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Game score with Estimates
https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=1412
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Author:  xiayun [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 1:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Game score with Estimates

The Incredibles - (48 / 51) -- Accuracy: 94.12%
The Polar Express - (25 / 23.5) -- Accuracy: 93.62%
After the Sunset - (10.5 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 91.30%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (6.6 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 75.00%
Seed of Chucky - (7.7 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 87.50%
Ray - (8.8 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 95.24%
The Grudge - (6.6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 92.96%
Saw - (6.1 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 95.31%
Shall We Dance? - (4 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 97.56%
Alfie - (3.6 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 71.43%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 89.40%

New Release: 86.86%
Still in Theater: 91.10%

Author:  John Doe [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 1:58 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Incredibles - (43.8 / 51) -- Accuracy: 85.88%
The Polar Express - (33.2 / 23.5) -- Accuracy: 58.72%
After the Sunset - (12.3 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 93.04%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (6.3 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 71.59%
Seed of Chucky - (8.7 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 98.86%
Ray - (9.1 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 91.67%
The Grudge - (7.2 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 98.59%
Saw - (6.2 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 96.88%
Shall We Dance? - (4.1 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Alfie - (3.3 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 82.14%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 87.74%

New Release: 80.56%
Still in Theater: 92.53%

Improved much from my scores with projections... :wink:

Author:  John Doe [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 2:00 pm ]
Post subject: 

BTW, here is Brandon's score:

The Incredibles - (46.7 / 51) -- Accuracy: 91.57%
The Polar Express - (26.8 / 23.5) -- Accuracy: 85.96%
After the Sunset - (12.7 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 89.57%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (8.8 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Seed of Chucky - (8.3 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 94.32%
Ray - (8.5 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 98.81%
The Grudge - (7.5 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 94.37%
Saw - (6.7 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 95.31%
Shall We Dance? - (4.1 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Alfie - (3.8 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 64.29%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 91.42%

New Release: 92.46%
Still in Theater: 90.72%

The only miss was his overprediction for Alfie...

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 2:00 pm ]
Post subject: 

Brandon is at over 91%. He nailed Bridget Jones and Seed of Chucky. Thought I had a chance.

Author:  John Doe [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 2:01 pm ]
Post subject: 

xiayun wrote:
Brandon is at over 91%. He nailed Bridget Jones and Seed of Chucky. Thought I had a chance.


There is always a next time... :wink: Keep up good work...

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 2:03 pm ]
Post subject: 

John Doe wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Brandon is at over 91%. He nailed Bridget Jones and Seed of Chucky. Thought I had a chance.


There is always a next time... :wink: Keep up good work...


Thanks! :)

Author:  neo_wolf [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 2:06 pm ]
Post subject: 

b]The Incredibles - (45.2 / 51)[/b] -- Accuracy: 88.63%
The Polar Express - (37.0 / 23.5) -- Accuracy: 42.55%
After the Sunset - (8.2 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 71.30%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (4.9 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 55.68%
Seed of Chucky - (10.5 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 80.68%
Ray - (8.4 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Grudge - (7.3 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 97.18%
Saw - (6.7 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 95.31%
Shall We Dance? - (4.7 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 85.37%
Alfie - (3.1 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 89.29%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 80.60%

