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Wednesday Numbers

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O Extraordinary Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197	As if a film will be 65% the way to $400 m in its first 10 days. That's ridiculous! Only 6 films have ever gotten to that level unadjusted, and Pirates could be 2/3 the way there after just 10 days. Wow. Pirates also smashed through the top 100 all time domestic today, and is now at #85 after just 6 days in release.
Thu Jul 13, 2006 11:41 pm

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	Well...Pirates... It should be at around $260-265 million by Sunday. It will definitely cross $300 million in 15 days which is...well...unheard of. Basically, I expect it to pass $300 million next Friday. It's basically a lock for $400 million. It should also pass Shrek 2 as fastest to $400 million, but I don't think it'll overtake it in total gross. Right now I see $430-435 million. _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Thu Jul 13, 2006 11:58 pm

O Extraordinary Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197	Hehe. Its interesting to see $209,881,552 at mojo as the top 12 total last weekend, and not have it italized...
Fri Jul 14, 2006 12:10 am

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	As for other films, Cars is really a stand-out. Without direct competition and with still 3,000+ theatres, I see it dropping less than 30% this weekend. $220 million by the end of the weekend. I still think that $250 million is possible, but it will really depend on how hard Monster House, The Ant Bully and Barnyard will hit it. Over the Hedge will also end up with a decent gross, having passed $150 million today. It was quite leggy, despite Cars. If not for Cars, it'd have gone for $165+ million, though. The Da Vinci Code is still hanging on there pretty well. _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Fri Jul 14, 2006 12:13 am

O Extraordinary Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12197	Dr. Lecter wrote: As for other films, Cars is really a stand-out. Without direct competition and with still 3,000+ theatres, I see it dropping less than 30% this weekend. $220 million by the end of the weekend. I still think that $250 million is possible, but it will really depend on how hard Monster House, The Ant Bully and Barnyard will hit it. Over the Hedge will also end up with a decent gross, having passed $150 million today. It was quite leggy, despite Cars. If not for Cars, it'd have gone for $165+ million, though. The Da Vinci Code is still hanging on there pretty well. If Cars could pull a 26% drop from POTC 2's opening, I think it could get a drop of under 25% this weekend. Yes, I know it was helped by spillover business, but it remains a top choice among moviegoers.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 12:18 am

STEVE ROGERS The Greatest Avenger EVER Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501	Re: Wednesday Numbers Ghostooze wrote: 1. PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MAN'S CHEST BVI 4,133 14,230,000 3,443 n/a 183,620,554 2. SUPERMAN RETURNS WARNER BROS. 4,065 2,650,000 652 n/a 149,573,000 3. DEVIL WEARS PRADA, THE 20TH CENTURY FOX 2,882 2,595,000 900 n/a 70,655,000 4. CLICK PARAMOUNT 3,458 1,830,000 529 n/a 111,047,800 5. CARS BUENA VISTA 3,379 1,710,000 506 n/a 210,633,484 6. NACHO LIBRE PARAMOUNT 2,262 475,000 210 n/a 75,173,000 7. LAKE HOUSE, THE WARNER BROS. 2,420 450,000 186 n/a 46,911,472 8. INCONVENIENT TRUTH, AN PARAMOUNT 562 220,000 391 n/a 15,646,000 9. DEEP SEA 3D WARNER BROS. 37 94,000 2,541 n/a 13,635,000 10. SCANNER DARKLY, A WARNER BROS. 17 52,000 3,059 n/a 555,000 11. STRANGERS WITH CANDY THINKFILM 21 25,000 1,190 n/a 378,590 You know something?? I call BULLSH*T on this daily box office chart since Monday, more to do with the fact that I can't believe SR has held onto the #2 spot over Devil Wears Prada as close as the numbers are between the 2.. I'm betting WB is fudging SR numbers to make it at #2 when in fact, Prada has been better received and is really probably the #2 movie..
Fri Jul 14, 2006 12:22 am

Eventine Too Brilliant for Introductions Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073	Don't worry BKB, SR will fall tomorrow. _________________
Fri Jul 14, 2006 12:25 am

STEVE ROGERS The Greatest Avenger EVER Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501	Eventine wrote: :lol: Don't worry BKB, SR will fall tomorrow. I'm serious though.. The numbers between those 2 movie's is just too close and you know WB would be further offended even more if another movie overshadowed their big budget disaster and Bryan Singer would cancel all interviews for the rest of his life for fear of someone asking what he thought of POTC 2 Dismantling his movie in a matter of one weekend....
Fri Jul 14, 2006 12:30 am

