Mid-Year Picks (Best Picture/Director only)
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Killuminati510 wrote: Even though it isnt even out yet, I would think WTC has a MUCH better chance at getting nominated over U93, early word is great like U93 but it's also a more hollywood film with a big name attached to it. Though I still dont think either will get nominated.
I think WTC will suffer under U93's great reviews, as there will be comparisons in which WTC will pale and eventually end up with mediocre reviews.
As I said, facts are all for U93. There has never been a movie of this kind that was not nominated.
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Wed Jul 19, 2006 5:11 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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So far none of the early reviews mention how it pales in comparison to U93, they're just as strong, if not even stronger.
From Poland
Quote: As you might have guessed, I think World Trade Center is the first serious contender to be nominated for Best Picture this year. I hate the release date. It really feels to me like a November movie. I wanted the sharp sting of cold air on my face as I walked out into the street. I wanted a hot drink and a long conversation with a fire crackling nearby. This is a heavy, heavy movie to be hitting America in August.
But the weight I felt on my chest walking out of the theater was much like the weight I felt after Munich, after Amadeus, after Million Dollar Baby, after In The Bedroom, after The Pianist, after In America. It was the weight of something that touched me in a deep, almost inexplicable way, greater than the sum of its parts.
What happened at the World Trade Center is a bigger deal ( sorry to say, though both are incredibly awful events ) then flight 93 and if reviews are this good, then it'll easily get rid of U93's oscar chances. Again it just has many more things going for it, release date, big star, big director, bigger tragedy, and it has a better chance at succeeding at the BO which would help its chances even more. U93 is a MUCH smaller film with no stars, no director, only thing it had going for it was it's great reviews that didnt really help it's BO much, since the film just faded away i'd say. I dont know what these facts are you speak of.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
Last edited by Joker's Thug #3 on Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:18 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40597
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Well I'm happy Stone seems to have rebounded, I don't think this will be an Oscar movie, but it's nice to know he hasn't lost his mind.
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Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:24 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Levy liked it and gave it a positive review, but the grade was an average B, and he called it conventional and simple, even if he said that that "isn't a bad thing". Personally, the one thing that really came across in the trailer was just how conventional and sappy it looked, so his comments are not reassuring for me.
I'm hoping for the best though, because I would love, love, love all of the haters of all 9/11 oriented films to be put in their place (and the two biggie 9/11 films of this year get great reviews). United 93 already got fantastic reviews; we just have to wait for the reviews for this one to come in.
I also agree that World Trade Center might unfortunately pale in comparison to United 93. Even if the reviews are good for the film in general, it could pale simply because United 93 was so very well received. World Trade Center has to get a high average rating like United 93, I hope.
PEACE, Mike.
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Wed Jul 19, 2006 9:57 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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The Last Kiss.
For writing?
Heh. 
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Thu Jul 20, 2006 2:27 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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It's not like Levy went head over heels for U93.
Quote: Paul Greengrass's "United 93" was more exciting to watch on purely technical and visceral levels, though I couldn't rationalize any particular reason to see the movie, since it didn't offer any new info or angle about that flight. It also suffered from being released rights after the airing of two decent TV films on the subject (both nominated for Emmys, by the way). Quote: In contrast, "World Trade Center" has a larger scope, is less thrilling but also more emotionally felt and touching, though like Greengrass's film, it mostly recreates events, characters, and feelings, without much commentary or editorializing. Quote: As noted, the scale of "World Trade Center" is wider, if not deeper or more ambitious than "United 93." Stone also tell the stories of the fighters' wives, Donna McLoughlin (Maria Bello) and Allison Jimeno (Maggie Gyllenhaal), their families, and children.
Which one wins out? The one more thrilling or the one deeper and more emotional?
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Thu Jul 20, 2006 2:41 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22213 Location: Places
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i think hollywoodland would have a shot cause oscar rumors are swirling for all four of its main stars especially affleck according to joblo, which would ultimatly ead to a best director nomination, and then best pic.
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Thu Jul 20, 2006 2:56 am |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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I have no idea. But it's pretty safe to say that nothing we have seen (i.e. hit theatres) thus far this year is going to get bp or bd nominations. I had thought Inside Man would be last year's Crash, and prior year's Eternal Sunshine (which fell short). But nothing carried enough buzz through the summer.
We might not even get acting noms from anything we've seen thus far. Maybe Streep for Prada, and that's technically summer, not first half of the year even. Bleh. Lackluster beginning to the year, imo. No big surprises.
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Fri Jul 21, 2006 10:56 am |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Killuminati510 wrote: It's not like Levy went head over heels for U93.
You misunderstood my post. I'm not trying to start a comparison contest for his reviews. I am worried by what he chose to say, and not that his review is "more or less negative" or "more or less positive" than his review for United 93. When he says that the movie is conventional, and that really struck me after watching the trailer, then I'm worried.
Like I said, I've been the largest supporter of 9/11 films on the boards, I think, while everyone else is all "too soon, too disrespectful, blah blah blah". So I hope Stone pulled it off.
