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 2004 most overpredicted movies 
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No Wire Tampons!

Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am
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13 going on 30 - would have been right too if it werent for those pesky mean girls :D

WAAYYY overpredicted sky captain too.

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:12 pm
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Squee

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
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Spongebob Squarepants!!! Not by me, but by all of YOU!

60 million opening, 250 final!!!!!!!!

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:13 pm
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Award Winning Bastard

Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am
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I've been out of the predicting game for so long, that I don't qualify for any embarrassments in 2004. I don't even check the dailies anymore, so I'm completely out of the action with box office statistics.


Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:14 pm
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Draughty

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
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Movies over predicted by a lot of forum members:

Spongebob
Troy
Alexander
Anchorman - way over predicted. It's a stealth underperformer, people forget how much was expected of it.
AvPredator
The Chronicles of Riddick
Sky Captain

The Village wasn't that overpredicted, it did pretty well at the box office, not far off from expectations.
Same with Azkaban, there were a couple of us who expected it to do better but most got it in the right range

Edit: oops I guess the first post led me to believe we were talking about which movies were over predicted by most people. As for me personally it was probably Azkaban, I misjudged how much of a fall/winter thing that franchise is.


Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:16 pm
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King Albert!
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
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I've seen alot of overpredictions for the Girl Next Door. I remember seeing alot of 12 and 14 million prediction, and there were alot of people arguing about my 7 million prediction. And I was right, and that is how I won that derby game.

My biggest overprediction was Alexander. 26 million weekend, what was I thinking?

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 3:13 pm
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Veteran
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
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Location: Las Vegas
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Scott Vasquez wrote:
I've seen alot of overpredictions for the Girl Next Door. I remember seeing alot of 12 and 14 million prediction, and there were alot of people arguing about my 7 million prediction. And I was right, and that is how I won that derby game.

My biggest overprediction was Alexander. 26 million weekend, what was I thinking?


I remember, you even thought Brandon was underpredicting Alexander.

But overall your predictions are pretty good.

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Sun Jan 16, 2005 3:19 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
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Location: At the edge of reality
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For me:

1. Team America (well, I didn't post it here on a forum and I didn't tell anybody about it, but I thought it could be a sleeper hit - possibly breaking 100m, even 200m) :oops: my fault...
2. Troy (about 200m, ooopsiee)
3. Day after Tomorrow (I thought it would do about 200-250m)
4. Girl Next Door (as Scott already mentioned, I predicted 12m or something like that)
5. The Chronicles of Riddick (I'm still wondering why it did so bad - I found it pretty decent)

I think I also overpredicted The Aviator (I said $100m should be a lock) - lets wait and see... :razz:


Sat Feb 05, 2005 9:02 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
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Team America for sure...

let this be a lesson to all of us, if the studio releases "sneak info" as wonderful huge huge movie that means it actually sucks and the studio is just tryin to get as much opening weekend as possible....considering studios hardly ever release sneak info..

Also based on scores I saw through the weeks seems like Catwoman was predicted pretty high


Sat Feb 05, 2005 9:51 pm
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King Albert!
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Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
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Samweis Gamdschie wrote:

I think I also overpredicted The Aviator (I said $100m should be a lock) - lets wait and see... :razz:


I think it is still has a great chance for 100 million. It will have very small drops in the coming weekends. It will probably get 90 million before awards night, and lets see where it goes from there.

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Sun Feb 06, 2005 1:00 am
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King Albert!
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Samweis Gamdschie wrote:

I think I also overpredicted The Aviator (I said $100m should be a lock) - lets wait and see... :razz:


I think it is still has a great chance for 100 million. It will have very small drops in the coming weekends. It will probably get 90 million before awards night, and lets see where it goes from there.

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Sun Feb 06, 2005 1:00 am
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