Jmart Superman: The Movie Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21230 Location: Massachusetts	MIAMI_BKB wrote: Eventine wrote: :lol: Don't worry BKB, SR will fall tomorrow. I'm serious though.. The numbers between those 2 movie's is just too close and you know WB would be further offended even more if another movie overshadowed their big budget disaster and Bryan Singer would cancel all interviews for the rest of his life for fear of someone asking what he thought of POTC 2 Dismantling his movie in a matter of one weekend.... Why would they fudge the numbers so it only beats it by less than $100,000. Wouldn't it have made more sense to make the gap a tiny bigger? Or do you think they were worried internet posters were going to catch their trick? _________________ My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005) If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 1:05 am

Thegun On autopilot for the summer Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21900 Location: Walking around somewhere	MIAMI_BKB wrote: Eventine wrote: :lol: Don't worry BKB, SR will fall tomorrow. I'm serious though.. The numbers between those 2 movie's is just too close and you know WB would be further offended even more if another movie overshadowed their big budget disaster and Bryan Singer would cancel all interviews for the rest of his life for fear of someone asking what he thought of POTC 2 Dismantling his movie in a matter of one weekend.... Yea thats it. Come on people, lets get over the whole paranoia towards studios and their grosses. _________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
Fri Jul 14, 2006 1:26 am

STEVE ROGERS The Greatest Avenger EVER Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501	jmart007 wrote: MIAMI_BKB wrote: Eventine wrote: :lol: Don't worry BKB, SR will fall tomorrow. I'm serious though.. The numbers between those 2 movie's is just too close and you know WB would be further offended even more if another movie overshadowed their big budget disaster and Bryan Singer would cancel all interviews for the rest of his life for fear of someone asking what he thought of POTC 2 Dismantling his movie in a matter of one weekend.... Why would they fudge the numbers so it only beats it by less than $100,000. Wouldn't it have made more sense to make the gap a tiny bigger? Or do you think they were worried internet posters were going to catch their trick? Well, Gee, I caught em.. If the movie went from making 2.6 Million for the last couple of days and Thursday comes and all of a sudden, it jumps 3 Million more to take the #1 spot over PRADA, then that would be far too obvious so why not keep the total closer.. SR is a BUST and WB knows it and this is what's called Damage Control to keep WB's film alfloat and make it seem like it's better than what it is..
Fri Jul 14, 2006 1:44 am

Dr. Lecter You must have big rats Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany	MIAMI_BKB wrote: jmart007 wrote: MIAMI_BKB wrote: Eventine wrote: :lol: Don't worry BKB, SR will fall tomorrow. I'm serious though.. The numbers between those 2 movie's is just too close and you know WB would be further offended even more if another movie overshadowed their big budget disaster and Bryan Singer would cancel all interviews for the rest of his life for fear of someone asking what he thought of POTC 2 Dismantling his movie in a matter of one weekend.... Why would they fudge the numbers so it only beats it by less than $100,000. Wouldn't it have made more sense to make the gap a tiny bigger? Or do you think they were worried internet posters were going to catch their trick? Well, Gee, I caught em.. If the movie went from making 2.6 Million for the last couple of days and Thursday comes and all of a sudden, it jumps 3 Million more to take the #1 spot over PRADA, then that would be far too obvious so why not keep the total closer.. SR is a BUST and WB knows it and this is what's called Damage Control to keep WB's film alfloat and make it seem like it's better than what it is.. LOL, what the heck? Superman increased 1% on Thursday, by less than $0.1 million to still around $2.65 million. Prada decreased 1% to $2.6 million. _________________ The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
Fri Jul 14, 2006 1:47 am

Jmart Superman: The Movie Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 8:47 am Posts: 21230 Location: Massachusetts	MIAMI_BKB wrote: jmart007 wrote: MIAMI_BKB wrote: Eventine wrote: :lol: Don't worry BKB, SR will fall tomorrow. I'm serious though.. The numbers between those 2 movie's is just too close and you know WB would be further offended even more if another movie overshadowed their big budget disaster and Bryan Singer would cancel all interviews for the rest of his life for fear of someone asking what he thought of POTC 2 Dismantling his movie in a matter of one weekend.... Why would they fudge the numbers so it only beats it by less than $100,000. Wouldn't it have made more sense to make the gap a tiny bigger? Or do you think they were worried internet posters were going to catch their trick? Well, Gee, I caught em.. If the movie went from making 2.6 Million for the last couple of days and Thursday comes and all of a sudden, it jumps 3 Million more to take the #1 spot over PRADA, then that would be far too obvious so why not keep the total closer.. SR is a BUST and WB knows it and this is what's called Damage Control to keep WB's film alfloat and make it seem like it's better than what it is.. It made $2.65 on Wednesday, not $3 million. Look it up on BOM or on page two of this thread. It increased by a whopping 1%. You can basically say it's made the same amount of money all week. Prada has done the same. Stop trying to find something when there isn't anything there. _________________ My DVD Collection Marty McGee (1989-2005) If I’m not here, I’m on Letterboxd.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 1:52 am

mdana Veteran Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004	For your consideration: HP3 drops -17.7/-24/-64.8/-14/-5.1/-0.8 POTC2 drops -20.4/-20.4/-48.7/-13.3/-10/??? Sunday as a percentage of Friday HP3-62.5% POTC2-63.3% Tuesday as a percentage of Friday HP3-18.9% POTC2-28.2% Wednesday as a percentage of Friday HP3-18.0% POTC2-25.3% Thursday as a percentage of Friday HP3-17.8% POTC2-???% Just added and updated the numbers I started on Tues. thread. _________________ http://www.districtvibe.com/
Fri Jul 14, 2006 3:27 am

