OSCAR PREDICTIONS GAME - THE WINNERS


Okay, now that the Nominations game went pretty successfully and hopefully enjoyable for everyone, here is the Wins game.



GUIDELINES:

1. To make the game not too boring by just having you predicting the winners, I'll use the points system that Levy has invented last year for such a game. You don't simply predict the winner in each category, you predict the winner in the LIKELIHOOD to win. I give you an example:

Let's say I ask you to predict Best Picture, then you have to rank them in the likeliness of movies to win, like this for instance:

1. The Aviator
2. Milion Dollar Baby
3. Sideways
4. Finding Neverland
5. Ray

For each ranking there are points. Let's say, you pit Sideways at the third spot, so you'll get the amount of points that the third spot gives.

That's pretty much all you need to know. If you have any questions, don't hesitate to ask :)


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THE GAME:


1. Predict the winner in each of the following categories in the likelihood of winning:


BEST PICTURE:

1. 10 Points
2. 9 points
3. 8 points
4. 7 points
5. 6 points


BEST DIRECTOR:

1. 10 Points
2. 9 points
3. 8 points
4. 7 points
5. 6 points



BEST ACTOR:

1. 10 Points
2. 9 points
3. 8 points
4. 7 points
5. 6 points



BEST ACTRESS:

1. 10 Points
2. 9 points
3. 8 points
4. 7 points
5. 6 points



BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:

1. 10 Points
2. 9 points
3. 8 points
4. 7 points
5. 6 points



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:

1. 10 Points
2. 9 points
3. 8 points
4. 7 points
5. 6 points



BEST ANIMATED FEATURE:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points



BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


BEST ART DIRECTION:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point

BEST COSTUME DESIGN:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


FILM EDITING:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


BEST MAKE-UP:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points


BEST SCORE:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


BEST SONG:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point


BEST SOUND EDITING:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points


BEST SOUND:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points
4. 2 points
5. 1 point



BEST VISUAL EFFECTS:

1. 5 points
2. 4 points
3. 3 points


BONUS QUESTIONS:


2. What movie with 3 or more nominations will have the highest winning ratio (relation between the number or nominations and wins)? (5 points)

3. What movie will win the most awards of the night? (3 points)

4. How many Oscars will it win? (5 points)

5. What movie NOT nominated for Best Picture will win most awards? (5 points)

6. What movie nominated for Best Picture will win the least Oscars? (7 points)+

7. How many Oscars will be won by foreign movies NOT nominated for Best foreign language movie? (5 points)

8. How many Oscars will Finding Neverland win? ( 5 points)



TIE BREAKER 1:

How many winners in the acting nominations will clap for themselves?

TIE BREAKER 2:

How many people will accept the Best Picture Oscar?

TIE BREAKER 3:

How many winners of acting awards will cry after winning?


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DEADLINE: February 26th 2004


Thanks in advance for participating.

Arthur, you should use my game system which is IMO far more fun than the usual pick the winner stuff. Contact me!!

I think I know what system you mean. Do you mean the one when you have to rank the nominees in the likeliness of winning?

yep. It's far too easy to lose out on a pick the winner game if you're undecided between two choices. This way you can rank them and you get a better picture of the predicting "skills"

This is the one I was going to employ. I am already using this system in the Yearly Box-Office Challenge

THIEF!!! :wink:

Awesome Arthur! Thanks for the hard work. I can't wait for the next game.

PEACE, Mike

You're very welcome.

So...any suggestions for the bonus questions?

How many acting winners will kiss their award presenter?
OR
How many acting winners will kiss the person sitting beside them after winning?

How many nominees will clap for themselves when announced as a nominee? (I hate it when people clap for themselves)

How many winners, out of all awards, will cry on stage after winning?

How many wins will the film with the most wins win? (lol, that's weirdly worded. Maybe you can say it better.)

Just a few I could think of that are kind of neat.

PEACE, Mike

Thanks a lot for the suggestions, Mike, I'll use some of them for sure!!

Bonus questions:

Will Chris Rock suck as a presenter?
Of the four acting categories will there be more white or black winners?
How many Oscars will be won by foreign movies NOT nominated for Best foreign language movie?
Of the four acting categories and the directing category gow many winners will be first-time winners?
Will anyone win two Oscars (categories: acting, directing and writing)?

I love your bonus questions, except the only one that wouldn't work is the "Will Chris Rock suck as a presenter?", because it is completely subjective, and so no definite answer could be made for that.

PEACE, Mike

Sorry, that was more of a joke... :wink: But maybe we can vote afterwards (just kidding!)

lol, we should. I know he'll suck, at least in my opinion. His high shrill voice drives me insane. I don't know how I am going to sit through the show with him on screen. I'll have to mute it when he's talking. No offense, if you're a fan of his.

PEACE, Mike

I'm completely on your side with this one... But I survived Whoopi Goldberg. It can't get worse, can it?

I just realized it isn't that good a question. Of all nominated actors and sup. actors only Swank is a former winner...

If you need more questions, just ask me Arthur!

What about some ideas for tie-breakers?

Last year I had the question how many people would accept the Best Picture award. I think that is a really neat tie-breaker.
Another cool tie-breaker would be a question Mike did earlier in this thread: How many nominees will clap for themselves when announced as a nominee? If you reduce it to the 20 acting nominees, that would be a pretty cool tie-breaker...

LOL, yep, that would be quite interesting! I want to have this tie-breaker in the game! :razz:

So, do we post our winner predictions in here Lecter? Ranked 1 to 5 in likelihood? Are we doing every category? How's it work?

And, I know you'll obviously have a total score just for this game, but at the end, are you going to add the nominee prediction game scores with the winner prediction game scores and get an OVERALL super duper Oscar prediction score for everyone? hehe. That would be nice.

PEACE, Mike

The big problem is that probably not all participants from the first game will take part in this one, so I'd rather leave them separate. Also, we'll have two equal winners then.

As for the rules and everything, I'll post it all tonight in this thread, so no predicting yet.

The big problem is that probably not all participants from the first game will take part in this one, so I'd rather leave them separate. Also, we'll have two equal winners then.

As for the rules and everything, I'll post it all tonight in this thread, so no predicting yet.[/

I suggest leaving the animated shorts and the documentary short category out. No one is able to see them...

I know. I will

Okay, the game has officially started