Author |
Message |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
O wrote: Just noticed that something may be off on my scores. The Equalizer 3 - $32M ($34.6M actual) = $3.6M off My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - $12M ($10.0M actual) = $2.0M off The Nun II - $26M ($32.6M actual) = $6.6M off Think I'm $12.2M off unless I missed something. Not sure how I'm already at 38.3 though I'm used to having some out there predictions  . I was still using your 18.9 for everything predictions. Your new score is 11.2 (you are 2.6 off Equalizer not 3.6).
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Tue Sep 12, 2023 6:15 pm |
|
 |
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
My Score is off too: My guesses: The Equalizer 3 - 33m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 9m The Nun II - 32m Total: $74m Box Office: The Equalizer 3 - 34.6m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 10.0m The Nun II - 32.6m Total: $77.2m So I should be at 3.2m.... 
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Tue Sep 12, 2023 9:42 pm |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
MadGez wrote: My Score is off too: My guesses: The Equalizer 3 - 33m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 9m The Nun II - 32m Total: $74m Box Office: The Equalizer 3 - 34.6m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 10.0m The Nun II - 32.6m Total: $77.2m So I should be at 3.2m....  My bad that was a typo, you are at 3.2 million I’m just seeing I made some other mistakes somehow, I’ll edit it and post the real scores
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Tue Sep 12, 2023 9:51 pm |
|
 |
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Shack wrote: MadGez wrote: My Score is off too: My guesses: The Equalizer 3 - 33m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 9m The Nun II - 32m Total: $74m Box Office: The Equalizer 3 - 34.6m My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - 10.0m The Nun II - 32.6m Total: $77.2m So I should be at 3.2m....  My bad that was a typo, you are at 3.2 million I’m just seeing I made some other mistakes somehow, I’ll edit it and post the real scores hehe all good.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Tue Sep 12, 2023 9:56 pm |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
I made the spreadsheet earlier this time cause I wanted to try using the average of everyone else’s prediction before I made mine, which must have messed up my normal routine
This week’s scores
Keyser Soze 1.4 MadGez 1.6 rftapeout 3.4 Algren 3.8 Magic Mike 4.4 Rev 4.4 publicenemy#1 4.4 stuffp 5.5 Flava 6.6 Jonathan 8.4 O 8.6 Shack 9.4
Total
Keyser Soze 3 MadGez 3.2 Magic Mike 9 rftapeout 9.1 Algren 10.9 O 11.2 Jonathan 12 Rev 13 stuffp 13.1 Shack 14 publicenemy#1 14 Flava 20.2
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Tue Sep 12, 2023 10:04 pm |
|
 |
O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Shack wrote: O wrote: Just noticed that something may be off on my scores. The Equalizer 3 - $32M ($34.6M actual) = $3.6M off My Big Fat Greek Wedding 3 - $12M ($10.0M actual) = $2.0M off The Nun II - $26M ($32.6M actual) = $6.6M off Think I'm $12.2M off unless I missed something. Not sure how I'm already at 38.3 though I'm used to having some out there predictions  . I was still using your 18.9 for everything predictions. Your new score is 11.2 (you are 2.6 off Equalizer not 3.6). Thanks! At least I didn't have to waste a season as just 3 movies showed the average prediction strategy was a wipe out. Thanks @Taylor!
|
Wed Sep 13, 2023 12:47 am |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Dumb Money’s September 29 weekend will be what counts
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Fri Sep 15, 2023 12:43 pm |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
A Haunting in Venice scores
stuffp 0.7 Jonathan 0.7 publicenemy#1 1.2 Rev 1.3 Keyser Soze 1.3 Algren 1.7 MadGez 1.7 Shack 3.3 Flava 3.7 O 3.7 rftapeout 4.3 Magic Mike 6.3
Total
Keyser Soze 4.3 MadGez 4.9 Algren 12.6 Jonathan 12.7 rftapeout 13.4 stuffp 13.8 Rev 14.3 O 14.9 publicenemy#1 15.2 Magic Mike 15.3 Shack 17.3 Flava 23.9
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Mon Sep 18, 2023 6:43 pm |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Expendables 4 scores
Flava 0 Algren 0.5 Shack 1 stuffp 2 Magic Mike 5 Rev 5 Jonathan 5 rftapeout 5.1 MadGez 6 Keyser Soze 7 publicenemy#1 9 O 11
MadGez 10.9 Keyser Soze 11.3 Algren 13.1 stuffp 15.8 Jonathan 17.7 Shack 18.3 rftapeout 18.5 Rev 19.3 Magic Mike 20.3 Flava 23.9 publicenemy#1 24.2 O 25.9
I’m not sure a bullseye has ever happened before
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Thu Sep 28, 2023 5:35 pm |
|
 |
stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11560 Location: Bright Falls
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Shack wrote: Dumb Money’s September 29 weekend will be what counts But we're predicting opening weekend right, so I'm not sure why it makes sense to use this weekend.
