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 February 18-20 Predictions 
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
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Libs wrote:
Animosity Reigns wrote:
Look for Winn-Dixie to be this years Holes as well....


I wouldn't say that. I mean, I teach 3rd graders. I'm not sure people understood how phenomenally popular the book Holes really is, which is why its $67M total surprised many. Because of Winn-Dixie, from what I can see, isn't even close to being as popular. That said, this movie will find an audience on video if it doesn't perform well in theatres. Movies like The Sandlot, A Little Princess and The Secret Garden all had middling box office grosses but are still favorites of children today.


hmm guess its just a southern thing then, since we have had our times posted Ive had at least 10 calls from 4th grade teachers who want to book group showings for thier class and parents cause they are all reading the book...

glad you said something tho or I would have inflated my prediction....good ol south always having to be different :razz:

and no i wasnt being sarcastic, I was basing it all on the numerous phone calls Ive got.....


Tue Feb 15, 2005 11:18 pm
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Because of Winn-Dixie = My Dog Skip

It had a $5.9 opening. Because of Winn-Dixie has direct competition from younger kid movie, Pooh's Heffalump Movie, and other kid movies Are We There Yet and Son of the Mask.


Tue Feb 15, 2005 11:34 pm
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Speed Racer

Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:35 pm
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4-day Predictions:
1. Constantine - $33.3 NEW
2. Hitch - $32.5 (-25%)
3. Because of Winn-Dixie - $14.5 NEW
4. Son of the Mask - $9.9 NEW
5. Million Dollar Baby - $6.3 (-15%)
6. Are We There Yet? - $6.2 (-25%)
7. Boogeyman - $6.1 (-40%)
8. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - $4.5 (-23%)
9. The Aviator - $4.1 (-12%)
10. Sideways - $3.9 (-13%)


Fri Feb 18, 2005 8:29 am
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The Thirteenth Floor
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4 day:

Hitch $29.38 m
Constantine $28.73 m
Son of the Mask $15.58 m
Because of Winn-Dixie $15.18 m
Million Dollar Baby $7.27 m
Are We There Yet? $7.04 m
Boogeyman $5.85 m
Pooh $5.07 m
The Aviator $4.74 m
Sideways $4.58 m
The Wedding Date $3.87 m
Hide and Seek $3.15 m
Meet the Fockers $2.62 m
Ong Bak $0.82 m


Fri Feb 18, 2005 8:34 am
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Cream of the Crop

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To be honest, I didn't know what to predict for Winn-Dixie and Son of the Mask - they could either bomb or surprise...

Final Derby Predictions:

1. Hitch - 30.0m ( -30% )
2. Constantine - 27.0m NEW
3. Because of Winn-Dixie - 12.2m NEW
4. Son of the Mask - 8.5m NEW
5. Million Dollar Baby - 8.5m ( +14% )
6. Are We There Yet? - 7.5m ( -9% )
7. Boogeyman - 6.2m ( -39% )
8. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - 5.0m ( -14% )
9. The Aviator - 4.5m ( -4% )
10. Sideways - 4.2m ( -6% )


Fri Feb 18, 2005 8:49 am
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Iron Man

Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:56 pm
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The Sandlot, A Little Princess and The Secret Garden also didn't open in almost 3200 theatres. Winn-Dixie doesn't have to make very much per theatre to make $10 million for the weekend and if it is a Southern thing, theatres down there could be heavily skewed pushing the average up. (Heck, even Racing Stripes which looked horrible averaged almost $4000 per theatre) Unlike Son of the Mask, there's absolutely no cross-audience between Constantine and Winn-Dixie either. I agree with those who think Winn-Dixie may surprise...the plain and simple truth is that you don't get that many theatres if there isn't demand/interest.

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Fri Feb 18, 2005 10:09 am
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Horror Hound
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Worst case scenario for Winn Dixie this weekend is a $9,500,000 3 day.

Which isn't bad at all.

Winn Dixie should finish with a surprising $30,000,000-$33,000,000.


Fri Feb 18, 2005 10:16 am
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Everyone is underpredicting Boogeyman and Are We There Yet again.

