If Streep's next big film is also a big smash, I think potentially we could see her negotiating for $20 m in a couple of years. She's turning 60 next year, so its quite something that she is becoming more and more bankable nowadays than actresses like Reese, Julia, Sandra, etc, . She chooses her roles very well.

Mummy 3 opened 7m+
Hancock opened 7m+
Wanted opened 7m+

but yet, TDK failed to open more than 3m+

Streep's next big film will probably be that Nancy Myers flick and considering all of them do well worldwide, I'd say it'll be a big success as well. Even though The Holiday disappointed slightly, it still made $200+ million WW.

Disney really need to stop releasing Pixar movies in September in Australia. Finding Nemo really was a once off success. The screen average for Wall-E is really dreadful.

Step Brothers had an awesome launch considering the MA15+ comedy overload. No wonder Roadshow ended up dumping Harold & Kumar in the end.

Mamma Mia! is still a monster and will pass $500 million worldwide during the next couple of days. I thinkit's a lock for $400 million overseas now and $550 million worldwide at least.


Very solid overseas number for The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Warrior. It is easily becoming the biggest Mummy flic overseas - to my big surprise. I assume Jet Li's presence helped in the Asian markets, as well as Russia's rising marketplace. In any case, it is looking to pass $400 million WW with 75% from that coming from overseas.


Tropic Thunder is slightly underperforming overseas, but that's not unusual for American comedies actually. It might struggle to $200 million worldwide.


The Dark Knight is less than $6 million away from passing Indy overseas and it currently stands at $985 million worldwide, making it the 4th-biggest movie ever worldwide - whereas Batman Begins is #117!!! What an increase!


A pretty disappointing opening for Iron Man in Japan. I thought it'd have at least $5 million locked up. Looks like it'll have to settle for roughly $580 million worldwide. I wonder if there's a slight chance that Mamma Mia! will actually overtake it.

Terrible drop for Wanted in Japan, about a 75% drop. And Iron Man bombed pretty badly.

Ponyo was at 134.6M as of Sept 21st (haven't updated the JBO thread because Screen Daily decided to take Japan's Intl section off for whatever reason, not sure what they are doing). I'm hoping it's near 138M after today.

Kung Fu Panda made 411 million overseas?????

Kung Fu Panda is having an amazing run! $650 m + or so worldwide, the biggest non-Shrek/Pixar animated movie ever, and a modest $130 m budget. DW has a new franchise out of this that should go for at least three films I think. It also just lost out to Wall-E by $5.6 m domestically. For old times sake, Go Panda!

Gross.

Intl. Box-Office: Oct 3-5 Weekend

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/con ... b3cf2aeb4a

Universal's "Mamma Mia!" again reigned over an increasingly scattered international circuit with an estimated $14.1 million from 4,406 screens in 47 markets, hiking its cumulative overseas take to $377.2 million.

The weekend saw a rush of single-market or limited runs launched on behalf of nearly 10 fresh titles. The most popular new Hollywood studio contribution was Disney's "Beverly Hills Chihuahua," which premiered No. 1 at the domestic boxoffice.

The talking-dog comedy opened day-and-date in Australia, New Zealand, Mexico, South Africa and Colombia to an estimated $4.8 million from 810 screens. That was enough to qualify for the No. 5 spot internationally.

The weekend's best solo-market bow was Paramount's U.K. release of FilmFour's "How to Lose Friends & Alienate People." The comedy, based on Toby Young's account of his struggles as a young British writer working in New York for Vanity Fair magazine, opened No. 1 in the market with $2.1 million from 449 screens.

Taking the top spot internationally for a fifth-straight frame, "Mamma Mia!" benefited from a first-place opening in Italy, where it lured $2.8 million from 302 sites for a per-screen average of $9,272. That was quite a feat, Universal noted, because the Italy market usually is resistant to musicals.

Pixar/Disney's "WALL-E" claimed the weekend's second spot internationally with $10.9 million from 3,583 screens in 35 territories, hiking its overseas cume to $230.3 million -- $9.5 million more than the animation title's domestic take. The big contributor was Germany, where "WALL-E" beat its opening weekend by 10% with an estimated $5.4 million from 780 locations.

