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 Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus 
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
The weekend looks bad because of the days that fell over this weekend. I don't think it will recover next week but I don't expect a big drop in coming week.


Sun Jan 02, 2022 8:13 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Monday's looking very good for JJK0. Outpacing Sunday by a good amount (up 27% at the mid-day point, and it's been growing throughout the day) so far, and also ahead of last Monday by about 10%.

99.9: Criminal Lawyer has also been performing quite well, but I'll wait to discuss it in the Weekend Actuals post.

And speaking of the Weekend Actuals, the holidays are going to delay them until at least Tuesday this week.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:18 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Damn, actually pretty strong monday. I guess it's fair to assume business was just pushed out of the weekend this year then.


Mon Jan 03, 2022 3:17 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
It's the same here as well. People were just overreacting because EVA supporters really want Jjk0 to fail which is stupid and begs to question the reason.


Mon Jan 03, 2022 4:18 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
It's the same here as well. People were just overreacting because EVA supporters really want Jjk0 to fail which is stupid and begs to question the reason.

Uhm, am I the "eva supporter that really wants jjk0 to fail" here? I haven't even watched eva yet... :funny:

Just mentioned it as the most recent movie with a very strong start but quite frontloaded, so it somewhat serves a purpose for comparisons' sake. Even then I still said I thought JJK would get 10-11b which is more than eva got considering that barely crossed 10, so I'm not sure how I thought it would fail. I don't really see it missing 10b from here. I was hoping for 15b off that debut, but that doesn't really seem possible from here.

Though I will admit I jumped the gun a bit off the poor weekend drop seeing as monday looks good.


Mon Jan 03, 2022 6:12 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Nope I meant the internet brought it up and those reactions spilled over here. I do not think these movies are comparable specially because EVA was a long awaited finale and JJK0 is still expanding it's audience. They also had a very different release dates so the performances will be very different. I do think they will end up closer to each other but EVA was supported by fans trying to watch it again and again for the last time in screens.


Mon Jan 03, 2022 10:37 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Jujutsu Kaisen Daily Tracker
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Jujutsu Kaisen 0 - Daily Tracker

12/24 (Fri.): ¥1,072,252,950 ($9.39 million) / 772,224
12/25 (Sat.): ¥892,008,700 ($7.81 million) / 626,110
12/26 (Sun.): ¥729,866,500 ($6.39 million) / 509,719
12/27 (Mon.): ¥385,000,000 ($3.34 million) / 280,000 *est.*
12/28 (Tues.): ¥400,000,000 ($3.50 million) / 280,000 *est.*
12/29 (Wed.): ¥570,000,000 ($4.96 million) / 445,000 *est.*
12/30 (Thur.): ¥515,000,000 ($4.47 million) / 360,000 *est.*
12/31 (Fri.): ¥305,000,000 ($2.65 million) / 215,000 *est.*
01/01 (Sat.): ¥280,000,000 ($2.43 million) / 215,000 *est.*
01/02 (Sun.): ¥335,000,000 ($2.91 million) / 235,000 *est.*
01/03 (Mon.): ¥405,000,000 ($3.51 million) / 295,000 *est.*


11-Day Total: ~¥5,889,128,150 ($51.36 million) / 4,233,053 *est.*

There's no list or record for it, but I'm pretty confident in saying it's the second fastest film to exceed 4 million admissions. Howl's Moving Castle, Spirited Away, and the first two Harry Potter films are probably the next closest, but they were below ¥5 billion after Sunday (JJK0 is only the second film to be above ¥5 billion after its second weekend), so it likely took them a couple/few weekdays to hit 4 million admissions (guessing on days 12-13 or so).

And very good second Monday! The second weekend business (as was the case with most other films too) was just subdued due to New Year's Day itself landing on it , and I believe it was more prominent this year since it was the first major holiday period in 2 years with little/no restrictions in place on other forms of entertainment.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:35 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Also, real quick before I go for most of the day:

The longer we go without actuals (they'll be delayed today due to the holiday), the more the estimates can be off, either high or low. We should get actuals tomorrow (or in 12-ish hours from now).

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Mon Jan 03, 2022 11:40 am
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Actuals until Monday:

Gross : ¥5,873,064,900
Visitors : 4,314,027

Crowds were higher than Corpse's estimate. But gross did not make much difference.... Well, we are about to exceed ¥6B today!!!

It's a bit late. Sorry for wishing late. Belated Happy New Year to everyone

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Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:03 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Nope I meant the internet brought it up and those reactions spilled over here. I do not think these movies are comparable specially because EVA was a long awaited finale and JJK0 is still expanding it's audience. They also had a very different release dates so the performances will be very different. I do think they will end up closer to each other but EVA was supported by fans trying to watch it again and again for the last time in screens.


EVA fans analyst has heated me a lot. That I am force to block some of them. It's just hurting that people does not compare weekdays-weekdays but consider Weekend drops as important to admitly say that it's not work. So, I just block them until JJK Movie 0 exceed ¥10B or Eva.

However, I think we will see a slight increase/flated in 3rd Weekend. Is some one agreeing with my point? Or I am wrong because of NWH.

