Yeah I think Nolan, Jordan Peele, Tarantino and maybe now Greta Gerwig are the only directors who can open a film on their name alone. Scorsese might be a part of that group though Silence bombed pretty hard. Would have been interesting to see a real box office run from The Irishman.

But hopefully Generation Tiktok takes this note away from Barbenheimer - great directors make great movies that are worth the time and money to see on the big screen. It should have been milennials who made that shift in the industry but they got too caught up on brands and connected universes.

Surely Cameron can do it given how many originals he spearheaded to mind-boggling success? Otherwise I agree, though Peele only domestic.

I do want to see Gerwig on a post-Barbie original film first, but she had already had good success with both Lady Bird and Little Women with modest budgets (Lady Bird was A24's highest grossing film for quite a while), and I think her stocks with female demographic are about to absolutely skyrocket with Barbie. It mostly depends on how much of Barbie's success the audience identifies with her, and how loyal they'll be for her, but she might just join the list.

So many movies are going to miss milestones. It started with M3GAN missing $100m by $5m, but maybe that's too far away to be considered an aching miss. However, The Little Mermaid is going to miss $300m by less than $3m, Rise of the Beasts will miss $160m by less than $3m, and The Flash will miss $110m by less than $2m. And although it's hardly close, it's a tad disappointing that Spider-Verse won't reach $400m. I'm sure there will be more by the end of the year. Dead Reckoning also feels like a film that runs out of steam just before a $160m or $165m milestone.

1- Barbie
2- Mario
3- Spider-Verse 2
4- GOTG 3
5- The Marvels ($300m+)

With all the MCU mess i dont think Marvels is a lock to $300mil. But I hope i'm wrong

Marvels isn't a lock for $150M imo.

are you joking

1 The Super Mario Bros. Movie $574,262,565
2 Barbie $572,861,048

Barbie needs just $1,401,517 to top Mario. With a $3,400,000 Tuesday its happening midway through today. What an achievement surpassing every expectation imaginable. Woo hoo to new movies topping the chart! Will be the first time WB tops this list since 2011 with HP barring any crazy overperformance in the fall.

Lol at Oppenheimer not being an option.

I feel Wonka is going to be big but idk if it'll be $300m+ big.

Something at the end of the year will break out big.

Zero chance anything passes Barbie. Unless like Brie Larson dies while saving a bus full of kids in real life.

It's official!

1 Barbie $575,411,647
2 Super Mario $574,265,430 + <$3K for Wed gross not yet reported

Barbie leads the year domestic and soon to be global!

1 Barbie $620M+
2 Mario $575M
3 Spider-Verse $382M
4 GOTG $359M
5 TLM $300M

At this point, the fall movies might be vying for #5 at best though a big overperformer could sneak into #3.

Yeah, Migration.

you forgot Oppenheimer? it has overtaken Mermaid.

Whoops. Copied/pasted the annual top 5!

1 Barbie $620M+
2 Mario $575M
3 Spider-Verse $382M
4 GOTG $359M
5 Oppenheimer $330M+ (Will be at $308M by the end of this weekend)

Can Taylor break into the top 5? The premium price of tickets and demand is going to make this interesting. Oppenheimer can hopefully get past GOTG so it can remain in the top 5 if the concert really does gargantuan numbers.

... mess if Taylor ends up on here lol

Oppenheimer will play in theaters until awards season. Let us see how its late run goes. Eras tour will definitely make a play for Top 5.

So possibly 3 of the top 5 films of the year are complete surprises if Swift delivers along with Barbie and Oppenheimer.

Oppenheimer can hopefully hold on well enough to squeak into the top 5 past GOTG and if Taylor does that too, wow.

2023 really will go down as an exciting box office year. Feels like the box office business models are being re-written every weekend from Sound of Freedom to Barbenheimer and now to Swift.

It hasn't even been TWO months yet since Sound opened. What a packed two months it's been and October suddenly looks like one of the most exciting months of the year box office wise which is the exact opposite of what the feeling was even on Monday.

We're in the box office twilight zone. If studios are smart they'll realize they need to wrap up negotiations as the longer they wait the more creatives will start considering a similar model for their own projects to get them distributed directly.