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 DARKNESS-- RogueCommander wins! 
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I see more commercials for this on tv than any other December movie. And they look pretty good too. It should have a very decent opening, above $10 million.


Thu Dec 16, 2004 8:20 pm
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alex young wrote:
I see more commercials for this on tv than any other December movie. And they look pretty good too. It should have a very decent opening, above $10 million.


Considering this movie will only have two days in opening weekend (Sat and Sun), I don't think that it will happen. :cry:



(DARKNESS budget is only $10.6 million, and it has already grossed more than $10 million worldwide. If DARKNESS can gross $10 million in US, I will be happy.)


Thu Dec 16, 2004 11:07 pm
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I see a $4,000 opening pta.

But hopefully more, it looks scary.


Fri Dec 17, 2004 4:31 am
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I'm not sure how audiences will react to a horror movie on Christmas day. It may have a lower opening weekend, but do better the next weekend.

Opening: $6.01 million
Second Weekend: $3.9 million

US Total: $21.0 million

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Fri Dec 17, 2004 10:23 am
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Bumping this, cause it's release is soon.

I'm so excited for it and i changed my mind. 7 movies opened above $10M last year, so hopefully this will manage it.

I'm hoping for over $8M, like CABIN FEVER numbers.

Although, anything over $6M is good.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 7:48 pm
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Opening weekend: 2.5m
Total: 13m
Multiplier: 5.2

The release date and Sat. opening will give it a high multiplier, but I can't see it doing well.


Sun Dec 19, 2004 10:28 pm
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According to thebatsignal (in IMDB boards), Dimension/Miramax has purchased multiple 30 second spots from CBS during it's NFL broadcast for DARKNESS.

Good sign :)


Mon Dec 20, 2004 11:45 pm
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Edward Douglas predict that DARKNESS will only gross $2 to $3 million in its first two-days.

http://www.comingsoon.net/weekendwarrior/2004/dec22.php

Quote:
With far less promotion than other movies............few diehard horror fans will even know about the movie’s existence



I doubt it. It seems like that TV spots are in everywhere.


Tue Dec 21, 2004 12:21 pm
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It wouldn't surprise me if it failed to make more then $4 million over the weekend.

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Tue Dec 21, 2004 12:42 pm
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RogueCommander wrote:
It wouldn't surprise me if it failed to make more then $4 million over the weekend.


I will be surprisly happy if it make more then $4 million over the weekend. :wink:


Tue Dec 21, 2004 12:56 pm
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I might go see it sometime next week, haven't decided yet. It could be a surprise hit though, depending on how good the advertising suceeds.

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Tue Dec 21, 2004 1:55 pm
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1700 screens this week

http://boxofficemojo.com/counts/chart/? ... =52&p=.htm


Wed Dec 22, 2004 9:45 pm
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My final predictions:

Opening weekend (2-day) - $5.3 million

Total gross - $18 million

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Thu Dec 23, 2004 1:03 pm
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With 1700 screens, I also hope this movie could gross $5 million at opening weekend.


Thu Dec 23, 2004 1:43 pm
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First review of PG-13 version
http://www.joblo.com/arrow/reviews.php?id=824

He thinks that PG-13 cut does hurt this film.


Thu Dec 23, 2004 1:49 pm
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My predictions...

Opening: $2.8
Total Gross: $10.0

Horror films are a pain for me to predict, because I can't tell if it appeals to people or not since I hardly ever watch scary films.


Thu Dec 23, 2004 2:54 pm
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micasey, a $1,600 opening PTA would be very bad.....a bit low?

Im thinkin maybe over $5,000,000 now.


Thu Dec 23, 2004 6:56 pm
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It does open on Saturday which will cut into its potential.

Final Prediction:

Saturday: $3,400,000 (PTA $2,000)
Sunday: $2,040,000 (-40%) (PTA $1,200)

Weekend Total: $5,640,000 (PTA $3,200)


Thu Dec 23, 2004 7:23 pm
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Quote:
With far less promotion than other movies............few diehard horror fans will even know about the movie’s existence


I've seen more TV spots for Darkness than I have Lemony Snickets or Meet the Fockers, so I don't know what that guy is on about. :?

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Thu Dec 23, 2004 9:16 pm
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RogueCommander wrote:
It does open on Saturday which will cut into its potential.

Final Prediction:

Saturday: $3,400,000 (PTA $2,000)
Sunday: $2,040,000 (-40%) (PTA $1,200)

Weekend Total: $5,640,000 (PTA $3,200)


If you look at the box office numbers from 1999, the Sunday drops should be very low or some movies might actually increase. The biggest drop I see for Darkness is about 15%, just because it's a horror movie.


Thu Dec 23, 2004 9:19 pm
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Well, normally I would expect it to drop Saturday, which is why I have an inflated drop on Sunday.


Thu Dec 23, 2004 9:28 pm
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A sneak peek just aired on FX. It was more like a full trailer really. Looked really good. I wish my theater was getting it. Hopefully it expands or something, cause I really want to see it.

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Thu Dec 23, 2004 9:36 pm
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Korrgan wrote:
A sneak peek just aired on FX. It was more like a full trailer really. Looked really good. I wish my theater was getting it. Hopefully it expands or something, cause I really want to see it.


You seem to like horror movies :)

I will watch it on Sunday.

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Thu Dec 23, 2004 9:46 pm
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Those message talk about the difference between PG 13 version and rated R version.

According to them, many important elements has been deleted from PG-13 version.... It makes the movie's ending become a very confusing ending.

Notice: Those messages had important SPOILERS, including the ENDING.
http://us.imdb.com/title/tt0273517/boar ... 1#14292251

http://www.bloody-disgusting.com/index. ... e=newsfull


Sat Dec 25, 2004 5:30 am
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One person at bloody-disgusting.com had seen both versions........... He said that [Some of the edits just didnt make any sense and ruined the continuity of the film] and [Within the first 10 minutes there were 4-5 edits made that left gaps in the story].


Sat Dec 25, 2004 9:47 pm
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