Boogeyman
Thur: $0.46 (+6%)
Fri: $1.57 (+245%)
Sat: $2.38 (+51%)
Sun: $1.95 (-18%)
Mon: $0.80 (-59%)

3-Day: $5.9
4-Day: $6.7

Are We There Yet?
Thur: $0.32 (+15%)
Fri: $1.18 (+270%)
Sat: $2.47 (+110%)
Sun: $2.22 (-10%)
Mon: $1.67 (-25%)

3-Day: $5.9
4-Day: $7.5


Fri Feb 18, 2005 12:24 pm
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Post Derby predicts (and UC6)
1. Hitch - $28.0m
2. Constantine - $25.0m
3. Because of Winn-Dixie - $8.1m
4. Son of the Mask - $8.1m
5. Million Dollar Baby - $7.3m
6. Are We There Yet? - $7.1m
7. Boogeyman - $6.5m
8. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - $5.0m
9. The Aviator - $4.7m
10. Sideways - $4.4m


Fri Feb 18, 2005 12:47 pm
College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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4-Day Weekend:

1. Hitch - $30.8 million
2. Constantine - $29.8 million
3. Son of the Mask - $11.5 million
4. Because of Winn Dixie - $10.6 million
5. Million Dollar Baby - $7.0 million
6. Are We There Yet? - $6.8 million
7. Boogeyman - $6.2 million
8. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - $4.5 million
9. Sideways - $4.4 million
10. The Aviator - $4.4 million
11. The Wedding Date - $3.6 million
12. Hide and Seek - $3.3 million
13. Meet the Fockers - $2.9 million
14. Ong Bak: The Thai Warrior - $.929 million

I forgot to predict in the damn derby. ](*,)


Fri Feb 18, 2005 1:15 pm
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Extraordinary

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4-Day Weekend:

1. Constantine - 36.0
2. Hitch - 31.5
3. Because of Winn Dixie - 14.0
4. Son of the Mask - 8.0
5. Million Dollar Baby - 7.5
6. Are We There Yet? - 6.2
7. Boogeyman - 6.0
8. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - 6.0
9. Sideways - 4.5
10. The Aviator - 4.5

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Fri Feb 18, 2005 1:46 pm
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1. Constantine - 34.5 million
2. Hitch - 30.8 million
3. Because of Winn Dixie - 14.7 million
4. Son of the Mask - $9.8 million
5. Million Dollar Baby - $7.2 million
6. Are We There Yet? - $6.9 million
7. Boogeyman - $6 million
8. The Aviator - $4.7 million
9. Sideways - $4.4 million
10. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - $4.4 million

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Fri Feb 18, 2005 1:56 pm
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King Albert!
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Predictions are here: http://www.worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?p=148812#148812

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Fri Feb 18, 2005 1:57 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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Scott Vasquez wrote:


your predictions dont exsist :shock: :razz:

as for me

1. Constantine - 32.1 million
2. Hitch - 30.2 million
3. Because of Winn Dixie - 13.5 million
4. Son of the Mask - $12.2 million (shoot me now)
5. Million Dollar Baby - $7.8 million
6. Are We There Yet? - $6.4 million
7. Boogeyman - $6 million
8. The Aviator - $4.9 million
9. Sideways - $4.9 million
10. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - $4.3 million


Fri Feb 18, 2005 4:37 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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xiayun wrote:
4-Day Weekend:

8. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - 6.0


Ive been tryin to look for something differnet between everyone here as most everyone is predicting around the same thing (excpet for my idiot prediction of Son of Mask of 12+ )

I think you are the only one who increased Pooh, I find that interesting, and would make me go hmm if it happened, good luck to ya :-k


Fri Feb 18, 2005 4:41 pm
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Extraordinary

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Animosity Reigns wrote:
xiayun wrote:
4-Day Weekend:

8. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - 6.0


Ive been tryin to look for something differnet between everyone here as most everyone is predicting around the same thing (excpet for my idiot prediction of Son of Mask of 12+ )

I think you are the only one who increased Pooh, I find that interesting, and would make me go hmm if it happened, good luck to ya :-k


I'm using Tigger as the comparison. It was released the weekend before President's Day also and had almost the exact weekday drops so far (with Valentine also falls on Monday), and using its multiplier based on Wednesday's number, I got 6.4M and went a little conservative with 6.0M, but this is the movie I'm trying to nail on and be the break-or-make for me.

