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 Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions 
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
MadGez wrote:
I still don't understand Tom's reasoning behind starring in the tepid Mummy remake.
The dark universe cast photo was really cool!

I was gonna say money but according to google he took less money to have more creative influence? Not a good look. He's lucky that Fallout and Maverick made almost everyone forget about The Mummy.


Tue Nov 12, 2024 11:57 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Think it was the aftermath of the "shared Universe" reaction to the MCU with Universal pushing for monsters with Crowe and Cruise, Jolie, Depp, Bardem, but seems the lack of cohesiveness.

I do think a rebooted Mummy movie with a younger A-lister and Fraser back could do quite well.


Wed Nov 13, 2024 12:00 am
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
I really think the series peaked with Fallout. I mean in terms of gross, stunts, storyline, finished product, everything. It hit its crescendo.

They made two more, and the results are for all to see. While I enjoyed Dead Reckoning, the studio and Tom clearly struggled to get people invested again after Fallout. To eek out interest for eigth films is difficult, especially post-whatshouldhavebeenthefinalfilm.

The stunts in these latest two also are not in line with the idea of ever-increasing danger. He already hung off a plane in Rogue Nation, so to do that again in Final Reckoning, while still impressive I suppose, isn't going to get people talking. Ok, so the plane goes upside down. I reckon most people are skeptical about just how dangerous these stunts actually are. They probably know he's wearing a secret harness.

As I've said many times, the only way post-Fallout for the series to not lose interest was to go bigger than ever before. That means going to space. This idea was actually floated around in the news channels at one point, but it wasn't necessarily mentioned as an idea for an M:I film. But Tom was attached to the idea for another project. Regardless, when the seventh M:I film came out and it was (while still cool) just another M:I adventure in Rome, Abu Dhabi, on the Orient Express ... people probably felt deflated. They had the idea of "bigger and better" in their heads and instead they were given just another Ghost Protocol.

So I think Final Reckoning will not be this big end-of-series box office statement for Cruise. I think it will again struggle to break through the series' ceiling. I just don't believe it's a story that the masses are clamouring to see the conclusion of, which means people's interest boils down to ... the stunt? not impressive enough. Last time seeing Ethan Hunt? he already died in M:I-III and came back, plus there's eight movies of Hunt for people to enjoy. Coming full circle and bringing the team back together? happens in every installment.

While I love the series and love the Final Reckoning trailer, it is no different than the Dead Reckoning trailer. Every series learns the hard way when enough is enough. It's just that M:I made two movies back-to-back before realising people were over their M:I obsession. The Bourne Ultimatum was the peak of that series but they also didn't realise for two movies later. Skyfall was the peak of the Craig era and they didn't realise for two movies.

I hope I'm wrong here but I just cannot see it improving on Fallout. I predict it will make around $200 million domestically.

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Sun Nov 24, 2024 11:55 am
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Opening the week before Barbenheimer + TGM coasting is what did it in for the last one. They got way too cocky thinking they could ride TGM's coatails to a bigger Mission Impossible gross and felt like they did less marketing for it. That cost them when Barbenheimer became much bigger than any of them expected. I feel like that's why Cruise was around showing himself seeing Barbie, Oppenheimer so that Mission Impossible would get some of that spillover audience but it didn't really happen.

If they had been smart they should have changed its release date to later in the year/summer but wanted that prime release date and it probably cost them at least $50M in box office.

I do think the next one can do better in terms of box office.


Sun Nov 24, 2024 12:37 pm
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
I think having a name as villain in Dead Reckoning would've made a difference, it just didn't look like it stood out for the series other than being presented as a two parter climactic film, and Fallout had Cavill at least. Even if they had Brody or something I think it comes off better.

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Sun Nov 24, 2024 1:54 pm
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Shack wrote:
I think having a name as villain in Dead Reckoning would've made a difference, it just didn't look like it stood out for the series other than being presented as a two parter climactic film, and Fallout had Cavill at least. Even if they had Brody or something I think it comes off better.


Agreed

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Sun Nov 24, 2024 2:18 pm
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
With the trailer marketing it as Ethan Hunt's last ride, I'm going to say this ends up the biggest Mission Impossible film unadjusted.

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Mon Apr 07, 2025 3:53 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Are there still people who believe that franchises end?


Mon Apr 07, 2025 5:57 pm
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Lilo and Stitch is going to sadly hurt this a bit I think. 70-80m OW, 230-265m DOM


Tue Apr 08, 2025 12:05 am
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Early reviews are meh, hype is meh and while it will get its contractually promised imax theaters, everyone else is gonna be putting Lilo in their largest auditoriums. I think this movie is in trouble. Hopefully I'm wrong and a Lilo Impossible trend will put some extra butts in the seats, but right now I'm doubting it gets over $60M opening. Probably closer to $50M.


Tue May 13, 2025 2:10 pm
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
I dont see 60m OW being an issue. it should hit that. Presales are not bad at all.

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Tue May 13, 2025 3:21 pm
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
flip1 wrote:
Lilo and Stitch is going to sadly hurt this a bit I think. 70-80m OW, 230-265m DOM


That's about its ceiling IMO. A $75m/$240m run would be very good for this.

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Tue May 13, 2025 7:48 pm
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
All the hemming and hawing from social reactions just for reviews to still be very good, just a step down from previous entries, is pretty funny to me


Wed May 14, 2025 7:39 pm
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Can't muster much excitement for MI8. I sense that's the same for the general audience. The MI fans will get this to the MI ball-park $220-230m

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Wed May 14, 2025 10:03 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
flip1 wrote:
All the hemming and hawing from social reactions just for reviews to still be very good, just a step down from previous entries, is pretty funny to me
Right? Usually its the opposite! Happy to see the turnaround.


Thu May 15, 2025 3:30 am
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
I forgot they gave Dead Reckoning Part 1 96%.

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Thu May 15, 2025 3:44 am
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Post Re: Mission Impossible 7 and 8 predictions
Which in itself is ridiculous. 7 was the weakest since part 2. That’s the cruise machine power right there

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