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Riggs
We had our time together
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:36 am
Posts: 13299
Location: Vienna
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Opening: $44 Mio.
Final: $141 Mio.
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| Mon Dec 27, 2004 8:41 pm |
 
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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hans wrote: El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: zach wrote: 36/100.3
*cough*Charlies Angels 2*cough*
Looks like shit.
Probably because Paramount is behind it. Yup I seriously dont know where people are coming out with these 50 million dollar numbers especially for a low brow comedy and its opening against the 2nd week of SW Bruce Almighty opened a week after Reloaded remember 8) We didnt expect it to do 85m in days then, i dont think 50m 3-day is unrealistic at all. The only difference: Bruce Almighty looked funny.
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| Mon Dec 27, 2004 8:54 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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zach wrote: hans wrote: El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: zach wrote: 36/100.3
*cough*Charlies Angels 2*cough*
Looks like shit.
Probably because Paramount is behind it. Yup I seriously dont know where people are coming out with these 50 million dollar numbers especially for a low brow comedy and its opening against the 2nd week of SW Bruce Almighty opened a week after Reloaded remember 8) We didnt expect it to do 85m in days then, i dont think 50m 3-day is unrealistic at all. The only difference: Bruce Almighty looked funny. It's all a matter of opinion. And it's not like we're saying it'll open to 70/85 million, we're just saying it'll open at 50/70 million. :wink:
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| Mon Dec 27, 2004 10:20 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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MovieDude wrote: zach wrote: hans wrote: El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote: zach wrote: 36/100.3
*cough*Charlies Angels 2*cough*
Looks like shit.
Probably because Paramount is behind it. Yup I seriously dont know where people are coming out with these 50 million dollar numbers especially for a low brow comedy and its opening against the 2nd week of SW Bruce Almighty opened a week after Reloaded remember 8) We didnt expect it to do 85m in days then, i dont think 50m 3-day is unrealistic at all. The only difference: Bruce Almighty looked funny. It's all a matter of opinion. And it's not like we're saying it'll open to 70/85 million, we're just saying it'll open at 50/70 million. :wink: Because 70 million isn't alot of money 
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| Mon Dec 27, 2004 10:53 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Adam Sandler = $$$
The simple rule of box office. 
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| Mon Dec 27, 2004 11:12 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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Zingaling wrote: Adam Sandler = $$$ The simple rule of box office. Actually
Adam Sandler = $$$$$
Paramount = -$$
Chris Rock = $
(Even though he is an annoying shit)
Bad Trailer = -$$$
So
$$$$$-$$+$-$$$=$
$ = big opening, shitty legs.
Bet you anything in the world the movie will crash and burn.
Atleast on a sub-150m dollar level :wink:
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| Mon Dec 27, 2004 11:20 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm
Posts: 7286
Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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In seeing the trailer, I think that Adam Sandler is a bit out of place in this movie - maybe I remember Burt Reynold's The Longest Yard too fondly. As I saw it on cable and not the movies, I don't know how dominant it was when it was out but it was just a great movie. Sandler just seems too flip in this movie. I glad they gave Reynold's a role - more than I care to see him in the Dukes movie.
That said, it will still be a great hit but people should rent the older version to see it once.
_________________
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| Sun Jan 30, 2005 9:41 pm |
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insomniacdude
I just lost the game
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:00 pm
Posts: 5868
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Yes, but Jim Carrey in a good ol' fashioned comedy is a bigger draw than Adam Sandler (IMO). Plus I think Bruce Almighty had more appeal to a borader range of people. Let's also not forget that the WOM on Reloaded sucked huge. You could also factor in that many under17 teens would buy a ticket for BA to get into Reloaded, which does happen quite a lot.
Regardless, I think TLY will have a 38/52/125 run.
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| Mon Jan 31, 2005 7:12 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Whoa, this looks bad. No way it's making more or the same as Mr.Deed, 50 First Dates, and Anger Management
Opening - 35
Final - 105
I dont even think it'll make that much - but i'll just stay on the safe side.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Mon Jan 31, 2005 7:23 pm |
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Bell
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Jan 18, 2005 12:02 am
Posts: 1906
Location: Middle Of Nowhere
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34/120, besides Madagascar is open on that weekend too.
