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 May 17-19 Predictions 

Will IF hit 30m OW?
Yes 67%  67%  [ 4 ]
No 33%  33%  [ 2 ]
Total votes : 6

 May 17-19 Predictions 
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Post May 17-19 Predictions
IF 33m
Back to Black 4m
The Strangers 11m


Fri May 10, 2024 7:37 am
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Modest 20s opening like the Fall Guy and then it depends on the reviews, if it's bad that and Garfield coming out next week would get ugly for it.

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Fri May 10, 2024 1:59 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Flopppppppppp - <$20M

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Kamala 24-32


Fri May 10, 2024 2:50 pm
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Kinda shocked tracking has this at 40m. I'm gonna guess mid 20s.


Fri May 10, 2024 2:52 pm
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
I thought The Strangers would be doa as well, but the horror subreddit seems pretty hyped for it. Apparently the original cut of the movie was 4 hours long, but they split it up and will release a trilogu over the course of the year instead? Kinda interesting, though I also kinda wish they did it like Fear Street and released a chapter every weekend just to see how the box office would go.

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Kamala 24-32


Fri May 10, 2024 3:03 pm
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Presales are trash but this is a family flick. Let us see how things go. I ultimately predicted 29m in monthly game. That would be good in comps to where it is now. Could go even lower.

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Fri May 10, 2024 7:37 pm
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
If If succeeds it will be a Shrek type run. Nothing big out of the gate. Garfield will be big though so would need to be exceptional.


Fri May 10, 2024 8:59 pm
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Yeah, obviously in an ideal world people would have enough money and time to see all the movies like we do. But if you're a family on a budget and Garfield + Inside Out are coming out within the next month ... well who is gonna be spending that money on something that the kids might not love?

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Kamala 24-32


Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 pm
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
55% on RT

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Wed May 15, 2024 11:41 am
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
IF 35m
Back to Black 4m
The Strangers 9m (no idea about this one)

I think IF will have a decent OW - neither breakout nor outright flop.

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Wed May 15, 2024 7:07 pm
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
First big family film in 11 weeks and only the 2nd one since Christmas nearly 5 months later. If will benefit from being something for families. A mid April launch would have been great for it too.


Thu May 16, 2024 2:28 am
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
If it does meh I'd second guess the release date instead of going for a holiday legs run.

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Thu May 16, 2024 10:34 am
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Mediocre walkups today. I am thinking 1.5-1.75m preview range. Friday has big show count and hopefully walkups are way better. I am still sticking to high 20s for now.

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Fri May 17, 2024 12:11 am
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Post Re: May 17-19 Predictions
I'm not convinced If will do $20M+ yet. It should get there but can see a lot of people skip it who might catch it over the long weekend. Doesn't feel like a rush factor at all. And it's also the season of underperformances it seems!

Overperformance at all will be from no family films and a Monday holiday in Canada.


Fri May 17, 2024 12:38 am
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