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 Scores w/ projections 
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loyalfromlondon
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meltdown
[col]40.80
[col]34.50
[col color=#fefdd6]81.74%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]14.70
[col]20.50
[col color=#fefbb9]71.71%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]13.50
[col]12.80
[col color=#fefdd6]94.53%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]10.00
[col]9.20
[col color=#fefbb9]91.30%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]5.40
[col]7.10
[col color=#fefdd6]76.06%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.20
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefbb9]97.56%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]ATL
[col]5.20
[col]3.80
[col color=#fefdd6]63.16%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendetta
[col]3.50
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]97.06%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]3.20
[col]3.10
[col color=#fefdd6]96.77%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.70
[col]2.10
[col color=#fefbb9]71.43%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]84.13
[/table]

ATL and She's the Man dropping huge from projections dropped my score over 2%, but I should still crack top 20, considering how bad the derby average is.

_________________
Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Sun Apr 09, 2006 2:02 pm
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Full Fledged Member

Joined: Mon Oct 24, 2005 5:57 pm
Posts: 91
Post 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meltdown
[col]39.00
[col]34.50
[col color=#fefdd6]86.96%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]17.50
[col]20.50
[col color=#fefbb9]85.37%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]11.50
[col]12.80
[col color=#fefdd6]89.84%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.00
[col]9.20
[col color=#fefbb9]97.83%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]6.00
[col]7.10
[col color=#fefdd6]84.51%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]3.90
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefbb9]95.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]ATL
[col]5.10
[col]3.80
[col color=#fefdd6]65.79%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendetta
[col]3.20
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]94.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]2.60
[col]3.10
[col color=#fefdd6]83.87%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.50
[col]2.10
[col color=#fefbb9]80.95%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]86.44
[/table]

Dropped 3.5% from projections, may still be enough for Top 10

Calculate your score


Sun Apr 09, 2006 3:28 pm
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Speed Racer
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Joined: Thu Dec 08, 2005 9:30 pm
Posts: 188
Location: Dallas
Post 
84.98% with projections.

This could be my best derby ever in terms of ranking.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 3:40 pm
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Kiera Knightly is my lady!
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 1:18 pm
Posts: 8773
Location: New Mexico
Post 
Rank Film Predicted Estimate Est. Accuracy
1 Ice Age 39.4 32.8 79.88%
2 The Benchwarmers 12.0 21.4 56.07%
3 Take the Lead 6.5 13 50.00%
4 Inside Man 8.7 9 96.67%
5 Lucky Number Slevin 5.0 7.2 69.44%
6 ATL 6.5 4.5 55.56%
7 Failure to Launch 3.9 4.1 95.12%
8 V for Vendetta 3.3 3.4 97.06%
9 Phat Girlz 6.0 2.8 0.00%
10 She's the Man 2.4 2.6 92.31%

Average
OVERALL (estimate) 69.21%
New Release 58.51%
Still in Theater 73.80%


Dang I did bad this week!

_________________
Isn't it ironic that Hollywood mocks Gibson for drunk driving yet praises Polanski who molested a child? Or praises Edward Kenedy who killed someone while drunk driving?


Sun Apr 09, 2006 3:45 pm
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---------
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
Post 
[table][row color=#FF0000]Movie[col color=#FF0000]Prediction[col color=#FF0000]% Change[col color=#FF0000]Actual[col color=#FF0000]Percent[row color=#FFFF99]Benchwarmers[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 15.5 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 20.5 million[col color=#CCFFFF]75.61%[row color=#FFFF99]Take the Lead[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 13.7 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 12.8 million[col color=#CCFFFF]92.97%[row color=#FFFF99]Lucky Number Slevin[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.3 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 7.1 million[col color=#CCFFFF]60.56%[row color=#FFFF99]Phat Girlz[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 3.8 million[col color=#FFFF99]NEW[col color=#FFFF99]$ 3.1 million[col color=#CCFFFF]77.42%[row color=#FFFF99]Ice Age 2[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 42.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-38.3%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 34.5 million[col color=#CCFFFF]78.26%[row color=#FFFF99]Inside Man[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 9.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-41.7%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 9.2 million[col color=#CCFFFF]97.83%[row color=#FFFF99]ATL[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.9 million[col color=#FFFF99]-57.6%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 3.8 million[col color=#CCFFFF]71.05%[row color=#FFFF99]Failure to Launch[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 4.0 million[col color=#FFFF99]-38.1%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 4.1 million[col color=#CCFFFF]97.56%[row color=#FFFF99]V for Vendetta[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 3.8 million[col color=#FFFF99]-39.6%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 3.4 million[col color=#CCFFFF]88.24%[row color=#FFFF99]She's the Man[col color=#CCFFFF]$ 2.7 million[col color=#FFFF99]-39.0%[col color=#FFFF99]$ 2.1 million[col color=#CCFFFF]71.43%[row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row] [col] [col] [col] [col] [row]10 Movies:[col]81.09%[col][col][col][/table]This table brought to you by Excel2BB Converter. Created by Krem for World of KJ