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| Mon Jan 31, 2005 10:09 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs Prediction:
Friday: 16.42m
Saturday: 18.95m +15%
Sunday: 17.05m -10%
Wknd: 52.48m
Monday: 13.64m -20%
4-Day-Wknd: 66.12m
Domestic Total: 162m
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Feb 01, 2005 1:29 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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box_2005 wrote: Zingaling wrote: I think the one thing that will prevent a $40 million opening (the traditional Sandler opening) is Star Wars, which comes out the week before, and will still dominate in a big way on Memorial Day weekend. Oh, don't worry about that. SW3 is in a completely different category. Factors that will make or break SW3 are different than for this film, and I doubt their demographics (SW3 being ALL demos  ) will clash too much Plus, remember Shrek 2 and TDAT and the good $140m between them  Hm, suppose we go with $40m, in the same area as that other Sandler football film, Waterboy. _________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Tue Feb 01, 2005 3:14 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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 BKB_The_Man wrote: box_2005 wrote: Zingaling wrote: I think the one thing that will prevent a $40 million opening (the traditional Sandler opening) is Star Wars, which comes out the week before, and will still dominate in a big way on Memorial Day weekend. Oh, don't worry about that. SW3 is in a completely different category. Factors that will make or break SW3 are different than for this film, and I doubt their demographics (SW3 being ALL demos ) will clash too much Plus, remember Shrek 2 and TDAT and the good $140m between them Hm, suppose we go with $40m, in the same area as that other Sandler football film, Waterboy. I see three films over 50m and two of them being over 60m, 50m range for the longest yard 60m-70m for madagascar unless it can pull a shrek 2, I think if it did pull a shrek 2 than a wknd in the 80m-90m range would be the range to put the film in. And Last is star wars I still have my hopes for this film it would be cool to see two strai wknds over 100m but Im going to place it in the 60m-65m range. Clearly these three movies will rack in over 70%-80% of the gross of the top 100 films out over Memorial Day wknd. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Feb 01, 2005 3:44 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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And before you guys get into competition, it's MONTHS until the summer, I can all but guarantee that either Madagascar or The Longest Yard will move.
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| Tue Feb 01, 2005 11:40 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Madagascar won't move. That's the perfect release date for both movies. And, like box said on the first page, having three big movies in one weekend is really no big deal. I mean, The Day After Tomorrow and Shrek 2 both made up over $160 million of that long weekend. That's just two movies. I think there is enough market for all three. The spot is just soo good, no one wants to move.
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| Tue Feb 01, 2005 11:43 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Zingaling wrote: Madagascar won't move. That's the perfect release date for both movies. And, like box said on the first page, having three big movies in one weekend is really no big deal. I mean, The Day After Tomorrow and Shrek 2 both made up over $160 million of that long weekend. That's just two movies. I think there is enough market for all three. The spot is just soo good, no one wants to move. yeah if the rest of the top twelve that wknd does good the three day could be the first to pass 300m  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Wed Feb 02, 2005 1:14 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Zingaling wrote: Madagascar won't move. That's the perfect release date for both movies. And, like box said on the first page, having three big movies in one weekend is really no big deal. I mean, The Day After Tomorrow and Shrek 2 both made up over $160 million of that long weekend. That's just two movies. I think there is enough market for all three. The spot is just soo good, no one wants to move. That's true, and I suppose both cater to different audiences even if they are both comedies.
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| Wed Feb 02, 2005 1:55 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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*bump* We're less than two weeks away...
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| Mon May 16, 2005 8:14 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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I think this movie looks stunningly bad.
I usually even like a lot of Adam Sandler's movies, too.
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| Mon May 16, 2005 8:15 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm
Posts: 7286
Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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Libs wrote: I think this movie looks stunningly bad.
I usually even like a lot of Adam Sandler's movies, too. Maybe this is an anti-chick-flick type film?
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| Mon May 16, 2005 11:11 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The Longest Yard is estimated for 3,700+ theaters next weekend.
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| Tue May 17, 2005 8:10 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm
Posts: 28301
Location: ... siiiigh...
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I've been seeing lots and lots of trailers for this on TV. I sense a big summer comedy.
_________________
Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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| Tue May 17, 2005 9:57 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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Prediction
$41.2M/$175M
kinda odd, Chris Rock will have 2 major summer movies out in the same weekend
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| Thu May 19, 2005 2:36 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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I think this is going to get lost in the shuffle of SITH and not do to well.. Richard Roeper panned it on Howard Stern's Radio Show and ironically, there having a Premiere of it in my town of St.Louis with Burt Reynolds coming along with Chris Rock.. I think it's because one of the stars is a native of St.Louis, some guy named Nelly and it's a Charity Benefit.. 
_________________http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dmXF3CE04A This kills TDKR At the box office next summer.. Get used to this
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| Thu May 19, 2005 4:44 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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BKB_The_Man wrote: I think this is going to get lost in the shuffle of SITH and not do to well.. Richard Roeper panned it on Howard Stern's Radio Show and ironically, there having a Premiere of it in my town of St.Louis with Burt Reynolds coming along with Chris Rock.. I think it's because one of the stars is a native of St.Louis, some guy named Nelly and it's a Charity Benefit.. man stop saying that every movie will sufer because of Sith!, everything its targeting different demographics! =;
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| Thu May 19, 2005 3:03 pm |
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