As if you needed much evidence for whether Warner Bros.' next Batman offering The Dark Knight will be a certified mega-blockbuster, MovieTickets.com just released an internal poll showing that Christopher Nolan's latest offering could be the biggest debut of the summer, if not the entire year. According to the poll, 81% of male moviegoers and 66 percent of female moviegoers polled June 10-15 intend to see "The Dark Knight" opening weekend. 100% of ticket buyers polled were aware of The Dark Knight's release this summer, compared with 49% of ticket buyers three weeks before "The Incredible Hulk" and 36% of buyers three weeks before "Iron Man."
TDK making like its the 1990's it seems...
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Ari Emmanuel wrote:
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Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
I still don't see why it would open with less than Iron Man's OW. As long as it kicks ass, it'll hold on well, too.
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Thu Jun 19, 2008 1:54 pm
Steve
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:09 pm Posts: 1882
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
$133m opening weekend ~$360m final gross
OW being underpredicted methinks.
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Thu Jun 19, 2008 4:11 pm
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
The thing everybody needs to remember is IMAX. Imax ticket prices range from $16-20; they're 600-7000 seat theaters. Every IMAX sell out TDK gets is potentially $14,000. It is going to be getting quite a few of them. There is talk here-
That imax theaters may show TDK round the CLOCK opening weekend-for 72 straight hours- to cash in on the immense potential. At 2 1/2 hours, thats 28 showing over the weekend. Thats roughly $392,000 in one weekend. Thats the tip-top of potential, but still...
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Ari Emmanuel wrote:
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Fri Jun 20, 2008 4:29 am
MARVEL_ROCKS
Forum General
Joined: Sun Mar 11, 2007 6:11 pm Posts: 8202
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Expectations are really really high from this movie both boxoffice and critically.
Has to get 100% on rottentomatoes.com because batman fans are expecting this to be the best shit ever and the entire movie blogging community thinks the same.
Since this has the biggest hype and buzz of all summer movies and it will be releasing in huge number of theatres and screens it has to do $145+ million OW and also $350+ million domestically.
Doing around IM or IJ4 numbers or less will be dissapointing.
Fri Jun 20, 2008 11:57 am
Webslinger
why so serious?
Joined: Tue Jun 06, 2006 11:24 pm Posts: 4110 Location: Stuck In A Moment I Can't Get Out Of
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Doing the same business as Indy or Iron Man would be great. Only the "haters" (for lack of a better word) would spin $315 million for Dark Knight as anything even resembling a disappointment.
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Fri Jun 20, 2008 12:51 pm
Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Why does anyone even have to reply to LadiesMan, leave the troll in peace.
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Fri Jun 20, 2008 2:11 pm
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
TV SPOT 5
Just saw the Reeses spot again. Still waiting for that and the Dominos tv spot to come online.
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Ari Emmanuel wrote:
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Fri Jun 20, 2008 10:17 pm
Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Eckhart on Leno June 23rd; Caine the 27th.
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Ari Emmanuel wrote:
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Sat Jun 21, 2008 6:24 am
Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm Posts: 1406
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
Sat Jun 21, 2008 9:02 pm
redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
The other thing I'm curious about is whether the tracking takes into account IMAX. I would think TDK will get a boost of around $5-10 million (or more) from IMAX since it was filmed partially with IMAX cameras and any Batman Begins fan worth his/her salt will see this in IMAX if they have one near them.
Sun Jun 22, 2008 5:08 pm
redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Magnus wrote:
redfirebird2008 wrote:
The other thing I'm curious about is whether the tracking takes into account IMAX. I would think TDK will get a boost of around $5-10 million (or more) from IMAX since it was filmed partially with IMAX cameras and any Batman Begins fan worth his/her salt will see this in IMAX if they have one near them.
I say a 5m boost max on OW alone. Though in the long run, IMAX will help it a lot.
There are reports that some IMAX theaters will be running it around the clock for the entire weekend. I think it's going to be very big on IMAX, bigger than anyone thinks is possible because any Batman fan that knows about the filming of this movie will want to see it on IMAX.
Sun Jun 22, 2008 5:22 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Magnus wrote:
redfirebird2008 wrote:
There are reports that some IMAX theaters will be running it around the clock for the entire weekend. I think it's going to be very big on IMAX, bigger than anyone thinks is possible because any Batman fan that knows about the filming of this movie will want to see it on IMAX.
I believe 300 holds the record for IMAX opening with 3.6m. I think TDK should shatter this probably and get around 9m from IMAX.
However, the amounst of "boost" from IMAX will only be 4.5m-5m. IMAX tickets are about double the amount of regular price tickets (at least where I'm from). So fact is that the 9m from IMAX would have been 4.5m regular, so the extra boost would be 4.5m.
Either way, TDK is a lock to break the record and a lock for the 2nd biggest July OW all-time and the biggest OW of the year.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sun Jun 22, 2008 5:35 pm
redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Corpse wrote:
Magnus wrote:
redfirebird2008 wrote:
There are reports that some IMAX theaters will be running it around the clock for the entire weekend. I think it's going to be very big on IMAX, bigger than anyone thinks is possible because any Batman fan that knows about the filming of this movie will want to see it on IMAX.
I believe 300 holds the record for IMAX opening with 3.6m. I think TDK should shatter this probably and get around 9m from IMAX.
However, the amounst of "boost" from IMAX will only be 4.5m-5m. IMAX tickets are about double the amount of regular price tickets (at least where I'm from). So fact is that the 9m from IMAX would have been 4.5m regular, so the extra boost would be 4.5m.
Either way, TDK is a lock to break the record and a lock for the 2nd biggest July OW all-time and the biggest OW of the year.
Im pretty sure HP5 holds the IMAX record.
I doubt that. 300 was absolutely enormous in IMAX. I saw it at a theater that had a bowling alley in the complex. I showed up around 3 hours early and got tickets, then went bowling for a while. Came back around an hour and a half before the thing started and there was a huge line waiting to get into the IMAX theater. Luckily I still got a decent seat that wasn't up at the front, but I was pretty surprised at how packed the theater was considering it was a Monday.
Sun Jun 22, 2008 5:41 pm
redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
Re: Batman: The Dark Knight Predictions-1st TWO-FACE FOOTAGE!
Magnus wrote:
redfirebird2008 wrote:
There are reports that some IMAX theaters will be running it around the clock for the entire weekend. I think it's going to be very big on IMAX, bigger than anyone thinks is possible because any Batman fan that knows about the filming of this movie will want to see it on IMAX.
I believe 300 holds the record for IMAX opening with 3.6m. I think TDK should shatter this probably and get around 9m from IMAX.
However, the amounst of "boost" from IMAX will only be 4.5m-5m. IMAX tickets are about double the amount of regular price tickets (at least where I'm from). So fact is that the 9m from IMAX would have been 4.5m regular, so the extra boost would be 4.5m.
Either way, TDK is a lock to break the record and a lock for the 2nd biggest July OW all-time and the biggest OW of the year.
Magnus, good point about the boost not being the actual ticket sales. But the way I look at is that this movie is going to be playing in so many regular theaters that IMAX theaters are not taking up necessary space for regular theaters. It's gonna open huge regardless, so anything it makes in IMAX is a boost I think.
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