Thunderbolts- 67m

Can Revenge of the Sith have a good hold for Star Wars day?

Yeah I'm surprised they didn't release it on May 4th, since competition wise Thunderbolts would only be 3rd day in at least.

Previews are looking good. I am thinking low 70s OW for bolts at this point.

I am more curious around what Sinners will do next week.

I just don't think Thunderbolts has ever escaped its two core problems. 1) Marvel already has a team of rogues that collectively become heroes with Guardians of the Galaxy and 2) The audience has almost completely rejected the idea of blending the tv shows with the movies. Thunderbolts and Brave New World should have been combined into one film where Sam Wilson picks a new group of second chance Avengers that Ross doesn't approve of. It was simple but became overly complicated like everything else in the multiverse saga. So I'm going $62M. Won't be an embarassing flop but will be in and out of the public's conscious before Fantastic Four launches in July.

Gonna go with 68m for Thunderbolts. Hope its good and does more though.

Sinners will lose premium screens but maybe drop around 30% still?

Black Widow didn't need a sequel, so if it makes 60-70 opening weekend in this post prime Marvel era it could be worse.

If Scarlett was leading this team I'd predict $100M. Killing her was one of the few mistakes of the Marvel peak.

Predictions being so high, I do not get. I assume they're based on presales. I don't understand the American public.

Gonna go with 31% drop for Sinners, $31.5m.

$65M really isn't that great for an MCU movie. There's only five that have opened under that mark and three of those were before The Avengers. Even the Pandemic movies all opened over $70M.

I'm not a Marvel person, but I'm excited for Thunderbolts. It sounds fantastic. I love Pugh and Pullman, and they're both supposed to be great.

I think it looks good 70m+.

I think this has some positive momentum and the BO is on fire and has room for another hit.

Thunderbolts - $74m
Sinners - sub-30% drop

If reviews are decent today that will give it momentum.

If they’re rotten, I think that will be enough to put it sub 65m

Well I think it looks lame and utterly generic for a team-up flick. $39m opening --- that's what it SHOULD do! But the US public are fucking weird so who knows.

Reviews are actually really good! Thinking that this could bump it over 80m and close to Cap 4.

Really not bad considering the lack of name superheroes and the decline of the MCU overall.

I get the Thunderbolts competition argument, but still feels like a major mistake for Disney to skip May the Fourth Be With You and Revenge of the Fifth. I wish Thunderbolts was opening next week for that and it would have let Sinners keep imax.

Sith rerelease with premium screens probably could have gotten 35m+.

Still bizarre they have not opened a Star Wars movie on this weekend yet lol I guess Marvel has its place on it but still

Sith is even holding very well even during weekdays. Should have let it run for 2 weeks. If they did not want it impacting bolts then they should have opened Sith a week earlier. Anyway it will probably do 900m+ WW having crossed 400m domestic.

Dumb not to have it in theaters for May the 4th weekend

Sinners can probably still drop less than 40% this weekend.

I can't even believe that after that first weekend they're still pulling Star Wars from theaters. So dumb.

Previews are looking like 12-13m range. Terrific finish after starting below Cap 4.

Thoughts on where Thunderbolts* will land this weekend? $70M, $75M, $80M+?

Definitely 80m+. Friday is comping bit lower compared to Cap 4 or Guardians compared to how much better previews are looking. But walkups should help. I am at high 80s for now.