In third place was DreamWorks/Paramount's "Eagle Eye," which garnered $8.3 million from 2,038 screens in 31 territories during its second weekend, raising its international cume to $15.2 million. The action-thriller opened No. 1 in Singapore and drew $2.1 million during its Russia debut on 438 screens.

Paramount's "Tropic Thunder" placed fourth with $5.2 million from 1,824 screens in 36 markets, raising its overseas cume to $49.2 million. Its big contributor was the U.K., where the Ben Stiller satire ranked No. 3 with $1.8 million from 425 locations.

Sony released "Lakeview Terrace" in France, where the drama, starring Samuel L. Jackson as a racist Los Angeles police officer, ranked fifth with $1.1 million from 189 screens. Paramount premiered "The Duchess," starring Keira Knightley and Ralph Fiennes, in Australia, where the period drama drew $880,000 from 181 spots. Disney opened Miramax's "Brideshead Revisited" in the No. 8 spot in the U.K., drawing $710,000 from 255 locations.

New Line's "Appaloosa" opened No. 4 in Paris and its suburbs and garnered $1.5 million from the overall France market. As of late last week, Ed Harris' Western, also starring Jeremy Irons, Viggo Mortensen and Renee Zellweger, had grossed $400,000 overseas.

Sony opened "Righteous Kill," a Robert De Niro-Al Pacino crime drama, in Spain to $1.6 million from 315 locations. In the U.K., "Kill" ranked sixth with $930,000 from 380 screens.

20th Century Fox got solid results from "Mirrors," a horror film starring Kiefer Sutherland, which opened strong in Spain and garnered $4.6 million during the weekend from 1,500 screens in 27 territories, increasing its overseas cume to $18.8 million. Fox's "Taken" scored $4 million from 1,000 sites in 18 markets, upping its international cume to $30.4 million. The crime drama, starring Liam Neeson, was No. 2 in the U.K. during its second weekend in that market, drawing $2.2 million from 398 locations.

Disney's release of Miramax's "The Boy in the Striped Pyjamas," set to open Nov. 7 in the U.S., scored $3.1 million from 435 screens in the U.K. and Spain. The period drama's overseas cume stands at $11.5 million, from only those two territories.

Other weekend tallies, plus international cumes, include: Universal's "Death Race," $3.5 million from 1,116 screens, cume $17.2 million; Fox's "Babylon A.D.," $2.5 million from 900 screens, cume $13.4 million; Universal's "The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor," $2.7 million from 2,438 sites, cume $286.7 million; Sony's "You Don't Mess With the Zohan," $2.4 million from 1,325 screens, cume $96.9 million; Universal's "Wanted," $2.5 million from 1,455 situations, cume $187.9 million; and Sony's "The House Bunny," $1.4 million from 445 screens, cume $2.7 million.

The top spot in France went to "Go Fast," Olivier Van Hoofstad's local-language action title about drug-running from Spain to North Africa, which debuted by earning $4 million in that market. At No. 3 in France was "Cliente" (Client), starring Nathalie Baye as a middle-aged woman who pays a young male escort for sex. The film's opening tally in that market was $2.5 million.

Other overseas cumes include: Universal's "Hellboy II: The Golden Army," $64.4 million; Sony's "Step Brothers," $21.4 million; Warner Bros.' "The Dark Knight," $461.7 million; Sony's "Hancock," $394.4 million; Warners' "Star Wars: The Clone Wars," $31.2 million; Universal's "Wild Child," $14.6 million; DreamWorks/Paramount's "Kung Fu Panda," $412.5 million; Fox's "Meet Dave," $35.6 million; and Warners' "Nights in Rodanthe," $3.9 million.


http://www.variety.com/article/VR111799 ... id=13&cs=1


By DAVE MCNARY

Foreign sensation "Mamma Mia!" stayed unstoppable at international multiplexes, racking up its fifth consecutive weekend victory with $14.1 million at 4,406 play dates in 47 markets.

