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 Weekend Estimates (March 18-20) 
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Begging Naked
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Post Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)


Honestly, a much better weekend than I was expected just a couple weeks ago. Decent hold for The Batman even if it went below $40 million. Jujutsu continues to show that anime is evolving into a consistent box office player in America. Uncharted and Dog have benefited so much from the barren landscape (Uncharted might top $150 million?!). X did alright for an A24 wide release and seems to have good WOM and no horror competition, so it should top $10 million.


Sun Mar 20, 2022 11:55 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
It's probably gonna fall like a rock but excellent for Jujutsu Kaisen 0. Would love to see more anime get wide releases.

The Batman needs about a 3.7 multiplier from this weekend to get 400m. Should happen but doesn't seem like a lock like it did last week.

Uncharted's run is nuts.

I saw Lost City last night at one of the early screenings and I think it's gonna do very well.


Sun Mar 20, 2022 12:01 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
Let's go JJK! Perhaps even more important for the genre than Demon Slayer, which could have been written off a flash in the pan benefactor from the Pandemic. Now we will probably get one of these every 2/3 months. Is it too late for Samurai Champloo? Too bad Netflix has been burning up alot of the goodwill towards Cowboy Bebop, Death Note and other classics.


Sun Mar 20, 2022 1:28 pm
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Begging Naked
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Let's go JJK! Perhaps even more important for the genre than Demon Slayer, which could have been written off a flash in the pan benefactor from the Pandemic. Now we will probably get one of these every 2/3 months. Is it too late for Samurai Champloo? Too bad Netflix has been burning up alot of the goodwill towards Cowboy Bebop, Death Note and other classics.


It's a shame Amazon gave up on theatrical distribution, they probably could have made some good money last summer if they had given Evangelion: 3.0+1.0 a wide release.


Sun Mar 20, 2022 5:51 pm
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Devil's Advocate
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
Let’s go Hunter x Hunter movie, the only anime I’ve seen other than DBZ

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Sun Mar 20, 2022 7:26 pm
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
There are two Hunter x Hunter movies.

Anime films (note: based on a manga or anime series) have really taken off in Japan too (Demon Slayer became the #1 film of all-time, and Jujutsu Kaisen is aiming to crack the Top 15 all-time), and it's largely due to new audiences coming out. Demon Slayer appealed to literally every demographic and age-group from 5-95, and females, especially, helped drive both it and Jujutsu Kaisen. (Traditional male-targeting, Shonen, manga/anime has begun to attract more female fans than males in the market.)

And in the cases of Demon Slayer and Jujutsu Kaisen, they're both unique since their movies are canon and can't really be missed by fans. The Demon Slayer movie continued on where season one of the anime left off, while Jujutsu Kaisen 0 adapts the prequel story to the main series and contains a good bit of important information for when season two is released.

Think of it like... the next chapter of a popular show (let's just say Wandavision, or whatever is/was big recently) getting a theatrical release between seasons. You'd have to go see that movie before you could watch the next season.

Before them (DS and JJK), almost every (mainstream) anime film has just been original, non-canon stories that weren't necessary viewings, so they only attracted the most hardcore fans and almost never achieved blockbuster status. So, with the major success of Demon Slayer and Jujutsu Kaisen adapting canon material that is largely required viewing, actual arcs in the manga that can't be skipped, into movies, we may see this become the norm in the future.

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Sun Mar 20, 2022 9:53 pm
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
Corpse wrote:
There are two Hunter x Hunter movies.


I looked it up and supposedly they’re non canon

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Sun Mar 20, 2022 10:00 pm
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Extraordinary

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
Solid for Batman. Passes $300M but had hoped it would decelerate faster given the great 2nd weekend hold.

Unreal for Jujutsu Kaisen. A great counter to Batman and needed this month.

Uncharted continues to do spectacular. Let's see how it holds with Lost City but looks to finish with $160M. Definitely benefited from the Spidy halo.

Dog is set for $70M+ in what is a hugely profitable run. It's just a preview for Lost City which is set for a breakout.

Great hold for Spidy considering it was released at home. It took the 14th weekend for Spidy to finally drop out of the top 5. A phenomenal run. Still mindboggling that still has money on the table and will coast past $800M.

Nile holds well again. Looks to finish at about $55M which isn't bad considering how much lower its OW was compared to the original. Will pull a 4+ multiplier and given its main audience isn't showing up to the theater as much made the best of the situation. Probably could have recovered 80%+ of its box office in regular times.


Mon Mar 21, 2022 12:39 am
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Wall-E

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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
Shack wrote:
Corpse wrote:
There are two Hunter x Hunter movies.


I looked it up and supposedly they’re non canon

There isn't really any space for a HxH canon movie to begin with though. It's basically caught up with its source material since the source material has been stuck in hiatus for nearly 3 years, and even if it wasn't, it's not like any arc is short enough to squeeze it in a movie.

Great for JJK, decent hold for bat.


Mon Mar 21, 2022 5:31 am
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Wallflower
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Post Re: Weekend Estimates (March 18-20)
Nile will probably drop like a rock soon when it hits HBO Max and Hulu on the 29th.


Mon Mar 21, 2022 4:34 pm
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