Argh.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 4:10 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
Posts: 10266
Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
Post 
85.63%

Not too bad. The only thing I could have hoped to be different would be for Phat Girlz not to have had such a darn good weekend multiplier, since I predicted $2 million for it.

PEACE, Mike.


Sun Apr 09, 2006 4:18 pm
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You must have big rats
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Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
Post 
84.67%

I hope a lot that Phat Girlz, Failure to Launch and Slevin go down with actuals.

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Sun Apr 09, 2006 4:20 pm
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Homo Dperious
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 14474
Location: Everywhere
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Well, I made a calculated decision with Slevin and Phat Girlz. It didn't pay off, but I don't really regret it. Well, maybe I should have gone with 2.2m or so on Phat Girlz; I pushed it a bit.

My biggest regret is Inside Man. I thought for a while about going with 9.2m, 9.3m or 9.4m before pushing it to 9.5m. Bleh, next time I should just take one in the middle rather then an extreme. Should also have given more weight to the daily numbers on ATL.

[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meltdown
[col]37.90
[col]34.50
[col color=#fefdd6]90.14%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]16.40
[col]20.50
[col color=#fefbb9]80.00%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]12.70
[col]12.80
[col color=#fefdd6]99.22%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.50
[col]9.20
[col color=#fefbb9]96.74%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]5.00
[col]7.10
[col color=#fefdd6]70.42%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.20
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefbb9]97.56%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]ATL
[col]5.00
[col]3.80
[col color=#fefdd6]68.42%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendetta
[col]3.30
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]97.06%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]1.60
[col]3.10
[col color=#fefdd6]51.61%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.70
[col]2.10
[col color=#fefbb9]71.43%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]82.26
[/table]

Calculate your score


Sun Apr 09, 2006 7:50 pm
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
Post 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meltdown
[col]41.80
[col]34.50
[col color=#fefdd6]78.84%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]16.30
[col]20.50
[col color=#fefbb9]79.51%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]10.90
[col]12.80
[col color=#fefdd6]85.16%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]8.90
[col]9.20
[col color=#fefbb9]96.74%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]7.20
[col]7.10
[col color=#fefdd6]98.59%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.50
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefbb9]90.24%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]ATL
[col]5.60
[col]3.80
[col color=#fefdd6]52.63%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendetta
[col]3.60
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]94.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]2.90
[col]3.10
[col color=#fefdd6]93.55%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]3.00
[col]2.10
[col color=#fefbb9]57.14%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]82.65
[/table]

Calculate your score

I dropped almost 5%... ARGH!!!

Frickin ATL... oh, and She's The Man

_________________
trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
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Mon Apr 10, 2006 12:02 am
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Wall-E

Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2005 7:11 pm
Posts: 898
Post 
TAKE THE LEAD.... I guess this movie fell short because there really wasn't a love story being advertised in the trailers. Other successful dance movies all had love stories along with dancing.. I think a lot of female votes were lost due to that fact. That's the only explanation I have for this movie not making 15 -16 million.

Any thoughts?


Mon Apr 10, 2006 1:28 pm
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Devil's Advocate
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Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 37977
Post 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meltdown
[col]40.80
[col]33.80
[col color=#fefdd6]79.29%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]14.90
[col]19.70
[col color=#fefbb9]75.63%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]13.20
[col]12.10
[col color=#fefdd6]90.91%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]8.70
[col]9.10
[col color=#fefbb9]95.60%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]4.70
[col]7.00
[col color=#fefdd6]67.14%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.00
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefbb9]97.56%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]ATL
[col]5.90
[col]3.70
[col color=#fefdd6]40.54%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendetta
[col]2.90
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]85.29%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]2.80
[col]3.10
[col color=#fefdd6]90.32%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.70
[col]2.20
[col color=#fefbb9]77.27%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]79.96
[/table]

Calculate your score

Ugh. Can't believe I fell under 80%, after such a great early score. Guess I deserved it though, I was dumb this week on a number of things like ATL and Vendetta.

