman films rank:

Batman:

OW: $71,325,186.32
Total: $442,484,791.21
Multiplier: 6.203766356

Batman Returns:

OW: $76,990,948.94
Total: $274,396,914.89
Multiplier: 3.56401523

Batman Forever:

OW: $84,860,380.17
Total: $295,862,799.69
Multiplier: 3.48646564

Batman and Robin:

OW: $65,321,410.85
Total: $163,522,444.16
Multiplier: 2.503351383

Batman Begins

OW: $53,265,056.27
Total: $224,382,992.05
Multiplier: 4.212574017


Batman Begins appears to have done really well, with a $200 m + total and what was the 2nd biggest opening of all five films. However, given the franchise, it was actually the worst opening of all the films (18% behind Batman and Robin), and Batman and Robin would have made just 27% less than Batman Begins. This is important to note for a number of reasons. First of all, there is huge potential for the film's base to grow. Afterall, if Batman and Robin would adjust to $65 m by that time, there is plenty of room to improve. Batman 2 and 3 also are past $270 m, so Begins finished much farther behind. But the BIGGEST thing in Batman Begins favor was that it had legs, that the franchise has not seen since the original Batman, which is a big sign of a huge jump for the next film.

Given that Batman (2008) will enter a box office environment that is even more prone to huge openings for "comfort sequels," a ballooning of its tally would not be surprising. At the very least, given an adequate quality film, Batman Begins will do $55 m opening weekend at least, and $225 m +. But given the good wom of the last film, and the fact that there is more of a wait for this upcoming film (Batman 3-4 came out within two years, leading to some oversaturation), Batman 6 should do quite well.

At this point, I'm going with $77.7 m (the average of the adjusted openings for Batman 1-3), a multiplier of 3.45, for $268 m. It would take another quality film for a really big opening and total, as the franchise still needs to built on what they had.


Last edited by O on Sat May 27, 2006 11:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sat May 27, 2006 11:45 pm
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Superfreak
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geez, batman 1 2 3 were all HUGE


Sat May 27, 2006 11:48 pm
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