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 November 8-11 predictions 
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Devil's Advocate
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Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
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Post November 8-11 predictions
Best Christmas Pageant, Heretic and Weekend in Taipei. Maybe not a total throwaway.

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Sat Nov 02, 2024 2:24 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
Best Christmas Pageant Ever - 16
Heretic - 7.5


Sun Nov 03, 2024 1:59 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
Hopefully Wild Robot can have another great hold and hit 150m before Moana 2 opens


Sun Nov 03, 2024 3:19 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
Conclave and Wild Robot should be set to have some impressive holds.

Can Conclave make a run for $50M?


Mon Nov 04, 2024 8:55 pm
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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
Thursday numbers

Heretic - 1.2 mil
Best Christmas Pageant - 500k

Mediocre as expected

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Fri Nov 08, 2024 3:02 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
Heretic should do 10-12 Million. I feel like this reaching double digits is a win.

I think the best comparison for The Best Christmas Pageant Ever would be Instant Family. That opened in November and did $550,000 in Thursday previews, on its way to an opening of 14.5 Million.


Fri Nov 08, 2024 4:28 pm
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now we know
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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
Magic Mike wrote:
I think the best comparison for The Best Christmas Pageant Ever would be Instant Family. That opened in November and did $550,000 in Thursday previews, on its way to an opening of 14.5 Million.


Well that ain't happening. It isn't 2018 anymore, and Judy Greer and Pete Holmes are no Mark Wahlberg and Rose Byrne.

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Sat Nov 09, 2024 5:01 am
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Devil's Advocate
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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
5m Friday for Best Christmas Pageant is pretty good

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Sat Nov 09, 2024 1:55 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
That’s incredible for a film that likely could have gone straight to streaming. I’m shocked by that figure.


Sat Nov 09, 2024 2:15 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
Algren wrote:
Magic Mike wrote:
I think the best comparison for The Best Christmas Pageant Ever would be Instant Family. That opened in November and did $550,000 in Thursday previews, on its way to an opening of 14.5 Million.


Well that ain't happening. It isn't 2018 anymore, and Judy Greer and Pete Holmes are no Mark Wahlberg and Rose Byrne.


Regardless, it's a similar audience. I'm not comparing star power.


Sat Nov 09, 2024 3:16 pm
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Extraordinary

Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
I predicted $2M in the contest so a possible $13M OW is big. With holiday legs could have a lengthy run.


Sat Nov 09, 2024 10:09 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
So after seeing the first film have a 2.66X multiplier, the second film having a 2.37X multiplier, the third film is currently at a 2.25X multiplier and once it passes $136M will have the best multiplier in the series. Significantly lower opening but Venom 3 definitely ain't Joker 2.


Mon Nov 11, 2024 1:42 am
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Dont Mess with the Gez
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Post Re: November 8-11 predictions
Yeah, not too bad. I guess it will get to $140-$150m which is decent for the modern-day comic book movie that isn't A level MCU.

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Mon Nov 11, 2024 6:12 pm
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