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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Darn. I almost took the lead. I'm $116k away. Just one more day until I become #1, then I remain there for the entirety  _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Tue Jul 30, 2024 4:53 am |
 
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25194
Location: Classified
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 I wonder what the #1 pick next year will be. Avatar will likely hit the $550M, but those movies are such a risk because of delays. Zootopia 2 maybe?
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| Tue Jul 30, 2024 5:56 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Upon a quick check, next year is stacked. I'd say Avatar 3 will top the year.
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| Tue Jul 30, 2024 6:30 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40260
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Deadpool - 550
Bad Boys - 195
Garfield - 75
Civil War - 69
Quiet Place - 145
The First Omen - 30
Alien - 70
Trap - 80
Wolves - 90
Never Let Go - 5
1310
Dune - 282
IF - 111
Twisters - 250
Mean Girls - 72
Ordinary Angels - 19
Wicked - 220
Transformers - 130
Here - 70
Terrifier - 15
The Wild Robot - 50
1219
I give Algren the advantage but my unreleased films have a little more upside to beat those expectations. Alien, Wolves and Trap are only going to be so big.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Tue Jul 30, 2024 11:22 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25194
Location: Classified
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 My current total is $306M. Add $100M for Ends and $80M for Longlegs to bring it to $486M. If Joker and Moana both hit $500M, that would comfortably put me over both of you. 
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| Tue Jul 30, 2024 12:25 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21473
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 I think I have a shot with my top 3 films being unreleased.
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| Tue Jul 30, 2024 12:37 pm |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm
Posts: 234
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Shack wrote: Deadpool - 550
Bad Boys - 195
Garfield - 75
Civil War - 69
Quiet Place - 145
The First Omen - 30
Alien - 70
Trap - 80
Wolves - 90
Never Let Go - 5
1310
Dune - 282
IF - 111
Twisters - 250
Mean Girls - 72
Ordinary Angels - 19
Wicked - 220
Transformers - 130
Here - 70
Terrifier - 15
The Wild Robot - 50
1219
I give Algren the advantage but my unreleased films have a little more upside to beat those expectations. Alien, Wolves and Trap are only going to be so big. No way Wild Robot only does 50m, trash like Trolls did 100m+
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| Tue Jul 30, 2024 9:40 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21473
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 I hope Wild Robit can do Bad Guys numbers.
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| Tue Jul 30, 2024 9:42 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 I don't see Wild Robot doing too well, actually. It feels small. $35m-ish And I also don't see Wolfs doing that well either. Maybe $30m total I feel my real competition will be from Rev or flip1, not you Shack, sorry  Anyway, I'm #1 now and I ain't giving it up! _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Wed Jul 31, 2024 4:17 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Me and flip1 go head-to-head this coming weekend. Trap vs Harold. A seventh rounder versus an eighth.
I'll have the top two placed movies this weekend. Nice.
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| Wed Jul 31, 2024 4:26 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Flava'd vs The World wrote: $80M for Longlegs You may not be able to take Longlegs. Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 2 will play at the Venice Film Festival (28 Aug - 7 Sep) before coming out in "late 2024". So we wait. _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Wed Jul 31, 2024 8:12 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25194
Location: Classified
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Algren wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: $80M for Longlegs You may not be able to take Longlegs. Horizon: An American Saga - Chapter 2 will play at the Venice Film Festival (28 Aug - 7 Sep) before coming out in "late 2024". So we wait. Damn you Kevin! Just give it up and go back to Yellowstone, bro. Also, just to defend myself a bit, I was actually right about the American heartland championing a blockbuster of their own this summer. I just picked the wrong movie. Should have known Powell was the new Costner.
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| Sat Aug 03, 2024 4:07 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 The American heartland has a favourite every year. Picking the right film is 99% of the battle. You failed, man. Own it _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Sun Aug 04, 2024 7:46 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 A round 7 battle coming this week: Flava's It Ends with Us against Riggs' Borderlands.
Riggs could leapfrog Shack back to 3rd place, although unlikely. But Flava has no chance of moving his position, even if it does $100m.
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| Tue Aug 06, 2024 3:38 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25194
Location: Classified
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Algren wrote: The American heartland has a favourite every year. Picking the right film is 99% of the battle. You failed, man. Own it Never.
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| Tue Aug 06, 2024 4:58 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 I think we can safely say that Flava is winning round 7.
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| Mon Aug 12, 2024 5:50 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25194
Location: Classified
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Algren wrote: I think we can safely say that Flava is winning round 7. I was feeling good about this until checking the sheet and seeing that I picked Horizon 2 over Romulus.  After this and Waterworld I don't know if I can ever trust Costner again outside of baseball movies.
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| Wed Aug 14, 2024 3:19 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am
Posts: 11561
Location: Bright Falls
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 It's really weird to see how little love Romulus had at the draft, some picks that went before it look just silly in hindsight.
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| Wed Aug 14, 2024 4:29 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21473
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 It seemed like an obvious bomb to me after Alien Covenant.
Considering the budget cast for this one, can’t fathom how the projections are so high.
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| Wed Aug 14, 2024 8:29 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25194
Location: Classified
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Doing the draft during actors strike had people spooked about the second half of the year. And I truly believed in Horizon. 
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| Thu Aug 15, 2024 1:01 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 zwackerm wrote: It seemed like an obvious bomb to me after Alien Covenant. I wouldn't say bomb. But I also did not pick it with $100m+ in mind. That's a welcomed surprise for me. However, I did pick it. I picked it with the fact that it's an established brand and that it was the director of the Evil Dead remake. So there were factors to it, and everything else left in the pool at the time did not excite me as much. Also, I always try to get a couple of horrors to balance my draft out. It's not only blockbusters that we need to seek. I try to seek fillers. Those three or four $50m, $60m, $80m grossers that REALLY win your draft. And if they go above and beyond then it's all gravy. It's not usually the biggies that win a draft. People pick those and they more or less cancel each other out. It's those mid-tier grossers that win it for you. At least that's my philosophy. flip1 has done best at that this year, well, at least in the first half of the year. But now I've got Romulus, Quiet Place, and Civil War propping up my first four rounds, I will succeed this year and win the whole thing. And I had to replace three films too! _________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG
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| Thu Aug 15, 2024 5:07 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40260
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 Alien was bigger than I expected but Algren getting screwed on Wolves makes up for it.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Aug 17, 2024 3:41 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 I got screwed more by having to replace Jordan Peele Untitled Film with Civil War.
I had Romulus at about $70m total, so a $140-50m total is so very welcome
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| Sat Aug 17, 2024 3:45 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68230
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 So what does Romulus end with, $125m? $140m? even $150m?
...because I've calculated that I will be at $1.1 billion without Romulus, Wolfs, and Never Let Go.
So I project a final total of $1.25bn.
And if Wolfs is replaced, then $1.3bn because I'll either take Longlegs ($80m) or Strangers: Chapter 1 ($35m).
Nobody is getting close to that. flip1 will be closest but still far away.
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| Sun Aug 18, 2024 5:24 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40260
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Re: 2024 Draft Group 2 I can get there with a breakout from Wicked.
Wouldn't rule out Flava'd making like 900 million from Joker and Moana 2 combined.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sun Aug 18, 2024 12:31 pm |
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