|
Sat Sep 30, 2023 4:50 am |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
stuffp wrote: Shack wrote: Dumb Money’s September 29 weekend will be what counts But we're predicting opening weekend right, so I'm not sure why it makes sense to use this weekend. I try to use the first wide weekend.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Sat Sep 30, 2023 1:13 pm |
|
 |
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
First wide weekend is fair. Though with the weak wide performance its still a disaster for most of us lol
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Sat Sep 30, 2023 7:44 pm |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Mighty Keyser struck out by predicting 22 million for Dumb Money
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Sat Sep 30, 2023 8:46 pm |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Creator/Saw/Paw/Dumb scores
Magic Mike 11.9 Jonathan 14.6 Shack 14.7 Algren 15.4 publicenemy#1 15.8 stuffp 17.7 MadGez 19.1 rftapeout 19.4 Rev 20.7 Flava 23.9 O 42.1 Keyser Soze 52.3
Total
Algren 28.5 MadGez 30 Magic Mike 32.2 Jonathan 32.3 Shack 33 stuffp 33.5 rftapeout 37.9 Rev 40 publicenemy#1 40 Flava 47.8 Keyser Soze 63.6 O 68
Keyser could make a comeback as he predicted 40 mil for Freddy’s, but of course, it’s all about Taylor. Unfortunately for Algren, he never updated his 10 million prediction.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Wed Oct 04, 2023 11:43 am |
|
 |
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Wow - Algren's beloved Paw Patrol worked wonders. It's close though yeah Eras is going to make or break.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Thu Oct 05, 2023 3:07 am |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Exorcist update
stuffp 3.5 Jonathan 5.5 Algren 7.5 Rev 8.5 publicenemy#1 9.5 Keyser Soze 13.5 O 15.5 MadGez 20.5 Magic Mike 23.5 rftapeout 26.4 Flava 33.5 Shack 33.5
Total
Algren 36 stuffp 37 Jonathan 37.8 Rev 48.5 publicenemy#1 49.5 MadGez 50.5 Magic Mike 55.7 rftapeout 64.3 Shack 66.5 Keyser Soze 77.1 Flava 81.3 O 83.5
Unfortunately for Algren he forgot to add a 0 to his 10 million Taylor Swift prediction - There’s a chance it’s closer than the high predictions though.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Mon Oct 09, 2023 4:14 pm |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
I like my 90m Taylor prediction but messing up Exorcist might cost me the win
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Fri Oct 13, 2023 1:56 pm |
|
 |
Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6716
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Eras has broken all records when it comes to presales frontloaded ness. While I did not expect it to sustain the torrid pace with which it started, I expected some spike in final weeks. its OD presales was at Endgame level and final week behaved like a 20m opener.
This means either Swift does not have that many fans as assumed(20m or so) or majority dont want to check it out in theaters. They want to only experience the live performance.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
|
Fri Oct 13, 2023 5:15 pm |
|
 |
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19373 Location: San Diego
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Damn it, should've stuck with my original prediction
|
Fri Oct 13, 2023 5:59 pm |
|
 |
rftapeout
Speed Racer
Joined: Wed Dec 18, 2019 4:20 pm Posts: 111
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
I too wished that I had stuck with my original prediction even though that prediction is likely more than $30 million off. I read that when Taylor Swift's concert tickets went on sale, ticketmaster said there were 14 million attempts, including bots, to buy those tickets. As long as I went under $280 million, I felt my prediction wasn't too crazy. Congratulations to those who predicted around $100 million for Taylor Swift.
|
Sat Oct 14, 2023 12:25 pm |
|
 |
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
I think only original predictions count as we usually cant up our predictions for other films anyway.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Sun Oct 15, 2023 4:49 am |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Rev (101) and I (90) were the only ones close on Taylor. He started the week +18 on me, while I’m 15 million higher on Killers, and he’s 5 million higher on Freddy. Based on how Freddy looks guaranteed to go high, I don’t think I can catch Rev unless Eras comes in way under its current 97m estimate, I need it down to like 91 mil.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:40 am |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
MadGez wrote: I think only original predictions count as we usually cant up our predictions for other films anyway. I gave 1 week extension for Swift predictions at the time so the upped predictions before that point count
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Sun Oct 15, 2023 11:47 am |
|
 |
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Shack wrote: MadGez wrote: I think only original predictions count as we usually cant up our predictions for other films anyway. I gave 1 week extension for Swift predictions at the time so the upped predictions before that point count Fair enough. I tried 
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
Mon Oct 16, 2023 12:15 am |
|
 |
Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40260
|
 Re: WOKJ Monthly Box Office Contest - September/October
Eras scores
Shack 2.8 Rev 8.2 Flava 57.2 Jonathan 57.2 publicenemy#1 62.2 MadGez 70.2 stuffp 72.2 Algren 82.8 O 106.1 Keyser Soze 117.2 rftapeout 123.2 Magic Mike 127.2
Total
Rev 56.7 Shack 69.3 Jonathan 95 stuffp 109.2 publicenemy#1 111.7 Algren 118.8 MadGez 120.7 Flava 138.5 Magic Mike 182.9 rftapeout 187.5 O 189.6 Keyser Soze 194.3
Rev will win unless the pre sales optimism for Freddy’s is shockingly wrong.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
|
Mon Oct 16, 2023 3:10 pm |
|
|