BJ Killing With Kindness Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska	500m+ Pirates OWNs _________________ The Force Awakens
Fri Jul 14, 2006 3:29 am

STEVE ROGERS The Greatest Avenger EVER Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501	Dr. Lecter wrote: MIAMI_BKB wrote: jmart007 wrote: MIAMI_BKB wrote: Eventine wrote: :lol: Don't worry BKB, SR will fall tomorrow. I'm serious though.. The numbers between those 2 movie's is just too close and you know WB would be further offended even more if another movie overshadowed their big budget disaster and Bryan Singer would cancel all interviews for the rest of his life for fear of someone asking what he thought of POTC 2 Dismantling his movie in a matter of one weekend.... Why would they fudge the numbers so it only beats it by less than $100,000. Wouldn't it have made more sense to make the gap a tiny bigger? Or do you think they were worried internet posters were going to catch their trick? Well, Gee, I caught em.. If the movie went from making 2.6 Million for the last couple of days and Thursday comes and all of a sudden, it jumps 3 Million more to take the #1 spot over PRADA, then that would be far too obvious so why not keep the total closer.. SR is a BUST and WB knows it and this is what's called Damage Control to keep WB's film alfloat and make it seem like it's better than what it is.. LOL, what the heck? Superman increased 1% on Thursday, by less than $0.1 million to still around $2.65 million. Prada decreased 1% to $2.6 million. Actually it's the other way around but somehow, WB managed fudge the box office to make it seem like this boat is still afloat.. Prada is actually beating SR.. It's true I'm telling ya.. First Singer nearly has a nervous breakdown after being questioned how it feels to basically have your movie OWNED by another studio's movie, then the Cast of SR does their best to put as much positiveness in this as possible to no avail and last but not least, WB's last ditch attempt to give this movie a shred of dignity by finaggling the numbers in their favor to make it seem like there's still interest..
Fri Jul 14, 2006 3:41 am

Dreamline Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2005 3:18 pm Posts: 431 Location: SoCal	Actually, seeing as BKB is always right, I'm gonna have to agree on this one and see what he says when Superman's total is $200.1 million. Or maybe the $70,000 difference is real.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 3:53 am

DIB2 All Star Poster Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am Posts: 4669 Location: Anchorage, AK	If Pirates 2 makes 80m this weekend like B.J. thinks, then think 500m would be a lock, and with 70m 450 would be a lock _________________ My Most anticipated films of 2015
Fri Jul 14, 2006 3:53 am

DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	mdana wrote: For your consideration: HP3 drops -17.7/-24/-64.8/-14/-5.1/-0.8 POTC2 drops -20.4/-20.4/-48.7/-13.3/-10/??? Sunday as a percentage of Friday HP3-62.5% POTC2-63.3% Tuesday as a percentage of Friday HP3-18.9% POTC2-28.2% Wednesday as a percentage of Friday HP3-18.0% POTC2-25.3% Thursday as a percentage of Friday HP3-17.8% POTC2-???% Just added and updated the numbers I started on Tues. thread. Schools get out every day during early June. The weekdays tend to increase strongly for most family films, so drops for one are worse then the raw numbers indicate. The comparision is misleading.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 4:03 am

Dreamline Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2005 3:18 pm Posts: 431 Location: SoCal	DIB2 wrote: If Pirates 2 makes 80m this weekend like B.J. thinks, then think 500m would be a lock, and with 70m 450 would be a lock 80 would require a Friday increase of almost 90% which I wouldn't bet on. 70 requires 65 which some say is probable but I'm thinking 50. A 70m weekend would only get it to 425.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 4:05 am

DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	A 70m weekend would give it a great chance at 475m assuming it levels off somewhat.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 4:06 am

Dreamline Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2005 3:18 pm Posts: 431 Location: SoCal	435 tops. If it drops less than 50% in its second weekend, it doesn't have much leveling off to do.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 4:15 am

DP07 The Thirteenth Floor Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15573 Location: Everywhere	Dreamline wrote: 435 tops. If it drops less than 50% in its second weekend, it doesn't have much leveling off to do. It will have many drops under 40% late in the run. That's certain. You also must be underestimating the weekdays. In any case, after a 45m weekend SM2 had a multiplier from that point on of 3.6. With a similar drop POTC2 would have that multiplier at the least and probably better.
Fri Jul 14, 2006 4:22 am
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