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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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May 17-19 Predictions
IF 33m Back to Black 4m The Strangers 11m
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Fri May 10, 2024 7:37 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Modest 20s opening like the Fall Guy and then it depends on the reviews, if it's bad that and Garfield coming out next week would get ugly for it.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri May 10, 2024 1:59 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24442 Location: Classified
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Flopppppppppp - <$20M
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Fri May 10, 2024 2:50 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19201 Location: San Diego
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Kinda shocked tracking has this at 40m. I'm gonna guess mid 20s.
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Fri May 10, 2024 2:52 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24442 Location: Classified
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
I thought The Strangers would be doa as well, but the horror subreddit seems pretty hyped for it. Apparently the original cut of the movie was 4 hours long, but they split it up and will release a trilogu over the course of the year instead? Kinda interesting, though I also kinda wish they did it like Fear Street and released a chapter every weekend just to see how the box office would go.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Fri May 10, 2024 3:03 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6444
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Presales are trash but this is a family flick. Let us see how things go. I ultimately predicted 29m in monthly game. That would be good in comps to where it is now. Could go even lower.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri May 10, 2024 7:37 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
If If succeeds it will be a Shrek type run. Nothing big out of the gate. Garfield will be big though so would need to be exceptional.
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Fri May 10, 2024 8:59 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24442 Location: Classified
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Yeah, obviously in an ideal world people would have enough money and time to see all the movies like we do. But if you're a family on a budget and Garfield + Inside Out are coming out within the next month ... well who is gonna be spending that money on something that the kids might not love?
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Sat May 11, 2024 3:57 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
55% on RT
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed May 15, 2024 11:41 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22919 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
IF 35m Back to Black 4m The Strangers 9m (no idea about this one)
I think IF will have a decent OW - neither breakout nor outright flop.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Wed May 15, 2024 7:07 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
First big family film in 11 weeks and only the 2nd one since Christmas nearly 5 months later. If will benefit from being something for families. A mid April launch would have been great for it too.
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Thu May 16, 2024 2:28 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
If it does meh I'd second guess the release date instead of going for a holiday legs run.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Thu May 16, 2024 10:34 am |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6444
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
Mediocre walkups today. I am thinking 1.5-1.75m preview range. Friday has big show count and hopefully walkups are way better. I am still sticking to high 20s for now.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Fri May 17, 2024 12:11 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: May 17-19 Predictions
I'm not convinced If will do $20M+ yet. It should get there but can see a lot of people skip it who might catch it over the long weekend. Doesn't feel like a rush factor at all. And it's also the season of underperformances it seems!
Overperformance at all will be from no family films and a Monday holiday in Canada.
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Fri May 17, 2024 12:38 am |
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