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Valentine's Week #'s
https://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=90433
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Author:  Keyser Söze [ Sun Feb 18, 2024 5:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Valentine's Week #'s

Marley's WOM is very strong. I think it will have a good run post OW as well. 100m is definitely in play and looking at OS numbers its going to have strong WW numbers as well. UK alone is close to 10m OW !!!

Author:  lilmac [ Mon Feb 19, 2024 3:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Valentine's Week #'s

You're right about the incredible run off of a $6M OW. It's like those MBFGW / Sixth Sense streak just at lower totals so the fantastic boxoffice journey its had isn't as apparent.

O wrote:
ABY really needed a bigger spike to keep it's hopes alive for $100M. Still an incredible performance to be at $82M off of a $6M weekend, but would have been great to see a $100M finish for it.

I feel like at best it could do a $2M upcoming weekend and maybe $300K tomorrow for $84.3M. Maybe $1M in dailies next week and then $1.5M the following weekend, and another $500K from there and its at $87.3M once Dune arrives and the March onslaught of films. Looking like a $90-92M finish I think.

Author:  O [ Mon Feb 19, 2024 11:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Valentine's Week #'s

Marley's 3day weekend was almost $1M more than estimated. $28.6M 3day, $52M 6 day.

It only needs a 2.68X multiplier to get to $100M. It could drop 50% every week and still pass $100M.

I find it's Sunday number is the most impressive, its 5th day. $9.5M Sunday down 19.1%! $11.7M Sat too. 3.83X Friday to weekend multiplier. Even with a long weekend, it's crazy that it pulled off a $29M weekend from a $7.5M Friday. :ohmy:

Author:  MadGez [ Tue Feb 20, 2024 7:02 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Valentine's Week #'s

lilmac wrote:
You're right about the incredible run off of a $6M OW. It's like those MBFGW / Sixth Sense streak just at lower totals so the fantastic boxoffice journey its had isn't as apparent.

O wrote:
ABY really needed a bigger spike to keep it's hopes alive for $100M. Still an incredible performance to be at $82M off of a $6M weekend, but would have been great to see a $100M finish for it.

I feel like at best it could do a $2M upcoming weekend and maybe $300K tomorrow for $84.3M. Maybe $1M in dailies next week and then $1.5M the following weekend, and another $500K from there and its at $87.3M once Dune arrives and the March onslaught of films. Looking like a $90-92M finish I think.


Not far off Scream (1996) run off a $6m Christmas opening.

Author:  O [ Wed Feb 21, 2024 3:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Valentine's Week #'s

Random observation:

Barbie 3day OW: $162.0M
Oppenheimer 3 day OW: $82.5M

1.96X ratio

One Love 6day OW: $51.5M 31.8% of Barbie
Madam Web 6day OW: $26.1M 31.8% of Oppenheimer

1.97X ratio

#OneWeb weekend happened. One Love's 6day was 31.8% of Barbie's 3day. Madam Web's 6day was 31.8% of Oppenheimer's 3day.

Author:  O [ Wed Feb 21, 2024 3:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Valentine's Week #'s

Tuesday #'s:

One Love $2,92M / $54.42M
Madam Web $1.725M $27,780,875
Argylle $602,495 -40% $38,207,550
Migration $494,410 +76% $116,880,935
The Chosen $442,903 $5,478,620
Wonka $435,000 +31% $211,502,348
The Beekeeper $349,275 -33% $60,731,121
Anyone But You $290,000 -37% $85,404,283

Looking good for One Love. Should be at $70M+ by the end of this upcoming weekend. Tuesday's # is down 24.4% from it's Thursday # (Day 2).

Madam Web isn't horrendous. Maybe it can pull off $50M+.

Wonka doing $220M+ would be something. It's PTA is up 54% from last Tuesday. Timothee looks to have at least 1 movie in the top 10 from Dec - late April at least.

ABY was released on digital platforms yesterday so looks like its holds will get worse soon.

Migration up 76% from last week. PTA up 91.4%. :ohmy:

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