Pokemon's opening 5-day gross:

Wednesday - $10,096,848
Thursday - $9,620,578
Friday - $9,070,000
Saturday - $13,060,000
Sunday - $8,974,000

So it doesn't look too bright for Polar Express. Most other films increased 90-105% Thursday-to-Friday.

My prediction for Wednesday is 58% increase to $5.07M.

$4.9M

hopefully its more than my prediction!

I think it is important to note that only two films got close to dropping 80% on that Monday, The Bachelor (nearly 78%) and Superstar (over 79%). They then turned out to be the two with the largest increases on Wednesday. 54% for The Bachelor and 85% for Superstar. It stands to reason that the films that have the lowest numbers on Monday and Tuesday will increase the most into a holiday just as those films usually have the largest increases on Friday and Saturday. The Monday drop for The Incredibles was even greater then it was for either of those films. So, I think it will likely have a greater increase then Superstar, and even if it doesn't, it should increase nearly as much. Therefore, I'm predicting an increase of nearly 100%, although I think it might gross over 7m.

You got it right on the money (pun intended)

I'm disappointed in general with most of the Wednesday increases. The Incredibles ended up being at the very low end of what I expected. In any case, many family films have increased 100%+ on Veterans Day, such as Brother Bear, and Antz even increased over 200%, so I'm going to go with 12.2m for Thursday.

agreed :wink: a 160%-180% increase sounds right I see you went right down the middle with a 170% increase 8) Ill go with the 180% increase 8)

So BJs thursday prediction is 12.60m

Almost down to the dollar!

I expected such an increase for Wednesday. I went back and took a look at Antz and noticed that it didn't increase much on the day before Veterans day.

Predict The Incredibles' Thursday!


I expct a big increase for both, The Incredibles and The Polar Express, but it won't be as huge as you are predicting, guys. Take a look at Elf, it increased by just 51% on Veteran's Day.

My prediction:

$8.69 million

That's because Veterans Day was a Monday for Elf. So, I'm sure many schools had off all the way through Tuesday. The Monday numbers were higher. 8.6m would only be about 12% of last weekend. That's very weak. Elf was at about 18% on Veterans Day.

I predict:

$8.83m

the number is up;

11.01

I meant Veterans Day was on Tuesday.

Anyway, I got this one being 1.2m away.

CONGRATS DP07!!

This is the part OI don't understand. Why did Elf increase by "only" 51% while The Incredibles pulled off 144%? Can you explain? :?

Winners so far:

DAY 1 - Zingaling
DAY 4 - mansonmyers
DAY 5 - DP07
DAY 6 - Dr. Lecter
DAY 7 - DP07

Predict The Incredibles' FRIDAY!!!
'
Now it is getting interesting, as The Incredibles is entering its second weekend. How much do you think will it make on its second Friday?

My prediction:

$11.95 million

$11.5 million

$12.01M

I think it had to do with many schools being out on the day before Veterans Day last year. This year VD was a Thursday, so schools were in from Monday to Wednesday. However, since VD was Tuesday last year, many schools were probably out from Saturday to Tuesday. As a result, there was less room for the numbers to increase for Elf since so many kids didn't have school the day before.

I'll go with 12.7m Friday.

I see. Sounds plausible. Thanks.

DP07 repeats! Congrats, man!

Winners so far:

DAY 1 - Zingaling
DAY 4 - mansonmyers
DAY 5 - DP07
DAY 6 - Dr. Lecter
DAY 7 - DP07
DAY 8 - DP07

Predict The Incredibles' SATURDAY!!!


I xpect an increase smaller thsan Monsters Inc.'s, mostly because it will get more competition from The Polar Express which is more of a kiddie movie than The Incredibles and should provide more competition on Saturday.

I predict:


$23.8 million

I will go with $21M since I believe Friday's number is a little inflated due to Thursday holiday.