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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40363
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 May 23-25 predictions I always thought Lilo was going for over 500 so I'll say about 180, and MI with a solid 60 mil.
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| Sun May 18, 2025 1:31 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25264
Location: Classified
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Re: May 23-25 predictions There was some debated on Glicked vs Wickediator ...but we can all agree on Lilo Impossible here right?
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| Sun May 18, 2025 1:45 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68254
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: May 23-25 predictions No to the poll question. It's a kids movie that is a remake, there's no huge desire to see it IMMEDIATELY, whereas Minecraft is a gaming movie and the first from that series. Demand was there (even if I couldn't see it at the time). Lilo may do well because it plays well over the summer but opening-wise it isn't beating Minecraft.
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| Sun May 18, 2025 3:42 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23296
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 23-25 predictions Lilo and Stitch 3-day at a minimum will most likely match (or get close to) Minecraft 3-day and then have the holiday Monday to surge ahead. It should dominate the market pre-Dragon and probably still do well longer term. Summer weekdays will also kick in.
The question will be if it can do $500m or not. I think it scrapes by if it opens at the higher end of expectations.
Something like $475-$525m at this stage.
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| Sun May 18, 2025 8:41 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6739
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Re: May 23-25 predictions Lilo - 17/50/55/53/45 - 220m over 4 days
MI8 - 9/21/23/21/16 - 80m over 4 days.
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| Sun May 18, 2025 9:03 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6739
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Re: May 23-25 predictions As on date, its crushing Mine and IO2 in presales. Not even close.
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| Sun May 18, 2025 9:04 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23296
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 23-25 predictions Great. My initial bullish projections were for $180-$200m 4-day so that is looking far bigger than that which is mind boggling.
In this case - expect $600m+
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| Sun May 18, 2025 9:30 pm |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm
Posts: 243
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Re: May 23-25 predictions Lilo: 155m 3-day, 190m 4-day
MI8: 68m 3-day, 85m 4-day
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| Mon May 19, 2025 12:36 am |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm
Posts: 243
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Re: May 23-25 predictions MadGez wrote: Great. My initial bullish projections were for $180-$200m 4-day so that is looking far bigger than that which is mind boggling.
In this case - expect $600m+ Probably not, WOM should be around TLM which did 2.48x 4-day. Even if legs are good enough to do 2.6x 4-day, it would need to open to 230m+ on the 4-day, which doesn't look likely now
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| Mon May 19, 2025 12:38 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21498
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: May 23-25 predictions Reviews are ok at 74% positive through 47 reviews. Should stay fresh at least.
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| Tue May 20, 2025 2:27 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23296
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 23-25 predictions flip1 wrote: MadGez wrote: Great. My initial bullish projections were for $180-$200m 4-day so that is looking far bigger than that which is mind boggling.
In this case - expect $600m+ Probably not, WOM should be around TLM which did 2.48x 4-day. Even if legs are good enough to do 2.6x 4-day, it would need to open to 230m+ on the 4-day, which doesn't look likely now Perhaps not. I was thinking a 2.8 multiplier but given that reviews aren't crash hot and it probably won't open over $200m 4-day - $500m is a better target. _________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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| Tue May 20, 2025 7:53 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6739
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Re: May 23-25 predictions Feels like 15m previews for Lilo. it was not as backloaded as IO2/Mine. Thinking OW 4 day between 180-200m range.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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| Thu May 22, 2025 9:46 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23296
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 23-25 predictions $180-$190m is where I expect it also. Will be interesting to track over the next few days.
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| Thu May 22, 2025 10:11 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19387
Location: San Diego
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Re: May 23-25 predictions WoM for L+S is gonna be strong.
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| Fri May 23, 2025 12:22 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6739
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Re: May 23-25 predictions L - 185m MI8 - 80m.
Crazy weekend indeed.
_________________
The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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| Fri May 23, 2025 11:59 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68254
Location: Seattle, WA
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Re: May 23-25 predictions Snow White tops $87 million this weekend. Get in!
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| Sun May 25, 2025 11:45 am |
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