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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3220
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
I know this is the 5th weekend but the last movie with six straight weekends at #1 was Avatar.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Thu Jan 12, 2023 12:16 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
lilmac wrote: I know this is the 5th weekend but the last movie with six straight weekends at #1 was Avatar. it's like poetry, it rhythms
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Thu Jan 12, 2023 12:18 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 35233 Location: Minnesota
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Yeah I regret guessing 6 Million in the January/February contest. I figured it's MLK weekend and that might help. It used to. Not sure why they didn't put any money into advertising it.
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Thu Jan 12, 2023 11:55 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68297
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Why is The Woman King back in cinemas; to remind Oscar voters or to push for $70 million?
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Fri Jan 13, 2023 4:42 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23325 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Algren wrote: Why is The Woman King back in cinemas; to remind Oscar voters or to push for $70 million? Probably both abs it’s MLK holiday I guess.
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Fri Jan 13, 2023 9:20 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21529 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Plane Previews- 625k
Not great. Less than Ambulance. Can't see it doing double digits now
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Fri Jan 13, 2023 12:09 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68297
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
MadGez wrote: Algren wrote: Why is The Woman King back in cinemas; to remind Oscar voters or to push for $70 million? Probably both abs it’s MLK holiday I guess. Oh, I didn't think of that.
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Fri Jan 13, 2023 2:29 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3220
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Quote: While our models predicted it would earn a little over $800 million domestically going into this weekend, they are now converging on $770 million as its final total in North America. What is TheNumbers seeing that I’m not? Not even $700M is a lock.
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sun Jan 15, 2023 5:15 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23325 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
lilmac wrote: Quote: While our models predicted it would earn a little over $800 million domestically going into this weekend, they are now converging on $770 million as its final total in North America. What is TheNumbers seeing that I’m not? Not even $700M is a lock. Looks like they are working off average 20% drops each week from here on + a long tail beyond that. It's optimistic but possible. I'm thinking it's headed to $700m even at the moment unless drops do get closer to 20-25% from here. That said - $700m to TGM's gross isn't that big a gap.
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Sun Jan 15, 2023 8:01 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Looks like Avatar went up $1.3M based on the latest number on The Numbers.
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Mon Jan 16, 2023 11:25 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
O wrote: Looks like Avatar went up $1.3M based on the latest number on The Numbers. THAT'S RIGHT 
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Mon Jan 16, 2023 2:56 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Puss will likely join Who Framed Roger Rabbit as the only animated movies to gross $150M+ off of under $15M 3days openings. Realize it had Wed/Thur extra days but still expect its OW would have been under $15M with the weather and Christmas Eve.
Who Framed Roger Rabbit $11,226,239 OW / $156,452,370 total
Aladdin pulled $19,289,073 OW / $217,350,219 total. Believe Puss would become only the second animated movie to do $200M+ from an under $20M OW if it manages to leg its way there. It's $88M away now off of a $14.4M 3day weekend so needs a little above a 7.5X multiplier to get there. Not likely but not impossible either.
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Mon Jan 16, 2023 4:15 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21529 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
I wonder if Sunday actuals will come out today
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Mon Jan 16, 2023 4:44 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Avatar's Monday is down 900K from the estimate.
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Tue Jan 17, 2023 3:33 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25325 Location: Classified
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
O wrote: Avatar's Monday is down 900K from the estimate. Time to bump the What Went Wrong thread!
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Tue Jan 17, 2023 3:54 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32603 Location: the last free city
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Flava'd vs The World wrote: O wrote: Avatar's Monday is down 900K from the estimate. Time to bump the What Went Wrong thread! CANCEL THE REST OF THE SEQUELS! A2 IS A BOMB!
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Tue Jan 17, 2023 5:05 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 68297
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 Re: January 13-16 Predictions
Since M3GAN came out in some markets in 2022, according to Mojo Plane is the highest-grossing worldwide release of 2023 so far.
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Tue Jan 17, 2023 6:30 pm |
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