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12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Fri Feb 18, 2005 4:51 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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xiayun wrote:
Animosity Reigns wrote:
xiayun wrote:
4-Day Weekend:

8. Pooh's Heffalump Movie - 6.0


Ive been tryin to look for something differnet between everyone here as most everyone is predicting around the same thing (excpet for my idiot prediction of Son of Mask of 12+ )

I think you are the only one who increased Pooh, I find that interesting, and would make me go hmm if it happened, good luck to ya :-k


I'm using Tigger as the comparison. It was released the weekend before President's Day also and had almost the exact weekday drops so far (with Valentine also falls on Monday), and using its multiplier based on Wednesday's number, I got 6.4M and went a little conservative with 6.0M, but this is the movie I'm trying to nail on and be the break-or-make for me.


hmm interesting I like that idea, I used Tigger to try to come up with Pooh last week based on PTA and it screwed me....guess i was so upset I forgot all about looking back at Tigger again for this week.

speaking of make me or break me..i hope to god I get lucky as hell on my mask prediction.... I dont know what I was thinking honestly, i was so sleepy when I made my predictions I really cant tell you how I came up with my 12m+ ](*,)


Fri Feb 18, 2005 4:58 pm
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Extraordinary

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Look like only Brandon agrees with me on Pooh, although we disagree on a lot of other movies. This should be an interesting weekend.

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American Hustle - B+
Inside Llewyn Davis - B
Before Midnight - A
12 Years a Slave - A-
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A-

My thoughts on box office


Fri Feb 18, 2005 7:20 pm
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Wallflower
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****MY PREDICTIONS FOR THE 3-DAY/4-DAY WEEKEND****

1. HITCH - 24.6 MILLION/28.6 MILLION
2. CONSTANTINE - 22.4 MILLION/25.4 MILLION
3. SON OF THE MASK - 12.5 MILLION/15.1 MILLION
4. BECAUSE OF WINN-DIXIE - 11.2 MILLION/14.1 MILLION
5. MILLION DOLLAR BABY - 6.4 MILLION/7.5 MILLION
6. ARE WE THERE YET? - 5.4 MILLION/6.9 MILLION
7. BOOGEYMAN - 5.4 MILLION/6.2 MILLION
8. POOH'S HEFFALUMP MOVIE - 4.6 MILLION/6.25 MILLION
9. SIDEWAYS - 4.3 MILLION/5.2 MILLION
10. THE AVIATOR - 4 MILLION/4.6 MILLION
11. THE WEDDING DATE - 3.4 MILLION/4.1 MILLION
12. HIDE & SEEK - 3.4 MILLION/3.9 MILLION


Fri Feb 18, 2005 8:54 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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I as well missed the derby. :cry: We'll see whether that turns out to be a good thing or a bad thing for me, hehe.

Hitch - $27.0 million
Constantine - $24.0 million
Because of Winn-Dixie - $12.7 million
Son of the Mask - $8.5 million
Are We There Yet? - $7.4 million
Million Dollar Baby - $6.5 million
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - $5.6 million
Boogeyman - $5.0 million
The Aviator - $4.3 million
The Wedding Date - $4.0 million
Sideways - $3.9 million

PEACE, Mike ;)


Fri Feb 18, 2005 11:20 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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xiayun wrote:
Look like only Brandon agrees with me on Pooh, although we disagree on a lot of other movies. This should be an interesting weekend.


I can certainly see the logic behind your prediction. I went with 5.1m though because I'm expecting the new competition to have an effect.


Fri Feb 18, 2005 11:41 pm
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King Albert!
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xiayun wrote:
Look like only Brandon agrees with me on Pooh, although we disagree on a lot of other movies. This should be an interesting weekend.


No he's not, I predicted 6 million too, look at my predictions.

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Sat Feb 19, 2005 1:23 am
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Killing With Kindness
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Scott Vasquez wrote:
xiayun wrote:
Look like only Brandon agrees with me on Pooh, although we disagree on a lot of other movies. This should be an interesting weekend.


No he's not, I predicted 6 million too, look at my predictions.


I predicted 6m as well :cool:

to be expected from BJ though :cool:

:wink:

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Sat Feb 19, 2005 1:52 am
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I think this can be unstickied now :)

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Wed Feb 23, 2005 12:36 am
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