Which is why even though I bought up most of the charts into discussions I didnt really mention Bad Boys. My main emphasis was on Santa Clause and how the sequel did well despite Tim Allen not having a hit. Also the Alien movies didnt take that drastic of a toll from its movies and neither has the last Lethal Weapon movie.
But then again how many movies have had a sequel released 5+ years into the new century that doesnt get debunked because of it outgrossing the last installment.

And another thing is why the other Jackie Chan films bombed other than the Shanghi series was that Jackie tries way too hard to satisfy the kid audience with movies which were quite frankly mentioned Around the World and The Tuxedo. I really dont see any appeal about those movies that would be geared towards action fans really. He should have done more action type flicks like Jet Li who at least is more consistent with the choices he makes




And speaking of long time sequels

http://www.variety.com/article/VR111795 ... =1043&cs=1

The Mummy is set to be released in 2008 with Rob Cohen directing the movie. Now this movie will be 7 years since the last Mummy was released

mummy n rush hour will be 150 millionish hits. nothign more or less.

Saw the Teaser, its awsome

I'll go with the Buddy Comedies

Lethal Weapon -20% (3-4)
Bad Boys +52
Men in Black -40% ( due to part 2 totaly sucking compaired to the first)

OW:76m
TOTAL:236m -10%

Are you serious ? You saw the RH3 Teaser ? Where ?

You guys are looking waaay too far into this. The trailer will decide everything. What you guys are judging is people's first reaction to hearing Rush Hour 3 is being made and making predictions. The trailer will show whether or not it was worth it to make another and if it's worth people's money. I say if the trailer's hilarious and gets people to remember why they liked the first two, then it could reach $200 million. We don't even have a premise yet, so I won't even try to make a prediction.

I Saw it on HDNet (chanel 629 GCI cable).

I still think it's been too long. It should do well (Very well, actually), but if they wanted a hit like the second it should've come out 3 years ago.

Opening: 49.4
Total: 152.1 (3.08)

Rush Hour 2 would adjust now to $80.74 m/$270.92 m, and was just $1.125 m + away from having the #2 biggest opening of all time at the time of its release. This is a committed fanbase. It opened to $67.4 m following a $68.5 m opening weekend with alot of demographic overlap (action). It also had very good legs for a $65 m + action film opener in the summer (3.36). It swept past alot of higher profile films to take #2 for summer 2001. Even from a 26% drop in admissions, it will get to $200 m. But considering this is coming out in August, it should again be able to thrive. I'm sure if Apes/RH2 could both do big business, that RH3 and Bourne 3 can as well. RH3 also pulls alot of demos out to theaters. But $150 m region, would be a nearly 45% drop in admissions. I don't see that, as the last film was well received, even if it has been 6 years.

rush hour 3 reminds of what happened when die another day when all that mattered was its a james bond movie so everyone flooded to it opening weekend (even after horrible wom for twine).

i think such fond memories from the past 2 will make this do 200 million plus.

Rush Hour 3 cannot be compared to Lethal Weapon 4. For one, Lethal Weapon 3 was considered the weakest of the series as Rush Hour 2 was considered just as good. Not only that it will be PG13 as opposed to R. Also AVP2 has been moved to Christmas time so that shouldnt be a problem anymore.

I think it might not be able to open as high as the 2nd film only because its August, but the legs will be very strong in my opinion for this type of film.

60 million/ 230 total.

This should open in the $67m-$75m range and finish in the $190m-$215m range.

Right now i'll say $70m/$202m. (Bourne should be good for a similar amount possibly $60-65m/$180-$210m)

Bourne/Rush3's release dates are my favourite studio decision of the 07 summer actually. The'll help make August a big winner over 06.

There is no better comparison because its the only other cross race cop franchise that really survived. I really dont think there can be a comparison with those type of films at all, and think Austin Powers is the best, as they were at least both comedies with the 2nd film really hugely increasing over the last.

Its a very hard unique film. I mean the only other comedy coming off a big hit then waiting a while, 5 years was Ghostbusters 2 which held the opening weekend record when it opened for a comedy, but as we all know Ghostbusters 2 was killed by Batman and was considered not as good.

Rush Hour 2 had the highest opening ever for a comedy when released only to be beat by AP3 and I think maybe Bruce Almighty. I just really think it comes down to do you think it will be bigger, do about the same, or drop off somewhat. And there arent that many good comparisons for it.

I really don't have much faith in this one, I think its just been a little too long in between sequels to reach the full potential it could have a couple years ago. I see a total in the 130's.

y not lethal 3 instead of 4 as a comparison?????

Have you seen the lethal Weapon films, originally they were very gritty serious cop dramas, with uneasy cops coming together. The 2nd film was also very dark with the majority of the jokes coming from a goodfellas wiseguy pesci. The first and 2nd films are were always the most popular and would most likely be one of the best cop franchises of all time. The third film benefitted from the 2nd film being one of the best sequels of all time. And as a result the third film increased hugely over the 2nd opening weekend wise, but like the fourth dropped off from the preceding film as they got less and less then what the lethal weapon films used to be about.

The first film has very little to no comedy but it feels real, as for the most part of the 2nd film, but Joe Pesci has a few great comedic moments. The third on the other hand only had one serious minor subplot in the Murtaugh killing the kid that is touched upon for 10 minutes, and the fourth had even less. Now three and four are great films that I love watching, but they are a far cry from what the series was originally about.

My point is there is no comparison, Austin Powers and Lethal Weapon are both poor examples in my opinion. You can't compare a Mel Gibson who had three of his biggest hits of all time in between 3 and 4 with Chris Tucker who hasn't made a film since the last and Jackie Chan is in the same league as he's always been. A huge international star but only really succeeds in America when its a good hook.

Any opinions on the teaser ?

I personally felt like it was corny, perhaps I really didn't get it, but didn't find it funny at all.

I find if you saw it online and new what it was, you would feel underwhelmed, but those that saw it in theater and didnt know went pretty crazy. Its more like, guess whose back? rather than a big teaser.

It wasn't just the fact that it was a Bond film. It was a Bond film that also featured Halle Berry (Coming off X-2 and I believe her Oscar win, I could have the timeline wrong) and Madonna. DAD attracted more people than just Bond fans. So the comparison between the two I don't think are exactly valid.

The Lethal Weapon 3/Lethal Weapon 4 (Not accounting for the first two films in the series, because the first two and the last two are not exactly alike) comparison is the most vaild. 1992-1998. $145 million ($35 million budget) in May of 1992 to $130 million July of 1998 ($140 million budget). The only part that doesn't line up compared to Rush Hour 2 and 3 is that both are/going to be released in August.

I do agree that people will look fondly on the prior two films and that's what will cause it to open big (55-65 million), but whether its accepted or not like the other two, especially with the gap of six years, will be another question. It won't make $226 million this time around, but I don't think $200 million is out of the question. If it opens to over $60 million, it'll probably make it. If it's under, probably not.

$57/$185

PS, Rush Hour 2 still has the opening weekend record for an August film. If other films underperform I feel that this will easily capitalize, especially with not as much competition as most films this summer.