New Release: 62.56%
Still in Theater: 92.63%

Author:  Anonymous [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 2:15 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Pollar Express 23,50 ; 28,40 79,15% - 26,50 87,23% - 28,70 77,87% - 22,10 94,04%
The Incredibles 51,00 ; 41,60 81,57% - 44,00 86,27% - 45,00 88,24% - 44,60 87,45%
After the Sunset 11,50 ; 12,20 93,91% - 11,40 99,13% - 11,70 98,26% - 11,10 96,52%
Ray 8,40 ; 9,60 85,71% - 9,40 88,10% - 9,50 86,90% - 9,40 88,10%
Seed of Chucky 8,80 ; 7,30 82,95% - 6,00 68,18% - 6,40 72,73% - 5,30 60,23%
The Grudge 7,10 ; 7,20 98,59% - 7,40 95,77% - 7,60 92,96% - 7,40 95,77%
Saw 6,40 ; 6,70 95,31% - 6,60 96,88% - 6,80 93,75% - 6,80 93,75%
Bridget Jones: Edge of Reason 8,90 ; 6,00 67,42% - 5,40 60,67% - 5,30 59,55% - 5,30 59,55%
Shall We Dance? 4,10 ; 4,60 87,80% --- 4,00 97,56%
Alfie 2,80 ; 3,80 64,29% - 3,30 82,14% - 3,40 78,57%
Sideways 1,40 ; 1,11 79,29%
Finding Neverland 0,241 ; 0,361 50,21% - 0,349 55,19%
Birth 0,40 ; 0,76 10,00%

Derby Game ••• 83,67% • Openers - 80,86% • Holdovers - 85,55%
Apprentice/Survivor Game ••• 74,96% • Openers - 73,09% • Holdovers - 76,53%
Pairs Game ••• 80,47% • Openers - 72,72% • Holdovers - 88,23%
UC4/Bo55 ••• 85,15% • Openers - 77,59% • Holdovers - 90,20%

Author:  Amos [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 2:20 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Incredibles - (45.2 / 51) -- Accuracy: 88.63%
The Polar Express - (32 / 23.5) -- Accuracy: 63.83%
After the Sunset - (14.7 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 72.17%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (6.7 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 76.14%
Seed of Chucky - (5.9 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 67.05%
Ray - (9 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
The Grudge - (7.3 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 97.18%
Saw - (6.3 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 98.44%
Shall We Dance? - (3.9 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 95.12%
Alfie - (3.4 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 78.57%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 83.00%

New Release: 69.80%
Still in Theater: 91.80%

I'm officially getting worse and worse at predicting openers :lol:

Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 2:22 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Incredibles - (45.0 / 51) -- Accuracy: 88.24%
The Polar Express - (22.8 / 23.5) -- Accuracy: 97.02%
After the Sunset - (11.0 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 95.65%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (6.6 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 75.00%
Seed of Chucky - (8.3 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 94.32%
Ray - (8.6 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 97.62%
The Grudge - (6.6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 92.96%
Saw - (6.2 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 96.88%
Shall We Dance? - (4.0 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 97.56%
Alfie - (3.5 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 75.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 91.02%

New Release: 90.50%
Still in Theater: 91.37%

Author:  Bodrul [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 3:01 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Incredibles - (51 / 51) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Polar Express - (36 / 23.5) -- Accuracy: 46.81%
After the Sunset - (17 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 52.17%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (7 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 79.55%
Seed of Chucky - (9.5 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 92.05%
Ray - (10 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 80.95%
The Grudge - (8.5 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 80.28%
Saw - (7 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 90.63%
Shall We Dance? - (4.7 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 85.37%
Alfie - (3.9 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 60.71%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.85%

New Release: 67.64%
Still in Theater: 82.99%

Author:  The Scottie [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 3:54 pm ]
Post subject: 

My score with these estimates is an 82.76%, a great increase from the projections.

Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 7:26 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Incredibles - (49.6 / 51) -- Accuracy: 97.25%
The Polar Express - (25.5 / 23.5) -- Accuracy: 91.49%
After the Sunset - (11.9 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 96.52%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (6.5 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 73.86%
Seed of Chucky - (7.0 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 79.55%
Ray - (8.9 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 94.05%
The Grudge - (6.6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 92.96%
Saw - (6.2 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 96.88%
Shall We Dance? - (3.9 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 95.12%
Alfie - (3.3 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 82.14%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 89.98%

New Release: 85.36%
Still in Theater: 93.07%


Bridget and Chucky got me ..if only i had gone just a tad higher..... :(

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