_________________
Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227


Mon Apr 10, 2006 4:19 pm
Profile
Post 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meltdown
[col]40.00
[col]33.80
[col color=#fefdd6]81.66%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]13.40
[col]19.70
[col color=#fefbb9]68.02%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]11.40
[col]12.10
[col color=#fefdd6]94.21%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]8.80
[col]9.10
[col color=#fefbb9]96.70%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]5.30
[col]7.00
[col color=#fefdd6]75.71%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]3.90
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefbb9]95.12%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]ATL
[col]5.40
[col]3.70
[col color=#fefdd6]54.05%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendetta
[col]3.30
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]97.06%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]1.80
[col]3.10
[col color=#fefdd6]58.06%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.40
[col]2.20
[col color=#fefbb9]90.91%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]81.15
[/table]

Calculate your score


Mon Apr 10, 2006 4:52 pm
Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 5:48 pm
Posts: 1051
Post 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meltdown
[col]38.90
[col]33.80
[col color=#fefdd6]84.91%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]17.50
[col]19.70
[col color=#fefbb9]88.83%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]16.00
[col]12.10
[col color=#fefdd6]67.77%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.20
[col]9.10
[col color=#fefbb9]98.90%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]6.10
[col]7.00
[col color=#fefdd6]87.14%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]4.20
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefbb9]97.56%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]ATL
[col]5.40
[col]3.70
[col color=#fefdd6]54.05%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendetta
[col]3.10
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]91.18%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]5.80
[col]3.10
[col color=#fefdd6]12.90%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.60
[col]2.20
[col color=#fefbb9]81.82%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]76.51
[/table]

Calculate your score

Derby average is 65.96%, so there should be a lot of KJ folks in the top spots. Hope I can crack the top 100.


Mon Apr 10, 2006 4:59 pm
Profile WWW
Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Oct 30, 2004 9:33 am
Posts: 1117
Location: Somewhere in the East Coast
Post 
[table]
[row color=#1d378e]Rank
[col]Film
[col]Predicted
[col]Actual
[col]Accuracy
[row color=#e7edf6] 1
[col]Ice Age: The Meltdown
[col]38.80
[col]33.80
[col color=#fefdd6]85.21%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]The Benchwarmers
[col]21.00
[col]19.70
[col color=#fefbb9]93.40%
[row color=#e7edf6] 3
[col]Take the Lead
[col]21.10
[col]12.10
[col color=#fefdd6]25.62%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 2
[col]Inside Man
[col]9.00
[col]9.10
[col color=#fefbb9]98.90%
[row color=#e7edf6] 5
[col]Lucky Number Slevin
[col]6.50
[col]7.00
[col color=#fefdd6]92.86%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 6
[col]Failure to Launch
[col]3.70
[col]4.10
[col color=#fefbb9]90.24%
[row color=#e7edf6] 7
[col]ATL
[col]6.00
[col]3.70
[col color=#fefdd6]37.84%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 8
[col]V for Vendetta
[col]3.30
[col]3.40
[col color=#fefbb9]97.06%
[row color=#e7edf6] 8
[col]Phat Girlz
[col]5.00
[col]3.10
[col color=#fefdd6]38.71%
[row color=#d6e8fe] 10
[col]She's the Man
[col]2.80
[col]2.20
[col color=#fefbb9]72.73%
[/table]
[table]
[row color=#1d378e] Your Score =
[col color=#d4fbca]73.26
[/table]

Calculate your score

Ugh. After doing decently last week (ranking-wise), I totally bombed this week. I should have made better numbers for Take the Lead (I guess Animosty was right when he said sold-out sneaks does not always mean boffo box office), ATL, and Phat Girlz.


Mon Apr 10, 2006 5:14 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
Post 
77.59%.....

i ruined my derby! :cry:


Mon Apr 10, 2006 5:21 pm
Profile
College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
Post 
Great score, the french man! You almost had the weekend.

KJers on the top 100, for the most part.

I'm fine with #32.

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/games/derb ... m?game=215


Mon Apr 10, 2006 5:24 pm
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KJ's Leading Pundit
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
Post 
I got 41st...

YAY!!! :happy:

I haven't played the Derby since July 2005... So I'm happy with this

_________________
trixster wrote:
shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element

trixster wrote:
chippy is correct

Rev wrote:
Fuck Trump


Mon Apr 10, 2006 5:34 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25020
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
Post 
ChipMunky wrote:
I got 41st...

YAY!!! :happy:

I haven't played the Derby since July 2005... So I'm happy with this


finishing on spot above BJ :shades: congrats :biggrin:

_________________
The Force Awakens

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Mon Apr 10, 2006 9:11 pm
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