PEACE, Mike.
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Fri Jul 21, 2006 6:09 pm |
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Atoddr
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 3:07 am Posts: 3014 Location: Kansai
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My current picks:
1. Dreamgirls
2. The Good Shepherd
3. Babel
4. Goya's Ghosts
5. Running With Scissors
If Ghosts doesn't get released this year, I'll go with Flags Of Our Fathers, even though I really don't want to.
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Mon Jul 24, 2006 4:02 am |
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The Shotcaller
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Jun 18, 2006 9:29 pm Posts: 130 Location: In your head
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1) World Trade Center (The Winner)
2) Dreamgirls
3) Flags of Our Fathers
4) The Black Dahlia
5) The Good Shepard
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Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:37 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22213 Location: Places
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bobby will get nomiated. the academy digs them ansamble pieces.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:06 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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This script review for Flags http://scriptzone.forumculture.net/ftop ... REVIEW.htm has got me so hyped for the film, it sounds f'in incredible. If pulled off right I think it'll be incredibly hard for any film to beat it come Oscars, cant wait for the trailer.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sat Aug 05, 2006 4:35 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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I know this thread is only for Picture/Director, but...
There is no way Little Miss Sunshine will fail to secure a screenplay nomination, after seeing it last night. It has one of the best screenplays in years.
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Sat Aug 05, 2006 11:02 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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The Prestige
2006 Best Picture Winner
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Wed Aug 09, 2006 1:50 pm |
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Anonymous
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The Five As I See It
The Departed
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
The Good Shepherd
Little Miss Sunshine
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Sun Aug 20, 2006 12:22 pm |
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Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm Posts: 11019
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The Departed will not be a player in this game. Neither will either 9/11 movie, unless everything flops like last year and the well-respected United 93 can fight it's way back in Crash-style with a strong marketing campaign. Very, very unlikely, though.
_________________ k
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Sun Aug 20, 2006 2:08 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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The Departed
Dreamgirls
Flags of Our Fathers
United 93
A Good Year
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Aug 20, 2006 10:02 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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yoshue wrote: The Departed will not be a player in this game. Ofcourse it wont, Loyal and Lecter are just dreaming. I'll be there opening day and im hoping for the best, but everything so far is screaming no chance in hell. I'd be willing to bet WB will be pushing Fountain or Blood Diamond more then Departed. Early word is good not great, they decided not to debut it at the Toronto Film Festival, it's coming out in the beginning of October, and it's a gangster/crime flick, it'll have to be incredibly good to be considered come Oscars. I do think Marty could get that 5th spot filler without the film being nominated though, because well he's Marty.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Sun Aug 20, 2006 10:23 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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I am pretty sure that: The Prestige, The Fountain, The Departed and A Good Year will not factor much in the race this year.
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Sun Aug 20, 2006 11:48 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40597
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I definitley agree with The Prestige and The Fountain, there's just no way those films are contenders.
A Good Year... only the trailer makes me doubt it, it seems like the story doesn't have nearly enough complications. Otherwise, I'd count it in, at the very least Scott and Crowe are very much in the race.
And I don't care what is being said here, I still think The Departed is a big contender.

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Mon Aug 21, 2006 1:58 am |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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Libs wrote: I am pretty sure that: The Prestige, The Fountain, The Departed and A Good Year will not factor much in the race this year.
That surprises me to hear from you. Is there any special reason you don't see anything for that one?
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Mon Aug 21, 2006 1:57 pm |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am Posts: 2913 Location: Portugal
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Maybe because it's a remake?  (and even if it's directed by Scorsese, it doesn't mean much... afterall Cape Fear didn't get a Picture nom  )
Nicholson should be a contender, though 
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Mon Aug 21, 2006 2:19 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Nicholson is definitely a contender, as the role is perfect for an elder, established actor. Anthony Wong gave an amazing performance in the original and rode it to pretty much sweep the category in Asia.
On a separate note, I think Infernal Affairs will only some more votes to push itself into IMDb's top 250, as the vote distribution looks quite fine.
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Mon Aug 21, 2006 2:40 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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xiayun wrote: Nicholson is definitely a contender, as the role is perfect for an elder, established actor. Anthony Wong gave an amazing performance in the original and rode it to pretty much sweep the category in Asia. Anthony Wong's character is played by Martin Sheen, though  Eric Tsang played Nicholson's character and as great as Nicholson is, I'm not sure he'll top Tsang's performance as Sam who was pitch-perfect. xiayun wrote: On a separate note, I think Infernal Affairs will only some more votes to push itself into IMDb's top 250, as the vote distribution looks quite fine.
Eh, IMDB is very weird.
Why are these films nowhere in the Top 250?
http://imdb.com/title/tt0476735/
http://imdb.com/title/tt0379786/
http://imdb.com/title/tt0424345/
Top 1000 voters are given way too much weight. It's pretty much they do what they want with films...
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Mon Aug 21, 2006 2:56 pm |
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