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Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:20 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
I don't think it will increase even with the holiday week but I could a sub-10% drop this weekend which is good enough for it. It should easily get past 7B by the weeekend.


Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:28 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
The third weekend should be great, yes. The last weekend of a major holiday period are reliably strong. And regarding holds, they'll likely be great all-around given New Year weekend was quite subdued. Next Monday is also a national holiday, so Sunday will be boosted a bit too. Remaining roughly flat is pretty likely.

And while No Way Home *should* open at #1, it shouldn't have any impact (or very little) on JJK or most other films. It'll impact seating and such, but there's still plenty to go around. Speaking of No Way Home... I'll have a post on it in a couple days. Or rather, a post on how it might be the make it or break it moment for Hollywood's (or Western releases in general) future in Japan.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:30 am
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
So much pressure on Peter Parker.....


Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:31 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Sounds dramatic, I know. I'll go into more detail later, but in short, there's been this certain trend for a better part of a decade (statistically since 2008) that seems to have accelerated (which may be linked to another kind of acceleration (or maybe deceleration?) that has occurred in recent years...)

If No Way Home is unable to pull a Endgame sort of increase, or at least ~50% over Homecoming and/or Far From Home, I think it could very well be the final "act", so to speak. It has everything going for it (final film novelty factor, returning characters that older audiences will know, stellar international box-office numbers, excellent critical and audience reviews, established brand character, etc.). If it doesn't overachieve, I just don't see how anything from Hollywood will moving forward (at least on a consistent basis).

They had *ONE* real hit in 2021, and it barely made the Yearly Top 10...at #10 (for Jan.-Dec., it might not even be in the Top 10, depending on where 99.9 ends up). It's pretty close, but 2021 may have been even weaker than 2020 for Hollywood.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:40 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Nope I meant the internet brought it up and those reactions spilled over here. I do not think these movies are comparable specially because EVA was a long awaited finale and JJK0 is still expanding it's audience. They also had a very different release dates so the performances will be very different. I do think they will end up closer to each other but EVA was supported by fans trying to watch it again and again for the last time in screens.

I don't really look around much to know what is said around the internet, but I think eva is really the *closest* comparison in recent years. There aren't many 10b+ movies, especially recently, and I'd assume JJK will behave closer to it than to something like weathering with you or a family movie like toy story 4 since it will have giveaway bumps and the likes (I'm guessing 2nd giveaway+4d expansion might happen next week or the one after that).

Either way the odds JJK doesn't beat eva are pretty low, especially with the weekdays looking quite solid. Tuesday looks like another ~350M. Weekend drop will probably be low since last one was skewed.


Corpse wrote:
The third weekend should be great, yes. The last weekend of a major holiday period are reliably strong. And regarding holds, they'll likely be great all-around given New Year weekend was quite subdued. Next Monday is also a national holiday, so Sunday will be boosted a bit too. Remaining roughly flat is pretty likely.

And while No Way Home *should* open at #1, it shouldn't have any impact (or very little) on JJK or most other films. It'll impact seating and such, but there's still plenty to go around. Speaking of No Way Home... I'll have a post on it in a couple days. Or rather, a post on how it might be the make it or break it moment for Hollywood's (or Western releases in general) future in Japan.

Not sure how many theaters have revealed their slate, but shinjuku has it showing 31 times on friday, so they atleast seem to be expecting some decent performance there. They are also doing midnights and they're selling pretty decently, 1 sold out and the other two over 50%. Not JJK-like, of course, but not bad.


Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:56 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
TOHO Figures breakdown:
Total Until -
01/03 : ¥5,873,064,900 (Monday)
01/02 : ¥5,467,312,450 (Sunday)

Monday (01/03) : ¥405,752,450

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Tue Jan 04, 2022 6:31 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Thanks, Kanroji! Once the weekend figures are out, I'll adjust all the prior estimates. Thankfully, it requires very little adjusting! Been pretty on point for estimating 8 days in a row so far.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Jan 04, 2022 9:32 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: Jujutsu Kaisen Daily Tracker
Image

Jujutsu Kaisen 0 - Daily Tracker

12/24 (Fri.): ¥1,072,252,950 ($9.39 million) / 772,224
12/25 (Sat.): ¥892,008,700 ($7.81 million) / 626,110
12/26 (Sun.): ¥729,866,500 ($6.39 million) / 509,719
12/27 (Mon.): ¥385,000,000 ($3.34 million) / 280,000 *est.*
12/28 (Tues.): ¥400,000,000 ($3.50 million) / 280,000 *est.*
12/29 (Wed.): ¥570,000,000 ($4.96 million) / 445,000 *est.*
12/30 (Thur.): ¥515,000,000 ($4.47 million) / 360,000 *est.*
12/31 (Fri.): ¥305,000,000 ($2.65 million) / 215,000 *est.*
01/01 (Sat.): ¥280,000,000 ($2.43 million) / 215,000 *est.*
01/02 (Sun.): ¥335,000,000 ($2.91 million) / 235,000 *est.*
01/03 (Mon.): ¥405,000,000 ($3.51 million) / 295,000 *est.*
01/04 (Tues.): ¥340,000,000 ($2.92 million) / 240,000 *est.*


12-Day Total: ~¥6,213,064,900 ($54.14 million) / 4,554,027 *est.*

NOTE! The Total is updated to account for the actual total (as of Monday) plus Tuesday's estimate. The dailies themselves are still estimated, but I'll go back and readjust them (barely needed, thankfully) before tomorrow's update.