The tuner's taken in a dazzling $377.2 million and kept overall biz healthy during the early fall -- a period when moviegoing tends to soften as studios opt for a combo of summer holdovers and smallish rollouts of new pics.

For example, the frame saw domestic winner "Beverly Hills Chihuahua" put the bite on respectable foreign grosses with $4.8 million at only 810 in five territories for a decent per-location average of $5,926 -- best among major launches and mostly from $2.4 million in Australia and $1.8 million in Mexico. Paramount's comedy "How to Lose Friends & Alienate People," with local fave Simon Pegg toplining, opened day and date in the U.K. in first with a moderate $2.1 million at 449.

"Mamma Mia!" opened in first in Italy with $2.8 million as U noted that it expects strong word of mouth even though Italians are usually not fans of musicals. Holdover biz continued to be exceptions with the U.K. rising 25% to $1.4 million in its 13th week for a Brit cume of $123.3 million while Korean grosses slid 25% in the fifth frame to $1.6 million.

"Mamma!" still has plenty of gas in the tank with eight territories to open, including Japan on Jan. 30. Its stunning performance has left Universal with nearly $1.5 billion, trailing only Warner Bros. and Paramount at $1.6 billion -- keeping the international biz for the six majors 2% behind last year's record-setting pace, which finished 2007 at $9.5 billion.

Par's been propelled by "Indiana Jones 4" and "Kung Fu Panda" combining for nearly $900 million and should see massive offshore grosses next month from its "Madagascar" sequel. It saw solid returns during the frame from its first expansion of "Eagle Eye" with $8.3 million at 2,038, led by a $2.1 million launch in Russia.

Warners has been led by "The Dark Knight," which has hit $461.7 million overseas. Fox has hit $1.2 billion as it's opted for non-tentpole fare in recent months with "The Day the Earth Stood Still" expected to goose grosses at year end; "Mirrors" represented its leading player during the frame with $4.6 million at 1,500.

Disney just cleared the $1 billion mark for the year on the strength of "Wall-E" with $10.9 million at 3,583 to lift the foreign cume past $230 million. Its second German frame stayed solid with $5.4 million, topping "The Baader Meinhof Complex" at $4.5 million and the Teuton launch of "Burn After Reading" with $3 million.

The Mouse House opted for a gradual launch of the family comedy with Italy and Japan still to come for "Wall-E." Disney, which should see impressive international numbers later this year from "High School Musical ," continued to post strong early numbers from "The Boy in the Striped Pajamas" with $3.3 million at 448 in Spain and the U.K.

Sony's trailing the pack with $914 million this year but will begin minting money from "Quantum of Solace" when the Bond pic begins its foreign run Oct. 31. Its top title for the frame was "You Don't Mess With the Zohan" with $2.4 million at 1,325 screens in 37 markets -- half of that from the Italian launch -- to lift the foreign cume to $96.9 million.

"Zohan" should join "Click" soon as the second Adam Sandler title to top $100 million in foreign markets.

So, TDK won't catch Indy 4?

It made $1.7m the entire week and is dropping about 50% a week, so I can't see it getting 5m more to catch Indy overseas.

Mamma Mia! is still unstoppable, but I think by now it has opened in all major markets except Japan, right? So we should be looking at a $555-560 million worldwide gross probably. I wonder if it can outdo Kung-Fu Panda overseas. It'll come close, but probably fall short.


The Mummy: Tomb of the Dragon Emperor is a beast overseas and should make around $400 million worldwide when all is said and done. Not bad for a $100 million-domestic grosser.


Quite good for Mirrors. It was a decent success in the US (a non-sequel/major remake R-rated horror grossing $30 million is pretty decent) and looks to top it easily overseas where horror usually doesn't fare very well. The German release date on October 30 is pretty great for it too.


Not so hot for Tropic Thunder overall, but it was to be expected.


WALL-E is looking at $260+ million overseas. Should be leggy in Germany.

