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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25264 Location: Classified
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
MadGez wrote: I still don't understand Tom's reasoning behind starring in the tepid Mummy remake. The dark universe cast photo was really cool! I was gonna say money but according to google he took less money to have more creative influence? Not a good look. He's lucky that Fallout and Maverick made almost everyone forget about The Mummy.
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Tue Nov 12, 2024 11:57 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Think it was the aftermath of the "shared Universe" reaction to the MCU with Universal pushing for monsters with Crowe and Cruise, Jolie, Depp, Bardem, but seems the lack of cohesiveness.
I do think a rebooted Mummy movie with a younger A-lister and Fraser back could do quite well.
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Wed Nov 13, 2024 12:00 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68254 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
I really think the series peaked with Fallout. I mean in terms of gross, stunts, storyline, finished product, everything. It hit its crescendo.
They made two more, and the results are for all to see. While I enjoyed Dead Reckoning, the studio and Tom clearly struggled to get people invested again after Fallout. To eek out interest for eigth films is difficult, especially post-whatshouldhavebeenthefinalfilm.
The stunts in these latest two also are not in line with the idea of ever-increasing danger. He already hung off a plane in Rogue Nation, so to do that again in Final Reckoning, while still impressive I suppose, isn't going to get people talking. Ok, so the plane goes upside down. I reckon most people are skeptical about just how dangerous these stunts actually are. They probably know he's wearing a secret harness.
As I've said many times, the only way post-Fallout for the series to not lose interest was to go bigger than ever before. That means going to space. This idea was actually floated around in the news channels at one point, but it wasn't necessarily mentioned as an idea for an M:I film. But Tom was attached to the idea for another project. Regardless, when the seventh M:I film came out and it was (while still cool) just another M:I adventure in Rome, Abu Dhabi, on the Orient Express ... people probably felt deflated. They had the idea of "bigger and better" in their heads and instead they were given just another Ghost Protocol.
So I think Final Reckoning will not be this big end-of-series box office statement for Cruise. I think it will again struggle to break through the series' ceiling. I just don't believe it's a story that the masses are clamouring to see the conclusion of, which means people's interest boils down to ... the stunt? not impressive enough. Last time seeing Ethan Hunt? he already died in M:I-III and came back, plus there's eight movies of Hunt for people to enjoy. Coming full circle and bringing the team back together? happens in every installment.
While I love the series and love the Final Reckoning trailer, it is no different than the Dead Reckoning trailer. Every series learns the hard way when enough is enough. It's just that M:I made two movies back-to-back before realising people were over their M:I obsession. The Bourne Ultimatum was the peak of that series but they also didn't realise for two movies later. Skyfall was the peak of the Craig era and they didn't realise for two movies.
I hope I'm wrong here but I just cannot see it improving on Fallout. I predict it will make around $200 million domestically.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Nov 24, 2024 11:55 am |
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Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Opening the week before Barbenheimer + TGM coasting is what did it in for the last one. They got way too cocky thinking they could ride TGM's coatails to a bigger Mission Impossible gross and felt like they did less marketing for it. That cost them when Barbenheimer became much bigger than any of them expected. I feel like that's why Cruise was around showing himself seeing Barbie, Oppenheimer so that Mission Impossible would get some of that spillover audience but it didn't really happen.
If they had been smart they should have changed its release date to later in the year/summer but wanted that prime release date and it probably cost them at least $50M in box office.
I do think the next one can do better in terms of box office.
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Sun Nov 24, 2024 12:37 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40363
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
I think having a name as villain in Dead Reckoning would've made a difference, it just didn't look like it stood out for the series other than being presented as a two parter climactic film, and Fallout had Cavill at least. Even if they had Brody or something I think it comes off better.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun Nov 24, 2024 1:54 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68254 Location: Seattle, WA
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Shack wrote: I think having a name as villain in Dead Reckoning would've made a difference, it just didn't look like it stood out for the series other than being presented as a two parter climactic film, and Fallout had Cavill at least. Even if they had Brody or something I think it comes off better. Agreed
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sun Nov 24, 2024 2:18 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40363
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
With the trailer marketing it as Ethan Hunt's last ride, I'm going to say this ends up the biggest Mission Impossible film unadjusted.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Mon Apr 07, 2025 3:53 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25264 Location: Classified
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Are there still people who believe that franchises end?
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Mon Apr 07, 2025 5:57 pm |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 243
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Lilo and Stitch is going to sadly hurt this a bit I think. 70-80m OW, 230-265m DOM
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Tue Apr 08, 2025 12:05 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25264 Location: Classified
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Early reviews are meh, hype is meh and while it will get its contractually promised imax theaters, everyone else is gonna be putting Lilo in their largest auditoriums. I think this movie is in trouble. Hopefully I'm wrong and a Lilo Impossible trend will put some extra butts in the seats, but right now I'm doubting it gets over $60M opening. Probably closer to $50M.
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Tue May 13, 2025 2:10 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6739
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
I dont see 60m OW being an issue. it should hit that. Presales are not bad at all.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Tue May 13, 2025 3:21 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23296 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
flip1 wrote: Lilo and Stitch is going to sadly hurt this a bit I think. 70-80m OW, 230-265m DOM That's about its ceiling IMO. A $75m/$240m run would be very good for this.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Tue May 13, 2025 7:48 pm |
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flip1
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Feb 03, 2023 11:02 pm Posts: 243
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
All the hemming and hawing from social reactions just for reviews to still be very good, just a step down from previous entries, is pretty funny to me
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Wed May 14, 2025 7:39 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23296 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Can't muster much excitement for MI8. I sense that's the same for the general audience. The MI fans will get this to the MI ball-park $220-230m
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Wed May 14, 2025 10:03 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25264 Location: Classified
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
flip1 wrote: All the hemming and hawing from social reactions just for reviews to still be very good, just a step down from previous entries, is pretty funny to me Right? Usually its the opposite! Happy to see the turnaround.
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Thu May 15, 2025 3:30 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40363
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
I forgot they gave Dead Reckoning Part 1 96%.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Thu May 15, 2025 3:44 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21863 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Which in itself is ridiculous. 7 was the weakest since part 2. That’s the cruise machine power right there
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Thu May 15, 2025 7:55 am |
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