Second fastest film to reach ¥6 billion. It'll also become the second fastest film to reach 5 million admissions. Demon Slayer is the fastest, of course, at 7 days, currently followed by both Spirited Away and Howl's Moving Castle in second place at 16 days, but Jujutsu Kaisen should do it in 14 or 15 days.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:07 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Hi Coprse, Is there any buzz/ marketing for NWH in Japan so far?

Hope it will be success as in other international markets.

Hope it will be less frontloaded than other superhero movies performing in Japan considering it has a quite considerable amount of regconition from old/general audience in there.


Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:12 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Fastest to 5 Million Admissions
Fastest Films to 5 Million Admissions:

7 Days - Demon Slayer: Mugen Train (2020)
14 or 15 Days - Jujutsu Kaisen 0 (2021) *Projection*
16 Days - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
16 Days - Spirited Away (2001)
17 Days - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
17 Days - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
17 Days - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
18 Days - Your Name. (2016)
19 Days - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
20 Days - Beauty and the Beast (2017)
20 Days - Frozen (2014)
20 Days - Ponyo (2008)
21 Days - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
21 Days - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
21 Days - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
22 Days - Frozen II (2019)
22 Days - Weathering With You (2019)
22 Days - Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire (2019)
22 Days - Code Blue (2018)
22 Days - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
24 Days - Toy Story 4 (2019)
24 Days - Aladdin (2019)
24 Days - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
24 Days - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (2007)
24 Days - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
25 Days - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
26 Days - The Wind Rises (2013)
26 Days - Rookies (2009)
27 Days - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
27 Days - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
28 Days - Arrietty (2010)
29 Days - Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith (2005)
30 Days - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (2018)
30 Days - One Piece Film Z (2012)
30 Days - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (2011)


And since Evangelion 3.0+1.0 has been discussed a good bit, it hit 5 million admissions on its 42nd day.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:17 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
JP ATP can be crazy sometimes. What's the last target it is expected to be 2nd fastest for? I assume spirited away will be faster to 10b with 25 days, but 7 and maybe 8 seem possible at a glance.


Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:22 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Alo12345 wrote:
Hi Coprse, Is there any buzz/ marketing for NWH in Japan so far?

Hope it will be success as in other international markets.

Hope it will be less frontloaded than other superhero movies performing in Japan considering it has a quite considerable amount of regconition from old/general audience in there.


The goal is to experience an Endgame level increase over Far From Home. That will give it a little above ¥5 billion (~$45/50 million). Can it increase 70/75% over Far From Home like Endgame did over Infinity War? It's a tall task, but it has everything going for it to be capable of achieving such an increase. (If it doesn't, especially if it falls far short of that increase, we'll be having a serious discussion about Hollywood in Japan moving forward.)

It will probably be frontloaded regardless though since it's opening on the last weekend of New Year (generally strong as a last chance for many to go to the theaters for a couple more months due to work/school), which is also a 4-day holiday weekend (next Monday is a national holiday), and there is little/no holiday support from there until late-March. It needs a really big first 4 days. Even the most well-received MCU/DC films are fairly frontloaded for the market as well.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:40 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
JustLurking wrote:
JP ATP can be crazy sometimes. What's the last target it is expected to be 2nd fastest for? I assume spirited away will be faster to 10b with 25 days, but 7 and maybe 8 seem possible at a glance.


I don't know but it should surpass ¥10B before Spirited Away (25 days) but it's actual holding will be known only after holidays ends. Before that I am doubtful about it's pace.... Even, if it can hold Spirited Away legs then it will be more than amazing. But, but, but... I doubt if it's ever happening (-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩___-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩-̩̩̩) Also, NWH might hurt it badly on it's opening weekend. I would just ask God, "Why?, First NYE, then steep weekend,.....(╥﹏╥) (Can not stop crying)"

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Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:42 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Not sure why you're upset. It's posting the biggest numbers ever, after Demon Slayer, in the market up to this point. It's far exceeded expectations already. It's sort of like some posts last year asking why Demon Slayer wasn't doing MORE when its numbers were already more than double everything ever.

This wasn't going to be Demon Slayer 2.0 (nothing ever will, so don't look for anything to ever approach its numbers--those numbers are etched in stone), or something ultra-leggy like Spirited Away.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:45 am
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Post Re: Japan Box-Office: A New Year Begins! (2022)
Corpse, actually I am not disappointed but have a bit of feverish worry about 3rd Weekend hold (A multiverse film that has already tearing Overseas market is about to enter Japanese market on Friday.....) &Screen sharing with NWH, I just hope that we do not get another steep weekend (╥﹏╥) because three Spidermans are going to entertain us on it's OW

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Tue Jan 04, 2022 11:59 am
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