It might come near to that with just holdover business. It made almost $21m last week from Mon-Sun, so even w/o the Italy opening it brought in more than $18m, down only about 17% from the previous week's $21.5m total. If it drops harder as it finally loses theaters and goes 15-10-5-2-1 in weekly totals from now on that's another $33m, and a $553m total. Japan is a traditionally big market for musicals, and MM and ABBA are also supposedly big there as they are in Korea (where it's already done over $20m). My guess is $20m is the minimum from that market but the ceiling for it is much higher.

Japan
Hairspray: $8,016,810
Dreamgirls: $16,199,342
Sweeny Todd: $19,650,613
Chicago: $27,383,935
Phantom: $35,829,743

Doc, you are too conservative. Mamma is surely surpassing Panda. It needs only $35 m, which is more than doable after $14 m weekend, strong opening in Italy and Japan yet to open. How come you think it will only gross $40 million to finish with $560??? Come on, Doc, you must be fucking kidding me! It will do $585 m for sure.

$260+ for Wall-E??? 30 million left? With Japan and Italy yet to open??? It's a freaking lock for $300+ m., more likely finishing with $320 m or more. Stop being so conservative, or I'll kick your ass.

I said $260+ million, I didn't say "$260 million".

As for Mamma Mia! I guess we'll see. The Italy opening was good for the market, but not huge in itself.

If you wanted to say more, why saying less? Everyone knows it will make way over $260 m, so there's no point in saying it will make $260+.
And Mamma will finish with way over $560 m. You will see. You tend to underestimate international b/o. Same thing was with Hancock just recently. Come on, Doc!

And you said Iron Man would finish with way over $570 million (and then it bombed in Japan and will finish just slightly above the mark).

At least I knew it will be released there and considered all the stakes on table before making a judgement. Don't forget that you said, quote, "Oh, it still wasn't released there? I forgot that. Well, in that case, $600+ million obviously.", end quote, right after I mentioned Japan. Apparently you didn't have any idea that it's gonna bomb there as well. So we're in the same boat here, Doc.

Proving that you're no more right or wrong than I am : )

Sure, but at least I don't underestimate movies. It's just no fun.

Better a positive than a negative surprise, though

We'll agree on that.

"A Russian-made historical drama about a Revolution-era naval hero with romantic entanglements emerged as the weekend’s surprise No.1 international boxoffice winner as ”Koltchak” (Admiral), which opened in just two markets -- Russia and the Ukraine -- grossed an estimated $12.8 million from about 1,500 screens.

“Admiral” stars Konstantin Khabensky as the admiral and polar explorer who led the elite “white forces” of the anti-Bolsheviks during the Russian Civil War. The drama directed by Andrei Kravchuk was produced by Russian Channel 1/Solyaris, and acquired and released by 20th Century Fox. It depicts the title character’s war experiences as well as his love affair with a close friend’s wife.

Warner’s “Body of Lies,” directed by Ridley Scott and starring Leonardo DiCaprio and Russell Crowe, opened in Australia and New Zealand as well as five Asian markets (including Taiwan and Hong Kong) for an estimated $3.2 million take from a total of 656 screens. The CIA thriller was No. 1 in Australia, Crowe’s home country, with an estimated $1.5 million from 292 screens.

Finishing a close No. 2 on the weekend overall was DreamWorks/Paramount’s thriller “Eagle Eye,” which premiered in 10 new territories, registering $11.2 million from 3,113 screens in a total of 41 markets for an international total so far of $30 million.

“Mamma Mia!,” which had led the international boxoffice for the last five frames, settled for third place with $8 million from 4,100 dates in 48 markets, pushing its overseas cume at $390.5 million. Distributor Universal predicts the smash-hit musical with Meryl Streep will surpass the $400 million mark overseas by the coming weekend.

Pixar/Disney’s “WALL-E” finished fourth with $5.8 million from 3,109 screens in 33 territories for an international cume of $238.6 million (domestic total is $221 million). A strong Germany showing -- where it was No. 1 for the fourth consecutive weekend with $2.3 million from 680 screens for a cume of $16.6 million -- powered the weekend’s total number. Disney expects “WALL-E” to surpass the $239.1 million overseas gross mark of "Toy Story 2” (1999) by Monday.

Ranking No. 1 in the U.K. – and taking the fifth spot overall -- is Sony’s “The House Bunny,” which debuted in the world’s biggest overseas market for Hollywood studio features at an estimated $1.7 million from 252 screens.

The comedy with Anna Faris as a former Playboy model teaching nerdy sorority girls to be more attractive also opened in Spain (where it ranked No. 5 in the market), Germany, France (ranking No. 14 in Paris and suburbs) and Brazil, and lured $5 million on the weekend overall from 1,585 dates in 25 markets. International cume so far stands at $8.6 million.

In France, Woody Allen’s comedy, “Vicky Christina Barcelona” opened via Warner’s at No. 1 in Paris and suburbs, with an estimated $2 million from an undisclosed number of locations in the market overall. Premiering in second place was “Righteous Kill,” the crime drama co-starring Robert DeNiro and Al Pacino, which garnered an estimated $1.5 million.

Local language holdovers held well, led by director Laurence Cantet’s “Entre le murs” (The Class). The Palme d’or winner at this year’s Cannes International Film Festival ranked No. 3 with an estimated $1.3 million from about 500 screens – a 45% drop from its second weekend -- for a market cume of $7.5 million. “The Class” opened less robustly in Italy, finishing out of the top ten in the market.

Finishing fourth in France was director Olivier Van Hoofstad’s “Go Fast,” an action vehicle about drug-running from Spain to North Africa. The Europacorp release claimed $1.1 million in its second weekend at 286 screens, down 58% from its opening round, for a market total of $3.6 million.

No. 5 in Paris and suburbs was Gaumont’s “Cliente” (Client) with Nathalie Baye as a middle-aged woman paying for sex. Second weekend came in at an estimated $915,000 from 367 screens, down 51% from its opening round. “Client’s” market cume stands at $2.9 million.

Universal released “Burn After Reading” in Spain for a muscular $2.7 million from 318 locations, the best tally of any of the Coen brothers’ titles to play the market. The espionage-related spoof also opened in Israel, Singapore and Denmark, and looks to have grossed an estimated $4 million on the weekend overall.

Fox opened in Germany its German-language acquisition, “Krabat,” a period fantasy set in the 17th century about a boy learning the black arts. The title finished No. 3 in the market with $2.2 million from 359 locations.

Other weekend tallies, plus international cumes, include: Fox’s “Mirrors,” $4.4 million from 1,700 screens, cume $25 million; Universal’s “Wanted,” $3.8 million from 1,536 dates, cume $193.9 million; DreamWorks/Paramount’s “Tropic Thunder,” $3.2 million from 1,687 spots, cume $54.3 million; Disney’s “Beverly Hills Chihuahua,” $3 million from 935 screens, cume $10.3 million; Miramax/Disney’s “The Boy in the Striped Pyjamas,” $2.1 million from 435 locations in Spain and the U.K., cume $14.7 million; Fox’s “Taken,” $2 million from 800 screens, cume $33 million; Paramount’s “How To Lose Friends and Alienate People,” $1.4 million from 447 sites in the U.K., $4.6 million from the single market; Sony’s “Lakeview Terrace,” $550,000 from 192 screens in France, cume $1.8 million from the single market.

Other international cumes: Warner’s “The Dark Knight,” $463.1 million; Sony’s “You Don’t Mess With the Zohan,” $99.4 million; Warner’s “Nights in the Rodanthe,” $6.9 million; Sony’s “Hancock,” $395.6 million; Warner’s “Get Smart,” $98.1 million; DreamWorks/Paramount’s “Kung Fu Panda,” $413.6 million; Fox’s “Babylon A.D.,” $16.3 million; Warner’s “Star Wars: The Clone Wars,” $32.1 million; Universal’s “Hellboy II: The Golden Army,” $65.5 million; and Universal’s “Wild Child,” $15.4 million. "

http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/con ... 7507d779e1
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